The Gold Projections
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Gold Value And Gold Prices From 1971 2021
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Author : Gary Christenson
language : en
Publisher: CreateSpace
Release Date : 2014-10-29
Gold Value And Gold Prices From 1971 2021 written by Gary Christenson and has been published by CreateSpace this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-10-29 with Business & Economics categories.
What is an appropriate exchange rate for gold in 2015 when priced in US dollars? What will be the appropriate exchange rate when priced in Euros in 2017?We don't know. Worse, a number of highly intelligent and recognized experts can't even agree whether gold will be priced higher or lower in three years.Given that major disagreement among experts, who and what should an investor believe regarding the exchange of steadily devaluing dollars, euros, pounds and yen for the purchase of gold?My solution was to create an empirical model based on several macro-economic variables, not including the price of gold. The goal of the model was to accurately replicate the smoothed price of gold as calculated with a twice smoothed moving average of monthly closing prices since 1971.The model performed well – specifically it had a 0.98 statistical correlation with the actual smoothed market price of gold in US dollars between 1971 and 2013. The resulting graph of calculated gold prices rose from about $30 in 1971 to about $500 in 1980 - 84, down to under $300 in 1999 - 2001, and then up to about $1,500 in 2013.Currently the model shows that gold, selling for about $1,300, is undervalued and therefore likely to move higher in coming years.But how much higher? The book discusses reasonable projections based on the estimated change of the macro-economic inputs to the model and then calculates reasonable or “fair” values for gold through the year 2021.Of course the price of gold will rise above and fall below the calculated “fair” value during the next several years, but estimating the “fair” value will help people evaluate whether or not the market price of gold is over or under valued at any particular time.Examples: The model indicated that the market price of gold at its peak in August 2011 was 30% higher than the “fair” price. Similarly, the market price of gold in December 2013 was 26% below its “fair” price. This “fair” value information would have been particularly valuable to those who were considering purchases of gold in August 2011 or selling their gold in December 2013.The model accurately replicated, on average, the smoothed price of gold for over 40 years. Furthermore the model was robust. Since 1971 the world has experienced stock market booms and busts, bond market bull and bear markets, “shock and awe,” occasional peace, the inflationary 1970s, the stock market booms of the 1990s, the devastation of 9-11 and subsequent wars, a housing crash, and a global financial crash in 2008. The model created accurate “fair” value estimates for the price of gold during all those market extremes.The book is divided into three parts.Part one explores the need for an empirical model, examines monthly gold prices since 1971, smoothed annual gold prices, the macro-economic variables used in the model, the actual formula that replicates smoothed gold prices, and future gold prices as projected by the model. It also discusses gold cycles, various ratios, and shows how those cycles and ratios support the price projections indicated by the model. Part two addresses the larger economic environment including counter-party risk, The Fed, interest rates, QE, inflation, and central bank gold sales. Part three encourages you to act in accordance with your individual financial circumstances and risk tolerance. It offers suggestions on how to purchase gold, where to store gold, when to buy and sell, and what a bubble in the gold market could indicate for prices. The model has a 40+ year record of calculating a reasonable and “fair” price for gold. There is no guarantee that the model will continue to be accurate in the future, but the model is certainly more useful and objective than the opinions of many supposed experts and biased analysts who materially disagree on future expectations for gold prices.
Idaho Panhandle National Forests N F West Gold Project
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2002
Idaho Panhandle National Forests N F West Gold Project written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002 with categories.
Tongass National Forest N F Kensington Gold Project
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1992
Tongass National Forest N F Kensington Gold Project written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992 with categories.
California Gold Project Sponsored By Sonora Mining Corporation Draft Eir
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1983
California Gold Project Sponsored By Sonora Mining Corporation Draft Eir written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1983 with categories.
Salmon National Forest N F Beartrack Gold Project Lemhi County
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1991
Salmon National Forest N F Beartrack Gold Project Lemhi County written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991 with categories.
Helena National Forest N F Crhyso Exploration S Wilson Creek Gold Project Jefferson County
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1990
Helena National Forest N F Crhyso Exploration S Wilson Creek Gold Project Jefferson County written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990 with categories.
Auriferous
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Author : Bathurst Regional Art Gallery
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2001
Auriferous written by Bathurst Regional Art Gallery and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001 with Gold categories.
Minerals Yearbook
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Author : Mines Bureau
language : en
Publisher: Government Printing Office
Release Date : 2018-04-19
Minerals Yearbook written by Mines Bureau and has been published by Government Printing Office this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-04-19 with Business & Economics categories.
- Minerals Yearbook, 2014, V. 3: Area Reports: International: Asia and the Pacific. Volume III, Area Reports: International, is published as four separate reports. These regional reports contain the latest available minerals data on more than 180 foreign countries and discuss the importance of minerals to the economies of these nations and the United States. Each report begins with an overview of the region's mineral industries during the year. It continues with individual country chapters that examine the mining, refining, processing, and use of minerals in each country of the region and how each country's mineral industry relates to U.S. industry. Most chapters include production tables and industry structure tables, information about Government policies and programs that affect the country's mineral industry, and an outlook section.
How To Forecast Gold And Silver Using The Wave Principle
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Author : Robert Rougelot Prechter
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006
How To Forecast Gold And Silver Using The Wave Principle written by Robert Rougelot Prechter and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with Commodity futures categories.
The Gold Projections
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Author : Joe Ramirez
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2017-02-01
The Gold Projections written by Joe Ramirez and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-02-01 with categories.
Using a technique, which he has since patented, Ramirez projects films onto a circular, slightly convex, wooden panel, which he has gilded by hand in an elaborate process, leaf by leaf and layer by layer. This creates a unique projection surface, which determines the form of the projected images. In this debut artist book, an entire lifetime of dreaming in light is condensed to display a process unique to the California-born artist, whom Wim Wenders considers 'a true 21st century Renaissance artist.'