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The Impact Of Demographics On Productivity And Inflation In Japan

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The Impact Of Demographics On Productivity And Inflation In Japan

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Author : Mr.Niklas J Westelius
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-12-08

The Impact Of Demographics On Productivity And Inflation In Japan written by Mr.Niklas J Westelius and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-12-08 with Social Science categories.

Is Japan’s aging and, more recently, declining population hampering growth and reflation efforts? Exploiting demographic and economic variation in prefectural data between 1990 and 2007, we find that aging of the working age population has had a significant negative impact on total factor productivity. Moreover, prefectures that aged at a faster pace experienced lower overall inflation, while prefectures with higher population growth experienced higher inflation. The results give strong support to the notion that demographic headwinds can have a non-trivial impact on total factor productivity and deflationary pressures.

The Impact Of Demographics On Productivity And Inflation In Japan

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Author : Mr.Niklas J Westelius
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-01-18

Demographics And The Natural Rate Of Interest In Japan

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Author : Mr.Fei Han
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2019-02-15

Demographics And The Natural Rate Of Interest In Japan written by Mr.Fei Han and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-02-15 with Social Science categories.

Japan’s aging and shrinking population could lower the natural rate of interest and, together with low inflation expectations, challenge the Bank of Japan’s efforts to reflate the economy. This paper uses a semi-structural model to estimate the impact of demographics on the natural rate in Japan. We find that demographic change has a significantly negative impact on the natural rate by lowering trend potential growth. We also find that the negative impact has been increasing over time amid stronger demographic headwinds. These findings highlight the importance of boosting potential growth to offset the negative demographic impact and lift the natural rate in Japan.

Japan

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Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-08-02

Japan written by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-08-02 with Business & Economics categories.

This Selected Issues paper discusses the findings of the IMF staff research focusing on labor market dynamics, economic growth, the financial sector, private investment, and monetary policy in Japan. Japan’s labor market has fared relatively well considering the occasional substantial output losses, with unemployment remaining low. Although Japan’s employment responsiveness to the cyclical position has been relatively low, it has been rising over time reflecting the higher share of the nonregular workforce. The lower employment response to output compared with other countries during the Great Recession reflects the quick implementation of an employment subsidy program, a more flexible wage system, and strong employment protection.

Japan S Quiet Leadership

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Author : Mireya Solis
language : en
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing PLC
Release Date : 2023-08-14

Japan S Quiet Leadership written by Mireya Solis and has been published by Bloomsbury Publishing PLC this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-08-14 with Political Science categories.

Why has Japan emerged from the “lost decades” unscathed from the populist wave and a far more consequential actor in the geopolitics of the Indo-Pacific? In answering this question, Japan’s Quiet Leadership provides a sweeping look at Japan’s domestic economic and political evolution, its economic statecraft, and the array of geopolitical challenges that have triggered a gradual but substantial shift in the country’s security profile. This deep dive into Japan’s trajectory over the last three decades underscores Japan’s hidden strengths in its democratic resilience, social stability, and proactive diplomacy; while reckoning with the profound challenges the nation faces: depopulation, rising inequality, voter disengagement, and threats to Asia’s long peace. The book traces the profound currents of change coursing through the Japanese polity and its external environment; and the myriad ways in which Japan’s experience has become more relevant to countries coping with slow growth, adverse demographics, adjustment to economic globalization, and the emergence of a powerful and assertive China. This is a story of Japan’s reinvention as a network power to overcome the harsh realities of diminishing relative capabilities. In reshaping the Indo-Pacific, Tokyo deployed a robust economic strategy of trade integration and infrastructure finance; and a proactive security diplomacy cultivating new partnerships with regional and extra-regional actors and deepening the alliance with the United States. Nevertheless, acute geopolitical rifts, Japan’s pandemic insularity, and the securitization of international economic relations are testing Japan’s statecraft of connectivity. The tasks at home are no less pressing: delivering on the green, digital, and human capital transformations, avoiding the return of the politics of indecision at the helm of the nation, and fostering democratic dynamism. This book illuminates where the Japanese polity, economy, and people are heading as we move past the Abe era, and well into the 2020s and beyond.

The Great Demographic Reversal

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Author : Charles Goodhart
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-08-08

The Great Demographic Reversal written by Charles Goodhart and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-08-08 with Business & Economics categories.

This original and panoramic book proposes that the underlying forces of demography and globalisation will shortly reverse three multi-decade global trends – it will raise inflation and interest rates, but lead to a pullback in inequality. “Whatever the future holds”, the authors argue, “it will be nothing like the past”. Deflationary headwinds over the last three decades have been primarily due to an enormous surge in the world’s available labour supply, owing to very favourable demographic trends and the entry of China and Eastern Europe into the world’s trading system. This book demonstrates how these demographic trends are on the point of reversing sharply, coinciding with a retreat from globalisation. The result? Ageing can be expected to raise inflation and interest rates, bringing a slew of problems for an over-indebted world economy, but is also anticipated to increase the share of labour, so that inequality falls. Covering many social and political factors, as well as those that are more purely macroeconomic, the authors address topics including ageing, dementia, inequality, populism, retirement and debt finance, among others. This book will be of interest and understandable to anyone with an interest on where the world’s economy may be going.

Sustaining Economic Growth In Asia

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Author : Jeremie Cohen-Setton
language : en
Publisher: Peterson Institute for International Economics
Release Date : 2018-12-01

Sustaining Economic Growth In Asia written by Jeremie Cohen-Setton and has been published by Peterson Institute for International Economics this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-12-01 with Business & Economics categories.

Economic growth, inflation, and interest rates have declined in Asia, just as they have in the United States and Europe. This volume explores the relevance to several Asian economies of the diagnosis known as “secular stagnation.” Leading experts on the region discuss the fiscal and monetary policy challenges of reviving growth without generating domestic financial imbalances. The essays on innovation, demographics, spillovers, and various policy proposals are accompanied by case studies focusing on Japan, South Korea, China, India, and Indonesia.

Imf Research Bulletin March 2017

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Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-04-14

Imf Research Bulletin March 2017 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-04-14 with Business & Economics categories.

This issue of the IMF Research Bulletin features recommended readings from IMF Publications and an update on recent IMF Working Papers and IMF Staff Discussion Notes. It also includes a special announcement welcoming Linda Tesar (University of Michigan) as the new editor of “IMF Economic Review.” The Q&A section explores “Seven Questions on China-Africa Relations” (Luiz Almeida, Wenjie Chen, and Oral Williams). The Research Summaries surveys “Income Polarization in the United States” (Ali Alichi, Kory Kantenga, and Juan Sole); and “The Future Wealth of Nations: World Trade in Services” (Prakash Loungani, Saurabh Mishra, Chris Papageorgiou, and Ke Wang).

Japan

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Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2025-04-02

After three decades of near-zero inflation, signs are growing that Japan’s economy is reaching a new equilibrium with inflation sustained at the Bank of Japan’s 2 percent headline inflation target. But Japan continues to face challenges, including from its aging population and high public debt.

The Geriatric Peace

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Author : Haas
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2023-08

The Geriatric Peace written by Haas and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-08 with Education categories.

"This chapter explores the causes of population aging (diminishing fertility levels and rising life expectancies) and why it is inevitable in most countries. It then discusses the book's four main hypotheses. Advanced stages of population aging will significantly reduce states' capacity (or military capabilities) to war while increasing leaders' and citizens' preferences for peace (Hypothesis 1). Because of aging's impact on capabilities and preferences, demographically old countries will be less likely to initiate wars than will younger ones (Hypothesis 2). If an aged country does initiate war, the effects of aging will create major barriers to military success (Hypothesis 3). Finally, the effects of population aging will help prevent a power transition between the United States and China (Hypothesis 4). Although the United States confronts major challenges created by its aging population, it is significantly better shape in this area than is China. Population aging, as a result, will be a potent force for the continuation of US relative power dominance. The chapter concludes with analyses of: the book's contributions to the literature, counterarguments and their problems, operationalization of variables, and case selection criteria"-- Provided by publisher.

The Impact Of Demographics On Productivity And Inflation In Japan

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