The Leading Indicators
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The Leading Indicators
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Author : Zachary Karabell
language : en
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
Release Date : 2014-02-11
The Leading Indicators written by Zachary Karabell and has been published by Simon and Schuster this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-02-11 with Business & Economics categories.
How did we come by the “leading indicators” we place such stock in? We allocate trillions of dollars and make public policy and personal decisions based upon them, but what do they really tell us? “The leading indicators” shape our lives intimately, but few of us know where these numbers come from, what they mean, or why they rule the world. GDP, inflation, unemployment, trade, and a host of averages determine whether we feel optimistic or pessimistic about the country’s future and our own. They dictate whether businesses hire and invest, or fire and hunker down, whether governments spend trillions or try to reduce debt, whether individuals marry, buy a car, get a mortgage, or look for a job. Zachary Karabell tackles the history and the limitations of each of our leading indicators. The solution is not to invent new indicators, but to become less dependent on a few simple figures and tap into the data revolution. We have unparalleled power to find the information we need, but only if we let go of the outdated indicators that lead and mislead us.
Leading Economic Indicators
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Author : Kajal Lahiri
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1991
Leading Economic Indicators written by Kajal Lahiri and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991 with Business & Economics categories.
Developed fifty years ago by the National Bureau of Economic Research, the analytic methods of business cycles and economic indicators enable economists to forecast economic trends by examining the repetitive sequences that occur in business cycles. The methodology has proven to be an inexpensive and useful tool that is now used extensively throughout the world. In recent years, however, significant new developments have emerged in the field of business cycles and economic indicators. This volume contains twenty-two articles by international experts who are working with new and innovative approaches to indicator research. They cover advances in three broad areas of research: the use of new developments in economic theory and time-series analysis to rationalise existing systems of indicators; more appropriate methods to evaluate the forecasting records of leading indicators, particularly of turning point probability; and the development of new indicators.
Leading Indicators For The 1990s
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Author : Geoffrey Hoyt Moore
language : en
Publisher: Irwin Professional Publishing
Release Date : 1990
Leading Indicators For The 1990s written by Geoffrey Hoyt Moore and has been published by Irwin Professional Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990 with Business & Economics categories.
Describes sweeping changes to the Commerce Department's leading economic indicators.
Leading Indicators
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 19??
Leading Indicators written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 19?? with categories.
Estimating Indexes Of Coincident And Leading Indicators
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Author : Tahsin Saadi-Sedik
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2003-08-01
Estimating Indexes Of Coincident And Leading Indicators written by Tahsin Saadi-Sedik and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-08-01 with Business & Economics categories.
The analysis of coincident and leading indicators can help policymakers gauge the short-term direction of economic activity. While such analysis is well established in advanced economies, it has received relatively little attention in many emerging market and developing economies, reflecting in part the lack of sufficient historical data to determine the reliability of these indicators. This paper presents an econometric approach to deriving composite indexes of coincident and leading indicators for a small open economy, Jordan. The results show that, even with limited monthly observations, it is possible to establish meaningful economic and statistically significant relations between indicators from different sectors of the economy and the present and future direction of economic activity.
Business Cycle Indicators
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Author : Karl Heinrich Oppenländer
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1997
Business Cycle Indicators written by Karl Heinrich Oppenländer and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997 with Business & Economics categories.
The pressure to produce explanations and forecasts and the economic dichotomies which insist on appearing, lead to a desire to deal with the description, analysis and forecast of the phenomenon of business cycles using economic indicators. This text provides an introduction to business cycles and their theoretical and historical basis. It also includes work on early indicator research and provides examples of business cycle indicators.
Leading Indicator Project
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Author : Stephen Everhart
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2016
Leading Indicator Project written by Stephen Everhart and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with categories.
A method for forecasting growth cycles in economic activity (measured as total industrial production), as applied to Lithuania. Everhart and Duval-Hernandez present a method for forecasting growth cycles in economic activity, measured as total industrial production. They construct a series which they aggregate into a composite leading indicator to predict the path of the economy in Lithuania.The cycle is the result of the economy's deviations from its long-term trend. A contractionary phase means a decline in the growth rate of the economy, not necessarily an absolute decline in economic activity. The indicator they select for economic activity is usually the Index of Industrial Production, plus a group of variables that, when filtered and adjusted, becomes the composite leading indicator that forecasts the reference series. Variables include economically and statistically significant financial, monetary, real sector, and business survey data. They base selection of the components of the leading indicator on the forecast efficiency and economic significance of the series. Once selected, the relevant variables are aggregated into a single composite leading indicator, which forecasts the detrended Index of Industrial Production.They apply the Hodrick-Prescott filter method for detrending the series. This is a smoothing technique that decomposes seasonally adjusted series into cyclical and trend components. One advantage of the Hodrick-Prescott filter is that it provides a reasonable estimate of a series' long-term trend.The OECD uses a system of leading indicators to predict growth cycles in the economies of its member countries. These exercises have been very effective in their forecasting ability and accuracy - but for the technique to work it is essential to have an adequate statistical system that provides many economic variables in a precise and timely manner, preferably monthly. The authors extend the OECD technique and present an application to a country of the former Soviet Union.This paper - a joint product of the Poverty Reduction and Economic Management Sector Units, Europe and Central Asia and Latin America and the Carribean Regions, and the Mexico Country Management Unit - is part of a larger effort in the Bank to foster the development of macroeconomic monitoring techniques. Authors may be contacted by email at [email protected] or [email protected].
Outcomes Over Output
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Author : Joshua Seiden
language : en
Publisher: Independently Published
Release Date : 2019-04-08
Outcomes Over Output written by Joshua Seiden and has been published by Independently Published this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-04-08 with Consumer behavior categories.
"A project has to have a goal, otherwise, how do you know you're done? In the old days of engineering, setting project goals wasn't that hard. But when you're making software products, done is less obvious. When is Microsoft Word done? When is Google done? Or Facebook? In reality, software systems are never done. So then how do we give teams a goal that they can work on? Mostly, we simply ask teams to build features-but features are the wrong way to go. We often build features that create no value. Instead, we need to give teams an outcome to achieve. Setting goals as outcomes sounds simple, but it can be hard to do in practice. This book is a practical guide to using outcomes to guide the work of your team"--Publisher's website.
Leading Indicators Of Economic Activity
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Author : Christopher Green
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1993
Leading Indicators Of Economic Activity written by Christopher Green and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993 with Economic forecasting categories.
Leading Indicators Of Business Cycles In Malaysia And The Philippines
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Author : Wenda Zhang
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2002
Leading Indicators Of Business Cycles In Malaysia And The Philippines written by Wenda Zhang and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002 with Business cycles categories.