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The Monetary Policy Response To Uncertain Inflation Persistence


The Monetary Policy Response To Uncertain Inflation Persistence
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Monetary Policy With Uncertain Inflation Persistence


Monetary Policy With Uncertain Inflation Persistence
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Author : Mr. Luis Brandão-Marques
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2024-03-08

Monetary Policy With Uncertain Inflation Persistence written by Mr. Luis Brandão-Marques and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-03-08 with Business & Economics categories.


When uncertain about inflation persistence, central banks are well-advised to adopt a robust strategy when setting interest rates. This robust approach, characterized by a "better safe than sorry" philosophy, entails incurring a modest cost to safeguard against a protracted period of deviating inflation. Applied to the post-pandemic period of exceptional uncertainty and elevated inflation, this strategy would have called for a tightening bias. Specifically, a high level of uncertainty surrounding wage, profit, and price dynamics requires a more front-loaded increase in interest rates compared to a baseline scenario which the policymaker fully understands how shocks to those variables are transmitted to inflation and output. This paper provides empirical evidence of such uncertainty and estimates a New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model for the euro area to derive a robust interest rate path for the ECB which serves to illustrate the case for insuring against inflation turning out to have greater persistence.



The Monetary Policy Response To Uncertain Inflation Persistence


The Monetary Policy Response To Uncertain Inflation Persistence
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Author : Robert J. Tetlow
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2020

The Monetary Policy Response To Uncertain Inflation Persistence written by Robert J. Tetlow and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020 with categories.


This FEDS Note considers the implications of uncertainty regarding the persistence of inflation for the conduct of monetary policy.



Central Banking In Theory And Practice


Central Banking In Theory And Practice
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Author : Alan S. Blinder
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 1999-01-07

Central Banking In Theory And Practice written by Alan S. Blinder and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999-01-07 with Business & Economics categories.


Alan S. Blinder offers the dual perspective of a leading academic macroeconomist who served a stint as Vice-Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board—one who practiced what he had long preached and then returned to academia to write about it. He tells central bankers how they might better incorporate academic knowledge and thinking into the conduct of monetary policy, and he tells scholars how they might reorient their research to be more attuned to reality and thus more useful to central bankers. Based on the 1996 Lionel Robbins Lectures, this readable book deals succinctly, in a nontechnical manner, with a wide variety of issues in monetary policy. The book also includes the author's suggested solution to an age-old problem in monetary theory: what it means for monetary policy to be "neutral."



The Inflation Targeting Debate


The Inflation Targeting Debate
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Author : Ben S. Bernanke
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2007-11-01

The Inflation Targeting Debate written by Ben S. Bernanke and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-11-01 with Business & Economics categories.


Over the past fifteen years, a significant number of industrialized and middle-income countries have adopted inflation targeting as a framework for monetary policymaking. As the name suggests, in such inflation-targeting regimes, the central bank is responsible for achieving a publicly announced target for the inflation rate. While the objective of controlling inflation enjoys wide support among both academic experts and policymakers, and while the countries that have followed this model have generally experienced good macroeconomic outcomes, many important questions about inflation targeting remain. In Inflation Targeting, a distinguished group of contributors explores the many underexamined dimensions of inflation targeting—its potential, its successes, and its limitations—from both a theoretical and an empirical standpoint, and for both developed and emerging economies. The volume opens with a discussion of the optimal formulation of inflation-targeting policy and continues with a debate about the desirability of such a model for the United States. The concluding chapters discuss the special problems of inflation targeting in emerging markets, including the Czech Republic, Poland, and Hungary.



Robustness


Robustness
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Author : Lars Peter Hansen
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2011-11-28

Robustness written by Lars Peter Hansen and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-11-28 with Business & Economics categories.


The standard theory of decision making under uncertainty advises the decision maker to form a statistical model linking outcomes to decisions and then to choose the optimal distribution of outcomes. This assumes that the decision maker trusts the model completely. But what should a decision maker do if the model cannot be trusted? Lars Hansen and Thomas Sargent, two leading macroeconomists, push the field forward as they set about answering this question. They adapt robust control techniques and apply them to economics. By using this theory to let decision makers acknowledge misspecification in economic modeling, the authors develop applications to a variety of problems in dynamic macroeconomics. Technical, rigorous, and self-contained, this book will be useful for macroeconomists who seek to improve the robustness of decision-making processes.



Monetary Theory And Policy


Monetary Theory And Policy
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Author : Carl E. Walsh
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 2003

Monetary Theory And Policy written by Carl E. Walsh and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with Business & Economics categories.


An overview of recent theoretical and policy-related developments in monetary economics.



Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty


Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty
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Author : Oliver Sauter
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2014-01-31

Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty written by Oliver Sauter and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-01-31 with Political Science categories.


Oliver Sauter analyzes three aspects of monetary policy under uncertainty. First he shows that the terms risk and uncertainty are often wrongly used as synonyms despite their different meanings. The second aspect is the proper examination and incorporation of uncertainty into a monetary policy framework. The author undertakes systematization with a closer look at each identified form of uncertainty. Thirdly, he focuses on the quantification of uncertainty from two different perspectives, either from a market perspective or from a central bank perspective.



Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks In Low Income And Other Developing Countries


Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks In Low Income And Other Developing Countries
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Author : International Monetary Fund
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2015-10-23

Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks In Low Income And Other Developing Countries written by International Monetary Fund and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-10-23 with Business & Economics categories.


Over the past two decades, many low- and lower-middle income countries (LLMICs) have improved control over fiscal policy, liberalized and deepened financial markets, and stabilized inflation at moderate levels. Monetary policy frameworks that have helped achieve these ends are being challenged by continued financial development and increased exposure to global capital markets. Many policymakers aspire to move beyond the basics of stability to implement monetary policy frameworks that better anchor inflation and promote macroeconomic stability and growth. Many of these LLMICs are thus considering and implementing improvements to their monetary policy frameworks. The recent successes of some LLMICs and the experiences of emerging and advanced economies, both early in their policy modernization process and following the global financial crisis, are valuable in identifying desirable features of such frameworks. This paper draws on those lessons to provide guidance on key elements of effective monetary policy frameworks for LLMICs.



Inequality Output Inflation Trade Off And Economic Policy Uncertainty


Inequality Output Inflation Trade Off And Economic Policy Uncertainty
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Author : Eliphas Ndou
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2019-08-13

Inequality Output Inflation Trade Off And Economic Policy Uncertainty written by Eliphas Ndou and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-08-13 with Business & Economics categories.


This book focuses on income inequality, output-inflation trade-off and economic policy uncertainty in South Africa. Tight monetary and macroprudential policies raise income inequality. Income inequality transmits monetary policy and macroprudential policy shocks to real economic activity. Economic policy uncertainty influences the dynamics in the lending rate margins, inflation expectations, credit, pass-through of the repo rate to bank lending rates and companies’ cash holdings. The trade-off between output and inflation and output growth persistence vary with inflation regimes. Stimulatory demand policy shocks are less effective in high inflation regime. High income inequality raises consumption inequality, which raises demand for credit, but price stability matters in this link. Increased bank concentration raises income inequality, lowers economic growth and employment rate. Elevated economic policy uncertainty lowers output growth, lowers capital formation, reduces credit and raises companies’ cash holdings. Increased companies’ cash holdings reduce capital formation and impact the transmission of expansionary monetary policy shocks to real economic activity. This book shows there is an inflation level within the target band below it which lowers income inequality, while raising GDP growth and employment. Thus price stability, economic policy uncertainty and income inequality matter for the efficient transmission of policy shocks.



Handbook Of Monetary Economics Vols 3a 3b Set


Handbook Of Monetary Economics Vols 3a 3b Set
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Author : Benjamin M. Friedman
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2010-11-10

Handbook Of Monetary Economics Vols 3a 3b Set written by Benjamin M. Friedman and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-11-10 with Business & Economics categories.


How have monetary policies matured during the last decade? The recent downturn in economies worldwide have put monetary policies in a new spotlight. In addition to their investigations of new tools, models, and assumptions, they look carefully at recent evidence on subjects as varied as price-setting, inflation persistence, the private sector's formation of inflation expectations, and the monetary policy transmission mechanism. They also reexamine standard presumptions about the rationality of asset markets and other fundamentals. Stopping short of advocating conclusions about the ideal conduct of policy, the authors focus instead on analytical methods and the changing interactions among the ingredients and properties that inform monetary models. The influences between economic performance and monetary policy regimes can be both grand and muted, and this volume clarifies the present state of this continually evolving relationship. - Presents extensive coverage of monetary policy theories with an eye toward questions raised by the recent financial crisis - Explores the policies and practices used in formulating and transmitting monetary policies - Questions fiscal-monetary connnections and encourages new thinking about the business cycle itself - Observes changes in the formulation of monetary policies over the last 25 years