The Relative Importance Of Political And Economic Variables In Creditworthiness Ratings
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The Relative Importance Of Political And Economic Variables In Creditworthiness Ratings
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Author : International Monetary Fund
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1998-04-01
The Relative Importance Of Political And Economic Variables In Creditworthiness Ratings written by International Monetary Fund and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-04-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This study examines the relative importance of political and economic variables in the determination of a country’s standing in credit ratings provided by commercial rating agencies. It finds that creditworthiness appears to be determined primarily by economic variables. While including political events can improve the explanatory power of the regressions, the exclusion of political variables does not bias the parameter estimates for the effects of economic variables.
The Relative Importance Of Political And Economic Variables In Creditworthiness Ratings
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Author : Nadeem Ul Haque
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006
The Relative Importance Of Political And Economic Variables In Creditworthiness Ratings written by Nadeem Ul Haque and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with categories.
This study examines the relative importance of political and economic variables in the determination of a country`s standing in credit ratings provided by commercial rating agencies. It finds that creditworthiness appears to be determined primarily by economic variables. While including political events can improve the explanatory power of the regressions, the exclusion of political variables does not bias the parameter estimates for the effects of economic variables.
Political Economy Perspectives On The Greek Crisis
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Author : Ioannis Bournakis
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-11-27
Political Economy Perspectives On The Greek Crisis written by Ioannis Bournakis and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-11-27 with Business & Economics categories.
This book offers a comprehensive guide to the on-going Greek debt crisis. It identifies and explains Greece’s idiosyncratic weaknesses, and highlights the existing rigidities in the EU architecture that make the recovery prospects of the Greek economy challenging. Chapters from expert contributors highlight aspects of the performance of the Greek economy with focus on export performance, labour market conditions, political cycles and regional income disparities. The book then goes on to outline the banking system in Greece in the post-crisis era, and includes analysis that explains how the credit rating score affected Greece’s borrowing capacity prior to the start of the insolvency crisis. The final part analyses and compares alternative scenarios of fiscal consolidation, seeking to identify whether there are alternatives to fiscal austerity and the impact of each one of them. This section also clarifies various misconceptions about the significant determinants of international competitiveness. Despite the focus of the book, the lessons drawn from the chapters are not limited to Greece. This volume will be of interest to academics, practitioners and policy makers who wish to take a closer look at the Greek debt crisis and learn more about the challenges the Greek economy is currently facing.
Rating Politics
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Author : Zsófia Barta
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2023-04-03
Rating Politics written by Zsófia Barta and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-04-03 with Political Science categories.
How do countries' political and policy choices affect the credit ratings they receive? Sovereign ratings influence countries' cost of funding, and observers have long worried that rating agencies - these unelected, unappointed, unaccountable, for-profit organizations - can interfere with democratic sovereignty if they assign lower ratings to certain political and policy choices. The questions of whether, how, and why ratings react to policy and politics, however, remain unexplored. Rating Politics opens the black box of sovereign ratings to uncover the logic that drives rating responses to political and policy factors. Relying on statistical analysis of rating scores, interviews with sovereign rating analysts, and a close reading of the official communications of rating agencies about their decisions, Zsófia Barta and Alison Johnston show that ratings penalize center-left governments and many (though not all) policies associated with the center-left agenda. The motivation for such penalties is not rooted in assumptions about how those political and policy features affect growth and debt servicing capacity. Instead, ratings are lower in the presence of those features because they are expected to make a country more vulnerable to market panics whenever the economy is hit by unforeseen shocks, as they signal insufficient willingness and/or ability to engage in determined austerity for the sake of reassuring markets. Since market panics and the resulting "sudden stops" of funding lead to humiliating collapses of ratings, rating agencies attempt to insure themselves against "rating failures" by pre-emptively assigning lower ratings to countries with the "wrong" political and policy mix.
Rating Politics
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Author : Zsófia Barta
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2023-04-03
Rating Politics written by Zsófia Barta and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-04-03 with Political Science categories.
How do countries' political and policy choices affect the credit ratings they receive? Sovereign ratings influence countries' cost of funding, and observers have long worried that rating agencies - these unelected, unappointed, unaccountable, for-profit organizations - can interfere with democratic sovereignty if they assign lower ratings to certain political and policy choices. The questions of whether, how, and why ratings react to policy and politics, however, remain unexplored. Rating Politics opens the black box of sovereign ratings to uncover the logic that drives rating responses to political and policy factors. Relying on statistical analysis of rating scores, interviews with sovereign rating analysts, and a close reading of the official communications of rating agencies about their decisions, Zsófia Barta and Alison Johnston show that ratings penalize center-left governments and many (though not all) policies associated with the center-left agenda. The motivation for such penalties is not rooted in assumptions about how those political and policy features affect growth and debt servicing capacity. Instead, ratings are lower in the presence of those features because they are expected to make a country more vulnerable to market panics whenever the economy is hit by unforeseen shocks, as they signal insufficient willingness and/or ability to engage in determined austerity for the sake of reassuring markets. Since market panics and the resulting "sudden stops" of funding lead to humiliating collapses of ratings, rating agencies attempt to insure themselves against "rating failures" by pre-emptively assigning lower ratings to countries with the "wrong" political and policy mix.
Handbook Of Quantitative Finance And Risk Management
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Author : Cheng-Few Lee
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2010-06-14
Handbook Of Quantitative Finance And Risk Management written by Cheng-Few Lee and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-06-14 with Business & Economics categories.
Quantitative finance is a combination of economics, accounting, statistics, econometrics, mathematics, stochastic process, and computer science and technology. Increasingly, the tools of financial analysis are being applied to assess, monitor, and mitigate risk, especially in the context of globalization, market volatility, and economic crisis. This two-volume handbook, comprised of over 100 chapters, is the most comprehensive resource in the field to date, integrating the most current theory, methodology, policy, and practical applications. Showcasing contributions from an international array of experts, the Handbook of Quantitative Finance and Risk Management is unparalleled in the breadth and depth of its coverage. Volume 1 presents an overview of quantitative finance and risk management research, covering the essential theories, policies, and empirical methodologies used in the field. Chapters provide in-depth discussion of portfolio theory and investment analysis. Volume 2 covers options and option pricing theory and risk management. Volume 3 presents a wide variety of models and analytical tools. Throughout, the handbook offers illustrative case examples, worked equations, and extensive references; additional features include chapter abstracts, keywords, and author and subject indices. From "arbitrage" to "yield spreads," the Handbook of Quantitative Finance and Risk Management will serve as an essential resource for academics, educators, students, policymakers, and practitioners.
Country Risk Assessment
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Author : Michel Henry Bouchet
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2003-10-31
Country Risk Assessment written by Michel Henry Bouchet and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-10-31 with Business & Economics categories.
One of the few books on the subject, Country Risk Assessment combines the theoretical and practical tools for managing international country risk exposure. - Offers a comprehensive discussion of the specific mechanisms that apply to country risk assessment. - Discusses various techniques associated with global investment strategy. - Presents and analyses the various sources of country risk. - Provides an in depth coverage of information sources and country risk service providers. - Gives techniques for forecasting country financial crises. - Includes practical examples and case studies. - Provides a comprehensive review of all existing methods including the techniques on the cutting-edge Market Based Approaches such as KMV, CreditMetrics, CountryMetrics and CreditRisk+.
Political Instability And Economic Vulnerability
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Author : Mr.Christian B. Mulder
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1999-04-01
Political Instability And Economic Vulnerability written by Mr.Christian B. Mulder and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999-04-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper analyzes and tests the influence of political instability on economic vulnerability in the context of the 1994 and 1997 crises episodes. It constructs four political variables that aim at quantifying political instability. The paper finds that for countries with weak economic fundamentals and low reserves, political instability has a strong impact on economic vulnerability. The estimation results suggest that including political variables in economic models does improve their power to explain and predict economic crises. The paper concludes that countries are more economically vulnerable during and especially following election periods, and when election results are less stable than at other times.
Global Instability
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Author : John Grieve-Smith
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 1999-04-22
Global Instability written by John Grieve-Smith and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999-04-22 with Business & Economics categories.
First published in 1999. Routledge is an imprint of Taylor & Francis, an informa company.
Econom A Fall 2019
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Author : Marcela Eslava
language : en
Publisher: Brookings Institution Press
Release Date : 2019-12-31
Econom A Fall 2019 written by Marcela Eslava and has been published by Brookings Institution Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-12-31 with Business & Economics categories.
This semiannual journal from the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association (LACEA) provides a forum for influential economists and policymakers from the region to share high-quality research directly applied to policy issues within and among those countries. Contents: Long-Term Care in Latin America and the Caribbean: Theory and Policy Considerations Martín Caruso Bloeck, Sebastian Galiani, and Pablo Ibarrarán Pension Income Indexation: A Mean-Variance Approach Rodrigo lluberas The Impact of Police Presence on Drug-Trade-Related Violence Emiliano Tealde Productivity and Reallocation: Evidence from Ecuadorian Firm-Level Data Anson T. Y. Ho, Kim P. Huynh, and David T. Jacho-Chávez Can a Small Social Pension Promote Labor Force Participation? Evidence from the Colombia Mayor Program Tobias Pfutze and Carlos Rodríguez-Castelán Sovereign Credit Ratings in Latin America and the Caribbean: History and Impact on Bond Spreads Inés Bustillo, Daniel Perrotti, and Helvia Velloso