The Upside Of Uncertainty
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The Upside Of Uncertainty
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Author : Nathan Furr
language : en
Publisher: Harvard Business Press
Release Date : 2022-07-19
The Upside Of Uncertainty written by Nathan Furr and has been published by Harvard Business Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-07-19 with Business & Economics categories.
A science-backed guide for navigating and thriving through uncertainty—based on interviews and insights from world-renowned leaders, innovators, entrepreneurs, artists, and creatives. Whether you're searching for courage to start a new project, change careers, launch a business, develop an idea, or reinvent yourself after a disappointment or life change, you will face uncertainty—that ambiguous and uncomfortable state that often makes us feel confused, anxious, and afraid to act. Though these moments are difficult, they offer opportunities for personal growth, innovation, and creativity. In The Upside of Uncertainty, INSEAD professor Nathan Furr and entrepreneur Susannah Harmon Furr provide a sweeping guide to embracing uncertainty and transforming it into a force for good. Drawing from hundreds of interviews, along with pioneering research in psychology, innovation, and behavioral economics, Nathan and Susannah provide dozens of tools—including mental models, techniques, and reflections—for seeing the upside of uncertainty, developing a vision for what to do next, and opening ourselves up to new possibilities. In our fast-paced, ever-changing world, uncertainty is on the rise. We face it every day. But few of us have been taught the techniques to navigate it well. The Upside of Uncertainty provides the inspiration, tools, and strategies you need to thrive through the inevitable plot twists in your life and career.
Summary Of Nathan Furr S The Upside Of Uncertainty
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Author : Everest Media,
language : en
Publisher: Everest Media LLC
Release Date : 2022-08-14T23:00:00Z
Summary Of Nathan Furr S The Upside Of Uncertainty written by Everest Media, and has been published by Everest Media LLC this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-08-14T23:00:00Z with Business & Economics categories.
Please note: This is a companion version & not the original book. Sample Book Insights: #1 The upside of uncertainty is the origin of possibility. It’s simple: every person, process, and product has passed through countless uncertainties before arriving at the current known iteration. When we focus on the possibility from the outset, calmly recognizing that uncertainty will attend every possibility, we team up with the upside of uncertainty. #2 The Reframe tools are largely cognitive in nature, and they are about how you make sense of the world. They have a good deal of overlap with Sustain, the other tool kit on the north-south thinking axis of the first-aid cross. #3 We are wired to fear uncertainty, and we will even lie to keep what we have if we are faced with a loss. This explains why we prefer certain gains over other similar gains. #4 We can use the same framing effect to reframe uncertainty as a potential gain, instead of a loss, which will change how we respond to it. We must first consider ourselves as having enough courage to stand at the edge of opportunity.
Rethink Perfect
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Author : Desmond Sherlock
language : en
Publisher: Amibro
Release Date : 2012
Rethink Perfect written by Desmond Sherlock and has been published by Amibro this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012 with categories.
When all that we are using is "lets agree to disagree" or "if it's too hot in the kitchen..," it is time for a simple and proactive alternative for moderating our own disputes. Based on six rules of engagement, Rethink Perfect creates a COMMON & SANE space for us to share real thoughts, feelings & our latest concepts. Like the protocols and Black Box of an airplane, Rethink Perfect allows us to monitor our conversations before, during and after to reduce the frequency and magnitude of our inevitable disputes.
The Upside Of Down
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Author : Bruce Whitfield
language : en
Publisher: Pan Macmillan South africa
Release Date : 2021-01-18
The Upside Of Down written by Bruce Whitfield and has been published by Pan Macmillan South africa this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-01-18 with Business & Economics categories.
New edition with updated content In a world shaped by Covid-19 and characterised by fake news, manipulated feeds of information and divisive social-media agendas, it’s easy to believe that our time is the most challenging in human history. It’s just not true. It is a time of extraordinary opportunity. But only if you have the right mindset and attitude. Fear of the future breeds inaction and leads to strategic paralysis. Problem-solvers thrive in chaotic and uncertain times because they act to change their future. Winners recognise that in a world of growing uncertainty, you need to resort to actions on things you can control. A robust mindset is the one common characteristic Bruce Whitfield has identified in two decades of interrogating how South Africa’s billionaires and start-up mavericks think differently. They don’t ignore risk or hope that problems will go away. They constantly measure, manage, consider and weigh up opportunities in a tumultuous sea of uncertainty and find ways around obstacles. If, as Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller suggests, the stories we tell affect economic outcomes, then we need to tell different stories amidst the noise and haste of a rapidly evolving world.
The Upside Of Down
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Author : Bruce Whitfield
language : en
Publisher: Pan MacMillan
Release Date : 2021-02
The Upside Of Down written by Bruce Whitfield and has been published by Pan MacMillan this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-02 with categories.
New edition with updated content. In a world shaped by Covid-19 and characterised by fake news, manipulated feeds of information and divisive social-media agendas, it's easy to believe that our time is the most challenging in human history. It's just not true. It is a time of extraordinary opportunity. But only if you have the right mindset and attitude. Fear of the future breeds inaction and leads to strategic paralysis. Problem-solvers thrive in chaotic and uncertain times because they act to change their future. Winners recognise that in a world of growing uncertainty, you need to resort to actions on things you can control. A robust mindset is the one common characteristic Bruce Whitfield has identified in two decades of interrogating how South Africa's billionaires and start-up mavericks think differently. They don't ignore risk or hope that problems will go away. They constantly measure, manage, consider and weigh up opportunities in a tumultuous sea of uncertainty and find ways around obstacles. If, as Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller suggests, the stories we tell affect economic outcomes, then we need to tell different stories amidst the noise and haste of a rapidly evolving world.
The Upside Of Turbulence
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Author : Donald Sull
language : en
Publisher: Harper Collins
Release Date : 2009-10-06
The Upside Of Turbulence written by Donald Sull and has been published by Harper Collins this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-10-06 with Business & Economics categories.
The Upside of Turbulence is an enlightening look at the inherent paradox of how to strategize and plan in a turbulent business world where the only thing that doesn’t change is change itself. In this book, based on a decade of research, historical case studies, and intensive work with established enterprises and start-ups, Donald Sull, named an “up and coming thinker” by the Financial Times, lays out the fundamental logic of opportunity and provides a series of practical steps to translate insight into action.
Uncertainty
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Author : Jonathan Fields
language : en
Publisher: Penguin
Release Date : 2011-09-29
Uncertainty written by Jonathan Fields and has been published by Penguin this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-09-29 with Business & Economics categories.
Jonathan Fields knows the risks-and potential power-of uncertainty. He gave up a six-figure income as a lawyer to make $12 an hour as a personal trainer. Then, married with a 3-month old baby, he signed a lease to launch a yoga center in the heart of New York City. . . the day before 9/11. But he survived, and along the way he developed a fresh approach to transforming uncertainty, risk of loss, and exposure to judgment into catalysts for innovation, creation, and achievement. Properly understood and harnessed, fear and uncertainty can become fuel for creative genius rather than sources of pain, anxiety, and suffering. In business, art, and life, creating on a world-class level demands bold action and leaps of faith in the face of great uncertainty. But that uncertainty can lead to fear, anxiety, paralysis, and destruction. It can gut creativity and stifle innovation. It can keep you from taking the risks necessary to do great work and craft a deeply-rewarding life. And it can bring companies that rely on innovation grinding to a halt. That is, unless you know how to use it to your advantage. Fields draws on leading-edge technology, cognitive-science and ancient awareness-focusing techniques in a fresh, practical, non-dogmatic way. His approach enables creativity and productivity on an entirely different level and can turn the once-tortuous journey into a more enjoyable quest. Fields will reveal how to: Make changes to your workflow that unlock buried creative potential. Build "creation hives" -- supportive groups that can supercharge and humanize the process. Tap social technology and user co-creation to add clarity, certainty, and sanity, even if you're an artist or solo-creator. Develop a set of personal practices and mindset shifts that let you not just tolerate, but invite and even amplify, uncertainty as a catalyst for genius. Drawing on extensive case studies and research, Fields shares a set of detailed personal practices and environmental changes that can not only humanize the creative process, but also allow individuals and teams to stay more open to opportunity and play a bigger creative game.
Principles Of Uncertainty
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Author : Joseph B. Kadane
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2020-11-25
Principles Of Uncertainty written by Joseph B. Kadane and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-11-25 with Mathematics categories.
Praise for the first edition: Principles of Uncertainty is a profound and mesmerising book on the foundations and principles of subjectivist or behaviouristic Bayesian analysis. ... the book is a pleasure to read. And highly recommended for teaching as it can be used at many different levels. ... A must-read for sure!—Christian Robert, CHANCE It's a lovely book, one that I hope will be widely adopted as a course textbook. —Michael Jordan, University of California, Berkeley, USA Like the prize-winning first edition, Principles of Uncertainty, Second Edition is an accessible, comprehensive text on the theory of Bayesian Statistics written in an appealing, inviting style, and packed with interesting examples. It presents an introduction to the subjective Bayesian approach which has played a pivotal role in game theory, economics, and the recent boom in Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. This new edition has been updated throughout and features new material on Nonparametric Bayesian Methods, the Dirichlet distribution, a simple proof of the central limit theorem, and new problems. Key Features: First edition won the 2011 DeGroot Prize Well-written introduction to theory of Bayesian statistics Each of the introductory chapters begins by introducing one new concept or assumption Uses "just-in-time mathematics"—the introduction to mathematical ideas just before they are applied
Certain Uncertainty
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Author : Des Dearlove
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2023-05-02
Certain Uncertainty written by Des Dearlove and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-05-02 with Business & Economics categories.
Improve your ability to adapt to an increasingly unpredictable world In Certain Uncertainty, renowned management theorist Des Dearlove delivers an exciting and illuminating discussion of how to build resilience and agility into our lives and businesses. As rapid and foundational change becomes ever more constant, a state of constant disruption increasingly becomes our new normal. This book collects advice and fresh thinking from accomplished business leaders to help managers and executives navigate contemporary markets. In the book, you’ll find: Ways to structure your business to better respond to constant fluidity and change Discussions of why the concepts of economic and social certainty were always largely illusory Strategies for embracing forward-looking humility that acknowledges uncertainty about what lies around the next corner An engaging and insightful exploration of a dynamic and ambiguous world that’s increasingly full of surprises, Certain Uncertainty will earn a place on the bookshelves of business leaders, entrepreneurs, and visionaries seeking ways to adapt to a world in which sameness and certainty are relics of the past.
The Era Of Uncertainty
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Author : Francois Trahan
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2011-07-13
The Era Of Uncertainty written by Francois Trahan and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-07-13 with Business & Economics categories.
Macroeconomic Investment Strategies for an Era of Economic Uncertainty “Over the years, François’ insightful analyses of the business cycle has led to market calls that have both benefitted investors on the upside and (more important to many) protected them from losses on the downside. François’ incredible track record in successfully interpreting the trends that can be found in leading indicators and other macroeconomic data have also led to his well deserved reputation as an expert in sector rotation - providing investors on both the long and short side of the market opportunities to profit from his ideas. In my opinion, his most important and influential macro prediction to date was his call in the middle of the last decade when he predicted that the worst housing crisis in American history would soon be upon us, and that it would have far-ranging implications for both the global economy and world financial markets.”