Theory And Methods For Supporting High Level Military Decisionmaking
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Theory And Methods For Supporting High Level Military Decisionmaking
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Author : Paul K. Davis
language : en
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Release Date : 2007
Theory And Methods For Supporting High Level Military Decisionmaking written by Paul K. Davis and has been published by Rand Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Business & Economics categories.
This report describes an approach to high-level decision support for a Joint Forces Air Component Commander in combat operations or a Chief of Staff in defense planning. Its central theme is the fundamental importance of dealing effectively with uncertainty, whether in effects-based operations, building the Air Force's Commander's Predictive Environment, or planning future forces with the methods of capabilities-based planning. Because many features of the future cannot be predicted with reasonable confidence, it is better to proceed with the expectation of surprise developments and to have skill in recognizing adaptations and making them than it is to treat uncertainty merely as an annoyance. This report sketches the framework of a high-level decision-support environment that is top-down, expresses concepts in simple and intuitive language, deals explicitly with risk and uncertainty, and provides the capability for decisionmakers to readily discover and question the bases for key assumptions and assessments. It can accommodate both "rational-analytic" and "naturalistic" decisionmakers, allowing them to produce strategies that are flexible, adaptive, and robust (FAR). Two explicit methods and their related tools are described. The first involves portfolio-style thinking and analysis, a good mechanism for balancing risks and other considerations in choosing a course of action. The second is a novel modification of foresight exercises that addresses the need to include humans effectively in dealing with uncertainty. A more extensive discussion of available methods and enabling technologies is also presented, along with some recommendations about investment priorities.
Analysis Analysis Practices And Implications For Modeling And Simulation
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Author : Paul K. Davis
language : en
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Release Date : 2007
Analysis Analysis Practices And Implications For Modeling And Simulation written by Paul K. Davis and has been published by Rand Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Technology & Engineering categories.
An examination of analysis and analysis practices for defense planning, the paper1s purpose is to delineate priorities for the way ahead, i.e., for investments and other actions to ensure that future models and simulations will serve the needs of decisionmakers. The analysis in question is accomplished for Quadrennial Reviews and for continuing work on capability assessments, requirements analysis, and program analysis.
Proceedings Of The 19th International Conference On Cyber Warfare And Security
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Author : UKDr. Stephanie J. Blackmonand Dr. Saltuk Karahan
language : en
Publisher: Academic Conferences and publishing limited
Release Date : 2025-04-20
Proceedings Of The 19th International Conference On Cyber Warfare And Security written by UKDr. Stephanie J. Blackmonand Dr. Saltuk Karahan and has been published by Academic Conferences and publishing limited this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-04-20 with Business & Economics categories.
The International Conference on Cyber Warfare and Security (ICCWS) is a prominent academic conference that has been held annually for 20 years, bringing together researchers, practitioners, and scholars from around the globe to discuss and advance the field of cyber warfare and security. The conference proceedings are published each year, contributing to the body of knowledge in this rapidly evolving domain. The Proceedings of the 19th International Conference on Cyber Warfare and Security, 2024 includes Academic research papers, PhD research papers, Master’s Research papers and work-in-progress papers which have been presented and discussed at the conference. The proceedings are of an academic level appropriate to a professional research audience including graduates, post-graduates, doctoral and and post-doctoral researchers. All papers have been double-blind peer reviewed by members of the Review Committee.
Philosophy East West
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Author : Oren Ergas
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2016-01-26
Philosophy East West written by Oren Ergas and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-01-26 with Philosophy categories.
Philosophy East/West showcases new scholarship in the philosophy of education and contemplative studies, paying particular attention to the intersection of mindfulness, evidence-based science, and wisdom traditions. Moves beyond simplistic explanations of “Eastern” and “Western” to explore the complexity and diversity of various wisdom traditions Investigates the effect of mindfulness-based curricular interventions on current educational theory and practice Uses insights from important Western philosophers—including Heidegger, Levinas, and Foucault—to situate contemplative practice within contemporary educational theory Emphasizes the importance of transcultural and intercultural approaches in the philosophy of education
Portfolio Analysis Methods For Assessing Capability Options
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Author : Paul K. Davis
language : en
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Release Date : 2008
Portfolio Analysis Methods For Assessing Capability Options written by Paul K. Davis and has been published by Rand Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with History categories.
The research reported in this monograph is part of RAND's continuing work on practical theory and methods for capabilities-based planning in the Department of Defense (DoD) and other organizations. Its particular contribution is to describe and illustrate in some detail an analytic framework and methodology for defensewide capability-area reviews including DoD's experimental Concept Decision Reviews and related evaluations of alternatives (Krieg, 2007). The monograph also describes newly developed enabling tools -- one for generating and screening preliminary options and one for evaluating in a portfolio-analysis structure those options that pass screening. Variants of the methods can be applied for analysis across capability areas or for strategic-level defense planning, i.e., force planning to establish the overall mix and balance of capabilities. Finally, the monograph illustrates concepts with applications to the capability areas of Global Strike and Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD).
Informed By Knowledge
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Author : Kathleen L. Mosier
language : en
Publisher: Psychology Press
Release Date : 2011-01-07
Informed By Knowledge written by Kathleen L. Mosier and has been published by Psychology Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-01-07 with Psychology categories.
The focus of this book is on how experts adapt to complexity, synthesize and interpret information in context, and transform or "fuse" disparate items of information into coherent knowledge. The chapters examine these processes across experts (e.g. global leaders, individuals in extreme environments, managers, police officers, pilots, commanders, doctors, inventors), across contexts (e.g. space and space analogs, corporate organizations, command and control, crisis and crowd management, air traffic control, the operating room, product development), and for both individual and team performance. Successful information integration is a key factor in the success of diverse endeavors, including team attempts to climb Mt. Everest, crowd control in the Middle East, and remote drilling operations. This volume is divided into four sections, each with a specific focus on an area of expert performance, resulting in a text that covers a wide range of useful information. These sections present well-researched discussions, such as: the management of complex situations in various fields and decision contexts; technological and training approaches to facilitate knowledge management by individual experts and expert teams; new or neglected perspectives in expert decision making; and the importance of ‘modeling’ expert performance through techniques and frameworks such as Cognitive Task Analysis, computational architectures based on the notion of causal belief mapping such as ‘Convince Me,’ or the data/frame model of sensemaking. The volume provides essential reading for researchers and practitioners of Naturalistic Decision Making and those who study Expertise; Organizational and Cognitive Psychologists; and researchers and students in Business and Engineering.
Analytics Operations And Strategic Decision Making In The Public Sector
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Author : Evans, Gerald William
language : en
Publisher: IGI Global
Release Date : 2019-02-15
Analytics Operations And Strategic Decision Making In The Public Sector written by Evans, Gerald William and has been published by IGI Global this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-02-15 with Political Science categories.
Analytics for the public sector involves the application of operations research and statistical techniques to solve various problems existing outside of the private sector. The use of analytics for the public sector results in more efficient and effective services for the clients and users of these systems. Analytics, Operations, and Strategic Decision Making in the Public Sector is an essential reference source that discusses analytics applications in various public sector organizations, and addresses the difficulties associated with the design and operation of these systems including multiple conflicting objectives, uncertainties and resulting risk, ill-structured nature, combinatorial design aspects, and scale. Featuring research on topics such as analytical modeling techniques, data mining, and statistical analysis, this book is ideally designed for academicians, educators, researchers, students, and public sector professionals including those in local, state, and federal governments; criminal justice systems; healthcare; energy and natural resources; waste management; emergency response; and the military.
Scientific Support For The Decision Making In The Security Sector
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Author : O. Kounchev
language : en
Publisher: IOS Press
Release Date : 2007-07-19
Scientific Support For The Decision Making In The Security Sector written by O. Kounchev and has been published by IOS Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-07-19 with Business & Economics categories.
Today’s security environment is characterized by deep uncertainty. Threats are being posed not only by adversary (political) forces but may also come from natural challenges (be it energy, water, ecology or whatever). The types of operations that our civil security and military forces find themselves in today comprise a wide variety of tasks. The success criteria for these operations are a safe/secure environment for local population and stable conditions for state building rather than hit-kill ratio’s against adversaries – the criteria are soft and the many actors involved may have divergent if not opposing objectives. And where actors intentionally share common objectives, they come from different cultural and organizational backgrounds, and their systems and modus operandi (doctrine) have loose or no connectivity. Under these complex and uncertain conditions decision making is a challenging process. This publication reflect the initial state of a dialogue between specialists in security and specialists in mathematics, computer and information sciences on security topics. Papers included in this volume are naturally subdivided into four parts showing the wide future perspective for synthesis between science and security: Planning for Security; Mathematical, Computer and Information Sciences Methods for Security; Environmental Security; and Dynamic Optimization for Security.
Enabling Technologies For Simulation Science X
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Author : Dawn A. Trevisani
language : en
Publisher: SPIE-International Society for Optical Engineering
Release Date : 2006
Enabling Technologies For Simulation Science X written by Dawn A. Trevisani and has been published by SPIE-International Society for Optical Engineering this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with Computers categories.
Proceedings of SPIE present the original research papers presented at SPIE conferences and other high-quality conferences in the broad-ranging fields of optics and photonics. These books provide prompt access to the latest innovations in research and technology in their respective fields. Proceedings of SPIE are among the most cited references in patent literature.
History Of Operations Research In The United States Army V 3 1973 1995
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Author :
language : en
Publisher: Government Printing Office
Release Date :
History Of Operations Research In The United States Army V 3 1973 1995 written by and has been published by Government Printing Office this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with Military art and science categories.