Threat And Risk Analysis In The Context Of Strategic Forecasting


Threat And Risk Analysis In The Context Of Strategic Forecasting
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Threat And Risk Analysis In The Context Of Strategic Forecasting


Threat And Risk Analysis In The Context Of Strategic Forecasting
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Author : Michael Hough
language : en
Publisher: Institute for Strategic Studies University of Pretoria
Release Date : 2008

Threat And Risk Analysis In The Context Of Strategic Forecasting written by Michael Hough and has been published by Institute for Strategic Studies University of Pretoria this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Technology & Engineering categories.


This publication presents a concise introduction to threat and risk analysis, the use and construction of scenarios, the role of intelligence and early warning, and political forecasting and state decay--Publisher's description.



Strategic Planning And Forecasting


Strategic Planning And Forecasting
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Author : William Ascher
language : en
Publisher: Wiley-Interscience
Release Date : 1983-09-23

Strategic Planning And Forecasting written by William Ascher and has been published by Wiley-Interscience this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1983-09-23 with Business & Economics categories.


The first systematic treatment of political forecasting and risk assessment as critical elements in the strategic planning process. Evaluates alternative methods of political forecasting based on case studies and general performance appraisals. Offers practical--at times controversial--insights on organizing the forecasting effort, selecting appropriate methods, integrating non-political socio-economic projections, and presenting results. Emphasizes the importance of detailed analysis of political context and organizational structure.



Forecasting Warning And Responding To Transnational Risks


Forecasting Warning And Responding To Transnational Risks
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Author : Chiara de Franco
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2011-07-26

Forecasting Warning And Responding To Transnational Risks written by Chiara de Franco and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-07-26 with Political Science categories.


Assembling a high profile group of scholars and practitioners, this book investigates the interplay of forecasting; warnings about, and responses to, known and unknown transnational risks. It challenges conventional accounts of 'failures' of warning and preventive policy in both the academic literature and public debate.



Comparative Capitalism And The Transitional Periphery


Comparative Capitalism And The Transitional Periphery
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Author : Mehmet Demirbag
language : en
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Release Date : 2018-10-26

Comparative Capitalism And The Transitional Periphery written by Mehmet Demirbag and has been published by Edward Elgar Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-10-26 with Business & Economics categories.


An original and insightful book, this work focuses on domestic and overseas firms operating in those Central Asian and Eastern European countries considered to be the transitional economic periphery. Chapters shed light on their distinct forms of capitalism, and how it influences and adapts the firms located there. The eminent authors show how, in a post-state socialist world, there are several implications for both domestic and overseas firms functioning successfully in the transitional periphery. With the complex mix of political and market mediation and informal personal ties, chapters explore the delicate balance of liberalisation in transitional economies. Detailed examples from specific countries in Eurasia and Central Asia such as Belarus, Turkey, Azerbaijan, Mongolia, Uzbekistan, Armenia and Georgia are discussed alongside broader thematic issues of economic and social change, labour relations and human resource management. Most importantly, it is shown that liberalisation has little connection to short-term business growth. To succeed in such contexts, international firms need to be both pragmatic and creative, in coping with malleable yet durable forms of institutional mediation. Providing a unique perspective on the transitional economic periphery and much-needed insights from international business, this book is essential reading for researchers and graduate students studying transitional economies, non-traditional business models, institutional persistence and change, political and economic development and management in economically transitioning countries.



The Southern African Development Community In Zimbabwe


The Southern African Development Community In Zimbabwe
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Author : Rich Mashimbye
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge Scholars Publishing
Release Date : 2024-02-13

The Southern African Development Community In Zimbabwe written by Rich Mashimbye and has been published by Cambridge Scholars Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-02-13 with Political Science categories.


This book narrates the unravelling of Zimbabwe, a country that was once considered an inspiration on the continent of Africa in terms of socioeconomic development. Recognising that many factors contributed to the collapse of the nation, and that this collapse was a process that occurred over a long period, it looks at historical events and processes like the colonisation of the country and dispossession of the indigenous people, and the misrule, politically-motivated violence and economic mismanagement that followed under Robert Mugabe, as the pivotal moments that precipitated the subsequent fall of Zimbabwe. The book also examines the role that the regional intergovernmental organisation, the Southern African Development Community (SADC), played in trying to help Zimbabwe overcome its security, political and economic challenges.



International Handbook On Risk Analysis And Management


International Handbook On Risk Analysis And Management
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Author : Beat Habegger
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2008

International Handbook On Risk Analysis And Management written by Beat Habegger and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with International relations categories.




Threats In Context


Threats In Context
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Author : Jean Perois
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2022-12-21

Threats In Context written by Jean Perois and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-12-21 with Political Science categories.


Threats in Context: Identify, Analyze, Anticipate begins with the premise that a risk assessment is relevant primarily—and hinges upon—the correct evaluation of the threat. According to the author, all the other stages of the risk evaluation are, in fact, dependent on getting the understanding and measurement of the threat right. Despite this truism, many risk assessment methods (i.e., the process of determining the threat) tend to rush through a vague typology, offer minimal classifications, utilize an often-outdated list of potential malevolent actions—all of which are based on precedent occurrences. There should be a way to improve on this: a way to provide security practitioners and analysts better tools to deal with the task of analyzing threats and risk and to prepare for such contingencies appropriately. The book begins with a retrospective on the threats from the 1960s through to the present. The list is long and includes hijackings and airport attacks, piracy, drug smuggling, attacks on trains, pipelines, city-wide multi-site attacks, road attacks, workplace shootings, lone wolf attacks, drone attacks, bombings, IEDs, sniper attacks, random stabbings, and more. Terrorism, workplace violence, and active shooter scenarios all present asymmetric problems and unique challenges that require new ways of thinking, operationally, of risk to properly prevent, mitigate, and respond to such threats. The author demonstrates how to develop an appropriate methodology to define both current and emerging threats, providing a five-step process to self-evaluate—to determine an organization’s, a location’s, or a facility’s threats and to plan risk mitigation strategies to accurately identify, minimize, and neutralize such threats. Coverage progressively builds from correctly identifying the root threats—both global and local—to a subsequent understanding of the corollary relationship between threat, vulnerability, and risk, with the threat serving as the fundamental cornerstone of the risk evaluation. As such, Threats in Context will serve as a pivotal resource to security professionals from all backgrounds serving in a variety of fields and industries.



Modeling Risk


Modeling Risk
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Author : Johnathan Mun
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2010-06-15

Modeling Risk written by Johnathan Mun and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-06-15 with Business & Economics categories.


An updated guide to risk analysis and modeling Although risk was once seen as something that was both unpredictable and uncontrollable, the evolution of risk analysis tools and theories has changed the way we look at this important business element. In the Second Edition of Analyzing and Modeling Risk, expert Dr. Johnathan Mun provides up-to-date coverage of risk analysis as it is applied within the realms of business risk analysis and offers an intuitive feel of what risk looks like, as well as the different ways of quantifying it. This Second Edition provides professionals in all industries a more comprehensive guide on such key concepts as risk and return, the fundamentals of model building, Monte Carlo simulation, forecasting, time-series and regression analysis, optimization, real options, and more. Includes new examples, questions, and exercises as well as updates using Excel 2007 Book supported by author's proprietary risk analysis software found on the companion CD-ROM Offers both a qualitative and quantitative description of risk Filled with in-depth insights and practical advice, this reliable resource covers all of the essential tools and techniques that risk managers need to successfully conduct risk analysis. Note: CD-ROM/DVD and other supplementary materials are not included as part of eBook file.



Powering The Digital Economy Opportunities And Risks Of Artificial Intelligence In Finance


Powering The Digital Economy Opportunities And Risks Of Artificial Intelligence In Finance
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Author : El Bachir Boukherouaa
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-10-22

Powering The Digital Economy Opportunities And Risks Of Artificial Intelligence In Finance written by El Bachir Boukherouaa and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-10-22 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper discusses the impact of the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in the financial sector. It highlights the benefits these technologies bring in terms of financial deepening and efficiency, while raising concerns about its potential in widening the digital divide between advanced and developing economies. The paper advances the discussion on the impact of this technology by distilling and categorizing the unique risks that it could pose to the integrity and stability of the financial system, policy challenges, and potential regulatory approaches. The evolving nature of this technology and its application in finance means that the full extent of its strengths and weaknesses is yet to be fully understood. Given the risk of unexpected pitfalls, countries will need to strengthen prudential oversight.



National Infrastructure Protection Plan


National Infrastructure Protection Plan
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Author : United States. Department of Homeland Security
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006

National Infrastructure Protection Plan written by United States. Department of Homeland Security and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with Civil defense categories.