Trade Shocks And Labor Adjustment
DOWNLOAD
Download Trade Shocks And Labor Adjustment PDF/ePub or read online books in Mobi eBooks. Click Download or Read Online button to get Trade Shocks And Labor Adjustment book now. This website allows unlimited access to, at the time of writing, more than 1.5 million titles, including hundreds of thousands of titles in various foreign languages. If the content not found or just blank you must refresh this page
Trade Shocks And Labor Adjustment
DOWNLOAD
Author : Erhan Artuc
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2007
Trade Shocks And Labor Adjustment written by Erhan Artuc and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Commercial policy categories.
The welfare effects of trade shocks depend crucially on the nature and magnitude of the costs workers face in moving between sectors. The existing trade literature does not directly address this, assuming perfect mobility or complete immobility, or adopting reduced-form approaches to estimation. We present a model of dynamic labor adjustment that does, and which is, moreover, consistent with a key empirical fact: that intersectoral gross flows greatly exceed net flows. Using an Euler-type equilibrium condition, we estimate the mean and the variance of workers' switching costs from the U.S. March Current Population Surveys. We estimate high values of both parameters, implying both slow adjustment of the economy, and sharp movements in wages, in response to a trade shock. Simulations of a trade liberalization indicate that despite the high estimated adjustment cost, in terms of lifetime welfare, the liberalization is Pareto-improving. The explanation for this surprising finding -- which would be missed by a reduced-form approach -- is that the high variance to costs ensures high rates of gross flow; this helps spread the liberalization's benefits around.
Trade Shocks And Labor Adjustment
DOWNLOAD
Author : Stephen V. Cameron
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2007
Trade Shocks And Labor Adjustment written by Stephen V. Cameron and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Commercial policy categories.
"We construct a dynamic, stochastic rational expectations model of labor reallocation within a trade model that is designed so that its key parameters can be estimated for trade policy analysis. A key feature is the presence of time-varying idiosyncratic moving costs faced by workers. As a consequence of these shocks: (i) Gross flows exceed net flows (an important feature of empirical labor movements); (ii) the economy features gradual and anticipatory adjustment to aggregate shocks; (iii) wage differentials across locations or industries can persist in the steady state; and (iv) the normative implications of policy can be very different from a model without idiosyncratic shocks, even when the aggregate behaviour of both models is similar. It is shown that the equilibrium solves a particular planner's problem, thus facilitating analytical results, econometric estimation, and simulation of the model for policy analysis"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.
Sticky Feet
DOWNLOAD
Author : Claire H. Hollweg
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 2014-06-26
Sticky Feet written by Claire H. Hollweg and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-06-26 with Business & Economics categories.
The analysis in this report confirms the findings of previous studies that trade liberalization improves aggregate welfare and is in the long run associated with higher employment and wages. The analysis addresses a major gap in the literature, which has heretofore provided limited evidence about the trade-related adjustment costs faced by workers in developing countries and how they are affected by mobility costs. Labor market frictions reduce the potential gains from trade reform. For a tariff reduction in a given sector, the resulting change in relative prices raises real wages in some sectors and reduces them in the liberalized sector. The emerging wage gaps lead to labor reallocation. But workers typically incur costs to change jobs; the higher the mobility costs, the slower the transition to the new labor market steady state. Workers’ sticky feet result in foregone welfare gains from trade. This report presents an estimation strategy for capturing mobility costs when only net flows of workers between industries are observed, generating cross-country estimates for 47 developed and developing countries. The basic analytical approach is then refined to take advantage of micro-level data on worker transitions and wages when gross flows can be observed to derive mobility cost estimates that account for sector and formality status. These cost estimates are used to model the dynamic paths of labor reallocation between sectors and in and out of the labor force, the associated wage paths, and the resulting labor adjustment costs. The main findings of the report are that: labor mobility costs in developing countries are high; foregone trade gains due to frictions in labor mobility can also be substantial; workers bear the brunt of adjustment costs; mobility costs and labor market adjustments to trade-related shocks vary by industry, firm type, and worker type; entry costs are significantly higher for formal than for informal employment; trade reforms increase economy-wide wages and employment; and workers displaced by plant closings are likely to face relatively long adjustment periods. The findings provide insights that could be helpful to policymakers hoping to mitigate negative short-term consequences of trade liberalization and facilitate labor adjustment.
Patterns Of Labor Market Adjustment To Trade Shocks With Imperfect Capital Mobility
DOWNLOAD
Author : Erhan Artuc
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date :
Patterns Of Labor Market Adjustment To Trade Shocks With Imperfect Capital Mobility written by Erhan Artuc and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with categories.
This paper explores how different investment frictions affect the patterns of responses of labor markets to tariff cuts. To investigate these patterns, this paper formulates a multi-sector dynamic model featuring capital and labor adjustment costs that is fitted to Argentine data. Counterfactual simulations of a tariff decline in the textile sector are used to show that capital adjustment can create long-run responses of real wages that are larger than the short-run responses. This happens as textile firms disinvest during the transition. This paper also shows that the reduction of tariffs on capital inputs boosts investment and real wages across sectors. This paper assesses the nature of capital adjustment costs, including fixed, convex, and irreversibility costs in determining these patterns of labor market responses to trade reforms.
The China Shock
DOWNLOAD
Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2016
The China Shock written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with categories.
Terms Of Trade Shocks Labor Market Adjustment And Safeguard Measures
DOWNLOAD
Author : James D. Gaisford
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2001
Terms Of Trade Shocks Labor Market Adjustment And Safeguard Measures written by James D. Gaisford and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001 with categories.
This paper explores a simple model of labor market adjustment where inter-sectoral transfer in response to terms of trade shocks involves both sector-specific skill acquisition and workplace disruption. Externalities arise because the marginal migrant does not consider the congestion costs imposed on intra-marginal migrants or the disruption costs imposed on the incumbent workers in both sectors. While these externalities give rise to a case for temporary adjustment assistance, the analysis does not support the use of trade measures such as tariffs.
Globalization Trade Imbalances And Labor Market Adjustment
DOWNLOAD
Author : Rafael Dix-Carneiro
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2021
Globalization Trade Imbalances And Labor Market Adjustment written by Rafael Dix-Carneiro and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021 with categories.
We study the role of global trade imbalances in shaping the adjustment dynamics in response to trade shocks. We build and estimate a general equilibrium, multi-country, multi-sector model of trade with two key ingredients: (a) Consumption-saving decisions in each country commanded by representative households, leading to endogenous trade imbalances; (b) labor market frictions across and within sectors, leading to unemployment dynamics and sluggish transitions to shocks. We use the estimated model to study the behavior of labor markets in response to globalization shocks, including shocks to technology, trade costs, and inter-temporal preferences (savings gluts). We find that modeling trade imbalances changes both qualitatively and quantitatively the short- and long-run implications of globalization shocks for labor reallocation and unemployment dynamics. In a series of empirical applications, we study the labor market effects of shocks accrued to the global economy, their implications for the gains from trade, and we revisit the "China Shock" through the lens of our model. We show that the US enjoys a 2.2% gain in response to globalization shocks. These gains would have been 73% larger in the absence of the global savings glut, but they would have been 40% smaller in a balanced-trade world.
Trade Shocks And Factor Adjustment Frictions
DOWNLOAD
Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013
Trade Shocks And Factor Adjustment Frictions written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with categories.
Essays In Labor Economics And International Trade
DOWNLOAD
Author : Moises Yi
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2016
Essays In Labor Economics And International Trade written by Moises Yi and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with categories.
This dissertation employs tools from Labor Economics and International Trade to study how workers and labor markets adjust to economic shocks arising from trade liberalization and technological change. It contributes to the existing literature by studying several economic mechanisms that determine the magnitudes of these adjustments. The first chapter of this dissertation analyzes the roles that skill transferability and the local industry mix have on the adjustment costs of workers affected by negative trade shocks. Using rich administrative data from Germany, we construct novel measures of economic distance between sectors based on the notion of skill transferability. We combine these distance measures with sectoral employment shares in German regions to construct an index of labor market flexibility. This index captures the degree to which workers from a particular industry will be able to reallocate into other jobs. We then study the role of labor market flexibility on the effect of import shocks on the earnings and the employment outcomes of German manufacturing workers. Among workers living in inflexible labor markets, the difference between a worker at the 75th percentile of industry import exposure and one at the 25th percentile of exposure amounts to an earnings loss of roughly 11% of initial annual income (over a 10 year period). The earning losses of workers living in flexible regions are negligible. These findings are robust to controlling for a wide array of region level characteristics, including region size and overall employment growth. Our findings indicate that the industry composition of local labor markets plays an important role on the adjustment processes of workers. In the second chapter, we develop and apply a framework to quantify the effect of trade on aggregate welfare as well as the distribution of this aggregate effect across different groups of workers. The framework combines a multi-sector gravity model of trade with a Roy-type model of the allocation of workers across sectors. By opening to trade, a country gains in the aggregate by specializing according to its comparative advantage, but the distribution of these gains is unequal as labor demand increases (decreases) for groups of workers specialized in export-oriented (import-oriented) sectors. The model generalizes the specific-factors intuition to a setting with labor reallocation, while maintaining analytical tractability for any number of groups and countries. Our new notion of "inequality-adjusted" welfare effect of trade captures the full cross-group distribution of welfare changes in one measure, as the counterfactual scenario is evaluated by a risk-averse agent behind the veil of ignorance regarding the group to which she belongs. The quantitative application uses trade and labor allocation data across regions in Germany to compute the aggregate and distributional effects of a shock to trade costs or foreign technology levels. For the extreme case in which the country moves back to autarky we find that inequality-adjusted gains from trade are larger than the aggregate gains for both countries, as between-group inequality falls with trade relative to autarky, but the opposite happens for the shock in which China expands in the world economy. In the third chapter, we use detailed production data from a large Latin American garment manufacturer to study the process of technology adoption and resulting productivity changes within a firm. We find that the adoption of modern manufacturing techniques increases productivity through two channels, a direct effect and a spillover effect across adjacent production units. By exploiting the gradual introduction of new manufacturing techniques across independent production units, we estimate a direct effect on productivity of roughly 30%. We also estimate large spillovers to neighboring untreated units which amount to a 25% increase in productivity. Both of these effects accumulate slowly over time. The timing and the magnitudes of the estimated spillover effects corroborate qualitative evidence consistent with knowledge diffusion, learning and imitation.
Trade Adjustment
DOWNLOAD
Author : David H. Autor
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013
Trade Adjustment written by David H. Autor and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with China categories.
In the past two decades, China's manufacturing exports have grown spectacularly, U.S. imports from China have surged, but U.S. exports to China have increased only modestly. Using representative, longitudinal data on individual earnings by employer, we analyze the effect of exposure to import competition on earnings and employment of U.S. workers over 1992 through 2007. Individuals who in 1991 worked in manufacturing industries that experienced high subsequent import growth garner lower cumulative earnings and are at elevated risk of exiting the labor force and obtaining public disability benefits. They spend less time working for their initial employers, less time in their initial two-digit manufacturing industries, and more time working elsewhere in manufacturing and outside of manufacturing. Earnings losses are larger for individuals with low initial wages, low initial tenure, low attachment to the labor force, and those employed at large firms with low wage levels. Import competition also induces substantial job churning among high-wage workers, but they are better able than low-wage workers to move across employers with minimal earnings losses, and are less likely to leave their initial firm during a mass layoff. These findings, which are robust to a large set of worker, firm and industry controls, and various alternative measures of trade exposure, reveal that there are significant worker-level adjustment costs to import shocks, and that adjustment is highly uneven across workers according to their conditions of employment in the pre-shock period. Keywords: Trade Flows, Labor Demand, Earnings, Job Mobility, Social Security Programs. JEL Classification: F16, H55, J23, J31, J63.
