Uncertain Values
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Uncertain Values
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Author : Stefan Riedener
language : en
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG
Release Date : 2021-10-25
Uncertain Values written by Stefan Riedener and has been published by Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-10-25 with Philosophy categories.
How ought you to evaluate your options if you're uncertain about what's fundamentally valuable? A prominent response is Expected Value Maximisation (EVM)—the view that under axiological uncertainty, an option is better than another if and only if it has the greater expected value across axiologies. But the expected value of an option depends on quantitative probability and value facts, and in particular on value comparisons across axiologies. We need to explain what it is for such facts to hold. Also, EVM is by no means self-evident. We need an argument to defend that it’s true. This book introduces an axiomatic approach to answer these worries. It provides an explication of what EVM means by use of representation theorems: intertheoretic comparisons can be understood in terms of facts about which options are better than which, and mutatis mutandis for intratheoretic comparisons and axiological probabilities. And it provides a systematic argument to the effect that EVM is true: the theory can be vindicated through simple axioms. The result is a formally cogent and philosophically compelling extension of standard decision theory, and original take on the problem of axiological or normative uncertainty.
Risk Analysis Of Complex And Uncertain Systems
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Author : Louis Anthony Cox Jr.
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2009-06-12
Risk Analysis Of Complex And Uncertain Systems written by Louis Anthony Cox Jr. and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-06-12 with Business & Economics categories.
In Risk Analysis of Complex and Uncertain Systems acknowledged risk authority Tony Cox shows all risk practitioners how Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) can be used to improve risk management decisions and policies. It develops and illustrates QRA methods for complex and uncertain biological, engineering, and social systems – systems that have behaviors that are just too complex to be modeled accurately in detail with high confidence – and shows how they can be applied to applications including assessing and managing risks from chemical carcinogens, antibiotic resistance, mad cow disease, terrorist attacks, and accidental or deliberate failures in telecommunications network infrastructure. This book was written for a broad range of practitioners, including decision risk analysts, operations researchers and management scientists, quantitative policy analysts, economists, health and safety risk assessors, engineers, and modelers.
Scalable Uncertainty Management
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Author : Sergio Greco
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2008-09-19
Scalable Uncertainty Management written by Sergio Greco and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-09-19 with Computers categories.
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the Second International Conference on Scalable Uncertainty Management, SUM 2008, held in Naples, Italy, in Oktober 2008. The 27 revised full papers presented together with the extended abstracts of 3 invited talks/tutorials were carefully reviewed and selected from 42 submissions. The papers address artificial intelligence researchers, database researchers, and practitioners to demonstrate theoretical techniques required to manage the uncertainty that arises in large scale real world applications and to cope with large volumes of uncertainty and inconsistency in databases, the Web, the semantic Web, and artificial intelligence in general.
The Uncertainty Analysis Of Model Results
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Author : Eduard Hofer
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-05-02
The Uncertainty Analysis Of Model Results written by Eduard Hofer and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-05-02 with Mathematics categories.
This book is a practical guide to the uncertainty analysis of computer model applications. Used in many areas, such as engineering, ecology and economics, computer models are subject to various uncertainties at the level of model formulations, parameter values and input data. Naturally, it would be advantageous to know the combined effect of these uncertainties on the model results as well as whether the state of knowledge should be improved in order to reduce the uncertainty of the results most effectively. The book supports decision-makers, model developers and users in their argumentation for an uncertainty analysis and assists them in the interpretation of the analysis results.
Scalable Uncertainty Management
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Author : Andrea Pugliese
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2009-09-07
Scalable Uncertainty Management written by Andrea Pugliese and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-09-07 with Computers categories.
This volume contains the papers presented at the Third International Conference on Scalable Uncertainty Management, SUM 2009, in Washington, DC, September 28-30, 2009. It contains 21 technical papers which were selected out of 30 submitted papers in a rigourous reviewing process. The volume also contains extended abstracts of two invited talks. The volume reflects the growing interest in uncertainty and incosistency and aims at bringing together all those interested in the management of uncertainty and inconsistency at large.
Uncertainties In Greenhouse Gas Inventories
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Author : Jean P. Ometto
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2015-04-23
Uncertainties In Greenhouse Gas Inventories written by Jean P. Ometto and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-04-23 with Science categories.
This book is based on the 2014 Special Issue 124(3) of Climatic Change. It brings together 16 key papers presented at, or produced, subsequent to the 2010 (3rd) International Workshop on Uncertainty in Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Inventories. The Workshop was jointly organized by the Lviv Polytechnic National University, Ukraine; the Systems Research Institute of the Polish Academy of Sciences; and the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria. This book has been written to enhance understanding of the uncertainty encountered in estimating greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and in dealing with the challenges resulting from those estimates. Such challenges include, but are not limited to i) monitoring emissions; ii) adhering to emission commitments; iii) securing the proper functioning of emission trading markets; and iv) meeting low-carbon or low-GHG futures in the long term. The approaches to addressing uncertainty discussed by all authors attempt to improve national inventories, not only for their own sake but also from a wider, systems analytical perspective that seeks to strengthen their usefulness under a compliance and/or global monitoring and reporting framework. These approaches show the challenges and benefits of including inventory uncertainty in policy analysis and where advances are being made.
Uncertainty Treatment Using Paraconsistent Logic
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Author : João Inácio da Silva Filho
language : en
Publisher: IOS Press
Release Date : 2010
Uncertainty Treatment Using Paraconsistent Logic written by João Inácio da Silva Filho and has been published by IOS Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with Computers categories.
This book aggregates much of this research, from 1999 up to the present. Organized to facilitate an understanding of the theory and the development of the applied methods, Uncertainty Treatment Using Praconsistent Logic presents the material in a sequential fashion and is divided into three parts.
Information Processing And Management Of Uncertainty
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Author : Anne Laurent
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2014-07-17
Information Processing And Management Of Uncertainty written by Anne Laurent and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-07-17 with Computers categories.
These three volumes (CCIS 442, 443, 444) constitute the proceedings of the 15th International Conference on Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems, IPMU 2014, held in Montpellier, France, July 15-19, 2014. The 180 revised full papers presented together with five invited talks were carefully reviewed and selected from numerous submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on uncertainty and imprecision on the web of data; decision support and uncertainty management in agri-environment; fuzzy implications; clustering; fuzzy measures and integrals; non-classical logics; data analysis; real-world applications; aggregation; probabilistic networks; recommendation systems and social networks; fuzzy systems; fuzzy logic in boolean framework; management of uncertainty in social networks; from different to same, from imitation to analogy; soft computing and sensory analysis; database systems; fuzzy set theory; measurement and sensory information; aggregation; formal methods for vagueness and uncertainty in a many-valued realm; graduality; preferences; uncertainty management in machine learning; philosophy and history of soft computing; soft computing and sensory analysis; similarity analysis; fuzzy logic, formal concept analysis and rough set; intelligent databases and information systems; theory of evidence; aggregation functions; big data - the role of fuzzy methods; imprecise probabilities: from foundations to applications; multinomial logistic regression on Markov chains for crop rotation modelling; intelligent measurement and control for nonlinear systems.
Uncertainty And Optimization In Structural Mechanics
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Author : Abdelkhalak El Hami
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2013-03-11
Uncertainty And Optimization In Structural Mechanics written by Abdelkhalak El Hami and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-03-11 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Optimization is generally a reduction operation of a definite quantity. This process naturally takes place in our environment and through our activities. For example, many natural systems evolve, in order to minimize their potential energy. Modeling these phenomena then largely relies on our capacity to artificially reproduce these processes. In parallel, optimization problems have quickly emerged from human activities, notably from economic concerns. This book includes the most recent ideas coming from research and industry in the field of optimization, reliability and the recognition of accompanying uncertainties. It is made up of eight chapters which look at the reviewing of uncertainty tools, system reliability, optimal design of structures and their optimization (of sizing, form, topology and multi-objectives) – along with their robustness and issues on optimal safety factors. Optimization reliability coupling will also be tackled in order to take into account the uncertainties in the modeling and resolution of the problems encountered. The book is aimed at students, lecturers, engineers, PhD students and researchers. Contents 1. Uncertainty. 2. Reliability in Mechanical Systems. 3. Optimal Structural Design. 4. Multi-object Optimization with Uncertainty. 5. Robust Optimization. 6. Reliability Optimization. 7. Optimal Security Factors Approach. 8. Reliability-based Topology Optimization. About the Authors Abdelkhalak El Hami is Professor at the Institut National des Sciences Appliquées, Rouen, France. He is the author of many articles and books on optimization and uncertainty. Bouchaib Radi is Professor in the Faculty of Sciences and Technology at the University of Hassan Premier, Settat, Morocco. His research interests are in such areas as structural optimization, parallel computation, contact problem and metal forming. He is the author of many scientific articles and books.
Uncertainty Modelling In Knowledge Engineering And Decision Making Proceedings Of The 12th International Flins Conference Flins 2016
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Author : Xianyi Zeng
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2016-07-14
Uncertainty Modelling In Knowledge Engineering And Decision Making Proceedings Of The 12th International Flins Conference Flins 2016 written by Xianyi Zeng and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-07-14 with Computers categories.
FLINS, originally an acronym for Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Technologies in Nuclear Science, is now extended to include Computational Intelligence for applied research. The contributions to the 12th of FLINS conference cover state-of-the-art research, development, and technology for computational intelligence systems, both from the foundations and the applications points-of-view.