Uncertainties And Limitations In Simulating Tropical Cyclones
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Uncertainties And Limitations In Simulating Tropical Cyclones
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Author : Asuka Suzuki-Parker
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-01-05
Uncertainties And Limitations In Simulating Tropical Cyclones written by Asuka Suzuki-Parker and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-01-05 with Science categories.
The thesis work was in two major parts: development and testing of a new approach to detecting and tracking tropical cyclones in climate models; and application of an extreme value statistical approach to enable assessment of changes in weather extremes from climate models. The tracking algorithm applied a creative phase-space approach to differentiate between modeled tropical cyclones and their mid-latitude cousins. A feature here was the careful attention to sensitivity to choice of selection parameters, which is considerable. The major finding was that the changes over time were relatively insensitive to these details. This new approach will improve and add confidence to future assessments of climate impacts on hurricanes. The extremes approach utilized the Generalized Pareto Distribution (one of the standard approaches to statistics of extremes) applied to present and future hurricane distributions as modeled by a regional climate model, then applied the changes to current observations to extract the changes in the extremes. Since climate models cannot resolve these extremes directly, this provides an excellent method of determining weather extremes in general. This is of considerable societal importance as we are most vulnerable to such extremes and knowledge of their changes enables improved planning and adaptation strategies.
Simulations Of Tropical Cyclone In Regional Climate Models
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Author : Sun Yuan
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2018-01-30
Simulations Of Tropical Cyclone In Regional Climate Models written by Sun Yuan and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-01-30 with Science categories.
This book studies the pitfalls of regional climate models in simulating track and intensity of tropical cyclone over western North Pacific for the East Asian summer monsoon climate. A number of sensitivity experiments related to tropical cyclone simulation with different model configurations and model physical schemes, including model resolution, model lateral boundary condition, effect of sea surface temperature, cumulus parameterization scheme and model microphysics scheme, as well as the features and the failure of tropical cyclone simulation in regional climate models were carefully analyzed with model output with high temporal resolution, to investigate shortcomings of the models, so as to come up with better models to simulate and study tropical cyclone track and intensity. The book is suitable for graduate students in meteorology with focuses in the tropical cyclone simulation, as well as professionals devoted to model development and study of tropical cyclone activities. Contents: Effects of Tropical Cyclones on Regional Climate Modeling Over East Asia in SummerLateral Boundary Buffer Zone and Its Effect on Tropical Cyclone TrackImpact of Cumulus Parameterization Scheme on the Tropical Cyclone TrackFeedback of Tropical Cyclone Activities on the Western Pacific Subtropical HighMechanism of Tropical Cyclone Track Sensitive to Planetary Boundary Layer SchemeSensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Track to Storm SizeModel Convergence in Simulations of Tropical Cyclone at Grey-Zone ResolutionsMechanism of Cumulus Parameterization Scheme on Model ConvergenceEffects of Inner and Outer Sea Surface Temperature on Tropical Cyclone Intensity Effects of Relative and Absolute SST on Tropical Cyclone Intensity Readership: Graduate students and researchers in the field of climatogy/meteorology and climate change. Keywords: Tropical Cyclone;Simulation;Regional Climate Model;East Asian Summer MonsoonReview: Key Features: The tropical cyclone topics in regional climate modeling has caused more and more attentionNo monograph on the tropical cyclone in regional climate model has ever been publishedThe book focuses on the mechanism of regional climate model's failure in simulating tropical cyclone, which has never been proposed
Tropical Cyclones
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Author : Richard Anthes
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2016-06-29
Tropical Cyclones written by Richard Anthes and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-06-29 with Science categories.
Tropical Cyclones and hurricanes, long feared for the death and destruction that often accompanies them, are among the most fascinating of atmospheric phenomena. Created by thermodynamic processes, they unleash vast amounts of energy and influence a wide variety of natural processes along their paths. Richard Anthes tells the story of tropical cyclones creation and destruction, of meteorology's successes in understanding, modeling and predicting their behavior, and of the attempts to modify them. The book begins with a lively introduction to hurricanes, their awesome power, and their effects on individuals and societies in the past and present. The characteristics of the mature hurricane are revealed by consideration of rawinsonde, aircraft and satellite data. The physical processes responsible for the development and maintenance of tropical cyclones are treated comprehensively, and illustrated with both qualitative and quantitative examples. The role of the planetary boundary layer, cumulus convection and radiation are all discussed in detail. Progress in numerical simulation of tropical cyclones is carefully reviewed. Modern, three-dimensional models succeed in simulating observed features such as the eye and spiral rain bands and in predicting storm motion over time intervals of three days. Current capabilities to predict and modify hurricanes and tropical cyclones are fully examined. The methods and difficulties of operational forecasting, the economic aspects of storm predictions, and the trends in accuracy of offical forecasts are all considered. The potential benefits and scientific problems associated with hurricane modification are discussed as part of a review of experimental and theoretical results on the consquences of seeding hurricane clouds. A unique feature of the book is a thorough treatment of the interactions between storm and ocean, with both observations and thery being integrated to provide a complete description.
Global Perspectives On Tropical Cyclones
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date :
Global Perspectives On Tropical Cyclones written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with categories.
Monitoring And Prediction Of Tropical Cyclones In The Indian Ocean And Climate Change
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Author : U.C. Mohanty
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-10-12
Monitoring And Prediction Of Tropical Cyclones In The Indian Ocean And Climate Change written by U.C. Mohanty and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-10-12 with Science categories.
This book deals with recent advances in our understanding and prediction of tropical cyclogenesis, intensification and movement as well as landfall processes like heavy rainfall, gale wind and storm surge based on the latest observational and numerical weather prediction (NWP) modeling platforms. It also includes tropical cyclone (TC) management issues like early warning systems, recent high impact TC events, disaster preparedness, assessment of risk and vulnerability including construction, archiving and retrieval of the best tracking and historical data sets, policy decision etc., in view of recent findings on climate change aspects and their impact on TC activity. The chapters are authored by leading experts, both from research and operational environments. This book is relevant to cyclone forecasters and researchers, managers, policy makers, graduate and undergraduate students. It intends to stimulate thinking and hence further research in the field of TCs and climate change, especially over the Indian Ocean region and provides high-quality reference materials for all the users mentioned above for the management of TCs over this region.
Numerical Simulation Of Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge
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Author : R. J. Sobey
language : en
Publisher: James Cook University of North Queensland
Release Date : 1977
Numerical Simulation Of Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge written by R. J. Sobey and has been published by James Cook University of North Queensland this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1977 with Cyclones categories.
Global Perspectives On Tropical Cyclones
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Author : Johnny C. L. Chan
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2010
Global Perspectives On Tropical Cyclones written by Johnny C. L. Chan and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with Science categories.
Pt. I. Theory of tropical cyclones. ch. 1. Tropical cyclone structure and dynamics / Jeffrey D. Kepert. ch. 2. Tropical cyclone formation / Kevin J. Tory and William M. Frank. ch. 3. Air-sea interactions in tropical cyclones / Lynn K. Shay. ch. 4. Movement of tropical cyclones / Johnny C.L. Chan. ch. 5. The extratropical transition of tropical cyclones : structural characteristics, downstream impacts, and forecast challenges / Patrick A. Harr -- pt. II. Observations of tropical cyclones. ch. 6. Observing and analyzing the near-surface wind field in tropical cyclones / Mark D. Powell. ch. 7. Satellite observations of tropical cyclones / Christopher Velden and Jeffrey Hawkins. ch. 8. Aircraft observations of tropical cyclones / Sim D. Aberson [und weitere] -- pt. III. Climate variations of tropical cyclone activity. ch. 9. Tropical cyclones and climate change : a review / Thomas Knutson, Chris Landsea and Kerry Emanuel -- pt. IV. Forecasting of tropical cyclones. ch. 10. Track and structure forecasts of tropical cyclones / Julian Heming and Jim Goerss. ch. 11. The influence of natural climate variability on tropical cyclones, and seasonal forecasts of tropical cyclone activity / Suzana J. Camargo [und weitere] -- pt. V. Hydrological aspects of tropical cyclones. ch. 12. Storm surge modeling and applications in coastal areas / Shishir K. Dube [und weitere] -- pt. VI. Societal impacts of tropical cyclones. ch. 13. Disaster mitigation and societal impacts / David King, Jim Davidson and Linda Anderson-Berry
Current Topics In Tropical Cyclone Research
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Author : Anthony Lupo
language : en
Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand
Release Date : 2020-11-04
Current Topics In Tropical Cyclone Research written by Anthony Lupo and has been published by BoD – Books on Demand this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-11-04 with Science categories.
This book highlights some of the most recent research in the climatological behavior of tropical cyclones as well as the dynamics, predictability, and character of these storms as derived using remote sensing techniques. Also included in this book is a review of the interaction between tropical cyclones and coastal ocean dynamics in the Northwest Pacific and an evaluation of the performance of CMIP6 models in replicating the current climate using accumulated cyclone energy. The latter demonstrates how the climate may change in the future. This book can be a useful resource for those studying the character of these storms, especially those with the goal of anticipating their future occurrence in both the short and climatological range and their associated hazards.
The Effect Of Initial Data Uncertainties On The Performance Of Statistical Tropical Cyclone Prediction Models
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Author : Charles J. Neumann
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1975
The Effect Of Initial Data Uncertainties On The Performance Of Statistical Tropical Cyclone Prediction Models written by Charles J. Neumann and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1975 with Cyclone forecasting categories.
Hurricanes And Climate Change
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Author : Jennifer M. Collins
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-02-20
Hurricanes And Climate Change written by Jennifer M. Collins and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-02-20 with Science categories.
This book provides research that shows tropical cyclones are more powerful than in the past with the most dramatic increases occurring over the North Atlantic and with the strongest hurricanes. Although such increases are correlated with warming oceans and are consistent with the thermodynamic theory of hurricane intensity, there remains doubt about the interpretation, integrity, and meaning of these results. Arising from the 5th International Summit on Hurricanes and Climate Change, this book contains new research on topics related to hurricanes and climate change. Bringing together international leading academics and researchers on various sides of the debate, the book discusses new research and expresses opinions about what is happening and what might happen in the future with regard to regional and global hurricane (tropical cyclone) activity.