Uncertainty Quantification And Predictive Computational Science
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Uncertainty Quantification And Predictive Computational Science
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Author : Ryan G. McClarren
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-11-23
Uncertainty Quantification And Predictive Computational Science written by Ryan G. McClarren and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-11-23 with Science categories.
This textbook teaches the essential background and skills for understanding and quantifying uncertainties in a computational simulation, and for predicting the behavior of a system under those uncertainties. It addresses a critical knowledge gap in the widespread adoption of simulation in high-consequence decision-making throughout the engineering and physical sciences. Constructing sophisticated techniques for prediction from basic building blocks, the book first reviews the fundamentals that underpin later topics of the book including probability, sampling, and Bayesian statistics. Part II focuses on applying Local Sensitivity Analysis to apportion uncertainty in the model outputs to sources of uncertainty in its inputs. Part III demonstrates techniques for quantifying the impact of parametric uncertainties on a problem, specifically how input uncertainties affect outputs. The final section covers techniques for applying uncertainty quantification to make predictions under uncertainty, including treatment of epistemic uncertainties. It presents the theory and practice of predicting the behavior of a system based on the aggregation of data from simulation, theory, and experiment. The text focuses on simulations based on the solution of systems of partial differential equations and includes in-depth coverage of Monte Carlo methods, basic design of computer experiments, as well as regularized statistical techniques. Code references, in python, appear throughout the text and online as executable code, enabling readers to perform the analysis under discussion. Worked examples from realistic, model problems help readers understand the mechanics of applying the methods. Each chapter ends with several assignable problems. Uncertainty Quantification and Predictive Computational Science fills the growing need for a classroom text for senior undergraduate and early-career graduate students in the engineering and physical sciences and supports independent study by researchers and professionals who must include uncertainty quantification and predictive science in the simulations they develop and/or perform.
Uncertainty Quantification
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Author : Ralph C. Smith
language : en
Publisher: SIAM
Release Date : 2013-12-02
Uncertainty Quantification written by Ralph C. Smith and has been published by SIAM this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-12-02 with Computers categories.
The field of uncertainty quantification is evolving rapidly because of increasing emphasis on models that require quantified uncertainties for large-scale applications, novel algorithm development, and new computational architectures that facilitate implementation of these algorithms. Uncertainty Quantification: Theory, Implementation, and Applications provides readers with the basic concepts, theory, and algorithms necessary to quantify input and response uncertainties for simulation models arising in a broad range of disciplines. The book begins with a detailed discussion of applications where uncertainty quantification is critical for both scientific understanding and policy. It then covers concepts from probability and statistics, parameter selection techniques, frequentist and Bayesian model calibration, propagation of uncertainties, quantification of model discrepancy, surrogate model construction, and local and global sensitivity analysis. The author maintains a complementary web page where readers can find data used in the exercises and other supplementary material.
Uncertainty Quantification
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Author : Christian Soize
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-04-24
Uncertainty Quantification written by Christian Soize and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-04-24 with Computers categories.
This book presents the fundamental notions and advanced mathematical tools in the stochastic modeling of uncertainties and their quantification for large-scale computational models in sciences and engineering. In particular, it focuses in parametric uncertainties, and non-parametric uncertainties with applications from the structural dynamics and vibroacoustics of complex mechanical systems, from micromechanics and multiscale mechanics of heterogeneous materials. Resulting from a course developed by the author, the book begins with a description of the fundamental mathematical tools of probability and statistics that are directly useful for uncertainty quantification. It proceeds with a well carried out description of some basic and advanced methods for constructing stochastic models of uncertainties, paying particular attention to the problem of calibrating and identifying a stochastic model of uncertainty when experimental data is available. This book is intended to be a graduate-level textbook for students as well as professionals interested in the theory, computation, and applications of risk and prediction in science and engineering fields.
Introduction To Uncertainty Quantification
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Author : T.J. Sullivan
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2015-12-14
Introduction To Uncertainty Quantification written by T.J. Sullivan and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-12-14 with Mathematics categories.
This text provides a framework in which the main objectives of the field of uncertainty quantification (UQ) are defined and an overview of the range of mathematical methods by which they can be achieved. Complete with exercises throughout, the book will equip readers with both theoretical understanding and practical experience of the key mathematical and algorithmic tools underlying the treatment of uncertainty in modern applied mathematics. Students and readers alike are encouraged to apply the mathematical methods discussed in this book to their own favorite problems to understand their strengths and weaknesses, also making the text suitable for a self-study. Uncertainty quantification is a topic of increasing practical importance at the intersection of applied mathematics, statistics, computation and numerous application areas in science and engineering. This text is designed as an introduction to UQ for senior undergraduate and graduate students with a mathematical or statistical background and also for researchers from the mathematical sciences or from applications areas who are interested in the field. T. J. Sullivan was Warwick Zeeman Lecturer at the Mathematics Institute of the University of Warwick, United Kingdom, from 2012 to 2015. Since 2015, he is Junior Professor of Applied Mathematics at the Free University of Berlin, Germany, with specialism in Uncertainty and Risk Quantification.
Uncertainty Quantification In Scientific Computing
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Author : Andrew Dienstfrey
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2012-08-11
Uncertainty Quantification In Scientific Computing written by Andrew Dienstfrey and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-08-11 with Computers categories.
This book constitutes the refereed post-proceedings of the 10th IFIP WG 2.5 Working Conference on Uncertainty Quantification in Scientific Computing, WoCoUQ 2011, held in Boulder, CO, USA, in August 2011. The 24 revised papers were carefully reviewed and selected from numerous submissions. They are organized in the following topical sections: UQ need: risk, policy, and decision making, UQ theory, UQ tools, UQ practice, and hot topics. The papers are followed by the records of the discussions between the participants and the speaker.
Uncertainty Quantification In Computational Fluid Dynamics
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Author : Hester Bijl
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-09-20
Uncertainty Quantification In Computational Fluid Dynamics written by Hester Bijl and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-09-20 with Mathematics categories.
Fluid flows are characterized by uncertain inputs such as random initial data, material and flux coefficients, and boundary conditions. The current volume addresses the pertinent issue of efficiently computing the flow uncertainty, given this initial randomness. It collects seven original review articles that cover improved versions of the Monte Carlo method (the so-called multi-level Monte Carlo method (MLMC)), moment-based stochastic Galerkin methods and modified versions of the stochastic collocation methods that use adaptive stencil selection of the ENO-WENO type in both physical and stochastic space. The methods are also complemented by concrete applications such as flows around aerofoils and rockets, problems of aeroelasticity (fluid-structure interactions), and shallow water flows for propagating water waves. The wealth of numerical examples provide evidence on the suitability of each proposed method as well as comparisons of different approaches.
Computational Uncertainty Quantification For Inverse Problems
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Author : Johnathan M. Bardsley
language : en
Publisher: SIAM
Release Date : 2018-08-01
Computational Uncertainty Quantification For Inverse Problems written by Johnathan M. Bardsley and has been published by SIAM this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-08-01 with Science categories.
This book is an introduction to both computational inverse problems and uncertainty quantification (UQ) for inverse problems. The book also presents more advanced material on Bayesian methods and UQ, including Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling methods for UQ in inverse problems. Each chapter contains MATLAB? code that implements the algorithms and generates the figures, as well as a large number of exercises accessible to both graduate students and researchers. Computational Uncertainty Quantification for Inverse Problems is intended for graduate students, researchers, and applied scientists. It is appropriate for courses on computational inverse problems, Bayesian methods for inverse problems, and UQ methods for inverse problems.
Uncertainty Quantification In Computational Science
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Author : Sunetra Sarkar
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Company
Release Date : 2016-07-31
Uncertainty Quantification In Computational Science written by Sunetra Sarkar and has been published by World Scientific Publishing Company this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-07-31 with Technology & Engineering categories.
During the last decade, research in Uncertainty Quantification (UC) has received a tremendous boost, in fluid engineering and coupled structural-fluids systems. New algorithms and adaptive variants have also emerged. This timely compendium overviews in detail the current state of the art of the field, including advances in structural engineering, along with the recent focus on fluids and coupled systems. Such a strong compilation of these vibrant research areas will certainly be an inspirational reference material for the scientific community.
Assessing The Reliability Of Complex Models
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Author : National Research Council
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 2012-07-26
Assessing The Reliability Of Complex Models written by National Research Council and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-07-26 with Mathematics categories.
Advances in computing hardware and algorithms have dramatically improved the ability to simulate complex processes computationally. Today's simulation capabilities offer the prospect of addressing questions that in the past could be addressed only by resource-intensive experimentation, if at all. Assessing the Reliability of Complex Models recognizes the ubiquity of uncertainty in computational estimates of reality and the necessity for its quantification. As computational science and engineering have matured, the process of quantifying or bounding uncertainties in a computational estimate of a physical quality of interest has evolved into a small set of interdependent tasks: verification, validation, and uncertainty of quantification (VVUQ). In recognition of the increasing importance of computational simulation and the increasing need to assess uncertainties in computational results, the National Research Council was asked to study the mathematical foundations of VVUQ and to recommend steps that will ultimately lead to improved processes. Assessing the Reliability of Complex Models discusses changes in education of professionals and dissemination of information that should enhance the ability of future VVUQ practitioners to improve and properly apply VVUQ methodologies to difficult problems, enhance the ability of VVUQ customers to understand VVUQ results and use them to make informed decisions, and enhance the ability of all VVUQ stakeholders to communicate with each other. This report is an essential resource for all decision and policy makers in the field, students, stakeholders, UQ experts, and VVUQ educators and practitioners.
Quantification Of Uncertainty Improving Efficiency And Technology
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Author : Marta D'Elia
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-07-30
Quantification Of Uncertainty Improving Efficiency And Technology written by Marta D'Elia and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-07-30 with Mathematics categories.
This book explores four guiding themes – reduced order modelling, high dimensional problems, efficient algorithms, and applications – by reviewing recent algorithmic and mathematical advances and the development of new research directions for uncertainty quantification in the context of partial differential equations with random inputs. Highlighting the most promising approaches for (near-) future improvements in the way uncertainty quantification problems in the partial differential equation setting are solved, and gathering contributions by leading international experts, the book’s content will impact the scientific, engineering, financial, economic, environmental, social, and commercial sectors.