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Unconventional Monetary Policy In A Small Open Economy


Unconventional Monetary Policy In A Small Open Economy
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Unconventional Monetary Policy In A Small Open Economy


Unconventional Monetary Policy In A Small Open Economy
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Author : Margaux MacDonald
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-12-01

Unconventional Monetary Policy In A Small Open Economy written by Margaux MacDonald and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-12-01 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper investigates the effects of unconventional monetary policy in a small open economy. Using recently proposed shadow interest rates to capture unconventional monetary policy at the zero lower bound (ZLB) we estimate a Bayesian structural vector autoregressive model for Canada - a useful case where foreign shocks can be proxied by U.S. variables alone. We find that, during the ZLB period, Canadian unconventional monetary policy increased output (measured by industrial production) by 0.013 percent per month on average while US unconventional monetary policy raised Canadian output by 0.127 percent per month on average. Our results demonstrate the effectiveness of domestic unconventional monetary policy and the strong positive spillover effects that foreign unconventional monetary policies can have in a small open economy.



Quantitative Easing And Long Term Yields In Small Open Economies


Quantitative Easing And Long Term Yields In Small Open Economies
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Author : Antonio Diez de los Rios
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-09-29

Quantitative Easing And Long Term Yields In Small Open Economies written by Antonio Diez de los Rios and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-09-29 with Business & Economics categories.


We compare the effectiveness of Federal Reserve's asset purchase programs in lowering longterm yields with that of similar programs implemented by the Bank of England, the Swedish Riksbank, and the Swiss National Bank's reserve expansion program. We decompose government bond yields into (i) an expectations component, (ii) a global, and (iii) a country specific term premium to analyze two-day changes in 10-year yields around announcement dates. We find that, in contrast to the Federal Reserve's asset purchases, the programs implemented in these smaller economies have not been able to affect the global term premium and, furthermore, they have had limited, but significant, effect in lowering long-term yields.



Fac Simile Des Textes Sogdien Et Chinois


Fac Simile Des Textes Sogdien Et Chinois
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1920

Fac Simile Des Textes Sogdien Et Chinois written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1920 with categories.




Macroeconomic Shocks And Unconventional Monetary Policy


Macroeconomic Shocks And Unconventional Monetary Policy
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Author : Naoyuki Yoshino
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
Release Date : 2019

Macroeconomic Shocks And Unconventional Monetary Policy written by Naoyuki Yoshino and has been published by Oxford University Press, USA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019 with Business & Economics categories.


Barely two decades after the Asian financial crisis Asia was suddenly confronted with multiple challenges originating outside the region: the 2008 global financial crisis, the European debt crisis, and finally developed economies' implementation of unconventional monetary policies. The implementation of quantitative easing, ultra-low interest rate policies, and negative interest rate policies by a number of large central banks has given rise to concerns over financial stability and international capital flows. Macroeconomic Shocks and Unconventional Monetary Policy: Impacts on Emerging Markets explains how shocks stemming from the global financial crisis have affected macroeconomic and financial stability in emerging Asia. Macroeconomic Shocks and Unconventional Monetary Policy: Impacts on Emerging Markets brings together the most up-to-date knowledge impacts of recent macroeconomic shocks on Asia's real economy; the spillover effects of macroeconomic shocks on financial markets and flows in Asia; and key challenges for monetary, exchange rate, trade and macro prudential policies of developing Asian economies. It is authored by experts in the field of international macroeconomics from leading academic institutions, central banks, and international organizations including the International Monetary Fund, the Bank for International Settlement, and the Asian Development Bank Institute.



Unconventional Monetary Policy In An Open Economy


Unconventional Monetary Policy In An Open Economy
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Author : Jana Gieck Bricco
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2016

Unconventional Monetary Policy In An Open Economy written by Jana Gieck Bricco and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with categories.


The impact of unconventional monetary policies on exchange rates and its spillovers to other economies is not yet fully understood. In this paper I develop a two-country DSGE model with interbank markets and endogenous default probabilities to analyze the cross-border impacts of unconventional monetary policy. I examine the impact of two unconventional measures commonly used: central bank liquidity injections and asset swaps. I find that liquidity injections lead to a short run appreciation of domestic currency, but a mild long run depreciation. In contrast, asset swaps cause a short run depreciation of domestic currency, but a long run appreciation. Lastly, when both countries coordinate on the implementation of unconventional policies, the model yields the following results: Non-coordinated liquidity injections lead to higher increases with respect to output and inflation variation, but have negative spillovers on the other economy in terms of lower growth. By contrast, coordinating asset swaps leads to higher increases in output and lower fluctuation in inflation in both countries. The results of this paper suggest that coordination in unconventional monetary policy may not always yield an optimal outcome, and macroeconomic outcomes in both countries depend crucially on the choice of instrument.



Should Unconventional Monetary Policies Become Conventional


Should Unconventional Monetary Policies Become Conventional
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Author : Mr.Dominic Quint
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-03-31

Should Unconventional Monetary Policies Become Conventional written by Mr.Dominic Quint and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-03-31 with Business & Economics categories.


The large recession that followed the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-09 triggered unprecedented monetary policy easing around the world. Most central banks in advanced economies deployed new instruments to affect credit conditions and to provide liquidity at a large scale after shortterm policy rates reached their effective lower bound. In this paper, we study if this new set of tools, commonly labeled as unconventional monetary policies (UMP), should still be used when economic conditions and interest rates normalize. In particular, we study the optimality of asset purchase programs by using an estimated non-linear DSGE model with a banking sector and long-term private and public debt for the United States. We find that the benefits of using such UMP in normal times are substantial, equivalent to 1.45 percent of consumption. However, the benefits from using UMP are shock-dependent and mostly arise when the economy is hit by financial shocks. When more traditional business cycle shocks (such as supply and demand shocks) hit the economy, the benefits of using UMP are negligible or zero.



Secular Stagnation


Secular Stagnation
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Author : Larry Summers
language : en
Publisher: Viking
Release Date : 2019-12

Secular Stagnation written by Larry Summers and has been published by Viking this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-12 with categories.


The biggest economic debate of our time centres around one fundamental question: is the decreased growth in today's world economy a short-term glitch -- or is it part of a permanent spiral? Without an answer, we have no hope of steering our international economies back towards the growth they need. After the global financial crisis, Larry Summers, Harvard professor and former director of the White House National Economic Council, reintroduced into economic debate the concept of 'secular stagnation', arguing persuasively that we're stuck in a trap of persistent low growth and depressed employment. The causes are various, from new technologies that have shifted the economy to zero-cost designed goods, to interest rates that can't go lower than zero. Without bold government intervention, there's no way out. And there's no time to lose.



Monetary Policy In A Small Open Economy With Credit Goods Production


Monetary Policy In A Small Open Economy With Credit Goods Production
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Author : Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1998-10-01

Monetary Policy In A Small Open Economy With Credit Goods Production written by Mr.Jorge A. Chan-Lau and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-10-01 with Business & Economics categories.


The paper analyzes the effects of monetary policy in a dynamic model of a small open economy with cash and credit goods production, where government consumption is financed by seignorage. It shows that the interrelationships between the growth rate of the monetary aggregate and the technological properties of the economy have an important bearing on the existence and uniqueness of equilibrium, the optimal inflation rate, and the occurrence of explosive hyperinflations. In consequence, the paper concludes that monetary policy does matter in the long run.



International Spillovers Of Forward Guidance Shocks


International Spillovers Of Forward Guidance Shocks
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Author : Callum Jones
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2018-05-15

International Spillovers Of Forward Guidance Shocks written by Callum Jones and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-05-15 with Business & Economics categories.


After 2007, countries that cut their policy interest rates close to zero turned, among other policies, to forward guidance. We estimate a two-country model of the U.S. and Canada to quantify how unexpected changes in U.S. forward guidance affected Canada. Expansionary U.S. forward guidance shocks, like conventional policy shocks, are beggar-thy-neighbor and depress Canadian output, but by twice as much as conventional shocks. We find that the effect of U.S. forward guidance shocks on Canadian output, unlike conventional policy shocks, depends on the state of U.S. demand and can be five times smaller when U.S. demand is weak.



Three Essays On Unconventional Monetary Policy At The Zero Lower Bound


Three Essays On Unconventional Monetary Policy At The Zero Lower Bound
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Author : Yang Zhang
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013

Three Essays On Unconventional Monetary Policy At The Zero Lower Bound written by Yang Zhang and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with Monetary policy categories.


In the first chapter zImpact of Quantitative Easing at the Zero Lower Bound (with J. Dorich, R. Mendes)y, we introduce imperfect asset substitution and segmented asset markets, along the lines of Andres et al. (2004), in an otherwise standard small open-economy model with nominal rigidities. We estimate the model using Canadian data. We use the model to provide a quantitative assessment of the macroeconomic impact of quantitative easing (QE) when the policy rate is at its effective lower bound. In the second chapter zImpact of Forward Guidance at the Zero Lower Boundy, I consider alternative monetary policy rules under commitment in a calibrated three-equation New Keynesian model and examine the extent to which forward guidance helps to mitigate the negative real impact of the zero lower bound. The simulation results suggest that the conditional statement policy prolongs the zero lower bound duration for an additional 4 quarters and reverses half of the decline in inflation associated with the lower bound. It even generates a period of overshooting in inflation three quarters after the initial negative demand shock. Alternatively, the effect of price-level targeting as a forward guidance policy at the zero lower bound is slightly different. In the third chapter zImpact of Quantitative Easing on Household Deleveragingy, I extend the DSGE model in the first chapter with some financial frictions to explore the effects of QE on asset prices and household balance sheet. There are two effects of QE on aggregate output originated from the model. First, QE leads to a decline in term premium, which increases current consumption relative to future consumption. Second, it leads to a lower loan to collateral value ratio and a decline in external finance premium. Favorable financing condition encourages further accumulation of household debt at cheaper rates, in turn, leads to an immediate higher household debt to income ratio. In the consideration of the future withdrawal of any stimulus provided from QE, this would pose greater challenges as it implies much intensive household deleveraging process. I provide some sensitivity analysis around key parameters of the model.