A Guide And Tool For Projecting Public Debt And Fiscal Adjustment Paths With Local And Foreign Currency Debt

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A Guide And Tool For Projecting Public Debt And Fiscal Adjustment Paths With Local And Foreign Currency Debt
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Author : Mr. Santiago Acosta Ormaechea
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-05-28
A Guide And Tool For Projecting Public Debt And Fiscal Adjustment Paths With Local And Foreign Currency Debt written by Mr. Santiago Acosta Ormaechea and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-05-28 with Business & Economics categories.
This guide presents the analytical underpinnings and a user manual for the Excel-based Public Debt Dynamics Tool (DDT).
A Guide And Tool For Projecting Public Gross Financing Needs
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Author : Santiago Acosta Ormaechea
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2025-01-24
A Guide And Tool For Projecting Public Gross Financing Needs written by Santiago Acosta Ormaechea and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-01-24 with Business & Economics categories.
This guide presents the analytical underpinnings and a manual for the Public Debt Dynamics Tool with Gross Financing Needs (DDT_GFN), an extension of the Public Debt Dynamics Tool (DDT). The DDT projects public debt as percent of GDP under a baseline and alternative scenarios. The DDT_GFN presents debt-to-GDP projections and the corresponding public gross financing needs (GFN)-to-GDP projections for all DDT scenarios, including fan charts for both public debt and GFN. The DDT_GFN also computes fiscal adjustment paths for a user defined GFN target and adjustment period. Twelve often publicly available macrofiscal variables are needed to perform a rich analysis of public debt and GFN dynamics. The DDT_GFN was developed by the IMF Institute for Capacity Development to be used for its capacity development work on macroeconomic frameworks for forecasting and policy analysis.
Bosnia And Herzegovina
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Author : I. M. F. Institute
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2025-02-07
Bosnia And Herzegovina written by I. M. F. Institute and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-02-07 with Business & Economics categories.
Technical assistance to develop a macroeconomic framework was delivered to the Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina (CBBH) between April 2021 and December 2023. The Quarterly Macro Forecasting Framework (QMFF) developed during this project is a quarterly framework whose main behavioral equations are specified in terms of deviations of real variables from their long-run trends. The framework is a novel combination of a gap-based modeling approach and financial programing. This novel approach was custom-built for the CBBH, but it has the flexibility to be adjusted to accommodate the macroeconomic characteristics of various countries and different exchange rate regimes, as well as to incorporate backward- or forward-looking expectation formation. While considerable progress has been achieved in the operation of the QMFF, more time and resources are needed to fully utilize and integrate the QMFF as the CBBH's main policy analysis and forecasting tool.
An Extended Quarterly Projection Model Credit Cycle Macrofinancial Linkages And Macroprudential Measures The Case Of The Philippines
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Author : Philippe Karam
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-10-22
An Extended Quarterly Projection Model Credit Cycle Macrofinancial Linkages And Macroprudential Measures The Case Of The Philippines written by Philippe Karam and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-10-22 with Business & Economics categories.
We extend a modern practical Quarterly Projection Model to study credit cycle dynamics and risks, focusing on macrofinancial linkages and the role of macroprudential policy in achieving economic and financial stability. We tailor the model to the Philippines and evaluate the model’s properties along several dimensions. The model produces plausible dynamics and sensible forecasts. This along with its simplicity makes it useful for policy analysis. In particular, it should help policymakers understand the quantitative implications of responding to changes in domestic financial conditions, along with other shocks, through the joint use of macroprudential and monetary policies.
Philippines
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2023-12-15
Philippines written by International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-12-15 with Business & Economics categories.
Philippines: Selected Issues
Colombia
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Author : International Monetary
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2023-03-23
Colombia written by International Monetary and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-03-23 with Business & Economics categories.
Benefiting from an effective policy response to the pandemic and highly favorable terms of trade, Colombia’s economy grew at one of the fastest rates among emerging economies in 2022. This demand-led recovery, however, contributed to internal and external imbalances, for which policy tightening has been now underway. A new administration took office in August 2022, with social equity and climate at the center of its ambitious reform agenda.
Regional Economic Outlook October 2021 Western Hemisphere A Long And Winding Road To Recovery
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Author : International Monetary Fund
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-10-21
Regional Economic Outlook October 2021 Western Hemisphere A Long And Winding Road To Recovery written by International Monetary Fund and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-10-21 with Business & Economics categories.
An economic recovery is underway in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) but the pandemic still casts shadows on much of the region. The recovery was robust in the first quarter of 2021 but lost momentum in some countries in the second quarter, reflecting the rebound in COVID-19 cases. Real GDP is projected to grow by 6.3 percent in 2021, followed by a more moderate growth of 3 percent in 2022, but would not catch up with pre-pandemic trends in the medium term as persistent weakness in labor markets raises risks of scarring. Broadly favorable external conditions, high commodity prices, and pent-up demand support short-term growth, while monetary and fiscal policy reversals work in the other direction. Risks to the outlook are tilted downward. Main downside risks are the emergence of more transmissible and deadlier COVID-19 variants, tightening of global financial conditions, sovereign debt rollover risks, and social unrest as a year with heavy election schedule looms. Fiscal policy should allocate sufficient resources for health spending, including vaccination, and continue to support households and firms in a more targeted fashion while the pandemic persists, backed by credible assurances of medium-term debt sustainability to maintain access to finance. Monetary policy has started to address inflationary pressures but should continue to support economic activity insofar as the dynamics of inflation expectations permit. If rising inflation threatens to de-anchor inflation expectations, central banks should tighten monetary policy to signal a commitment to inflation targets and avoid persistent increases in inflation. Preemptive and decisive action should be accompanied with clear and transparent communication. Financial policy should shift from blanket support to targeted support of viable firms, to ensure that necessary labor and capital reallocations are not hindered. Supply-side policies should foster inclusive growth, including through progressive and growth-friendly tax reforms and measures to intensify climate change adaptation and mitigation.
Regional Economic Outlook October 2021 Western Hemisphere A Long Winding Road To Recovery
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Author : International Monetary
language : es
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-10-21
Regional Economic Outlook October 2021 Western Hemisphere A Long Winding Road To Recovery written by International Monetary and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-10-21 with Business & Economics categories.
An economic recovery is underway in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) but the pandemic still casts shadows on much of the region. The recovery was robust in the first quarter of 2021 but lost momentum in some countries in the second quarter, reflecting the rebound in COVID-19 cases. Real GDP is projected to grow by 6.3 percent in 2021, followed by a more moderate growth of 3 percent in 2022, but would not catch up with pre-pandemic trends in the medium term as persistent weakness in labor markets raises risks of scarring. Broadly favorable external conditions, high commodity prices, and pent-up demand support short-term growth, while monetary and fiscal policy reversals work in the other direction. Risks to the outlook are tilted downward. Main downside risks are the emergence of more transmissible and deadlier COVID-19 variants, tightening of global financial conditions, sovereign debt rollover risks, and social unrest as a year with heavy election schedule looms. Fiscal policy should allocate sufficient resources for health spending, including vaccination, and continue to support households and firms in a more targeted fashion while the pandemic persists, backed by credible assurances of medium-term debt sustainability to maintain access to finance. Monetary policy has started to address inflationary pressures but should continue to support economic activity insofar as the dynamics of inflation expectations permit. If rising inflation threatens to de-anchor inflation expectations, central banks should tighten monetary policy to signal a commitment to inflation targets and avoid persistent increases in inflation. Preemptive and decisive action should be accompanied with clear and transparent communication. Financial policy should shift from blanket support to targeted support of viable firms, to ensure that necessary labor and capital reallocations are not hindered. Supply-side policies should foster inclusive growth, including through progressive and growth-friendly tax reforms and measures to intensify climate change adaptation and mitigation.
Public Sector Debt Statistics
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Author : International Monetary Fund
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2011-12-08
Public Sector Debt Statistics written by International Monetary Fund and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-12-08 with Business & Economics categories.
The global financial crisis of recent years and the associated large fiscal deficits and debt levels that have impacted many countries underscores the importance of reliable and timely government statistics and, more broadly, public sector debt as a critical element in countries fiscal and external sustainability. Public Sector Debt Statistics is the first international guide of its kind, and its primary objectives are to improve the quality and timeliness of key debt statistics and promote a convergence of recording practices to foster international comparability and as a reference for national compilers and users for compiling and disseminating these data. Like other statistical guides published by the IMF, this one was prepared in consultation with countries and international agencies, including the nine organizations of the Inter-Agency Task Force on Finance Statistics (TFFS). The guide's preparation was based on the broad range of experience of our institutions and benefitted from consultation with national compilers of government finance and public sector debt statistics. The guide's concepts are harmonized with those of the System of National Accounts (2008) and the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual, Sixth Edition.
A Practical Guide To Public Debt Dynamics Fiscal Sustainability And Cyclical Adjustment Of Budgetary Aggregates
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Author : Julio Escolano
language : en
Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Release Date : 2010-01-27
A Practical Guide To Public Debt Dynamics Fiscal Sustainability And Cyclical Adjustment Of Budgetary Aggregates written by Julio Escolano and has been published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-01-27 with categories.
This paper presents a practical guide to public debt dynamics, fiscal sustainability, and cyclical adjustment of budgetary aggregates. The paper discusses fiscal formulas, which may be of practical use in fiscal analysis. The paper derives, respectively, the formulas for debt dynamics, and cyclical and inflation adjustment of budgetary aggregates. It discusses other relationships for special applications, and some practical implications and usage. The formulas related to debt dynamics are based on the assumption that changes in liabilities are the result of above-the-line budgetary operations.