An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty
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An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty
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Author : Ruth Beyth-Marom
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2013-05-13
An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty written by Ruth Beyth-Marom and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-05-13 with Education categories.
Published in the year 1985, An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty is a valuable contribution to the field of Cognitive Psychology.
An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty
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Author : Ruth Beyth-Marom
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1982
An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty written by Ruth Beyth-Marom and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1982 with Intuition categories.
This technical report is a prototype elementary textbook for teaching reasoning processes and decision making under conditions of uncertainty. It is written at an introductory level and designed to be usable for nontechnical personnel. The text is based on a translation of a Hebrew book and adapted for the American student audience. The original material is based on the study of intuitive thought processes and capitalizes on information about cognitive biases that typically lead to faulty decisions and judgments. Methods are outlined for processing partial unreliable information in the following categories: when choosing the most likely among a set of possible solutions; when estimating a numerical value as the solution in a quantitative problem; when assessing the probability of occurrence of an event; and when estimating the chances of an event in exceptional problems. Practice problems are provided at the end of most chapters. In addition, a list of technical references and an outline of related topics for further study are presented at the conclusion of the text. Military command, control, and intelligence personnel should find this text applicable and easily adapted for the training of human information processing and decision making. (Author).
An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty
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Author : Ruth Beyth-Marom
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 1985
An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty written by Ruth Beyth-Marom and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1985 with Education categories.
'With admirable clarity, Mrs Peters sums up what determines competence in spelling and the traditional and new approaches to its teaching.' -Times Literary Supplement
Assessing Uncertainty In Expert Judgments About Natural Resources
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Author : David A. Cleaves
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1994
Assessing Uncertainty In Expert Judgments About Natural Resources written by David A. Cleaves and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1994 with Forest health categories.
Improving Statistical Reasoning
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Author : Peter Sedlmeier
language : en
Publisher: Psychology Press
Release Date : 1999-06
Improving Statistical Reasoning written by Peter Sedlmeier and has been published by Psychology Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999-06 with Psychology categories.
This book describes an approach to understanding, modeling, and improving the probabilistic reasoning of ordinary adults, comparing their reasoning to that of "experts." For specialists in judgment and decision making and all cognitive scientists.
Cognitive Strategies In Stochastic Thinking
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Author : Roland W. Scholz
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Cognitive Strategies In Stochastic Thinking written by Roland W. Scholz and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Psychology categories.
Exploring Probability In School
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Author : Graham A. Jones
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2006-03-30
Exploring Probability In School written by Graham A. Jones and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-03-30 with Education categories.
Exploring Probability in School provides a new perspective into research on the teaching and learning of probability. It creates this perspective by recognizing and analysing the special challenges faced by teachers and learners in contemporary classrooms where probability has recently become a mainstream part of the curriculum from early childhood through high school. The authors of the book discuss the nature of probability, look at the meaning of probabilistic literacy, and examine student access to powerful ideas in probability during the elementary, middle, and high school years. Moreover, they assemble and analyse research-based pedagogical knowledge for teachers that can enhance the learning of probability throughout these school years. With the book’s rich application of probability research to classroom practice, it will not only be essential reading for researchers and graduate students involved in probability education; it will also capture the interest of educational policy makers, curriculum personnel, teacher educators, and teachers.
Teaching Decision Making To Adolescents
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Author : Jonathan Baron
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2012-11-12
Teaching Decision Making To Adolescents written by Jonathan Baron and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-11-12 with Education categories.
This book describes a variety of programs -- firmly based in psychological theory and modern decision analysis -- that are suitable for teaching adolescents how to improve both their own decision making skills and their understanding of the decision making of others. Providing practical advice as well as theoretical analysis, this volume addresses general questions such as the nature and rationale of the enterprise, its implementation, and its evaluation. Relevant to several current adolescent problems including drug abuse, this is an excellent source, either as research, new curriculum, or enrichment of old curriculum.
Bounded Disciplines And Unbounded Problems
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Author : Baruch Fischhoff
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2025-01-09
Bounded Disciplines And Unbounded Problems written by Baruch Fischhoff and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-01-09 with Business & Economics categories.
People often face complex, novel, fateful, and wildly unbounded problems throughout their lives. In their work, disciplinary scientists hone their wisdom on the complexities of necessarily bounded problems. Bounded Disciplines and Unbounded Problems offers a vision for schools of management science to bring these worlds together, by doing more of what they do best, co-creating solutions in ways that serve the world and the disciplines. Disciplinary wisdom is illustrated with studies eliciting beliefs and preferences. Collaboration is illustrated with a wide variety of applications, including climate, energy, health, security, technology, and natural disasters. The proposed strategy, for bonding bounded disciplines, offers a realistic path forward, at a time when the value of academia is sometimes questioned by the public, students, and even some of its members.
General Technical Report So
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1977
General Technical Report So written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1977 with Forests and forestry categories.