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Bayesian Decision Analysis


Bayesian Decision Analysis
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Bayesian Decision Analysis


Bayesian Decision Analysis
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Author : Jim Q. Smith
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2010-09-23

Bayesian Decision Analysis written by Jim Q. Smith and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-09-23 with Mathematics categories.


Bayesian decision analysis supports principled decision making in complex domains. This textbook takes the reader from a formal analysis of simple decision problems to a careful analysis of the sometimes very complex and data rich structures confronted by practitioners. The book contains basic material on subjective probability theory and multi-attribute utility theory, event and decision trees, Bayesian networks, influence diagrams and causal Bayesian networks. The author demonstrates when and how the theory can be successfully applied to a given decision problem, how data can be sampled and expert judgements elicited to support this analysis, and when and how an effective Bayesian decision analysis can be implemented. Evolving from a third-year undergraduate course taught by the author over many years, all of the material in this book will be accessible to a student who has completed introductory courses in probability and mathematical statistics.



Statistical Decision Theory And Bayesian Analysis


Statistical Decision Theory And Bayesian Analysis
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Author : James O. Berger
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 1985-08-21

Statistical Decision Theory And Bayesian Analysis written by James O. Berger and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1985-08-21 with Business & Economics categories.


"The outstanding strengths of the book are its topic coverage, references, exposition, examples and problem sets... This book is an excellent addition to any mathematical statistician's library." -Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society In this new edition the author has added substantial material on Bayesian analysis, including lengthy new sections on such important topics as empirical and hierarchical Bayes analysis, Bayesian calculation, Bayesian communication, and group decision making. With these changes, the book can be used as a self-contained introduction to Bayesian analysis. In addition, much of the decision-theoretic portion of the text was updated, including new sections covering such modern topics as minimax multivariate (Stein) estimation.



Frontiers Of Statistical Decision Making And Bayesian Analysis


Frontiers Of Statistical Decision Making And Bayesian Analysis
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Author : Ming-Hui Chen
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2010-07-24

Frontiers Of Statistical Decision Making And Bayesian Analysis written by Ming-Hui Chen and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-07-24 with Mathematics categories.


Research in Bayesian analysis and statistical decision theory is rapidly expanding and diversifying, making it increasingly more difficult for any single researcher to stay up to date on all current research frontiers. This book provides a review of current research challenges and opportunities. While the book can not exhaustively cover all current research areas, it does include some exemplary discussion of most research frontiers. Topics include objective Bayesian inference, shrinkage estimation and other decision based estimation, model selection and testing, nonparametric Bayes, the interface of Bayesian and frequentist inference, data mining and machine learning, methods for categorical and spatio-temporal data analysis and posterior simulation methods. Several major application areas are covered: computer models, Bayesian clinical trial design, epidemiology, phylogenetics, bioinformatics, climate modeling and applications in political science, finance and marketing. As a review of current research in Bayesian analysis the book presents a balance between theory and applications. The lack of a clear demarcation between theoretical and applied research is a reflection of the highly interdisciplinary and often applied nature of research in Bayesian statistics. The book is intended as an update for researchers in Bayesian statistics, including non-statisticians who make use of Bayesian inference to address substantive research questions in other fields. It would also be useful for graduate students and research scholars in statistics or biostatistics who wish to acquaint themselves with current research frontiers.



Bayesian Data Analysis Third Edition


Bayesian Data Analysis Third Edition
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Author : Andrew Gelman
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2013-11-01

Bayesian Data Analysis Third Edition written by Andrew Gelman and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-11-01 with Mathematics categories.


Now in its third edition, this classic book is widely considered the leading text on Bayesian methods, lauded for its accessible, practical approach to analyzing data and solving research problems. Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition continues to take an applied approach to analysis using up-to-date Bayesian methods. The authors—all leaders in the statistics community—introduce basic concepts from a data-analytic perspective before presenting advanced methods. Throughout the text, numerous worked examples drawn from real applications and research emphasize the use of Bayesian inference in practice. New to the Third Edition Four new chapters on nonparametric modeling Coverage of weakly informative priors and boundary-avoiding priors Updated discussion of cross-validation and predictive information criteria Improved convergence monitoring and effective sample size calculations for iterative simulation Presentations of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, variational Bayes, and expectation propagation New and revised software code The book can be used in three different ways. For undergraduate students, it introduces Bayesian inference starting from first principles. For graduate students, the text presents effective current approaches to Bayesian modeling and computation in statistics and related fields. For researchers, it provides an assortment of Bayesian methods in applied statistics. Additional materials, including data sets used in the examples, solutions to selected exercises, and software instructions, are available on the book’s web page.



Bayesian Networks And Decision Graphs


Bayesian Networks And Decision Graphs
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Author : Thomas Dyhre Nielsen
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2009-03-17

Bayesian Networks And Decision Graphs written by Thomas Dyhre Nielsen and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-03-17 with Science categories.


This is a brand new edition of an essential work on Bayesian networks and decision graphs. It is an introduction to probabilistic graphical models including Bayesian networks and influence diagrams. The reader is guided through the two types of frameworks with examples and exercises, which also give instruction on how to build these models. Structured in two parts, the first section focuses on probabilistic graphical models, while the second part deals with decision graphs, and in addition to the frameworks described in the previous edition, it also introduces Markov decision process and partially ordered decision problems.



An Introduction To Bayesian Analysis


An Introduction To Bayesian Analysis
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Author : Jayanta K. Ghosh
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2007-07-03

An Introduction To Bayesian Analysis written by Jayanta K. Ghosh and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-07-03 with Mathematics categories.


Though there are many recent additions to graduate-level introductory books on Bayesian analysis, none has quite our blend of theory, methods, and ap plications. We believe a beginning graduate student taking a Bayesian course or just trying to find out what it means to be a Bayesian ought to have some familiarity with all three aspects. More specialization can come later. Each of us has taught a course like this at Indian Statistical Institute or Purdue. In fact, at least partly, the book grew out of those courses. We would also like to refer to the review (Ghosh and Samanta (2002b)) that first made us think of writing a book. The book contains somewhat more material than can be covered in a single semester. We have done this intentionally, so that an instructor has some choice as to what to cover as well as which of the three aspects to emphasize. Such a choice is essential for the instructor. The topics include several results or methods that have not appeared in a graduate text before. In fact, the book can be used also as a second course in Bayesian analysis if the instructor supplies more details. Chapter 1 provides a quick review of classical statistical inference. Some knowledge of this is assumed when we compare different paradigms. Following this, an introduction to Bayesian inference is given in Chapter 2 emphasizing the need for the Bayesian approach to statistics.



Modeling In Medical Decision Making


Modeling In Medical Decision Making
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Author : Giovanni Parmigiani
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2002-03

Modeling In Medical Decision Making written by Giovanni Parmigiani and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002-03 with Mathematics categories.


Describes Bayesian inference, Monte Carlo simulation, utility theory and gives case studies of their use.



Bayesian Networks And Influence Diagrams A Guide To Construction And Analysis


Bayesian Networks And Influence Diagrams A Guide To Construction And Analysis
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Author : Uffe B. Kjærulff
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-11-30

Bayesian Networks And Influence Diagrams A Guide To Construction And Analysis written by Uffe B. Kjærulff and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-11-30 with Computers categories.


Bayesian Networks and Influence Diagrams: A Guide to Construction and Analysis, Second Edition, provides a comprehensive guide for practitioners who wish to understand, construct, and analyze intelligent systems for decision support based on probabilistic networks. This new edition contains six new sections, in addition to fully-updated examples, tables, figures, and a revised appendix. Intended primarily for practitioners, this book does not require sophisticated mathematical skills or deep understanding of the underlying theory and methods nor does it discuss alternative technologies for reasoning under uncertainty. The theory and methods presented are illustrated through more than 140 examples, and exercises are included for the reader to check his or her level of understanding. The techniques and methods presented for knowledge elicitation, model construction and verification, modeling techniques and tricks, learning models from data, and analyses of models have all been developed and refined on the basis of numerous courses that the authors have held for practitioners worldwide.



Decision Analysis


Decision Analysis
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Author : J. Q. Smith
language : en
Publisher: Chapman & Hall
Release Date : 1988

Decision Analysis written by J. Q. Smith and has been published by Chapman & Hall this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1988 with Mathematics categories.




An Introduction To Bayesian Inference And Decision


An Introduction To Bayesian Inference And Decision
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Author : Robert L. Winkler
language : en
Publisher: Probabilistic Pub
Release Date : 2003-01-01

An Introduction To Bayesian Inference And Decision written by Robert L. Winkler and has been published by Probabilistic Pub this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-01-01 with Mathematics categories.


CD-ROM contains: Beta Distribution Generator (Excel file) ; Binomial Distribution Generator (Excel file) ; book exercises (MS Word files) ; book figures (Powerpoint files) ; TreeAge Data decision trees for some of the examples in the book ; Demonstration versions of TreeAge Data and Lumina Analytica.