Bayesian Inference In The Social Sciences


Bayesian Inference In The Social Sciences
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Bayesian Inference In The Social Sciences


Bayesian Inference In The Social Sciences
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Author : Ivan Jeliazkov
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2014-11-04

Bayesian Inference In The Social Sciences written by Ivan Jeliazkov and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-11-04 with Mathematics categories.


Presents new models, methods, and techniques and considers important real-world applications in political science, sociology, economics, marketing, and finance Emphasizing interdisciplinary coverage, Bayesian Inference in the Social Sciences builds upon the recent growth in Bayesian methodology and examines an array of topics in model formulation, estimation, and applications. The book presents recent and trending developments in a diverse, yet closely integrated, set of research topics within the social sciences and facilitates the transmission of new ideas and methodology across disciplines while maintaining manageability, coherence, and a clear focus. Bayesian Inference in the Social Sciences features innovative methodology and novel applications in addition to new theoretical developments and modeling approaches, including the formulation and analysis of models with partial observability, sample selection, and incomplete data. Additional areas of inquiry include a Bayesian derivation of empirical likelihood and method of moment estimators, and the analysis of treatment effect models with endogeneity. The book emphasizes practical implementation, reviews and extends estimation algorithms, and examines innovative applications in a multitude of fields. Time series techniques and algorithms are discussed for stochastic volatility, dynamic factor, and time-varying parameter models. Additional features include: Real-world applications and case studies that highlight asset pricing under fat-tailed distributions, price indifference modeling and market segmentation, analysis of dynamic networks, ethnic minorities and civil war, school choice effects, and business cycles and macroeconomic performance State-of-the-art computational tools and Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms with related materials available via the book’s supplemental website Interdisciplinary coverage from well-known international scholars and practitioners Bayesian Inference in the Social Sciences is an ideal reference for researchers in economics, political science, sociology, and business as well as an excellent resource for academic, government, and regulation agencies. The book is also useful for graduate-level courses in applied econometrics, statistics, mathematical modeling and simulation, numerical methods, computational analysis, and the social sciences.



Bayesian Statistics For The Social Sciences


Bayesian Statistics For The Social Sciences
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Author : David Kaplan
language : en
Publisher: Guilford Publications
Release Date : 2023-10-02

Bayesian Statistics For The Social Sciences written by David Kaplan and has been published by Guilford Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-10-02 with Social Science categories.


The second edition of this practical book equips social science researchers to apply the latest Bayesian methodologies to their data analysis problems. It includes new chapters on model uncertainty, Bayesian variable selection and sparsity, and Bayesian workflow for statistical modeling. Clearly explaining frequentist and epistemic probability and prior distributions, the second edition emphasizes use of the open-source RStan software package. The text covers Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, Bayesian linear regression and generalized linear models, model evaluation and comparison, multilevel modeling, models for continuous and categorical latent variables, missing data, and more. Concepts are fully illustrated with worked-through examples from large-scale educational and social science databases, such as the Program for International Student Assessment and the Early Childhood Longitudinal Study. Annotated RStan code appears in screened boxes; the companion website (www.guilford.com/kaplan-materials) provides data sets and code for the book's examples. New to This Edition *Utilizes the R interface to Stan--faster and more stable than previously available Bayesian software--for most of the applications discussed. *Coverage of Hamiltonian MC; Cromwell’s rule; Jeffreys' prior; the LKJ prior for correlation matrices; model evaluation and model comparison, with a critique of the Bayesian information criterion; variational Bayes as an alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling; and other new topics. *Chapters on Bayesian variable selection and sparsity, model uncertainty and model averaging, and Bayesian workflow for statistical modeling.



Bayesian Statistics For The Social Sciences


Bayesian Statistics For The Social Sciences
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Author : David Kaplan
language : en
Publisher: Guilford Publications
Release Date : 2023-11-10

Bayesian Statistics For The Social Sciences written by David Kaplan and has been published by Guilford Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-11-10 with Business & Economics categories.


"Since the publication of the first edition, Bayesian statistics is, arguably, still not the norm in the formal quantitative methods training of social scientists. Typically, the only introduction that a student might have to Bayesian ideas is a brief overview of Bayes' theorem while studying probability in an introductory statistics class. This is not surprising. First, until relatively recently, it was not feasible to conduct statistical modeling from a Bayesian perspective owing to its complexity and lack of available software. Second, Bayesian statistics represents a powerful alternative to frequentist (conventional) statistics and, therefore, can be controversial, especially in the context of null hypothesis significance testing. However, over the last 20 years, or so, considerably progress has been made in the development and application of complex Bayesian statistical methods, due mostly to developments and availability of proprietary and open-source statistical software tools. And, although Bayesian statistics is not quite yet an integral part of the quantitative training of social scientists, there has been increasing interest in the application of Bayesian methods, and it is not unreasonable to say that in terms of theoretical developments and substantive applications, Bayesian statistics has arrived. Because of extensive developments in Bayesian theory and computation since the publication of the first edition of this book, there was a pressing need for a thorough update of the material to reflect new developments in Bayesian methodology and software. The basic foundations of Bayesian statistics remain more or less the same, but this second edition encompasses many new extensions"--



Bayesian Analysis For The Social Sciences


Bayesian Analysis For The Social Sciences
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Author : Simon Jackman
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2009-10-27

Bayesian Analysis For The Social Sciences written by Simon Jackman and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-10-27 with Mathematics categories.


Bayesian methods are increasingly being used in the social sciences, as the problems encountered lend themselves so naturally to the subjective qualities of Bayesian methodology. This book provides an accessible introduction to Bayesian methods, tailored specifically for social science students. It contains lots of real examples from political science, psychology, sociology, and economics, exercises in all chapters, and detailed descriptions of all the key concepts, without assuming any background in statistics beyond a first course. It features examples of how to implement the methods using WinBUGS – the most-widely used Bayesian analysis software in the world – and R – an open-source statistical software. The book is supported by a Website featuring WinBUGS and R code, and data sets.



Statistical Inference


Statistical Inference
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Author : Michael W. Oakes
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1990

Statistical Inference written by Michael W. Oakes and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990 with Social Science categories.




Bayesian Methods


Bayesian Methods
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Author : Jeff Gill
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2007-11-26

Bayesian Methods written by Jeff Gill and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-11-26 with Mathematics categories.


The first edition of Bayesian Methods: A Social and Behavioral Sciences Approach helped pave the way for Bayesian approaches to become more prominent in social science methodology. While the focus remains on practical modeling and basic theory as well as on intuitive explanations and derivations without skipping steps, this second edition incorporates the latest methodology and recent changes in software offerings. New to the Second Edition Two chapters on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) that cover ergodicity, convergence, mixing, simulated annealing, reversible jump MCMC, and coupling Expanded coverage of Bayesian linear and hierarchical models More technical and philosophical details on prior distributions A dedicated R package (BaM) with data and code for the examples as well as a set of functions for practical purposes such as calculating highest posterior density (HPD) intervals Requiring only a basic working knowledge of linear algebra and calculus, this text is one of the few to offer a graduate-level introduction to Bayesian statistics for social scientists. It first introduces Bayesian statistics and inference, before moving on to assess model quality and fit. Subsequent chapters examine hierarchical models within a Bayesian context and explore MCMC techniques and other numerical methods. Concentrating on practical computing issues, the author includes specific details for Bayesian model building and testing and uses the R and BUGS software for examples and exercises.



Statistics In The Social Sciences


Statistics In The Social Sciences
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Author : Stanislav Kolenikov
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2010-02-22

Statistics In The Social Sciences written by Stanislav Kolenikov and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-02-22 with Mathematics categories.


A one-of-a-kind compilation of modern statistical methods designed to support and advance research across the social sciences Statistics in the Social Sciences: Current Methodological Developments presents new and exciting statistical methodologies to help advance research and data analysis across the many disciplines in the social sciences. Quantitative methods in various subfields, from psychology to economics, are under demand for constant development and refinement. This volume features invited overview papers, as well as original research presented at the Sixth Annual Winemiller Conference: Methodological Developments of Statistics in the Social Sciences, an international meeting that focused on fostering collaboration among mathematical statisticians and social science researchers. The book provides an accessible and insightful look at modern approaches to identifying and describing current, effective methodologies that ultimately add value to various fields of social science research. With contributions from leading international experts on the topic, the book features in-depth coverage of modern quantitative social sciences topics, including: Correlation Structures Structural Equation Models and Recent Extensions Order-Constrained Proximity Matrix Representations Multi-objective and Multi-dimensional Scaling Differences in Bayesian and Non-Bayesian Inference Bootstrap Test of Shape Invariance across Distributions Statistical Software for the Social Sciences Statistics in the Social Sciences: Current Methodological Developments is an excellent supplement for graduate courses on social science statistics in both statistics departments and quantitative social sciences programs. It is also a valuable reference for researchers and practitioners in the fields of psychology, sociology, economics, and market research.



Bayesian Statistics For Social Scientists


Bayesian Statistics For Social Scientists
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Author : Lawrence D. Phillips
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1974

Bayesian Statistics For Social Scientists written by Lawrence D. Phillips and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1974 with Bayesian statistical decision theory categories.




Social Inquiry And Bayesian Inference


Social Inquiry And Bayesian Inference
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Author : Tasha Fairfield
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2022-08-04

Social Inquiry And Bayesian Inference written by Tasha Fairfield and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-08-04 with Political Science categories.


Fairfield and Charman provide a modern, rigorous and intuitive methodology for case-study research to help social scientists and analysts make better inferences from qualitative evidence. The book develops concrete guidelines for conducting inference to best explanation given incomplete information; no previous exposure to Bayesian analysis or specialized mathematical skills are needed. Topics covered include constructing rival hypotheses that are neither too simple nor overly complex, assessing the inferential weight of evidence, counteracting cognitive biases, selecting cases, and iterating between theory development, data collection, and analysis. Extensive worked examples apply Bayesian guidelines, showcasing both exemplars of intuitive Bayesian reasoning and departures from Bayesian principles in published case studies drawn from process-tracing, comparative, and multimethod research. Beyond improving inference and analytic transparency, an overarching goal of this book is to revalue qualitative research and place it on more equal footing with respect to quantitative and experimental traditions by illustrating that Bayesianism provides a universally applicable inferential framework.



Bayesian Statistical Inference


Bayesian Statistical Inference
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Author : Gudmund R. Iversen
language : en
Publisher: SAGE
Release Date : 1984-11

Bayesian Statistical Inference written by Gudmund R. Iversen and has been published by SAGE this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1984-11 with Mathematics categories.


Statisticians now generally acknowledge the theorectical importance of Bayesian inference, if not its practical validity. According to Gudmund R. Iversen, one reason for the lag in applications is that empirical researchers have lacked a grounding in the methodology. His volume provides this introduction and serves as a companion to #4, Tests of Significance.