China S Imports Slowdown
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China And Asia In Global Trade Slowdown
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Author : Gee Hee Hong
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-08-16
China And Asia In Global Trade Slowdown written by Gee Hee Hong and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-08-16 with Business & Economics categories.
Asia and China made disproportionate contributions to the slowdown of global trade growth in 2015. China’s import growth slowed starkly, driven by both external and domestic factors, including a rebalancing of demand. Econometric results point to weak investment and rebalancing as the main causes of the import slowdown. Spillover effects from China’s rebalancing are estimated for some 60 countries using value-added trade data, and are found to be more negative on Asia and commodity exporters than others.
China S Imports Slowdown
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Author : Mr.Alexei Kireyev
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-03-07
China S Imports Slowdown written by Mr.Alexei Kireyev and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-03-07 with Business & Economics categories.
The paper models international spillovers from a hypothetical drop of China’s imports as a result of China’s rebalancing of its growth model. A network-based model used in the paper allows capturing higher round network effects of the shock, which are largely unaccounted for in the existing literature. Such effects include direct spillovers from China on its trading partners, subsequent spillins among them, and spillbacks on China itself. The paper finds that the network effects most likely will be substantial, may amplify initial shock, and change the direction of its propagation. The impact on Asia and Pacific will be the strongest followed by the Middle East and Central Asia. The impact on sub-Saharan Africa would be noticeable only for some countries. Spillovers on Europe, including the Euro area, will be moderate, and spillovers on the Western Hemisphere, including the United States, would be very marginal. Metal and non-fuel commodity exporters may experience the largest negative impact.
Chinese Imports
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Author : Joong Shik Kang
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-09-23
Chinese Imports written by Joong Shik Kang and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-09-23 with Business & Economics categories.
Real imports in China have decelerated significantly over the last two years to below 4 percent (yoy) from double-digit growth in previous years. Weaker investment, partly due to progress in rebalancing from investment to consumption, has been the main factor accounting for about 40–50 percent of slowdown during this period. Weaker exports also account for about 40 percent of slowdown, of which about a quarter is due to stronger RMB. Onshoring—substitution of imported intermediate inputs with domestic production—has not been an additional drag over this period but it continues to slow import growth at a similar pace as previous periods. There is large uncertainty about the impact of rebalancing on the import slowdown due to difficulties in identifying the counterfactual nonrebalancing path.
China S Imports Slowdown
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
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China S Imports Slowdown written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with categories.
Chinas Imports Slowdown
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Author : Alexei; Leonidov Kireyev (Andre)
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date :
Chinas Imports Slowdown written by Alexei; Leonidov Kireyev (Andre) and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with categories.
Spillovers From China S Growth Slowdown And Rebalancing To The Asean 5 Economies
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Author : Allan Dizioli
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-08-20
Spillovers From China S Growth Slowdown And Rebalancing To The Asean 5 Economies written by Allan Dizioli and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-08-20 with Business & Economics categories.
After many years of rapid expansion, China’s growth is slowing to more sustainable levels and is rebalancing, with consumption becoming the main growth driver. This transition is likely to have negative effects on its trading partners in the near term. This paper studies the potential spillovers to the ASEAN-5 economies through trade, commodity prices, and financial markets. It finds that countries with closer trade linkages with China (Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand) and net commodity exporters (Indonesia and Malaysia) would suffer the largest impact, with growth falling between 0.2 and 0.5 percentage points in response to a decline in China’s growth by 1 percentage point depending on the model used and the nature of the shock. The impact could be larger if China’s slowdown and rebalancing coincides with bouts of global financial volatility. There are also opportunities from China’s rebalancing, both in merchandise and services trade, and there is preliminary evidence that some ASEAN-5 economies are already benefiting from these trends.
The Shifting Structure Of China S Trade And Production
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Author : Li Cui
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2007-09
The Shifting Structure Of China S Trade And Production written by Li Cui and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-09 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper uses disaggregated trade data to assess how the expansion of China's production capacity and its changing production structure may be affecting its trade linkages with other countries. It finds that China is moving away from traditional assembly operations in its processing activities and its exports have started to rely more on domestically sourced components. In turn, China's imports and exports have begun to delink, with increased domestic sourcing contributing to the recent increase in its trade balance. In addition, as China moves up the value chain, both its imports and exports have become more sophisticated than in the past. As a result of these shifts, China may be becoming more exposed to fluctuations in the strength of the global economy, and changes in its exchange rate could have a bigger impact on the trade balance and the domestic economy than commonly believed.
Chinese Imports
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Author : Joong Shik Kang
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2016
Chinese Imports written by Joong Shik Kang and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with categories.
Real imports in China have decelerated significantly over the last two years to below4 percent (yoy) from double-digit growth in previous years. Weaker investment, partly due to progress in rebalancing from investment to consumption, has been the main factor accounting for about 40-50 percent of slowdown during this period. Weaker exports also account for about 40 percent of slowdown, of which about a quarter is due to stronger RMB. Onshoring - substitution of imported intermediate inputs with domestic production - has not been an additional drag over this period but it continues to slow import growth at a similar pace as previous periods. There is large uncertainty about the impact of rebalancing on the import slowdown due to difficulties in identifying the counterfactual nonrebalancing path.
Investment Led Growth In China
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Author : Mr.Ashvin Ahuja
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2012-11-06
Investment Led Growth In China written by Mr.Ashvin Ahuja and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-11-06 with Business & Economics categories.
Over the past decade, China’s growth model has become more reliant on investment and its footprint in global imports has widened substantially. Several economies within China’s supply chain are increasingly exposed to its investment-led growth and face growing risks from a deceleration in investment in China. This note quantifies potential global spillovers from an investment slowdown in China. It finds that a one percentage point slowdown in investment in China is associated with a reduction of global growth of just under one-tenth of a percentage point. The impact is about five times larger than in 2002. Regional supply chain economies and commodity exporters with relatively less diversified economies are most vulnerable to an investment slowdown in China. The spillover effects also register strongly across a range of macroeconomic, trade, and financial variables among G20 trading partners.
China S Imports
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Author : Song Hong
language : en
Publisher: Paths International Limited
Release Date : 2014-01-01
China S Imports written by Song Hong and has been published by Paths International Limited this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-01-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Since the beginning of reform in 1978, the Chinese import industry has expanded quickly in the wake of the rapidly growing merchandise trade. In 1978, the total value of Chinese import and export trade was USD $20.64 billion, up to $1.76069 trillion in 2006, an 84.3-fold increase. Imports alone over that period rose from USD $10.89 billion to $791.61 billion, a 71.69-fold increase. Beginning in 2003, China has been the world's third largest importer for four consecutive years. Judging from the import growth trends in recent years, it is likely that China will soon be second to only the United States in imports. This book discusses the full impact of imports on China's economy and the implications for China's trading partners and the world. The effects and composition of China's imports are examined in detail and the future trends of imports are explored. Import regulation is also examined and the risk of imports on China's economy is discussed. China's trade is central to the global economy, and this book provides a valuable Chinese perspective on this topic. (Series: Foreign Investment in China)