Company Valuation And Information In Analyst Forecasts
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Company Valuation And Information In Analyst Forecasts
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Author : Daniel Kreutzmann
language : en
Publisher: Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH
Release Date : 2010
Company Valuation And Information In Analyst Forecasts written by Daniel Kreutzmann and has been published by Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with Business & Economics categories.
This thesis focuses on the three primitive value drivers of each company valuation model that is based on fundamental analysis: the discount rate, the expected future payoffs during the explicit forecasting period, and the terminal value at the end of the explicit forecasting period. While the first factor is analyzed theoretically by incorporating the government into the classical valuation framework, this thesis studies the other two factors by investigating forecasts made by professional investors, i.e. financial analysts. In the first part we show that the government's and the shareholders discount rate usually differ and analyze how the government's and shareholders different objectives lead to conflicts in the context of capital budgeting. The empirical part of this thesis shows that macroeconomic information is frequently used by financial analysts when updating their earnings expecations and that target price forecastsmade by financial analysts can be used to predict abnormal returns.
Company Valuation And Bankruptcy Prediction
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Author : Jan Klobucnik
language : en
Publisher: GRIN Verlag
Release Date : 2013-11-18
Company Valuation And Bankruptcy Prediction written by Jan Klobucnik and has been published by GRIN Verlag this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-11-18 with Business & Economics categories.
Doctoral Thesis / Dissertation from the year 2013 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: summa cum laude, University of Cologne, language: English, abstract: The contribution of this study is manifold and relevant for academics and practitioners alike. It adds to the literature in the fields of corporate finance, financial accounting and stochastic modeling. In particular, this dissertation provides answers to the following questions: given the less efficient markets, can specialists as financial analysts provide additional information, which contain investment value? How can the true value of a company be determined with publicly available data and can discrepancies between fundamental and market values be exploited? Finally, is it possible to assess the firm’s financial health and its likelihood of failure several years into the future? Adressing these questions, the study first illustrates the company valuation assessment by financial analysts as summarized in their target prices and the information processing by analysts and investors in detail. Second, this thesis offers a novel empirical implementation of a model for fundamental company valuation that employs accounting data. In this context it demonstrates severe over- and undervaluation from a fundamental perspective in the U.S. technology sector over the last 20 years. Both the analysts’ company valuation captured by their target prices and the implementation of the fundamental company valuation model translate into significant investment value before and after transaction costs, which supports the notion of non-efficient markets. Finally, one major contribution is to evaluate a new approach for bankruptcy prediction that is based on stochastic processes. It is theoretically appealing and performs better especially for longer forecast horizons than standard methods.
Company Valuation Under Ifrs 3rd Edition
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Author : Nick Antill
language : en
Publisher: Harriman House Limited
Release Date : 2020-02-11
Company Valuation Under Ifrs 3rd Edition written by Nick Antill and has been published by Harriman House Limited this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-02-11 with Business & Economics categories.
Revised and updated. The influence of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) on accounting across the world is stronger than ever. Most importantly, this stems from the mandatory adoption of IFRSs in many parts of the world, including Europe, Canada, Australia, Brazil and, with some relatively small exceptions, China. Additionally, foreign registrants in the US are also permitted to use IFRS by the SEC. The impact of IFRSs also extends to accounting developments as the IASB and the FASB work closely together to formulate new standards such as those recently issued on leasing and revenue recognition. It is clear that investors, analysts and valuers need to understand financial statements produced under IFRS to feed in to their valuations and broader investment decisions. Written by practitioners for practitioners, the book addresses valuation from the viewpoint of the analyst, the investor and the corporate acquirer. It starts with valuation theory: what is to be discounted and at what discount rate? It explains the connection between standard methodologies based on free cash flow and on return on capital. And it emphasizes that, whichever method is used, accurate interpretation of accounting information is critical to the production of sensible valuations. The authors argue that forecasts of cash flows imply views on profits and balance sheets, and that non-cash items contain useful information about future cash flows - so profits matter. The book addresses the implications for analysis, modelling and valuation of key aspects of IFRS, all updated for recent developments, including: - Pensions - Stock options - Derivatives - Provisions - Leases - Revenue recognition - Foreign currency The text also sets out the key differences between IFRS and US GAAP treatments of these issues, in addition to their implications for analysis. A detailed case study is used to provide a step-by-step valuation of an industrial company using both free cash flow and economic profit methodologies. The authors then address a range of common valuation problems, including cyclical or immature companies, as well as the specialist accounting and modelling knowledge required for regulated utilities, resource extraction companies, banks, insurance companies, real estate companies and technology companies. Accounting for mergers and disposals is first explained and then illustrated with a detailed potential acquisition.
The Handbook Of Corporate Earnings Analysis
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Author : Brian R. Bruce
language : en
Publisher: Irwin Professional Publishing
Release Date : 1994
The Handbook Of Corporate Earnings Analysis written by Brian R. Bruce and has been published by Irwin Professional Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1994 with Business & Economics categories.
Analytical Approach To Investing Research Removing The Management Fluff
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Author : Pat O'Leary
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2009-03-25
Analytical Approach To Investing Research Removing The Management Fluff written by Pat O'Leary and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-03-25 with Business enterprises categories.
A Market Insiders Analytical Approach Removes Management Fluff to Help Predict Forward Pricing and Valuation Based on Solid Principles That Can Be Quantified The management of earnings and expectations directly impacts the analytical forecasts in firm evaluation. Earnings and analysts forecasts are important inputs into accounting valuation models to reflect current and predict future firm performance. These models help predict the intrinsic value, but in recent years they may have adversely affected the usefulness of the resulting information. This book is meant to show that intrinsic value metrics estimated using manipulated earnings or forecasts have less ability to track stock prices and predict future returns. The usefulness of earnings and analysts forecasts provides evidence for the joint hypothesis of] Long-term market efficiency Negative impact of earnings management and expectations management Removing The Management Fluff. The authors approach has two major objectives in Removing the Management Fluff. First, it challenges the conventional view that more accurate and less biased forecasts are necessarily of better quality and proposes to assess the quality of analysts forecasts. It also introduces an improved measure for expectations management and presents new evidence on the following: Usefulness of earnings and analyst forecasts in firm valuation (Negative impacts of earnings management and expectations management on this usefulness (Overall performance of accounting valuation models in firm valuation Dr. Pat OLeary, Ph.D. Accounting MBA, CMA, CFM, CNE, B. Commerce Born in Brantford, Ontario, Canada, Pat has always been motivated to succeed and dedicated to getting the best formal financial education possible, as evidenced by his many degrees and certifications. As he rose through the ranks in the corporate world, he gained extensive experience in corporate structuring, mergers, IPOs, international finance, foreign exchange, and manufacturing. His impressive educational background and financial experience have blended to form the analytical and practical approach to investing research that he presents in this book.
Company Valuation Under Ifrs
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Author : Nick Antill
language : en
Publisher: Harriman House
Release Date : 2005
Company Valuation Under Ifrs written by Nick Antill and has been published by Harriman House this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Accounting categories.
International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are now mandatory in Europe and are being adopted by other countries, including Australia. Items that have not been recorded before, or that were hidden away in the accounts, are much more visible under IFRS and will need to be carefully interpreted by investors and analysts. Written by practitioners for practitioners, the book addresses valuation from the viewpoint of the analyst, the investor and the corporate acquirer. It starts with valuation theory: what is to be discounted and at what discount rate? It explains the connection between standard methodologies based on free cash flow and on return on capital. And it emphasizes that, whichever method is used, accurate interpretation of accounting information is critical to the production of sensible valuations. The authors argue that forecasts of cash flows imply views on profits and balance sheets, and that non-cash items contain useful information about future cash flows - so profits matter. The book then addresses the implications for analysis and valuation of the key IFRS changes including: - Pensions- Stock options- Derivatives- Provisions- LeasesIt also explains the key differences between IFRS and US GAAP treatments of these issues, and their implications for analysis.A detailed case study is used to provide a step by step valuation of an industrial company using both free cash flow and economic profit methodologies. The authors then address a range of common valuation problems, including cyclical or immature companies, as well as the specialist accounting and modelling knowledge required for regulated utilities, resource extraction companies, banks and insurance companies.Accounting for merger
Financial Analysts And Information Processing On Financial Markets
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Author : Jan-Philipp Matthewes
language : en
Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand
Release Date : 2015-01-28
Financial Analysts And Information Processing On Financial Markets written by Jan-Philipp Matthewes and has been published by BoD – Books on Demand this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-01-28 with Law categories.
Financial analysts play an ambivalent role on financial markets: On the one hand investors and the media frequently follow their advice, on the other hand they are regularly discredited when their forecasts or recommendations prove to be erroneous. This cumulative thesis explores the informational content of financial analysts’ forecasts for investors by addressing three specific topics: Consensus size as a rudimentary investment signal, the association of analysts’ target prices with business sentiment, and the consistency of analysts’ different investment signals in the context of the 2008 financial crisis. Overall, the thesis provides additional evidence that investors can profit from analysts’ forecasts and recommendations. However, it is also shown that investors need to be very selective about which signal to rely on and in which context to use these because analysts’ investment signals can also be heavily biased and erroneous. About the author: Jan-Philipp Matthewes studied ‘Economics’ at the University of Cologne, Germany, and holds a Dean’s Award from the Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences. His research focus on financial analysts evolved while working in equity research at a leading German bank. The PhD-thesis was supervised by Prof. Dr. Martin Wallmeier, Finance and Accounting, at the University of Fribourg, Switzerland. Since 2013 Jan-Philipp Matthewes is the managing director of the boutique private equity firm ‘Matthewes Capital Invest GmbH’.
Outperform With Expectations Based Management
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Author : Tom Copeland
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2011-09-28
Outperform With Expectations Based Management written by Tom Copeland and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-09-28 with Business & Economics categories.
CEOs and managers live and die by delivering superior performance to shareholders. This is why expectations-based management has been developed. Outperform with Expectations-Based Management (EBM) introduces a revolutionary new performance metric that links performance standards, performance measurement, and the achievement of performance. It's easy to say that if a CEO can get performance measurement right, then performance improvement will follow. But what is the "right" measure of performance, and how do you use it to improve performance? Authors Tom Copeland and Aaron Dolgoff answer these questions and many more, as they show you how to find the measure of performance that has the strongest link to the creation of wealth for the owners of both public and private companies. They answer the puzzle of why growth in earnings is not correlated with shareholder returns and explain the under- and over-investment traps. And they explain how clear communications to investors and managers alike improve value. The bottom line is that share prices go up when companies exceed expectations -- short-term and long-term -- of income statement and balance sheet performance and daily operating value drivers. Gain a complete understanding of EBM and discover how to do this, and much more, while staying competitive in an unforgiving business environment.
Financial Analysts Forecasts And Stock Recommendations
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Author : Sundaresh Ramnath
language : en
Publisher: Now Publishers Inc
Release Date : 2008
Financial Analysts Forecasts And Stock Recommendations written by Sundaresh Ramnath and has been published by Now Publishers Inc this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Business & Economics categories.
Financial Analysts' Forecasts and Stock Recommendations reviews research related to the role of financial analysts in the allocation of resources in capital markets. The authors provide an organized look at the literature, with particular attention to important questions that remain open for further research. They focus research related to analysts' decision processes and the usefulness of their forecasts and stock recommendations. Some of the major surveys were published in the early 1990's and since then no less than 250 papers related to financial analysts have appeared in the nine major research journals that we used to launch our review of the literature. The research has evolved from descriptions of the statistical properties of analysts' forecasts to investigations of the incentives and decision processes that give rise to those properties. However, in spite of this broader focus, much of analysts' decision processes and the market's mechanism of drawing a useful consensus from the combination of individual analysts' decisions remain hidden in a black box. What do we know about the relevant valuation metrics and the mechanism by which analysts and investors translate forecasts into present equity values? What do we know about the heuristics relied upon by analysts and the market and the appropriateness of their use? Financial Analysts' Forecasts and Stock Recommendations examines these and other questions and concludes by highlighting area for future research.
Time Series Analysis And Its Applications
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Author : Robert H. Shumway
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2014-01-15
Time Series Analysis And Its Applications written by Robert H. Shumway and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-01-15 with categories.