Computing Risk For Oil Prospects Principles And Programs

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Computing Risk For Oil Prospects Principles And Programs
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Author : J.W. Harbaugh
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 1995-11-22
Computing Risk For Oil Prospects Principles And Programs written by J.W. Harbaugh and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1995-11-22 with Science categories.
The petroleum industry is enduring difficult financial times because of the continuing depressed price of crude oil on the world market. This has caused major corporate restructuring and reductions in staff throughout the industry. Because oil exploration must now be done with fewer people under more difficult economic constraints, it is essential that the most effective and efficient procedures be used. Computing Risk for Oil Prospects describes how prospect risk assessment — predicting the distribution of financial gains or losses that may result from the drilling of an exploration well — can be done using objective procedures implemented on personal computers. The procedures include analyses of historical data, interpretation of geological and geophysical data, and financial calculations to yield a spectrum of the possible consequences of decisions. All aspects of petroleum risk assessment are covered, from evaluating regional resources, through delineating an individual prospect, to calculation of the financial consequences of alternative decisions and their possible results. The bottom lines are given both in terms of the probable volumes of oil that may be discovered and the expected monetary returns. Statistical procedures are linked with computer mapping and interpretation algorithms, which feed their results directly into routines for financial analysis. The programs in the included library of computer programs are tailored to fit seamlessly together, and are designed for ease and simplicity of operation. The two diskettes supplied are IBM compatible. Full information on loading is given in Appendix A - Software Installation. Risk I diskette contains data files and executables and Risk 2 diskette contains only executables. The authors contend that the explorationist who develops a prospect should be involved in every facet of its analysis, including risk and financial assessments. This book provides the tools necessary for these tasks.
Simulating Oil Entrapment In Clastic Sequences
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Author : J. Wendebourg
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 1997-11-10
Simulating Oil Entrapment In Clastic Sequences written by J. Wendebourg and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997-11-10 with Technology & Engineering categories.
The book introduces procedures for simulating migration and entrapment of oil in three dimensions in sequences of sandstones and shales.A principal purpose is to show how simulation experiments can represent oil migration routes and predict places where oil may be trapped in sandstones and intercalated shales.The book derives the differential equations used to represent three-dimensional motions of porewater and oil in sedimentary sequences, and shows how the equations may be transformed into finite form for numerical solution with computers. There is emphasis on the graphic display of solutions, and results of example theoretical and actual applications are presented.The book is directed to geologists who have backgrounds in mathematics and computing and who are engaged in oil exploration and production.
Economic Risk In Hydrocarbon Exploration
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Author : Ian Lerche
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 1999-01-08
Economic Risk In Hydrocarbon Exploration written by Ian Lerche and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999-01-08 with Science categories.
Economic Risk in Hydrocarbon Exploration provides a total framework for assessing the uncertainties associated with exploration risk from beginning to end. Numerous examples with accompanying microcomputer algorithms illustrate how to quantitatively approach economic risk. The text compares detailed assumptions and models of economic risk, and presents numerical examples throughout to facilitate hands-on calculations using popular spread-sheet packages on personal computers. - Covers economic risk from exploration through production models - Brings methods to a level where all can be done on a PC - Analyzes numerical examples from the real world - Removes "mystery" from how economics is done - Addresses assumptions in models and shows how they influence projections
Biased Sampling Over Identified Parameter Problems And Beyond
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Author : Jing Qin
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-06-14
Biased Sampling Over Identified Parameter Problems And Beyond written by Jing Qin and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-06-14 with Business & Economics categories.
This book is devoted to biased sampling problems (also called choice-based sampling in Econometrics parlance) and over-identified parameter estimation problems. Biased sampling problems appear in many areas of research, including Medicine, Epidemiology and Public Health, the Social Sciences and Economics. The book addresses a range of important topics, including case and control studies, causal inference, missing data problems, meta-analysis, renewal process and length biased sampling problems, capture and recapture problems, case cohort studies, exponential tilting genetic mixture models etc. The goal of this book is to make it easier for Ph. D students and new researchers to get started in this research area. It will be of interest to all those who work in the health, biological, social and physical sciences, as well as those who are interested in survey methodology and other areas of statistical science, among others.
Geologic Modeling And Simulation
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Author : Daniel F. Merriam
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Geologic Modeling And Simulation written by Daniel F. Merriam and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Science categories.
Modeling and simulation were introduced to the earth sciences about four decades ago. Modeling has proven its worth and now it is an accepted procedure for analyzing and solving geological problems. The papers in this collection are focused on modeling sediment deposition and sedimentary sequences and have a decidedly practical flavor. Some of the leading simulation packages, such as CORRELATOR, SEDFLUX, SEDpak, SEDSIM, STRATA, and STRATSIM are applied to problems in hydrocarbon exploration, oil production, groundwater development, coal-bed appraisal, geothermics, and environmental diagnosis. All of these subjects fall under the broad heading of sedimentary basin analysis. The fifteen papers in this volume are written by internationally recognized experts from academia and industry. The contributions represent the status of geologic modeling and simulation at the start of the 21st century, and will give the reader an insight into current research problems and their possible solutions.
Bibliography Of Nautical Books
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Author : Alan Obin
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2000-02
Bibliography Of Nautical Books written by Alan Obin and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000-02 with categories.
This is the 15th annual edition of the Bibliography of Nautical Books, a reference guide to over 14,000 nautical publications. It deals specifically with the year 2000.
Encyclopedia Of Mathematical Geosciences
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Author : B. S. Daya Sagar
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2023-07-13
Encyclopedia Of Mathematical Geosciences written by B. S. Daya Sagar and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-07-13 with Science categories.
The Encyclopedia of Mathematical Geosciences is a complete and authoritative reference work. It provides concise explanation on each term that is related to Mathematical Geosciences. Over 300 international scientists, each expert in their specialties, have written around 350 separate articles on different topics of mathematical geosciences including contributions on Artificial Intelligence, Big Data, Compositional Data Analysis, Geomathematics, Geostatistics, Geographical Information Science, Mathematical Morphology, Mathematical Petrology, Multifractals, Multiple Point Statistics, Spatial Data Science, Spatial Statistics, and Stochastic Process Modeling. Each topic incorporates cross-referencing to related articles, and also has its own reference list to lead the reader to essential articles within the published literature. The entries are arranged alphabetically, for easy access, and the subject and author indices are comprehensive and extensive.
Risk Modeling For Determining Value And Decision Making
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Author : Glenn Koller
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2000-05-17
Risk Modeling For Determining Value And Decision Making written by Glenn Koller and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000-05-17 with Business & Economics categories.
Risk or uncertainty assessments are used as aids to decision making in nearly every aspect of business, education, and government. As a follow-up to the author's bestselling Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry: A Practical Guide, Risk Modeling for Determining Value and Decision Making presents comprehensive examples of risk
The State Geologist S Journal
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2000
The State Geologist S Journal written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000 with Geology categories.
Project Valuation And Decision Making Under Risk And Uncertainty Applying Decision Tree Analysis And Monte Carlo Simulation
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Author : Donald Dibra
language : en
Publisher: BoD – Books on Demand
Release Date : 2015-04-28
Project Valuation And Decision Making Under Risk And Uncertainty Applying Decision Tree Analysis And Monte Carlo Simulation written by Donald Dibra and has been published by BoD – Books on Demand this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-04-28 with Business & Economics categories.
This work presents the application of the Monte Carlo Simulation method and the Decision Tree Analysis approach when dealing with the economic valuation of projects which are subjected to risks and uncertainties. The Net Present Value of a project is usually used as an investment decision parameter. Using deterministic models to calculate a project’s Net Present Value neglects the risky and uncertain nature of real life projects and consequently leads to useless valuation results. Realistic valuation models need to use probability density distributions for the input parameters and certain probabilities for the occurrence of specific events during the life time of a project in combination with the Monte Carlo Simulation method and the Decision Tree Analysis approach. After a short introduction a brief explanation of the traditional project valuation methods is given. The main focus of this work lies in using the Net Present Value method as a basic valuation tool in conjunction with the Monte Carlo Simulation technique and the Decision Tree Analysis approach to form a comprehensive method for project valuation under risk and uncertainty. The extensive project valuation methodology introduced is applied on two fictional projects, one from the pharmaceutical sector and one from the oil and gas exploration and production industry. Both industries deal with high risks, high uncertainties and high costs, but also high rewards. The example from the pharmaceutical industry illustrates very well how the application of the Monte Carlo Simulation and Decision Tree Analysis method, results in a well-diversified portfolio of new drugs with the highest reward at minimum possible risk. Applying the presented probabilistic project valuation approach on the oil exploration and production project shows how to reduce the risk of losing big.