Credit Ratings And Credit Default Swaps During The European Sovereign Debt Crisis
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Credit Ratings And Credit Default Swaps During The European Sovereign Debt Crisis
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Author : Utkarsh Katyaayun
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2017
Credit Ratings And Credit Default Swaps During The European Sovereign Debt Crisis written by Utkarsh Katyaayun and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017 with categories.
We investigate the relationship between credit rating events and credit default swap spreads for EU countries around the Subprime and European Debt Crises. Using event studies and OLS regressions we analyse the behavior of CDS spreads before, around and after credit rating events. Our results indicate that CDS spreads anticipate positive rating events as early as 2-3 months before the event however the anticipation for negative events is only 1-2 months prior; in addition we also observe announcement and post announcement effects in some instances. We also find that the behavior of CDS spreads and credit rating events has undergone a significant change after the crisis period. On similar lines, using logit and multinomial logit regressions we find that a change in CDS spreads are effective in predicting forthcoming credit rating events.
Sovereign Rating News And Financial Markets Spillovers
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Author : Mr.Rabah Arezki
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2011-03-01
Sovereign Rating News And Financial Markets Spillovers written by Mr.Rabah Arezki and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-03-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper examines the spillover effects of sovereign rating news on European financial markets during the period 2007-2010. Our main finding is that sovereign rating downgrades have statistically and economically significant spillover effects both across countries and financial markets. The sign and magnitude of the spillover effects depend both on the type of announcements, the source country experiencing the downgrade and the rating agency from which the announcements originates. However, we also find evidence that downgrades to near speculative grade ratings for relatively large economies such as Greece have a systematic spillover effects across Euro zone countries. Rating-based triggers used in banking regulation, CDS contracts, and investment mandates may help explain these results.
The World Scientific Handbook Of Futures Markets
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Author : Anastasios G. E. T. Al MALLIARIS
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2015-08-06
The World Scientific Handbook Of Futures Markets written by Anastasios G. E. T. Al MALLIARIS and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-08-06 with Business & Economics categories.
"The World Scientific Handbook of Futures Markets serves as a definitive source for comprehensive and accessible information in futures markets. The emphasis is on the unique characteristics of futures markets that make them worthy of a special volume. In our judgment, futures markets are currently undergoing remarkable changes as trading is shifting from open outcry to electronic and as the traditional functions of hedging and speculation are extended to include futures as an alternative investment vehicle in traditional portfolios. The unique feature of this volume is the selection of five classic papers that lay the foundations of the futures markets and the invitation to the leading academics who do work in the area to write critical surveys in a dozen important topics."--$cProvided by publisher.
Credit Ratings And The Pricing Of Sovereign Debt During The Euro Crisis
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Author : Joshua Aizenman
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013
Credit Ratings And The Pricing Of Sovereign Debt During The Euro Crisis written by Joshua Aizenman and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with Economics categories.
This paper investigates the impact of credit rating changes on the sovereign spreads in the European Union and investigates the macro and financial factors that account for the time varying effects of a given credit rating change. We find that changes of ratings are informative, economically important and highly statistically significant in panel models even after controlling for a host of domestic and global fundamental factors and investigating various functional forms, time and country groupings and dynamic structures. Dynamic panel model estimates indicate that a credit rating upgrade decreases CDS spreads by about 45 basis points, on average, for EU countries. However, the association between credit rating changes and spreads shifted markedly between the pre-crisis and crisis periods. European countries had quite similar CDS responses to credit rating changes during the pre-crisis period, but that large differences emerged during the crisis period between the now highly-sensitive GIIPS group and other European country groupings (EU and Euro Area excluding GIIPS, and the non-EU area). We also find a complicated non-linear pattern dependent on the level of the credit rating. The results are robust to the including credit "outlook" or "watch" signals by credit rating agencies. In addition, contagion from rating downgrades in GIIPS to other euro countries is not evident once own-country credit rating changes are taken into account.
Credit Default Swaps On Government Debt
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Author : United States. Congress. House. Committee on Financial Services. Subcommittee on Capital Markets, Insurance, and Government Sponsored Enterprises
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2010
Credit Default Swaps On Government Debt written by United States. Congress. House. Committee on Financial Services. Subcommittee on Capital Markets, Insurance, and Government Sponsored Enterprises and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010 with Business & Economics categories.
The Greek Debt Crisis
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Author : Christos Floros
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-11-08
The Greek Debt Crisis written by Christos Floros and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-11-08 with Business & Economics categories.
This book sheds new light on the Greek economic challenges and helps readers understand the current debt crisis. Chapters from leading experts in the field identify and outline potential solutions to the on-going decline of the Greek economy by considering both Eurozone-adopted current policy framework explanations and potential alternative explanations. In contrast to the standard chronological approach toward the Greek debt crisis typically adopted by other texts, this book draws on the experience and views of specialized economists and offers divergent opinions that could potentially form alternative solutions. It will be of interest to researchers and academics interested in the Greek economy, modern financial modelling, and risk management.
Europe On The Brink
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Author : Tony Phillips
language : en
Publisher: Zed Books Ltd.
Release Date : 2014-07-10
Europe On The Brink written by Tony Phillips and has been published by Zed Books Ltd. this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-07-10 with Business & Economics categories.
Europe is suffering from a bipolar economic disorder. Financial journalists divide the continent into two groups of nations - centre and periphery - not by geography but by credit rating. Europe on the Brink is a critical investigation of the root causes of this sovereign debt crisis, and the often misguided policy choices made to resolve it. Nobel Laureate Joseph Stiglitz, together with two other finance experts, compares debt contagion in Europe with regional financial crises elsewhere, while Roberto Lavagna, former economics minister in Argentina, provides a poignant comparative analysis with his own country’s experience. Crucially and uniquely, Portuguese, Greek and Irish economists provide hard-hitting case studies from the perspective of the periphery. This much-needed book offers a heterodox economic perspective on the causes, symptoms and solutions of the biggest economic issue currently facing Europe.
The European Debt Crisis And The Future Of The Eurozone
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Author : Daniel McGovern
language : en
Publisher: Wiley
Release Date : 2012-11-30
The European Debt Crisis And The Future Of The Eurozone written by Daniel McGovern and has been published by Wiley this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-11-30 with Business & Economics categories.
Everything finance professionals need to know about Europe's sovereign debt crisis Europe's debt crisis continues unabated, resulting in steep borrowing costs, loss of access to capital markets, and unprecedented sovereign debt restructuring. Banking systems are suffering through deteriorating loan books, deposit outflows, and a loss of medium-term funding. The EU and European Central Bank have responded with massive bailout programs, but financial markets remain wary of the long-term prospects for Europe, particularly as the possibility of peripheral countries leaving the Eurozone increases. The European Debt Crisis and the Future of the Eurozone presents unique insider perspectives on the crisis with informed insight from key players in the ECB, major European governments, and ratings agencies, as well as leading bankers and market analysts. The book details the root causes of the crisis, including excessive leverage and large deficits, before exploring the role of credit ratings and credit default swaps in sustaining the crisis. It looks at what can be done to ensure liquidity for governments and banks and offers advice for investors on what to do if they become insolvent. It explains the reforms needed to put Europe's banks and governments on a stable long-term footing and what those reforms will mean for investors and finance and banking professionals. Includes a clear and compelling explanation of the sovereign debt crisis and what can be done to fix Europe's ailing banks and governments Enables readers to understand both how banking problems can overwhelm governments and how government debt problems can undermine local banking systems Written by a financial consultant with more than 25 years of experience working in sovereign debt, economic and financial research, and capital markets Europe's debt crisis and the reforms needed to solve it will have a major impact on financial and banking decisions for years to come. The European Debt Crisis and the Future of the Eurozone gives bankers and investors the information they need to successfully navigate the EU's shifting financial landscape.
Pricing Of Sovereign Credit Risk
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Author : Mr.Emre Alper
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2012-01-01
Pricing Of Sovereign Credit Risk written by Mr.Emre Alper and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-01-01 with Business & Economics categories.
We investigate the pricing of sovereign credit risk over the period 2008-2010 for selected advanced economies by examining two widely-used indicators: sovereign credit default swap (CDS) and relative asset swap (RAS) spreads. Cointegration analysis suggests the existence of an imperfect market arbitrage relationship between the cash (RAS) and the derivatives (CDS) markets, with price discovery taking place in the latter. Likewise, panel regressions aimed at uncovering the fundamental drivers of the two indicators show that the CDS market, although less liquid, has provided a better signal for sovereign credit risk during the period of the recent financial crisis.
A Century Of Sovereign Ratings
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Author : Norbert Gaillard
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2011-09-21
A Century Of Sovereign Ratings written by Norbert Gaillard and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-09-21 with Business & Economics categories.
The financial difficulties experienced by Greece since 2009 serve as a reminder that countries (i.e., sovereigns) may default on their debt. Many observers considered the financial turmoil was behind us because major advanced countries had adopted stimulus packages to prevent banks from going bankrupt. However, there are rising doubts about the creditworthiness of several advanced countries that participated in the bailouts. In this uncertain context, it is particularly crucial to be knowledgeable about sovereign ratings. This book provides the necessary broad overview, which will be of interest to both economists and investors alike. Chapter 1 presents the main issues that are addressed in this book. Chapters 2, 3, and 4 provide the key notions to understand sovereign ratings. Chapter 2 presents an overview of sovereign rating activity since the first such ratings were assigned in 1918. Chapter 3 analyzes the meaning of sovereign ratings and the significance of rating scales; it also describes the refinement of credit rating policies and tools. Chapter 4 focuses on the sovereign rating process. Chapters 5 and 6 open the black box of sovereign ratings. Chapter 5 compares sovereign rating methodologies in the interwar years with those in the modern era. After examining how rating agencies have amended their methodologies since the 1990s, Chapter 6 scrutinizes rating disagreements between credit rating agencies (CRAs). Chapters 7 and 8 measure the performances of sovereign ratings by computing default rates and accuracy ratios: Chapter 7 looks at the interwar years and Chapter 8 at the modern era. The two chapters assess which CRA assigns the most accurate ratings during the respective periods. Chapters 9 and 10 compare the perception of sovereign risk by the CRAs and market participants. Chapter 9 focuses on the relation between JP Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Global spreads and emerging countries’ sovereign ratings for the period 1993–2007. Chapter 10 compares the eurozone members’ sovereign ratings with Credit Default Swap-Implied Ratings (CDS-IRs) during the Greek debt crisis of November 2009–May 2010.