Current Account Reversals And Currency Crises

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Current Account Reversals And Currency Crises

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Author : Mr.Gian Milesi-Ferretti
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1998-06-01

Current Account Reversals And Currency Crises written by Mr.Gian Milesi-Ferretti and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-06-01 with Business & Economics categories.

This paper studies large reductions in current account deficits and exchange rate depreciations in low- and middle-income countries. It examines which factors help predict the occurrence of a reversal or a currency crisis, and how these events affect macroeconomic performance. Both domestic factors, such as the low reserves, and external factors, such as unfavorable terms of trade, are found to trigger reversals and currency crises. The two types of events are, however, distinct; an exchange rate crash is associated with a fall in output growth and a recovery thereafter, while for reversals there is no systematic evidence of a growth slowdown.

Current Account Reversals And Currency Crises

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Author : Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006

Current Account Reversals And Currency Crises written by Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with categories.

This paper studies large reductions in current account deficits and exchange rate depreciations in low- and middle-income countries. It examines which factors help predict the occurrence of a reversal or a currency crisis, and how these events affect macroeconomic performance. Both domestic factors, such as the low reserves, and external factors, such as unfavorable terms of trade, are found to trigger reversals and currency crises. The two types of events are, however, distinct; an exchange rate crash is associated with a fall in output growth and a recovery thereafter, while for reversals there is no systematic evidence of a growth slowdown.

Currency Crises

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Author : Paul Krugman
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2007-12-01

Currency Crises written by Paul Krugman and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-12-01 with Business & Economics categories.

There is no universally accepted definition of a currency crisis, but most would agree that they all involve one key element: investors fleeing a currency en masse out of fear that it might be devalued, in turn fueling the very devaluation they anticipated. Although such crises—the Latin American debt crisis of the 1980s, the speculations on European currencies in the early 1990s, and the ensuing Mexican, South American, and Asian crises—have played a central role in world affairs and continue to occur at an alarming rate, many questions about their causes and effects remain to be answered. In this wide-ranging volume, some of the best minds in economics focus on the historical and theoretical aspects of currency crises to investigate three fundamental issues: What drives currency crises? How should government behavior be modeled? And what are the actual consequences to the real economy? Reflecting the latest thinking on the subject, this offering from the NBER will serve as a useful basis for further debate on the theory and practice of speculative attacks, as well as a valuable resource as new crises loom.

Current Account Reversals

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Author : Barry J. Eichengreen
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2005

Current Account Reversals written by Barry J. Eichengreen and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Financial crises categories.

"Using panel data and case studies, we analyze the pre-1970 history of international capital flows and current account reversals. Considering a sample of emerging markets and advanced economies with per capita GDPs at least 60 per cent those of the lead country, we show that the incidence of reversals has been unusually great in recent years. The only prior period that matched the last three decades in terms of the frequency and magnitude of reversals was the 1920s and 1930s, decades notorious for the instability of capital flows. In contrast, reversals were both less common and smaller in the Bretton Woods and pre-World War I gold standard eras"--NBER website

Preventing Currency Crises In Emerging Markets

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Author : Sebastian Edwards
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2009-02-15

Preventing Currency Crises In Emerging Markets written by Sebastian Edwards and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-02-15 with Business & Economics categories.

Economists and policymakers are still trying to understand the lessons recent financial crises in Asia and other emerging market countries hold for the future of the global financial system. In this timely and important volume, distinguished academics, officials in multilateral organizations, and public and private sector economists explore the causes of and effective policy responses to international currency crises. Topics covered include exchange rate regimes, contagion (transmission of currency crises across countries), the current account of the balance of payments, the role of private sector investors and of speculators, the reaction of the official sector (including the multilaterals), capital controls, bank supervision and weaknesses, and the roles of cronyism, corruption, and large players (including hedge funds). Ably balancing detailed case studies, cross-country comparisons, and theoretical concerns, this book will make a major contribution to ongoing efforts to understand and prevent international currency crises.

Imf Staff Papers Volume 51 Special Issue Imf Fourth Annual Research Conference

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Author : Mr.Ashoka Mody
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2004-06-10

Imf Staff Papers Volume 51 Special Issue Imf Fourth Annual Research Conference written by Mr.Ashoka Mody and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004-06-10 with Business & Economics categories.

This is the 2004 (Volume 51) Special Issue of IMF Staff Papers, which includes 6 selected papers (from more than 20) that were presented at the IMF's Fourth Annual Research Conference, November 6-7, 2003.

Brookings Papers On Economic Activity 1 2005

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Author : William C. Brainard
language : en
Publisher: Brookings Institution Press
Release Date : 2010-12-01

Brookings Papers On Economic Activity 1 2005 written by William C. Brainard and has been published by Brookings Institution Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-12-01 with Political Science categories.

Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (BPEA) provides academic and business economists, government officials, and members of the financial and business communities with timely research on current economic issues.

Managing Currency Crises In Emerging Markets

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Author : Michael P. Dooley
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2007-11-01

Managing Currency Crises In Emerging Markets written by Michael P. Dooley and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-11-01 with Business & Economics categories.

The management of financial crises in emerging markets is a vital and high-stakes challenge in an increasingly global economy. For this reason, it's also a highly contentious issue in today's public policy circles. In this book, leading economists-many of whom have also participated in policy debates on these issues-consider how best to reduce the frequency and cost of such crises. The contributions here explore the management process from the beginning of a crisis to the long-term effects of the techniques used to minimize it. The first three chapters focus on the earliest responses and the immediate defense of a currency under attack, exploring whether unnecessary damage to economies can be avoided by adopting the right response within the first few days of a financial crisis. Next, contributors examine the adjustment programs that follow, considering how to design these programs so that they shorten the recovery phase, encourage economic growth, and minimize the probability of future difficulties. Finally, the last four papers analyze the actual effects of adjustment programs, asking whether they accomplish what they are designed to do-and whether, as many critics assert, they impose disproportionate costs on the poorest members of society. Recent high-profile currency crises have proven not only how harmful they can be to neighboring economies and trading partners, but also how important policy responses can be in determining their duration and severity. Economists and policymakers will welcome the insightful evaluations in this important volume, and those of its companion, Sebastian Edwards and Jeffrey A. Frankel's Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets.

The New International Monetary System

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Author : Charles Wyplosz
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2010-02-25

The New International Monetary System written by Charles Wyplosz and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-02-25 with Business & Economics categories.

Edited by and with an introduction from Charles Wyplosz, this book brings together some of the key international people in the field of monetary policy, central banking and exchange rate regimes to discuss contemporary international monetary issues.

International Capital Flows And National Creditworthiness

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Author : Mr.Paul Cashin
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1998-12-01

International Capital Flows And National Creditworthiness written by Mr.Paul Cashin and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-12-01 with Business & Economics categories.

This paper examines the optimality of international capital flows to a persistent net importer of capital, Australia, during its post-capital-controls period 1984-98. The results suggest that international capital flows were larger than optimal during the 1980s, but in the 1990s such flows have been broadly consistent with those predicted by the consumption-smoothing approach to the determination of the current account. The paper also discusses the main implications arising from measures of optimal capital flows, and compares them with the implications arising from the key concepts used in the determination of national creditworthiness.