Debt Cycles In The World Economy
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Debt Cycles In The World Economy
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Author : Christian Suter
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2019-03-07
Debt Cycles In The World Economy written by Christian Suter and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-03-07 with Political Science categories.
This book describes and explains the long-term dynamics of Third World debt during the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, focusing on the various specific historical patterns of foreign loans, financial crises, and debt settlements between 1820 and 1990.
Global Waves Of Debt
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Author : M. Ayhan Kose
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 2021-03-03
Global Waves Of Debt written by M. Ayhan Kose and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-03-03 with Business & Economics categories.
The global economy has experienced four waves of rapid debt accumulation over the past 50 years. The first three debt waves ended with financial crises in many emerging market and developing economies. During the current wave, which started in 2010, the increase in debt in these economies has already been larger, faster, and broader-based than in the previous three waves. Current low interest rates mitigate some of the risks associated with high debt. However, emerging market and developing economies are also confronted by weak growth prospects, mounting vulnerabilities, and elevated global risks. A menu of policy options is available to reduce the likelihood that the current debt wave will end in crisis and, if crises do take place, will alleviate their impact.
World Economic Outlook April 2007
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2006-09-19
World Economic Outlook April 2007 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-09-19 with Business & Economics categories.
The IMF’s World Economic Outlook is packed with country specific facts, figures, and worldwide projections that present the outlook for growth, inflation, trade, and other economic developments in a clear, practical format. Leading international economists pull together the latest data on key topics, producing informed projections and policy analyses that show where the global economy is headed in the years to come. Business executives, policymakers, bankers, investors, marketing strategists, and economists worldwide refer to the WEO with confidence because it delivers a balanced view of the current economic situation, built upon the respected and extensive macroeconomic expertise and statistical resources of the IMF. The WEO is the product of a unique international exercise in information gathering and analysis performed by over 1,000 economists on the IMF staff. An annual subscription to the World Economic Outlook, published at least twice a year in English, French, Spanish, and Arabic, offers a comprehensive assessment of the international economic situation as well as prospects for the future. With its analyses backed by the expertise and unparalleled resources of the IMF, the World Economic Outlook is the authoritative reference in its field. Today, when even small economic fluctuations can trigger major financial swings, the WEO supplies a solid source of actionable information and data.
Sectoral Debt And Global Dollar Cycles In Developing Economies
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Author : Bada Han
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2024-02-16
Sectoral Debt And Global Dollar Cycles In Developing Economies written by Bada Han and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-02-16 with Business & Economics categories.
We explore the role of sectoral debt dynamics in shaping business cycles in a sample of 52 Emerging Market Economies (EMEs) and Frontier Market Economies (FMEs) from 2005 to 2021. Higher household debt levels and growth are associated with significantly slower GDP growth in more developed EMEs but not in less developed EMEs and FMEs. We also examine the relationship between US dollar cycles, sectoral debt levels and growth, and economic activity. Among developed EMEs, higher expected household debt growth magnifies the impact of US dollar fluctuations on economic activity, with significant but less persistent effects on consumption and more persistent effects on investment. Our empirical findings highlight the important role of household debt dynamics in relatively developed EMEs.
How Do Public Debt Cycles Interact With Financial Cycles
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Author : Tigran Poghosyan
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2015-11-25
How Do Public Debt Cycles Interact With Financial Cycles written by Tigran Poghosyan and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-11-25 with Social Science categories.
We employ a duration model to study determinants of public debt cycles in 57 advanced and emerging economies over the 1960–2014 period, with a particular focus on the impact of financial cycles. The results suggest that the association between financial and debt cycles is asymmetric. Debt expansions preceded by overheating in credit and financial markets tend to last longer than other expansions, but there is no significant association between financial cycles and debt contractions. There is strong evidence of duration dependence in both phases of the cycle, with the likelihood of expansions and contractions to end increasing with the length of their respective spells. Higher initial level of debt increases the spell of contractions (persistence of adjustment effort hypothesis) and reduces the spell of expansions (debt sustainability hypothesis). This result is robust to the inclusion of global factors, openness, political stability, and debt crisis indicators as additional controls.
The Global Economy In Transition
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Author : Jørgen Ørstrøm Møller
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2013-06-28
The Global Economy In Transition written by Jørgen Ørstrøm Møller and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-06-28 with Business & Economics categories.
This book is a collection of essays written by Ambassador, Professor Jørgen Ørstrøm Møller from the middle of 2009 to end of 2012, commenting on global economic and political events, which reflect Moeller's judgment and evaluation on these issues. Readers get an overview to the collection of essays and the worldview they represent in an introductory chapter weaving together strands of economics, politics, and societal issues. Møller goes a step further by sketching up a picture of how a future economic model and political system may look — forged by debt, scarcities, economic integration, and the rise of Asia. Part I deals with global systems and possible long trends shaping the future over the coming decades, as the current political system and economic model, having run their course, come to an end. Part II discusses how the era of scarcities will change economic behaviour in terms of economic models. Part III looks into the global debt problem, which confines the world to low growth over one or two decades as the world tries to get rid of the debt burden. Part IV forms an analysis of what has happened in the Euro-zone and how the global debt crisis has compelled the Europeans to take the next steps in integration and address the shortcomings and flaws in the original treaty from 1992. Part V turns to Asia and its future in the global economy. It concentrates on Asian integration and how the Asian countries will fare in the future under much changed circumstances compared to how things looked when the Asian adventure started some 30–40 years ago. At the end, readers will find a short post-scriptum with some of Moeller's afterthoughts on the important issues discussed throughout the book. Contents:The Global System:Introduction to Part IChina's Effort to Redefine Corporate GovernanceWelcome to the Age of AngstWikileaks and Consequences for Modern DiplomacyThe Deadly CocktailPrivate Gain, Public LossMaking Profit at the Cost of Society's InterestConventional Economic Theory — A Critique Highlighting Flaws in American Style CapitalismScarcities — New Economic Thinking:Introduction to Part IIKey Events Driving the Future of Chinese EconomySaving Resources with a Tax on Their Total UseWant a Way Out of the Recession? Create Jobs by Saving ResourcesThe Era of ScarcitiesAsia Redraws the Map of ProgressTax on Commodity Profits Could Postpone ScarcityDebt:Introduction to Part IIIThe Way Out of the Debt TrapGlobal Debt Picture Not Very PrettyInflation or Deflation? Both!US More Worrying Than EuropeWhy Debt Does Not Go AwayGlobal Economy Faces Wealth RedistributionHas the Fed Got It Wrong Again?The Markets Prey on Debt-Laden NationsNationalism or Capitalism? Sovereign Wealth Funds of Non-OECD CountriesAgonising Wait for US Economy to RebalanceGet Out While You CanUS Recession: Spend Now, Save LaterThe Euro-Zone:Introduction to Part IVLessons Asia Can Learn From EuropeEurope, Not Euro, May Break ApartNow Comes the Hard Part for the Euro-ZoneWhy the Euro Will SurviveIn Europe, North Battles SouthEurope After the Debt CrisisPainful Euro Crisis and Lessons for the WorldThe Euro-Zone Fights for SurvivalAsia in the Global Economy:Introduction to Part VEconomic Integration — The Future for AsiaFrom Asian Financial Crisis to the Western Debt CrisisThe Asian Supply Chain Becomes More CompactWhat Makes S'pore DifferentLessons for Asia From the Global Financial CrisisHow Will Southeast Asia Position Itself in Asia's Future in an Age of Scarcities?How Can ASEAN Stay Relevant?Asia Faces US Default on Its Sovereign DebtUS and China May Move to Cap Military SpendingChina to the Rescue: Growing Out of the Financial CrisisHow the US and Asia Can Help Each Other Readership: Researchers, professionals, or graduate students interested in globalization, corporate governance, and policy-makers or business leaders involved with economics and politics, who are interested in current global economic trends and issues. Keywords:Globalization;China;Economics;Global Economy;Debt Crisis;Resource Scarcity;Economic Model;Political SystemKey Features:Addresses current problems, enhances knowledge and opens the door to the future shape of economics and politics steered by debt and resource scarcitiesProvides an overview to the collection of essays and worldview they representWeaves together economics, politics and societal and issuesReviews: "A European living in Asia who provides an international perspective on the most important global issues. Jørgen Møller's writings are both sharp and balanced — a stimulating blend of the Occident and the Orient." Indermit Gill Chief Economist Europe and Central Asia, The World Bank "“Jørgen Møller is a global public intellectual par excellence. As a former top Danish diplomat with decades of experience in Europe and Asia, he brings deep-seated practical knowledge to bear on the most vital issues of political economy — in particular, debt and national strategies for growth. The latest collection of his work, The Global Economy in Transition, merits a place on the shelf of every policymaker, researcher and activist concerned about the future and whether globalization promises stability and equity or greater instability and inequality." Ambassador Derek Shearer Chevalier Professor of Diplomacy and Director of the McKinnon Center on Global Affairs Occidental College
Principles
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Author : Ray Dalio
language : en
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
Release Date : 2018-08-07
Principles written by Ray Dalio and has been published by Simon and Schuster this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-08-07 with Business & Economics categories.
#1 New York Times Bestseller “Significant...The book is both instructive and surprisingly moving.” —The New York Times Ray Dalio, one of the world’s most successful investors and entrepreneurs, shares the unconventional principles that he’s developed, refined, and used over the past forty years to create unique results in both life and business—and which any person or organization can adopt to help achieve their goals. In 1975, Ray Dalio founded an investment firm, Bridgewater Associates, out of his two-bedroom apartment in New York City. Forty years later, Bridgewater has made more money for its clients than any other hedge fund in history and grown into the fifth most important private company in the United States, according to Fortune magazine. Dalio himself has been named to Time magazine’s list of the 100 most influential people in the world. Along the way, Dalio discovered a set of unique principles that have led to Bridgewater’s exceptionally effective culture, which he describes as “an idea meritocracy that strives to achieve meaningful work and meaningful relationships through radical transparency.” It is these principles, and not anything special about Dalio—who grew up an ordinary kid in a middle-class Long Island neighborhood—that he believes are the reason behind his success. In Principles, Dalio shares what he’s learned over the course of his remarkable career. He argues that life, management, economics, and investing can all be systemized into rules and understood like machines. The book’s hundreds of practical lessons, which are built around his cornerstones of “radical truth” and “radical transparency,” include Dalio laying out the most effective ways for individuals and organizations to make decisions, approach challenges, and build strong teams. He also describes the innovative tools the firm uses to bring an idea meritocracy to life, such as creating “baseball cards” for all employees that distill their strengths and weaknesses, and employing computerized decision-making systems to make believability-weighted decisions. While the book brims with novel ideas for organizations and institutions, Principles also offers a clear, straightforward approach to decision-making that Dalio believes anyone can apply, no matter what they’re seeking to achieve. Here, from a man who has been called both “the Steve Jobs of investing” and “the philosopher king of the financial universe” (CIO magazine), is a rare opportunity to gain proven advice unlike anything you’ll find in the conventional business press.
Endgame
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Author : John Mauldin
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2011-02-09
Endgame written by John Mauldin and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-02-09 with Business & Economics categories.
Greece isn't the only country drowning in debt. The Debt Supercycle—when the easily managed, decades-long growth of debt results in a massive sovereign debt and credit crisis—is affecting developed countries around the world, including the United States. For these countries, there are only two options, and neither is good—restructure the debt or reduce it through austerity measures. Endgame details the Debt Supercycle and the sovereign debt crisis, and shows that, while there are no good choices, the worst choice would be to ignore the deleveraging resulting from the credit crisis. The book: Reveals why the world economy is in for an extended period of sluggish growth, high unemployment, and volatile markets punctuated by persistent recessions Reviews global markets, trends in population, government policies, and currencies Around the world, countries are faced with difficult choices. Endgame provides a framework for making those choices.
The Great Super Cycle
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Author : David Skarica
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2010-10-15
The Great Super Cycle written by David Skarica and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-10-15 with Business & Economics categories.
The United States has a problem – a big problem. Due to costs associated with the massive bailout of financial institutions deemed "too big to fail," on-going armed conflicts, and a move towards socialism, another even bigger bubble is about to burst – the debt bubble. The Great Super Cycle: Profit from the Coming Inflation Tidal Wave and Dollar Devaluation is an intriguing look at the relationship between Washington and Wall Street; the history of political shifts in power and how those shifts influenced the global economy; and, the ways investors can profit as economies move away from U.S. dollar and debt. The book: Discusses how a socialist America will result in the U.S. economy becoming far less competitive, while causing funds to move offshore Details how investors can profit by investing in gold, oil, and Asian markets Explains major cyclical movements from the mega cycle of world power to stock market cycles which last 10-20 years. As the United States begins to deal with its massive debt bubble, The Great Super Cycle just might prove the most powerful tool an investor has for making money in the turbulent years to come.
The Political Economy Of International Financial Instability
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Author : Pier Carlo Padoan
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 1986
The Political Economy Of International Financial Instability written by Pier Carlo Padoan and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1986 with Debts, External. categories.