Dynamic Econometrics For Empirical Macroeconomic Modelling

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Dynamic Econometrics For Empirical Macroeconomic Modelling

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Author : Ragnar Nymoen
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Company
Release Date : 2019-07-03

Dynamic Econometrics For Empirical Macroeconomic Modelling written by Ragnar Nymoen and has been published by World Scientific Publishing Company this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-07-03 with Econometrics categories.

In this textbook, intended for master and PhD students in economics, the duality between the equilibrium concept used in dynamic economic theory, and the stationarity of economic variables is explained, and used in the presentation of econometric methods, for single equations models and for system of equations such as VARs, recursive models and simultaneous equations models. The necessary background in the mathematics of difference equations, is provided in a separate chapter. The same mathematics is used to extend the econometric methodology to non-stationary time series, which is typical of macroeconomic data. The book covers the main methods for specification and estimation of cointegrated systems. The book also contains a separate chapter on exogeneity, in the context of estimation, policy analysis and forecasting. The book also has a separate chapter about automatic (computer based) variable selection, and how it can aid in the specification of an empirical macroeconomic model. The final chapter of the book contains a common framework for model based economic forecasting. The challenges to forecasting presented by the broad sense non-stationarity of real world economic variables is discussed, as well as remedies that can be used in practice to robustify model based forecasts. There are end of chapter exercises, which are both theoretical and practical, and there are solution proposals to all exercises.

Dynamic Econometrics For Empirical Macroeconomic Modelling

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Author : Ragnar Nymoen
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2019-07-09

Dynamic Econometrics For Empirical Macroeconomic Modelling written by Ragnar Nymoen and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-07-09 with Business & Economics categories.

For Masters and PhD students in EconomicsIn this textbook, the duality between the equilibrium concept used in dynamic economic theory and the stationarity of economic variables is explained and used in the presentation of single equations models and system of equations such as VARs, recursive models and simultaneous equations models.The book also contains chapters on: exogeneity, in the context of estimation, policy analysis and forecasting; automatic (computer based) variable selection, and how it can aid in the specification of an empirical macroeconomic model; and finally, on a common framework for model-based economic forecasting.Supplementary materials and notes are available on the publisher's website.

The Econometrics Of Macroeconomic Modelling

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Author : Gunnar Bårdsen
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
Release Date : 2005

The Econometrics Of Macroeconomic Modelling written by Gunnar Bårdsen and has been published by Oxford University Press, USA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Business & Economics categories.

This work describes how the discipline has adapted to changing demands by adopting new insights from economic theory and by taking advantage of the methodological and conceptual advances within time series econometrics.

The Econometrics Of Macroeconomic Modelling

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Author : Gunnar Bårdsen
language : en
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Release Date : 2005-04-14

The Econometrics Of Macroeconomic Modelling written by Gunnar Bårdsen and has been published by OUP Oxford this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-04-14 with Business & Economics categories.

Macroeconometric models, in many ways the flagships of the economist's profession in the 1960s, came under increasing attack from both theoretical economist and practitioners in the late 1970s. Critics referred to their lack of microeconomic theoretical foundations, ad hoc models of expectations, lack of identification, neglect of dynamics and non-stationarity, and poor forecasting properties. By the start of the 1990s, the status of macroeconometric models had declined markedly, and had fallen completely out of, and with, academic economics. Nevertheless, unlike the dinosaurs to which they often have been likened, macroeconometric models have never completely disappeared from the scene. This book describes how and why the discipline of macroeconometric modelling continues to play a role for economic policymaking by adapting to changing demands, in response, for instance, to new policy regimes like inflation targeting. Model builders have adopted new insights from economic theory and taken advantage of the methodological and conceptual advances within time series econometrics over the last twenty years. The modelling of wages and prices takes a central part in the book as the authors interpret and evaluate the last forty years of international research experience in the light of the Norwegian 'main course' model of inflation in a small open economy. The preferred model is a dynamic model of incomplete competition, which is evaluated against alternatives as diverse as the Phillips curve, Nickell-Layard wage curves, the New Keynesian Phillips curve, and monetary inflation models on data from the Euro area, the UK, and Norway. The wage price core model is built into a small econometric model for Norway to analyse the transmission mechanism and to evaluate monetary policy rules. The final chapter explores the main sources of forecast failure likely to occur in a practical modelling situation, using the large-scale nodel RIMINI and the inflation models of earlier chapters as case studies.

Handbook Of Research Methods And Applications In Empirical Macroeconomics

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Author : Nigar Hashimzade
language : en
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Release Date : 2013-01-01

Handbook Of Research Methods And Applications In Empirical Macroeconomics written by Nigar Hashimzade and has been published by Edward Elgar Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-01-01 with Business & Economics categories.

This comprehensive Handbook presents the current state of art in the theory and methodology of macroeconomic data analysis. It is intended as a reference for graduate students and researchers interested in exploring new methodologies, but can also be employed as a graduate text. The Handbook concentrates on the most important issues, models and techniques for research in macroeconomics, and highlights the core methodologies and their empirical application in an accessible manner. Each chapter is largely self-contained, whilst the comprehensive introduction provides an overview of the key statistical concepts and methods. All of the chapters include the essential references for each topic and provide a sound guide for further reading. Topics covered include unit roots, non-linearities and structural breaks, time aggregation, forecasting, the Kalman filter, generalised method of moments, maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimation, vector autoregressive, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium and dynamic panel models. Presenting the most important models and techniques for empirical research, this Handbook will appeal to students, researchers and academics working in empirical macro and econometrics.

Rational Expectations In Macroeconomic Models

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Author : P. Fisher
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-04-17

Rational Expectations In Macroeconomic Models written by P. Fisher and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-04-17 with Business & Economics categories.

It is commonly believed that macroeconomic models are not useful for policy analysis because they do not take proper account of agents' expectations. Over the last decade, mainstream macroeconomic models in the UK and elsewhere have taken on board the `Rational Expectations Revolution' by explicitly incorporating expectations of the future. In principle, one can perform the same technical exercises on a forward expectations model as on a conventional model -- and more! Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models deals with the numerical methods necessary to carry out policy analysis and forecasting with these models. These methods are often passed on by word of mouth or confined to obscure journals. Rational Expectations in Macroeconomic Models brings them together with applications which are interesting in their own right. There is no comparable textbook in the literature. The specific subjects include: (i) solving for model consistent expectations; (ii) the choice of terminal condition and time horizon; (iii) experimental design: i.e., the effect of temporary vs permanent, anticipated vs. unanticipated shocks; deterministic vs. stochastic, dynamic vs. static simulation; (iv) the role of exchange rate; (v) optimal control and inflation-output tradeoffs. The models used are those of the Liverpool Research Group in Macroeconomics, the London Business School and the National Institute of Economic and Social Research.

Quantitative And Empirical Analysis Of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels

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Author : Carl Chiarella
language : en
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Release Date : 2006-05-30

Quantitative And Empirical Analysis Of Nonlinear Dynamic Macromodels written by Carl Chiarella and has been published by Emerald Group Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-05-30 with Business & Economics categories.

This book represents an ongoing research agenda the aim of which is to contribute to the Keynesian paradigm in macroeconomics. It examines the Dynamic General Equilibrium (DGE) model, the assumption of intertemporal optimizing behavior of economic agents, competitive markets and price mediated market clearing through flexible wages and prices.

Dsge Models In Macroeconomics

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Author : Nathan Balke
language : en
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Release Date : 2012-11-29

Dsge Models In Macroeconomics written by Nathan Balke and has been published by Emerald Group Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-11-29 with Business & Economics categories.

This volume of Advances in Econometrics contains articles that examine key topics in the modeling and estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Because DSGE models combine micro- and macroeconomic theory with formal econometric modeling and inference, over the past decade they have become an established framework for analy

Macroeconometrics

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Author : Kevin D. Hoover
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06

Macroeconometrics written by Kevin D. Hoover and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.

Each chapter of Macroeconometrics is written by respected econometricians in order to provide useful information and perspectives for those who wish to apply econometrics in macroeconomics. The chapters are all written with clear methodological perspectives, making the virtues and limitations of particular econometric approaches accessible to a general readership familiar with applied macroeconomics. The real tensions in macroeconometrics are revealed by the critical comments from different econometricians, having an alternative perspective, which follow each chapter.

A Macroeconometric Model For Saudi Arabia

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Author : Fakhri J. Hasanov
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2023-01-01

A Macroeconometric Model For Saudi Arabia written by Fakhri J. Hasanov and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-01-01 with Business & Economics categories.

This Open Access Brief presents the KAPSARC Global Energy Macroeconometric Model (KGEMM). KGEMM is a policy analysis tool for examining the impacts of domestic policy measures and global economic and energy shocks on the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The model has eight blocks (real sector, fiscal, monetary, external sector, price, labor and wages, energy, population, and age cohorts) that interact with each other to represent the Kingdom’s macroeconomy and energy linkages. It captures New Keynesian demand-side features anchored to medium-run equilibrium and long-run aggregate supply. It applies a cointegration and equilibrium correction modeling (ECM) methodology to time series data to estimate the model’s behavioral equations in the framework of Autometrics, a general-to-specific econometric modeling strategy. Hence, the model combines ‘theory-driven’ approach with ‘data-driven’ approach. The Brief begins with an introduction to the theoretical framework of the model and the KGEMM methodology and then walks the reader through the structure of the model and its behavioral equations. The book closes with simulations showing the application of the model. Providing a detailed introduction to a cutting-edge, robust predictive model, this Brief will be of great use to researchers and policymakers interested in macroeconomics, energy economics, econometrics, and more specifically, the economy of Saudi Arabia.