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Economic Modeling And Inference


Economic Modeling And Inference
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Economic Modeling And Inference


Economic Modeling And Inference
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Author : Bent Jesper Christensen
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2021-07-13

Economic Modeling And Inference written by Bent Jesper Christensen and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-07-13 with Business & Economics categories.


Economic Modeling and Inference takes econometrics to a new level by demonstrating how to combine modern economic theory with the latest statistical inference methods to get the most out of economic data. This graduate-level textbook draws applications from both microeconomics and macroeconomics, paying special attention to financial and labor economics, with an emphasis throughout on what observations can tell us about stochastic dynamic models of rational optimizing behavior and equilibrium. Bent Jesper Christensen and Nicholas Kiefer show how parameters often thought estimable in applications are not identified even in simple dynamic programming models, and they investigate the roles of extensions, including measurement error, imperfect control, and random utility shocks for inference. When all implications of optimization and equilibrium are imposed in the empirical procedures, the resulting estimation problems are often nonstandard, with the estimators exhibiting nonregular asymptotic behavior such as short-ranked covariance, superconsistency, and non-Gaussianity. Christensen and Kiefer explore these properties in detail, covering areas including job search models of the labor market, asset pricing, option pricing, marketing, and retirement planning. Ideal for researchers and practitioners as well as students, Economic Modeling and Inference uses real-world data to illustrate how to derive the best results using a combination of theory and cutting-edge econometric techniques. Covers identification and estimation of dynamic programming models Treats sources of error--measurement error, random utility, and imperfect control Features financial applications including asset pricing, option pricing, and optimal hedging Describes labor applications including job search, equilibrium search, and retirement Illustrates the wide applicability of the approach using micro, macro, and marketing examples



Econometric Modeling And Inference


Econometric Modeling And Inference
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Author : Jean-Pierre Florens
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2007-07-02

Econometric Modeling And Inference written by Jean-Pierre Florens and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-07-02 with Business & Economics categories.


The aim of this book is to present the main statistical tools of econometrics. It covers almost all modern econometric methodology and unifies the approach by using a small number of estimation techniques, many from generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation. The work is in four parts: Part I sets forth statistical methods, Part II covers regression models, Part III investigates dynamic models, and Part IV synthesizes a set of problems that are specific models in structural econometrics, namely identification and overidentification, simultaneity, and unobservability. Many theoretical examples illustrate the discussion and can be treated as application exercises.



Causal Inference In Economic Models


Causal Inference In Economic Models
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Author : Stephen F. LeRoy
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge Scholars Publishing
Release Date : 2020-10-12

Causal Inference In Economic Models written by Stephen F. LeRoy and has been published by Cambridge Scholars Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-10-12 with Business & Economics categories.


There exist applications in many research areas including (but not limited to) economics dealing with causation that are analyzed using multi-equation mathematical models. This book develops and describes a formal treatment of causation in such mathematical models. It serves to replace existing treatments of causation, which almost without exception are vague and otherwise unsatisfactory. Development of theory is accompanied here by extensive analysis of examples drawn from the economics literature: treatment evaluation, potential outcomes, applied econometrics. The theory outlined here will be extremely useful in economics and such related fields as biology and biomedicine.



Methods For Estimation And Inference In Modern Econometrics


Methods For Estimation And Inference In Modern Econometrics
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Author : Stanislav Anatolyev
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2011-06-07

Methods For Estimation And Inference In Modern Econometrics written by Stanislav Anatolyev and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-06-07 with Business & Economics categories.


This book covers important topics in econometrics. It discusses methods for efficient estimation in models defined by unconditional and conditional moment restrictions, inference in misspecified models, generalized empirical likelihood estimators, and alternative asymptotic approximations. The first chapter provides a general overview of established nonparametric and parametric approaches to estimation and conventional frameworks for statistical inference. The next several chapters focus on the estimation of models based on moment restrictions implied by economic theory. The final chapters cover nonconventional asymptotic tools that lead to improved finite-sample inference.



Probability Theory And Statistical Inference


Probability Theory And Statistical Inference
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Author : Aris Spanos
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2019-09-19

Probability Theory And Statistical Inference written by Aris Spanos and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-09-19 with Business & Economics categories.


This empirical research methods course enables informed implementation of statistical procedures, giving rise to trustworthy evidence.



Econometric Modeling


Econometric Modeling
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Author : David F. Hendry
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2012-06-21

Econometric Modeling written by David F. Hendry and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-06-21 with Business & Economics categories.


Econometric Modeling provides a new and stimulating introduction to econometrics, focusing on modeling. The key issue confronting empirical economics is to establish sustainable relationships that are both supported by data and interpretable from economic theory. The unified likelihood-based approach of this book gives students the required statistical foundations of estimation and inference, and leads to a thorough understanding of econometric techniques. David Hendry and Bent Nielsen introduce modeling for a range of situations, including binary data sets, multiple regression, and cointegrated systems. In each setting, a statistical model is constructed to explain the observed variation in the data, with estimation and inference based on the likelihood function. Substantive issues are always addressed, showing how both statistical and economic assumptions can be tested and empirical results interpreted. Important empirical problems such as structural breaks, forecasting, and model selection are covered, and Monte Carlo simulation is explained and applied. Econometric Modeling is a self-contained introduction for advanced undergraduate or graduate students. Throughout, data illustrate and motivate the approach, and are available for computer-based teaching. Technical issues from probability theory and statistical theory are introduced only as needed. Nevertheless, the approach is rigorous, emphasizing the coherent formulation, estimation, and evaluation of econometric models relevant for empirical research.



Bayesian Inference In Dynamic Econometric Models


Bayesian Inference In Dynamic Econometric Models
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Author : Luc Bauwens
language : en
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Release Date : 2000-01-06

Bayesian Inference In Dynamic Econometric Models written by Luc Bauwens and has been published by OUP Oxford this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000-01-06 with Business & Economics categories.


This book contains an up-to-date coverage of the last twenty years advances in Bayesian inference in econometrics, with an emphasis on dynamic models. It shows how to treat Bayesian inference in non linear models, by integrating the useful developments of numerical integration techniques based on simulations (such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods), and the long available analytical results of Bayesian inference for linear regression models. It thus covers a broad range of rather recent models for economic time series, such as non linear models, autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic regressions, and cointegrated vector autoregressive models. It contains also an extensive chapter on unit root inference from the Bayesian viewpoint. Several examples illustrate the methods.



Economic Time Series


Economic Time Series
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Author : William R. Bell
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2012-03-19

Economic Time Series written by William R. Bell and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-03-19 with Mathematics categories.


Economic Time Series: Modeling and Seasonality is a focused resource on analysis of economic time series as pertains to modeling and seasonality, presenting cutting-edge research that would otherwise be scattered throughout diverse peer-reviewed journals. This compilation of 21 chapters showcases the cross-fertilization between the fields of time series modeling and seasonal adjustment, as is reflected both in the contents of the chapters and in their authorship, with contributors coming from academia and government statistical agencies. For easier perusal and absorption, the contents have been grouped into seven topical sections: Section I deals with periodic modeling of time series, introducing, applying, and comparing various seasonally periodic models Section II examines the estimation of time series components when models for series are misspecified in some sense, and the broader implications this has for seasonal adjustment and business cycle estimation Section III examines the quantification of error in X-11 seasonal adjustments, with comparisons to error in model-based seasonal adjustments Section IV discusses some practical problems that arise in seasonal adjustment: developing asymmetric trend-cycle filters, dealing with both temporal and contemporaneous benchmark constraints, detecting trading-day effects in monthly and quarterly time series, and using diagnostics in conjunction with model-based seasonal adjustment Section V explores outlier detection and the modeling of time series containing extreme values, developing new procedures and extending previous work Section VI examines some alternative models and inference procedures for analysis of seasonal economic time series Section VII deals with aspects of modeling, estimation, and forecasting for nonseasonal economic time series By presenting new methodological developments as well as pertinent empirical analyses and reviews of established methods, the book provides much that is stimulating and practically useful for the serious researcher and analyst of economic time series.



Dynamic Nonlinear Econometric Models


Dynamic Nonlinear Econometric Models
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Author : Benedikt M Pötscher
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 1997-07-17

Dynamic Nonlinear Econometric Models written by Benedikt M Pötscher and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997-07-17 with Business & Economics categories.


Many relationships in economics, and also in other fields, are both dynamic and nonlinear. A major advance in econometrics over the last fifteen years has been the development of a theory of estimation and inference for dy namic nonlinear models. This advance was accompanied by improvements in computer technology that facilitate the practical implementation of such estimation methods. In two articles in Econometric Reviews, i.e., Pötscher and Prucha {1991a,b), we provided -an expository discussion of the basic structure of the asymptotic theory of M-estimators in dynamic nonlinear models and a review of the literature up to the beginning of this decade. Among others, the class of M-estimators contains least mean distance estimators (includ ing maximum likelihood estimators) and generalized method of moment estimators. The present book expands and revises the discussion in those articles. It is geared towards the professional econometrician or statistician. Besides reviewing the literature we also presented in the above men tioned articles a number of then new results. One example is a consis tency result for the case where the identifiable uniqueness condition fails.



The Economics Of Artificial Intelligence


The Economics Of Artificial Intelligence
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Author : Ajay Agrawal
language : en
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Release Date : 2024-03-14

The Economics Of Artificial Intelligence written by Ajay Agrawal and has been published by University of Chicago Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-03-14 with Business & Economics categories.


A timely investigation of the potential economic effects, both realized and unrealized, of artificial intelligence within the United States healthcare system. In sweeping conversations about the impact of artificial intelligence on many sectors of the economy, healthcare has received relatively little attention. Yet it seems unlikely that an industry that represents nearly one-fifth of the economy could escape the efficiency and cost-driven disruptions of AI. The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: Health Care Challenges brings together contributions from health economists, physicians, philosophers, and scholars in law, public health, and machine learning to identify the primary barriers to entry of AI in the healthcare sector. Across original papers and in wide-ranging responses, the contributors analyze barriers of four types: incentives, management, data availability, and regulation. They also suggest that AI has the potential to improve outcomes and lower costs. Understanding both the benefits of and barriers to AI adoption is essential for designing policies that will affect the evolution of the healthcare system.