Emerging Market Capital Flows


Emerging Market Capital Flows
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Revisiting The Determinants Of Capital Flows To Emerging Markets A Survey Of The Evolving Literature


Revisiting The Determinants Of Capital Flows To Emerging Markets A Survey Of The Evolving Literature
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Author : Swarnali Ahmed Hannan
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2018-09-28

Revisiting The Determinants Of Capital Flows To Emerging Markets A Survey Of The Evolving Literature written by Swarnali Ahmed Hannan and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-09-28 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper documents the evolution of gross and net capital flows to emerging market economies and surveys the large literature on the potential drivers. While the capital flow landscape has been shaped by the evolution of both global and country-specific factors, the relative importance of these factors has varied over time and differs depending on the type of capital flows. The findings from the survey of the literature thus underscores the importance of policies in both source and recipient countries in shaping capital flows.



Real Effects Of Capital Inflows In Emerging Markets


Real Effects Of Capital Inflows In Emerging Markets
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Author : Ms.Deniz O Igan
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-12-06

Real Effects Of Capital Inflows In Emerging Markets written by Ms.Deniz O Igan and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.


We examine the association between capital inflows and industry growth in a sample of 22 emerging market economies from 1998 to 2010. We expect more external finance dependent industries in countries that host more capital inflows to grow disproportionately faster. This is indeed the case in the pre-crisis period of 1998–2007, and is driven by debt, rather than equity, inflows. We also observe a reduction in output volatility but this association is more pronounced for equity, rather than debt, inflows. These relationships, however, break down during the crisis, hinting at the importance of an undisrupted global financial system for emerging markets to harness the growth benefits of capital inflows. In line with this observation, we also document that the inflows-growth nexus is stronger in countries with well-functioning banks.



Emerging Market Capital Flows


Emerging Market Capital Flows
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Author : Richard M. Levich
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06

Emerging Market Capital Flows written by Richard M. Levich and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.


In a little over one decade, the spread of market-oriented policies has turned the once so-called lesser developed countries into emerging markets. Many forces have been responsible for the tremendous growth in emerging markets. Trends toward market-oriented policies that permit private ownership of economic activities, such as public utilities and telecommunications, are part of the explanation. Corporate restructuring, following the debt crisis of the early 1980's has permitted many emerging market companies to gain international competitiveness. And an essential condition, a basic sea-change in economic policy, has opened up many emerging markets to international investors. This growth in emerging markets has been accompanied by volatility in individual markets, and a sector-wide shock after the meltdown in the Mexican Bolsa and Mexican peso, resulting in heated debate over the nature of these markets. Emerging market capital flows continue to be the subject of intense discussion around the world among investors, academics, and policymakers. Emerging Market Capital Flows examines the issues of emerging market capital flows from several distinct perspectives, addressing a number of related questions about emerging markets.



The Volatility Of Capital Flows In Emerging Markets


The Volatility Of Capital Flows In Emerging Markets
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Author : Maria Sole Pagliari
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-03-07

The Volatility Of Capital Flows In Emerging Markets written by Maria Sole Pagliari and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-03-07 with Business & Economics categories.


Capital flow volatility is a concern for macroeconomic and financial stability. Nonetheless, literature is scarce in this topic. Our paper sheds light on this issue in two dimensions. First, using quarterly data for 65 countries over the period 1970Q1-2016Q1, we construct three measures of volatility, for total capital flows and key instruments. Second, we perform panel regressions to understand the determinants of volatility. The measures show that the volatility of all instruments is prone to bouts, rising sharply during global shocks like the taper tantrum episode. Capital flow volatility thus remains a challenge for policy makers. The regression results suggest that push factors can be more important than pull factors in explaining volatility, illustrating that the characteristics of volatility can be different from those of the flows levels.



Emerging Market Portfolio Flows


Emerging Market Portfolio Flows
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Author : Mr.Serkan Arslanalp
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2015-12-17

Emerging Market Portfolio Flows written by Mr.Serkan Arslanalp and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-12-17 with Business & Economics categories.


Portfolio flows to emerging markets (EMs) tend to be correlated. A possible explanation is the role global benchmarks play in allocating capital internationally, the so-called “benchmark effect.” This paper finds that benchmark-driven investors indeed play a large role in a key segment of the market—the EM local currency government bond market—, accounting for more than one third of total foreign holdings as of end-2014. We find that the prominence of these investors declined somewhat after the May 2013 taper tantrum, but remain high. This distinction is important in understanding the drivers of EM capital flows and their sensitivity to different types of shocks. In particular, a high share of benchmark-driven investors may result in capital flows that are more sensitive to global shocks and less sensitive to country factors.



Push Factors And Capital Flows To Emerging Markets


Push Factors And Capital Flows To Emerging Markets
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Author : Mr.Eugenio Cerutti
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2015-06-22

Push Factors And Capital Flows To Emerging Markets written by Mr.Eugenio Cerutti and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-06-22 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper analyzes the behavior of gross capital inflows across 34 emerging markets (EMs). We first confirm that aggregate inflows to EMs co-move considerably. We then report three findings: (i) the aggregate co-movement conceals significant heterogeneity across asset types as only bank-related and portfolio bond and equity inflows do co-move; (ii) while global push factors in advanced economies mostly explain the common dynamics, their relative importance varies by type of flow; and (iii) the sensitivity to common dynamics varies significantly across borrower countries, with market structure characteristics (especially the composition of the foreign investor base and the level of liquidity) rather than borrower country’s institutional fundamentals strongly affecting sensitivities. Countries relying more on international funds and global banks are found to be more sensitive to push factors. Our findings suggest that EMs need to closely monitor their lenders and investors to assess their inflow exposures to global push factors.



The Drivers Of Capital Flows In Emerging Markets Post Global Financial Crisis


The Drivers Of Capital Flows In Emerging Markets Post Global Financial Crisis
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Author : Swarnali Ahmed Hannan
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-03-13

The Drivers Of Capital Flows In Emerging Markets Post Global Financial Crisis written by Swarnali Ahmed Hannan and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-03-13 with Business & Economics categories.


Using a sample of 34 emerging markets and developing economies over the period 2009Q3-2015Q4, the paper employs a panel framework to study the determinants of capital flows, both net and gross, across a wide range of instruments. The baseline regressions are then extended to focus on high and low episodes – quarters with flows one standard deviation above/below mean. Overall, the results suggest that the capital flow slowdown witnessed in recent years is due to a combination of lower growth prospects of recipient countries and worse global risk sentiment. However, the determinants of flows can be considerably different across instruments and across the type of flows considered, net or gross. The sensitivity of certain types of flows, towards push and pull factors, increases during periods of high and low capital flows. Moreover, some variables may not necessarily be significant during normal times, but can be important drivers during such episodes, and vice versa. Indicators like the gap between the U.S. long- and short-term maturity bond yields – not significant during normal times – can be an important driver during high episodes.



Financial Globalisation And Emerging Market Capital Flows


Financial Globalisation And Emerging Market Capital Flows
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2008

Financial Globalisation And Emerging Market Capital Flows written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008 with Balance of payments categories.




Gross Private Capital Flows To Emerging Markets


Gross Private Capital Flows To Emerging Markets
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Author : Erlend Nier
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2014-10-27

Gross Private Capital Flows To Emerging Markets written by Erlend Nier and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-10-27 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper assesses empirically the key drivers of private capital flows to a large sample of emerging market economies in the last decade. It analyzes the effect of the global financial cycle, measured by the VIX, on capital flows and investigates the role of fundamentals and country characteristics in mitigating or amplifying its effect. Using interaction models, we find the effect of the VIX to be non-linear. For low levels of the VIX, capital flows are driven by fundamental factors. During periods of stress, the VIX becomes the dominant driver of capital flows while other determinants, with the exception of interest rate differentials, lose statistical significance. Our results also suggest that the effect of global financial conditions on gross private capital flows increases with the host country’s level of financial sector development. Finally, our results imply that countries cannot fully insulate themselves from global financial shocks, unless creating a fragmented global financial system.



Managing The Tide


Managing The Tide
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Author : Mr.Atish R. Ghosh
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-03-27

Managing The Tide written by Mr.Atish R. Ghosh and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-03-27 with Business & Economics categories.


This paper examines whether—and how—emerging market economies (EMEs) respond to capital flows to mitigate their untoward consequences. Based on a sample of about 50 EMEs over 2005Q1–2013Q4, we find that EME policy makers respond proactively to capital inflows by using a combination of policy tools: central banks raise the policy interest rate to address economic overheating concerns; intervene in the foreign exchange market to resist currency appreciation pressures; tighten macroprudential measures to dampen credit growth; and deploy capital inflow controls in the face of competitiveness and financial-stability concerns. Contrary to conventional policy advice to EMEs, we find no evidence of counter-cyclical fiscal policy in the face of capital inflows. Overall, policies are more likely to respond, and used in combination, during inflow surges than in more normal times.