Estimation Of Tourism Demand For Turkey
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Estimation Of Tourism Demand For Turkey
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Author : Çiğdem Say
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2005
Estimation Of Tourism Demand For Turkey written by Çiğdem Say and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Tourism categories.
The Turkey Tourism Demand
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Author : Fatih Kaplan
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2016
The Turkey Tourism Demand written by Fatih Kaplan and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016 with categories.
Two significant points are usually overlooked when tourism demand is estimated through gravity models. First, international tourism activity is examined without the aid of economic theory. Consequently, this study uses a utility function to evaluate the tourism demand model. Secondly, gravity model estimations are not done via the appropriate estimation methods. This is because estimations give rise to problem of heteroscedasticity. Therefore, this study utilizes the Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood (PPML) method, which accounts for the heteroscedasticity problem. Although our results are similar to the findings in prior literature, it is possible to get different results in terms of tourism demand.
Modeling Turkish Tourism Demand And The Exchange Rate
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Author : Cüneyt Akar
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2017
Modeling Turkish Tourism Demand And The Exchange Rate written by Cüneyt Akar and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017 with categories.
The primary purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between tourism demand in Turkey and the exchange rate. Engle's (2002) two stage dynamic conditional correlation GARCH (DCC-GARCH) model is used to estimate the conditional correlations. The analysis of tourism demand from the Eurozone and the USA to Turkey indicates that tourism demand and the exchange rate are positively related. The results also show no clear positive relationship for tourism demand from the UK. In conclusion, tourism destinations are more popular to people from countries when their currency is more valuable.
Tourism Demand Modelling And Forecasting
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Author : Haiyan Song
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2012-08-21
Tourism Demand Modelling And Forecasting written by Haiyan Song and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-08-21 with Business & Economics categories.
The phenomenal growth of both the world-wide tourism industry and academic interest in tourism over the last thirty years has generated great interest in tourism demand modelling and forecasting from both sectors. However, the tendency for researchers and practitioners engaged in quantitative causal tourism modelling and forecasting to run many regression equations and try to choose the 'best' model based on various parametric and non-parametric criteria has been widely criticised as failing to provide credible results. The aim of this book is to present the recent advances in econometric modelling methodology within the context of tourism demand analysis at a level that is accessible to non-specialists, and to illustrate these new developments with actual tourism applications. The book begins with an introduction to the fundamentals of tourism demand analysis, before addressing the problems of traditional tourism demand modelling and forecasting, i.e. data mining and spurious regression due to common trends in the time series. Three chapters explore the general-to-specific approach to tourism demand modelling and forecasting, including the use of autoregressive distributed lag processes, cointegration analysis and error correction models. The time varying parameter model together with the use of the Kalman filter as an estimation method is a useful tool for examining the effects of regime shifts on tourism demand elasticities: this is explored next. The panel data approach is introduced as a way of overcoming the problem of estimation and forecasting biases caused by insufficient time series data. The book concludes by evaluating the empirical forecasting performance of the various models and putting forward some general conclusions.
The Advanced Econometrics Of Tourism Demand
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Author : Haiyan Song
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2008-12-09
The Advanced Econometrics Of Tourism Demand written by Haiyan Song and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-12-09 with Business & Economics categories.
Tourism demand is the foundation on which all tourism-related business decisions ultimately rest. Governments and companies such as airlines, tour operators, hotels, cruise ship lines, and recreation facility providers are interested in the demand for their products by tourists. The success of many businesses depends largely or totally on the state
Construction Of A Model Which Investigates The Impact Of Selected Variables On International Tourist Flows To Turkey
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Author : Muzaffer Uysal
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 19??
Construction Of A Model Which Investigates The Impact Of Selected Variables On International Tourist Flows To Turkey written by Muzaffer Uysal and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 19?? with Tourism categories.
Tourism In Turkey
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Author : Ahmet Salih İkiz
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2021-06-24
Tourism In Turkey written by Ahmet Salih İkiz and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-06-24 with Business & Economics categories.
Tourism in Turkey: A Comprehensive Overview and Analysis for Sustainable Alternative Tourism is an informative study that analyzes the Turkish tourism from a variety of different perspectives and sheds light on its vast economic and social impacts. The volume takes into account Turkey’s popularity as a tourism destination that attracts many visitors, compared to the other popular destinations, yet its per capita earnings is low and suffers from declining foreign visitors. This volume emphasizes sustainable alternative tourism as a way forward. The Turkish hospitality and travel sector contribute significantly to the country’s GDP and is responsible for a considerable level of employment in Turkey. The volume discusses the development stages of tourism sector in Turkey in the light of policy changes that parallel the economic, political, social, and administrative transformations in Turkey. With the country’s favorable location, existing potential, mega projects, and ambitious targets set for 2023, the tourism sector needs to implement sustainable tourism measures in order to grow.
Forecasting Tourism Demand
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Author : Douglas Frechtling
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2012-05-23
Forecasting Tourism Demand written by Douglas Frechtling and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-05-23 with Business & Economics categories.
'Forecasting tourism demand' is a text that no tourism professional can afford to be without. The tourism industry has experienced an overwhelming boom over recent years, and being able to predict future trends as accurately as possible is vital in the struggle to stay one step ahead of the competition. Building on the success of 'Practical Tourism Forecasting' this text looks at 13 methods of forecasting and with a user friendly style, 'Forecasting Tourism Demand' guides the reader through each method, highlighting its strengths and weaknesses and explaining how it can be applied to the tourism industry. 'Forecasting Tourism Demand' employs charts and tables to explain how to: * plan a forecasting project * analyse time series and other information * select the appropriate forecasting model * use the model for forecasting and evaluate its results Ideal for marketing managers and strategic planners in business, transportation planners and economic policy makers in government who must project demand for their products among tourists. Executives who rely on forecasts prepared by others will find it invaluable in assisting them to evaluate the validity and reliability of predictions and forecasts. Those engaged in analysing business trends will find it useful in surveying the future of what has been called the largest industry in the world.
Turkey
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Author : International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-02-03
Turkey written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-02-03 with Business & Economics categories.
This Selected Issues paper examines the new private pension automatic enrollment provisions in Turkey. The newly enacted automatic enrollment provisions have several advantages relative to the current voluntary private pension system. However, they have several weaknesses that risk endangering the reform in the long term. The hybrid input-output is not complete without the establishment of a public procurement board and periodic auctioning of pension services. Employers are unlikely to be more skilled than individuals in choosing pension plans for their workers. The IMF staff advice is to complete the hybrid input-output model along the lines recommended by the World Bank by establishing a procurement board for pension services for undecided participants.
Econometric Modelling And Forecasting Of Tourism Demand
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Author : Doris Chenguang Wu
language : en
Publisher: Taylor & Francis
Release Date : 2022-10-27
Econometric Modelling And Forecasting Of Tourism Demand written by Doris Chenguang Wu and has been published by Taylor & Francis this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-10-27 with Business & Economics categories.
This insightful and timely volume provides a succinct, expert-led introduction to the latest developments in advanced econometric methodologies in the context of tourism demand modelling and forecasting. Written by a plethora of worldwide experts on this topic, this book offers a comprehensive approach to tourism econometrics. Accurate demand forecasts are crucial to decision-making in the tourism industry and this book provides real-life tourism applications and the corresponding R code alongside theoretical foundations, in order to enhance understanding and practice amongst its readers. The methodologies introduced include general to specific modelling, cointegration, vector autoregression, time-varying parameter modelling, spatiotemporal econometric models, mixed-frequency forecasting, hybrid forecasting models, forecasting combination techniques, density forecasting, judgemental forecasting, scenario forecasting under crisis, and web-based tourism forecasting. Embellished with insightful figures and tables throughout, this book is an invaluable resource for those using advanced econometric methodologies in their studies and research, including both undergraduate and postgraduate students, researchers, and practitioners.