Exchange Rate Based Stabilization Under Imperfect Credibility
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Exchange Rate Based Stabilization Under Imperfect Credibility
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Author : Mr.Guillermo Calvo
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1991-08-01
Exchange Rate Based Stabilization Under Imperfect Credibility written by Mr.Guillermo Calvo and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991-08-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper analyzes stabilization policy under predetermined exchange rates in a cash-in-advance, staggered-prices model. Under full credibility, a reduction in the rate of devaluation results in an immediate and permanent reduction in the inflation rate, with no effect on output or consumption. In contrast, a non-credible stabilization results in an initial expansion of output, followed by a later recession. The inflation rate of home goods remains above the rate of devaluation throughout the program, thus resulting in a sustained real exchange rate appreciation.
Exchange Rate Uncertainty In Money Based Stabilization Programs
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Author : Mr.R. Armando Morales
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1998-01-01
Exchange Rate Uncertainty In Money Based Stabilization Programs written by Mr.R. Armando Morales and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-01-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Complementing the explanation provided by Calvo and Vegh (1994) for money-based stabilization programs, exchange rate uncertainty introduced to a particular version of the portfolio approach with imperfect competition in the banking system leads to a bias toward appreciation that is directly related to the divergence of expectations and that dampens the interaction between portfolio movements and the real exchange rate. Based on Frankel-Froot, uncertainty exists when the fundamental equilibrium real exchange rate is temporarily unknown in a foreign exchange market with two types of agents: ‘parity-guessers,’ who expect a jump to a reference parity level, and ‘money-followers,’ who expect nominal depreciation equal to the monetary rule.
Exchange Rate Based Stabilization In Argentina And Chile
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Author : Miguel Alberto Kiguel
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 1994
Exchange Rate Based Stabilization In Argentina And Chile written by Miguel Alberto Kiguel and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1994 with Economic stabilization categories.
Exchange- rate- based stabilization programs supported by a sustained fiscal adjustment generally reduced long- term inflation. Success was not easy, however, because rigid adherence to the exchange rate rule many times resulted in strong overvaluation of the currency and balance- of- payments problems before stabilization was finally secured.
The Behavior Of Real Interest Rates In Exchange Rate Based Stabilization Programs
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Author : Pierre-Richard Agénor
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1994-06-01
The Behavior Of Real Interest Rates In Exchange Rate Based Stabilization Programs written by Pierre-Richard Agénor and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1994-06-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper examines the behavior of real interest rates in exchange-rate based stabilization programs. The analysis is based on a model with imperfect capital mobility and optimizing agents. A permanent reduction in the devaluation rate is first shown to have an ambiguous effect on real interest rates on impact. The analysis is then extended to consider a stabilization program characterized by an initial reduction in the rate of devaluation of the nominal exchange rate, and the announcement of a future increase in income taxes. The impact effect on real interest rates is shown to depend upon the degree of credibility of the announcement. Real interest rates may fall if agents do not believe that taxes will be raised, and rise if the future tax reform is sufficiently credible.
Sticky Inflation And The Real Effects Of Exchange Rate Based Stabilization
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Author : Oya Celasun
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2003-07-01
Sticky Inflation And The Real Effects Of Exchange Rate Based Stabilization written by Oya Celasun and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-07-01 with Business & Economics categories.
Exchange rate-based inflation stabilization (ERBS) policies are associated with a boom-recession cycle in economic activity and sustained real exchange rate appreciation. A class of models in the literature has explained these empirical regularities with the lack of credibility of the stabilization plans. The lack-of-credibility models typically assume perfectly forward-looking pricing behavior without inflation stickiness and attribute the slow decline in inflation to the consumption boom that occurs due to the perceived temporariness of the ERBS policy. This paper tests the empirical validity of forward-looking pricing behavior in Mexico and Turkey, two countries which have experienced ERBS. It finds that the forward- and backward-looking components of inflation weigh approximately equally in pricing behavior, and therefore, that inflation is partially sticky. The paper then develops the theoretical implications of partial inflation stickiness in a lack of credibility model of ERBS and concludes that the presence of stickiness significantly reduces the persistence of the consumption boom predicted by the model, but helps to explain the recession in the late phase of the stabilization.
Exchange Rate Based Stabilization Under Imperfect Credibility
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Author : Carlos Végh
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006
Exchange Rate Based Stabilization Under Imperfect Credibility written by Carlos Végh and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with categories.
This paper analyzes stabilization policy under predetermined exchange rates in a cash-in-advance, staggered-prices model. Under full credibility, a reduction in the rate of devaluation results in an immediate and permanent reduction in the inflation rate, with no effect on output or consumption. In contrast, a non-credible stabilization results in an initial expansion of output, followed by a later recession. The inflation rate of home goods remains above the rate of devaluation throughout the program, thus resulting in a sustained real exchange rate appreciation.
Two Targets Two Instruments
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Author : Mr.Jonathan David Ostry
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2012-02-29
Two Targets Two Instruments written by Mr.Jonathan David Ostry and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-02-29 with Business & Economics categories.
Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.
Credibility And The Dynamics Of Stabilization Policy
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Author : Mr.Guillermo Calvo
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1990-11-01
Credibility And The Dynamics Of Stabilization Policy written by Mr.Guillermo Calvo and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990-11-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper studies price stabilization policy under both predetermined and flexible exchange rates. Under predetermined exchange rates, a non-credible stabilization program results in an initial expansion of output, followed by a later recession. The initial expansion accompanies an appreciating real exchange rate. Under flexible exchange rates, the recession occurs at the beginning of the program. The real exchange rate appreciates sharply on impact but depreciates afterwards. Lack of credibility is more costly under predetermined exchange rates because the real effects are more pronounced.
Modern Exchange Rate Regimes Stabilisation Programmes And Co Ordination Of Macroeconomic Policies
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Author : Maria Luiza Falcão Silva
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2018-08-17
Modern Exchange Rate Regimes Stabilisation Programmes And Co Ordination Of Macroeconomic Policies written by Maria Luiza Falcão Silva and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-08-17 with Business & Economics categories.
Published in 1999, this work analyzes the phenomenon of macroeconomic adjustment, with special emphasis on selected Latin American countries facing stabilization programmes. It provides a historical description of the origins, functioning and collapse of exchange-rate regimes from the international classical gold standard period to modern arrangements. The author supports the argument that systemic asymmetries in the worldwide adjustment mechanism are inherent in the international monetary system. The recent theoretical literature dealing with the rules vs discretion debate and its interaction with the credibility issue is reviewed. This topic is intrinsically related to the dispute over the appropriate role of exchange-rate anchors in disinflation programmes. Against a background of academic dispute between advocates of exchange-rate prescriptions and monetary conceptions, the contrasting views of different theorists regarding the choice of exchange rate regimes are presented and assessed. Finally, a comparative analysis of recent experiments in Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Mexico with exchange-rate based disinflation stabilization programmes is undertaken. The problems that have arisen while establishing new institutional arrangements, such as new currency or a policy rule for monetary base creation, are examined.
Frameworks For Monetary Stability
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Author : Mr.Carlo Cottarelli
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1994-12-15
Frameworks For Monetary Stability written by Mr.Carlo Cottarelli and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1994-12-15 with Business & Economics categories.
This book, edited by Tomás J.T. Baliño and Carlo Cottarelli, addresses some of the strategic issues faced by policymakers in the choice of a monetary regime. Following an overview of some of these issues, the book considers the various theoretical or practical frameworks for the implementation of monetary policy. It then focuses on how monetary policy should be implemented.