Exchange Rate Second Round Effects And Inflation Processes
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Exchange Rate Second Round Effects And Inflation Processes
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Author : Eliphas Ndou
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2019-04-23
Exchange Rate Second Round Effects And Inflation Processes written by Eliphas Ndou and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-04-23 with Business & Economics categories.
This book focuses on the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT), second round effects and the inflation process in South Africa. The authors demonstrate that magnitudes of the second round effects of the exchange rate depreciation and oil price shocks depend on inflation regimes. The impact of positive oil price shocks on inflation is weakened by monetary policy credibility. Evidence shows the influence of oil price on unit labour costs and correlation between exchange rate changes and inflation has weakened. In addition, ERPT is reduced by low business and consumer confidence, high trade openness, low inflation and high exchange rate volatility which weaken real economic activity. Both monetary and fiscal policy credibility lowers the sizes of ERPT to inflation and inflation expectations. Fiscal policy via fuel levies, administered prices and public transport inflation channel impacts the responses of monetary policy to inflation shocks. The authors show that second round effects contribute very little to wage inflation following an exchange rate depreciation shock. Both lending rate and household consumption responds asymmetrical to repo rate changes. This book will appeal to policymakers, students, academics and analysts.
Achieving Price Financial And Macro Economic Stability In South Africa
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Author : Nombulelo Gumata
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2021-05-27
Achieving Price Financial And Macro Economic Stability In South Africa written by Nombulelo Gumata and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-05-27 with Business & Economics categories.
This book explores the macro-financial effects of central bank balance sheets, macro-prudential tools, and financial regulation in South Africa. How employment can be maximised while keeping inflation low and stable is examined in relation to the structural changes required to alter the composition of South African bank balance sheets. Quantitative methods and approaches are utilised to highlight the impact of suggested policies. This book aims to outline strategies and policy interventions that can help achieve the National Development Plan in South Africa. It will be of interest to researchers and policymakers working within development economics, African economics, development finance, and financial policy.
Fiscal Policy Shocks And Macroeconomic Growth In South Africa
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Author : Eliphas Ndou
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2023-09-16
Fiscal Policy Shocks And Macroeconomic Growth In South Africa written by Eliphas Ndou and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-09-16 with Business & Economics categories.
This book explores the disconnect between fiscal policy and macroeconomic development in South Africa. It analyses the factors that have contributed to the lack of economic growth in the country over recent decades and outlines an improved fiscal policy framework that increases investment and employment. Particular attention is given to the impact of government debt and its relationship with GDP, the connection between budget deficits and interest rates, and how economic policy uncertainty affects employment dynamics and inflation. This book provides practical fiscal policy suggestions to increase economic growth in South Africa and Africa more generally. It will be relevant to researchers and policymakers interested in African economics and economic policy.
Capital Flows Credit Markets And Growth In South Africa
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Author : Nombulelo Gumata
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2019-12-11
Capital Flows Credit Markets And Growth In South Africa written by Nombulelo Gumata and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-12-11 with Business & Economics categories.
This book examines the dynamics in capital flows, credit markets and growth in South Africa. The authors explore the role of global economic growth, policy shifts and various economic policy uncertainties. Central banks in advanced economies are engaged in unconventional monetary policy tools such as balance sheet policies, negative interest rates and extended forward guidance to assist them to meet their price, financial and macro-economic stability objectives. This book determines whether BRICS GDP growth is a source of shocks or an amplifier of global growth shocks. The authors find that global economic growth and policy uncertainty reinforce each other via capital flows, credit conditions and business confidence on the domestic economy. Furthermore, they demonstrate that there is momentum in the changes in the spread between the repo rate and federal funds rate. In addition, global real policy rates impact domestic GDP growth and labor market conditions. The authors examine the economic costs of capital flow surges, sudden stops and elevated portfolio volatility shocks and their interaction with GDP growth and credit. They show that equity and debt inflows matter in the attainment of the price stability mandate. Moreover, business confidence transmits sovereign credit ratings upgrades and downgrades shocks to the real economy via GDP growth, the cost of government debt and borrowing to impact credit growth. High GDP growth increases the likelihood of sovereign credit ratings upgrades, hence policymakers should implement pro-growth policies. Inflation regimes impact the transmission of positive nominal demand shocks to the price level. Low and stable inflation (inflation below 4.5 per cent) reduces the pass-through of positive nominal demand shocks to inflation.
Inflation Differentials In A Currency Union A Dsge Perspective
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Author :
language : en
Publisher: "la Caixa"
Release Date :
Inflation Differentials In A Currency Union A Dsge Perspective written by and has been published by "la Caixa" this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with categories.
Accelerated Land Reform Mining Growth Unemployment And Inequality In South Africa
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Author : Nombulelo Gumata
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-01-03
Accelerated Land Reform Mining Growth Unemployment And Inequality In South Africa written by Nombulelo Gumata and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-01-03 with Business & Economics categories.
The overarching goal of South Africa’s National Development Plan (NDP) is to eliminate poverty, reduce inequality, lower unemployment and increase the labour participation.This book contributes to academic and policy efforts to achieve these NDP goals. We establish that the coal, metal ores and the platinum group commodity sectors will underpin the mining as a “sunrise” industry. The export-led growth strategy is necessary for intensive employment creation but must be complemented by other micro, macroeconomic and industrial policies. A strategy of minerals beneficiation is important for intensive employment creation. Accelerated land reform is a supply side or structural reform policy intervention tool aimed at increasing potential output, changing ownership patterns in the economy, increasing entrepreneurship, labour absorption, economic inclusion and lowering income inequality. Evidence shows that the balance sheet channel, commodity price booms and busts are intricately linked with the exchange rate dynamics, policy uncertainty, confidence and the effects of droughts (also symptoms of climate change). Productivity and investment growth shocks matter for output, employment and price stability. Evidence indicates that nominal GDP growth above 10 percent and keeping inflation within the target band leads to significant increase in employment and decline in unemployment, without inflationary pressures, especially when inflation is below 4.5 percent. To operationalise the NDP targets, align and co-ordinate policies, the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) mandate can be expanded to include maximum employment. This must be complemented by lowering the inflation target band, adjusting the financial regulatory, macro-prudential and monetary policy frameworks. This will enhance the conduct and credibility of monetary and financial stability policies to achieve the set objectives. These objectives make policy co-ordination pertinent and binding.
The Future Of The South African Political Economy Post Covid 19
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Author : Mzukisi Qobo
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2022-10-31
The Future Of The South African Political Economy Post Covid 19 written by Mzukisi Qobo and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-10-31 with Political Science categories.
This book examines the COVID-19 pandemic through socioeconomic lens that draw on history, approaches to state-market relations, and public policy perspectives In 2020, the world experienced the worst pandemic since the outbreak of the Spanish Flu of 1918, which continues to have far[1]reaching implications for the global economy and triggered macro-economic dislocations that severely affected the most vulnerable countries and segments of society. This book was conceived as a response to the disruptive shifts induced by the pandemic, with a particular focus on South Africa. International experience has shown that countries and societies that have gone through tough economic times, either as a consequence of wars or economic depressions, have responded to crises by enacting unpopular policy measures based on difficult tradeoffs, which often made way for innovation. The authors outline policy responses to the COVID-19 crisis and propose several interventions to mitigate its effects. These include developing innovative approaches to fiscal and monetary policies, labour market policies, industrial policies, as well as social policies. Building state capabilities, improving the governance and performance of state institutions, and managing digital change are some of the clear policy interventions that are laid out in this book.
Recognizing Reality Unification Of Official And Parallel Market Exchange Rates
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Author : Mr.Simon T Gray
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2021-02-05
Recognizing Reality Unification Of Official And Parallel Market Exchange Rates written by Mr.Simon T Gray and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-02-05 with Business & Economics categories.
Some central banks have maintained overvalued official exchange rates, while unable to ensure that supply of foreign exchange meets legitimate demand for current account transactions at that price. A parallel exchange rate market develops, in such circumstances; and when the spread between the official and parallel rates is both substantial and sustained, price levels in the economy typically reflect the parallel market exchange rate. “Recognizing reality” by allowing economic agents to use a market clearing rate benefits economic activity without necessarily leading to more inflation. But a unified, market-clearing exchange rate will not stabilize without a supportive fiscal and monetary context. A number of country case studies are included; my thanks to Jie Ren for pulling together all the data for the country case studies, and the production of the charts.
The Secular Decline Of The South African Manufacturing Sector
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Author : Nombulelo Gumata
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-11-10
The Secular Decline Of The South African Manufacturing Sector written by Nombulelo Gumata and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-11-10 with Business & Economics categories.
This book examines the global and domestic factors that have influenced the decline of South African manufacturing. Quantitative and econometric techniques are used to analyse the macroeconomic conditions that derive improved performance within the manufacturing sector. Empirical evidence is used to set out policy recommendations that would allow the South African National Development Plan to meet its objectives. This books aims to bring together analysis of industrial policy, competition policy, and merger remedies to produce a framework on how to preserve a competitive environment and support output, investment, and employment growth. It is relevant to those interested in African, development, and labour economics.
Morocco
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Author : International Monetary Fund
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2008-09-16
Morocco written by International Monetary Fund and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-09-16 with Business & Economics categories.
The 2008 Article IV Consultation discusses the economic growth for Morocco, which has made major progress to strengthen the economy’s resilience to shocks. Sound macroeconomic policies combined with sustained structural reforms and the opportunities provided by globalization have resulted in a gradual improvement in living standards. Executive Directors considered that Morocco’s universal subsidy scheme is the most important policy issue facing the authorities. They shared the authorities’ assessment of the main upside risks to inflation, including possible second-round effects from higher imported prices and increased demand pressures.