Experiments In Variable Resolution Combat Modeling
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Experiments In Variable Resolution Combat Modeling
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Author : Richard John Hillestad
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1993
Experiments In Variable Resolution Combat Modeling written by Richard John Hillestad and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993 with Combat categories.
This Note examines the differences in combat outcomes predicted by models of different resolution applied to identical combat situations. First, hypothetical combat situations are posed, then several models of varying degrees of resolution in the spatial representation, aggregation of forces, and time step are used to predict losses and battle winners. Both stochastic and deterministic simulations are used. Comparison of outcomes provides important insights into the problems of aggregation. Observations from this set of experiments are as follows. Intuition regarding outcomes, causes, and effects is frequently wrong, leading to bad approximations in the aggregate. Scaling for different levels of resolution is possible, but a method of predicting the appropriate scaling technique and factors has not been found. The differences in outcomes between stochastic and deterministic models are most pronounced in the 'fair-fight' regime, in which the force balance (accounting for situational factors) is almost even. Because defense analysis frequently operates in this regime (getting just enough force to a theater or because constrained defense budget allocations may not permit overwhelming odds), this implies that great care should be taken to understand the possible variance in outcomes.
Experiments In Variable Resolution Combat Modeling
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Author : Richard John Hillestad
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1940-01-01
Experiments In Variable Resolution Combat Modeling written by Richard John Hillestad and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1940-01-01 with Computer war games categories.
This Note examines the differences in combat outcomes predicted by models of different resolution applied to identical combat situations. First, hypothetical combat situations are posed, then several models of varying degrees of resolution in the spatial representation, aggregation of forces, and time step are used to predict losses and battle winners. Both stochastic and deterministic simulations are used. Comparison of outcomes provides important insights into the problems of aggregation. Observations from this set of experiments are as follows: Intuition regarding outcomes, causes, and effects is frequently wrong, leading to bad approximations in the aggregate. Scaling for different levels of resolution is possible, but a method of predicting the appropriate scaling technique and factors has not been found. The differences in outcomes between stochastic and deterministic models are most pronounced in the "fair-fight" regime, in which the force balance (accounting for situational factors) is almost even. Because defense analysis frequently operates in this regime (getting "just enough" force to a theater or because constrained defense budget allocations may not permit overwhelming odds), this implies that great care should be taken to understand the possible variance in outcomes.
Variable Resolution Combat Modeling
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Author : Paul K. Davis
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1992
Variable Resolution Combat Modeling written by Paul K. Davis and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992 with War categories.
Military Operations Research
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Author : N.K. Jaiswal
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Military Operations Research written by N.K. Jaiswal and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.
Operations Research (OR) emerged in an effort to improve the effectiveness of newly inducted weapons and equipment during World War II. While rapid growth ofOR led to its becoming an important aid to decision making in all sectors including defense, its contribution in defense remained largely confined to classified reports. Very few books dealing with applications of quantitative decision making techniques in military have been published presumably due to limited availability ofrelevant information. The situation changed rapidly during the last few years. The recognition of the subject of Military Operations Research (MOR) gave tremendous boost to its development. Books and journals on MOR started appearing. The number of sessions on MOR at national and international conferences also registered an increase. The volume of teaching, training and research activities in the field of MOR at military schools and non-military schools enhanced considerably. Military executives and commanders started taking increasing interest in getting scientific answers to questions pertaining to weapon acquisition, threat perception and quantification, assessment of damage or casualties, evaluation of chance of winning a battle, force mix, deployment and targeting of weapons against enemy targets, war games and scenario evaluation. Most of these problems were being tackled on the basis of intuition, judgment and experience or analysis under very simple assumptions. In an increasingly sophisticated and complex defense scenario resulting in advances in equipment and communications, the need for supplementing these practices by scientific research in MOR became imperative.
A Variable Resolution Terrain Model For Combat Simulation
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Author : Joseph K. Wald
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1992
A Variable Resolution Terrain Model For Combat Simulation written by Joseph K. Wald and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992 with Combat categories.
Artificial War
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Author : Andrew Ilachinski
language : en
Publisher: World Scientific
Release Date : 2004
Artificial War written by Andrew Ilachinski and has been published by World Scientific this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2004 with History categories.
Military conflicts, particularly land combat, possess thecharacteristics of complex adaptive systems: combat forces arecomposed of a large number of nonlinearly interacting parts and areorganized in a dynamic command-and-control network; local action, which often appears disordered, self-organizes into long-range order;military conflicts, by their nature, proceed far from equilibrium;military forces adapt to a changing combat environment; and there isno master voice that dictates the actions of every soldier (i
Technology For The United States Navy And Marine Corps 2000 2035 Becoming A 21st Century Force
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Author : National Research Council
language : en
Publisher: National Academies Press
Release Date : 1997-10-16
Technology For The United States Navy And Marine Corps 2000 2035 Becoming A 21st Century Force written by National Research Council and has been published by National Academies Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1997-10-16 with Technology & Engineering categories.
The future national security environment will present the naval forces with operational challenges that can best be met through the development of military capabilities that effectively leverage rapidly advancing technologies in many areas. The panel envisions a world where the naval forces will perform missions in the future similar to those they have historically undertaken. These missions will continue to include sea control, deterrence, power projection, sea lift, and so on. The missions will be accomplished through the use of platforms (ships, submarines, aircraft, and spacecraft), weapons (guns, missiles, bombs, torpedoes, and information), manpower, materiel, tactics, and processes (acquisition, logistics, and so on.). Accordingly, the Panel on Technology attempted to identify those technologies that will be of greatest importance to the future operations of the naval forces and to project trends in their development out to the year 2035. The primary objective of the panel was to determine which are the most critical technologies for the Department of the Navy to pursue to ensure U.S. dominance in future naval operations and to determine the future trends in these technologies and their impact on Navy and Marine Corps superiority. A vision of future naval operations ensued from this effort. These technologies form the base from which products, platforms, weapons, and capabilities are built. By combining multiple technologies with their future attributes, new systems and subsystems can be envisioned. Technology for the United States Navy and Marine Corps, 2000-2035 Becoming a 21st-Century Force: Volume 2: Technology indentifies those technologies that are unique to the naval forces and whose development the Department of the Navy clearly must fund, as well as commercially dominated technologies that the panel believes the Navy and Marine Corps must learn to adapt as quickly as possible to naval applications. Since the development of many of the critical technologies is becoming global in nature, some consideration is given to foreign capabilities and trends as a way to assess potential adversaries' capabilities. Finally, the panel assessed the current state of the science and technology (S&T) establishment and processes within the Department of the Navy and makes recommendations that would improve the efficiency and effectiveness of this vital area. The panel's findings and recommendations are presented in this report.
Implications Of Modern Decision Science For Military Decision Support Systems
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Author : Paul K. Davis
language : en
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Release Date : 2005-09-14
Implications Of Modern Decision Science For Military Decision Support Systems written by Paul K. Davis and has been published by Rand Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-09-14 with Technology & Engineering categories.
A selective review of modern decision science and implications for decision-support systems. The study suggests ways to synthesize lessons from research on heuristics and biases with those from "naturalistic research." It also discusses modern tools, such as increasingly realistic simulations, multiresolution modeling, and exploratory analysis, which can assist decisionmakers in choosing strategies that are flexible, adaptive, and robust.
Warfare Modeling
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Author : Military Operations Research Society
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1995
Warfare Modeling written by Military Operations Research Society and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1995 with Combat simulation categories.
Wsc 93
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Author :
language : en
Publisher: Institute of Electrical & Electronics Engineers(IEEE)
Release Date : 1993-10
Wsc 93 written by and has been published by Institute of Electrical & Electronics Engineers(IEEE) this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993-10 with Digital computer simulation categories.