Exploratory Causal Analysis With Time Series Data
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Exploratory Causal Analysis With Time Series Data
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Author : James M. McCracken
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2022-06-01
Exploratory Causal Analysis With Time Series Data written by James M. McCracken and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-06-01 with Computers categories.
Many scientific disciplines rely on observational data of systems for which it is difficult (or impossible) to implement controlled experiments. Data analysis techniques are required for identifying causal information and relationships directly from such observational data. This need has led to the development of many different time series causality approaches and tools including transfer entropy, convergent cross-mapping (CCM), and Granger causality statistics. A practicing analyst can explore the literature to find many proposals for identifying drivers and causal connections in time series data sets. Exploratory causal analysis (ECA) provides a framework for exploring potential causal structures in time series data sets and is characterized by a myopic goal to determine which data series from a given set of series might be seen as the primary driver. In this work, ECA is used on several synthetic and empirical data sets, and it is found that all of the tested time series causality tools agree with each other (and intuitive notions of causality) for many simple systems but can provide conflicting causal inferences for more complicated systems. It is proposed that such disagreements between different time series causality tools during ECA might provide deeper insight into the data than could be found otherwise.
Applied Time Series Analysis For The Social Sciences
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Author : Richard McCleary
language : en
Publisher: SAGE Publications, Incorporated
Release Date : 1980-07
Applied Time Series Analysis For The Social Sciences written by Richard McCleary and has been published by SAGE Publications, Incorporated this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1980-07 with Mathematics categories.
McCleary and Hay have made time series analysis techniques -- the Box-Jenkins or ARIMA methods -- accessible to the social scientist. Rejecting the dictum that time series analysis requires substantial mathematical sophistication, the authors take a clearly written, step-by-step approach. They describe the logic behind time series analysis, and its possible applications in impact assessment, causal modelling and forecasting, multivariate time series and parameter estimation.
Spectral Analysis Of Time Series Data
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Author : Rebecca M. Warner
language : en
Publisher: Guilford Press
Release Date : 1998-05-22
Spectral Analysis Of Time Series Data written by Rebecca M. Warner and has been published by Guilford Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-05-22 with Social Science categories.
This book provides a thorough introduction to methods for detecting and describing cyclic patterns in time-series data. It is written both for researchers and students new to the area and for those who have already collected time-series data but wish to learn new ways of understanding and presenting them. Facilitating the interpretation of observations of behavior, physiology, mood, perceptual threshold, social indicator variables, and other responses, the book focuses on practical applications and requires much less mathematical background than most comparable texts. Using real data sets and currently available software (SPSS for Windows), the author employs extensive examples to clarify key concepts. Topics covered include research design issues, preliminary data screening, identification and description of cycles, summary of results across time series, and assessment of relations between time series. Also considered are theoretical questions, problems of interpretation, and potential sources of artifact.
Applied Time Series Analysis With R
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Author : Wayne A. Woodward
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2017-02-17
Applied Time Series Analysis With R written by Wayne A. Woodward and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-02-17 with Mathematics categories.
Virtually any random process developing chronologically can be viewed as a time series. In economics closing prices of stocks, the cost of money, the jobless rate, and retail sales are just a few examples of many. Developed from course notes and extensively classroom-tested, Applied Time Series Analysis with R, Second Edition includes examples across a variety of fields, develops theory, and provides an R-based software package to aid in addressing time series problems in a broad spectrum of fields. The material is organized in an optimal format for graduate students in statistics as well as in the natural and social sciences to learn to use and understand the tools of applied time series analysis. Features Gives readers the ability to actually solve significant real-world problems Addresses many types of nonstationary time series and cutting-edge methodologies Promotes understanding of the data and associated models rather than viewing it as the output of a "black box" Provides the R package tswge available on CRAN which contains functions and over 100 real and simulated data sets to accompany the book. Extensive help regarding the use of tswge functions is provided in appendices and on an associated website. Over 150 exercises and extensive support for instructors The second edition includes additional real-data examples, uses R-based code that helps students easily analyze data, generate realizations from models, and explore the associated characteristics. It also adds discussion of new advances in the analysis of long memory data and data with time-varying frequencies (TVF).
Time Series Analysis And Its Applications
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Author : Robert H. Shumway
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-03-14
Time Series Analysis And Its Applications written by Robert H. Shumway and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-03-14 with Mathematics categories.
A balanced and comprehensive treatment of both time and frequency domain methods with accompanying theory. Numerous examples using non-trivial data illustrate solutions to problems, such as evaluating pain perception experiments using magnetic resonance imaging or monitoring a nuclear test ban treaty. Although designed as a text for graduate level students in statistics and the physical, biological and social sciences, some parts of the book will also serve as an undergraduate introductory course. Theory and methodology are separated to allow presentations on different levels, and the material has been updated by adding modern developments involving categorical time series analysis and the spectral envelope, multivariate spectral methods, long memory series, nonlinear models, longitudinal data analysis, resampling techniques, ARCH models, stochastic volatility, wavelets and Monte Carlo Markov chain integration methods. The book is supplemented by data and an exploratory time series analysis program ASTSA for Windows that can be downloaded from the Web as freeware.
Techniques Of Event History Modeling
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Author : Hans-Peter Blossfeld
language : en
Publisher: Psychology Press
Release Date : 2002
Techniques Of Event History Modeling written by Hans-Peter Blossfeld and has been published by Psychology Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002 with Psychology categories.
Including new developments and publications which have appeared since the publication of the first edition in 1995, this second edition: *gives a comprehensive introductory account of event history modeling techniques and their use in applied research in economics and the social sciences; *demonstrates that event history modeling is a major step forward in causal analysis. To do so the authors show that event history models employ the time-path of changes in states and relate changes in causal variables in the past to changes in discrete outcomes in the future; and *introduces the reader to the computer program Transition Data Analysis (TDA). This software estimates the sort of models most frequently used with longitudinal data, in particular, discrete-time and continuous-time event history data. Techniques of Event History Modeling can serve as a student textbook in the fields of statistics, economics, the social sciences, psychology, and the political sciences. It can also be used as a reference for scientists in all fields of research.
Time Series
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Author : David R. Brillinger
language : en
Publisher: SIAM
Release Date : 2001-09-01
Time Series written by David R. Brillinger and has been published by SIAM this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001-09-01 with Mathematics categories.
This text employs basic techniques of univariate and multivariate statistics for the analysis of time series and signals.
The Analysis Of Time Series
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Author : Chris Chatfield
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2019-04-25
The Analysis Of Time Series written by Chris Chatfield and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-04-25 with Mathematics categories.
This new edition of this classic title, now in its seventh edition, presents a balanced and comprehensive introduction to the theory, implementation, and practice of time series analysis. The book covers a wide range of topics, including ARIMA models, forecasting methods, spectral analysis, linear systems, state-space models, the Kalman filters, nonlinear models, volatility models, and multivariate models. It also presents many examples and implementations of time series models and methods to reflect advances in the field. Highlights of the seventh edition: A new chapter on univariate volatility models A revised chapter on linear time series models A new section on multivariate volatility models A new section on regime switching models Many new worked examples, with R code integrated into the text The book can be used as a textbook for an undergraduate or a graduate level time series course in statistics. The book does not assume many prerequisites in probability and statistics, so it is also intended for students and data analysts in engineering, economics, and finance.
Time Series Analysis And Its Applications
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Author : Robert H. Shumway
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-04-25
Time Series Analysis And Its Applications written by Robert H. Shumway and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-04-25 with Mathematics categories.
The fourth edition of this popular graduate textbook, like its predecessors, presents a balanced and comprehensive treatment of both time and frequency domain methods with accompanying theory. Numerous examples using nontrivial data illustrate solutions to problems such as discovering natural and anthropogenic climate change, evaluating pain perception experiments using functional magnetic resonance imaging, and monitoring a nuclear test ban treaty. The book is designed as a textbook for graduate level students in the physical, biological, and social sciences and as a graduate level text in statistics. Some parts may also serve as an undergraduate introductory course. Theory and methodology are separated to allow presentations on different levels. In addition to coverage of classical methods of time series regression, ARIMA models, spectral analysis and state-space models, the text includes modern developments including categorical time series analysis, multivariate spectral methods, long memory series, nonlinear models, resampling techniques, GARCH models, ARMAX models, stochastic volatility, wavelets, and Markov chain Monte Carlo integration methods. This edition includes R code for each numerical example in addition to Appendix R, which provides a reference for the data sets and R scripts used in the text in addition to a tutorial on basic R commands and R time series. An additional file is available on the book’s website for download, making all the data sets and scripts easy to load into R.
Causal Analysis With Panel Data
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Author : Steven E. Finkel
language : en
Publisher: SAGE Publications, Incorporated
Release Date : 1995-01-17
Causal Analysis With Panel Data written by Steven E. Finkel and has been published by SAGE Publications, Incorporated this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1995-01-17 with Medical categories.
Panel data, which consist of information gathered from the same individuals or units at several different points in time, are commonly used in the social sciences to test theories of individual and social change. This book provides an overview of models that are appropriate for the analysis of panel data, focusing specifically on the area where panels offer major advantages over cross-sectional research designs: the analysis of causal interrelationships among variables. Without "painting" panel data as a cure all for the problems of causal inference in nonexperimental research, the author shows how panel data offer multiple ways of strengthening the causal inference process. In addition, he shows how to estimate models that contain a variety of lag specifications, reciprocal effects, and imperfectly measured variables. Appropriate for readers who are familiar with multiple regression analysis and causal modeling, this book will offer readers the highlights of developments in this technique from diverse disciplines to analytic traditions.