Forecasting Economic Time Series


Forecasting Economic Time Series
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Forecasting Economic Time Series


Forecasting Economic Time Series
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Author : C. W. J. Granger
language : en
Publisher: Academic Press
Release Date : 2014-05-10

Forecasting Economic Time Series written by C. W. J. Granger and has been published by Academic Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-05-10 with Business & Economics categories.


Economic Theory, Econometrics, and Mathematical Economics, Second Edition: Forecasting Economic Time Series presents the developments in time series analysis and forecasting theory and practice. This book discusses the application of time series procedures in mainstream economic theory and econometric model building. Organized into 10 chapters, this edition begins with an overview of the problem of dealing with time series possessing a deterministic seasonal component. This text then provides a description of time series in terms of models known as the time-domain approach. Other chapters consider an alternative approach, known as spectral or frequency-domain analysis, that often provides useful insights into the properties of a series. This book discusses as well a unified approach to the fitting of linear models to a given time series. The final chapter deals with the main advantage of having a Gaussian series wherein the optimal single series, least-squares forecast will be a linear forecast. This book is a valuable resource for economists.



Forecasting Economic Time Series


Forecasting Economic Time Series
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Author : Clive William John Granger
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1977

Forecasting Economic Time Series written by Clive William John Granger and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1977 with Business & Economics categories.


This book has been updated to reflect developments in time series analysis and forecasting theory and practice, particularly as applied to economics. The second edition pays attention to such problems as how to evaluate and compare forecasts.



Forecasting Economic Time Series


Forecasting Economic Time Series
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Author : Michael Clements
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1998-10-08

Forecasting Economic Time Series written by Michael Clements and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-10-08 with Business & Economics categories.


An extended formal analysis of economic forecasting co-authored by one of the world's leading econometricians.



Time Series Models For Business And Economic Forecasting


Time Series Models For Business And Economic Forecasting
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Author : Philip Hans Franses
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1998-10-15

Time Series Models For Business And Economic Forecasting written by Philip Hans Franses and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-10-15 with Business & Economics categories.


An introduction to time series models for business and economic forecasting.



Analysis Of Economic Time Series


Analysis Of Economic Time Series
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Author : Marc Nerlove
language : en
Publisher: Academic Press
Release Date : 2014-05-10

Analysis Of Economic Time Series written by Marc Nerlove and has been published by Academic Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-05-10 with Business & Economics categories.


Analysis of Economic Time Series: A Synthesis integrates several topics in economic time-series analysis, including the formulation and estimation of distributed-lag models of dynamic economic behavior; the application of spectral analysis in the study of the behavior of economic time series; and unobserved-components models for economic time series and the closely related problem of seasonal adjustment. Comprised of 14 chapters, this volume begins with a historical background on the use of unobserved components in the analysis of economic time series, followed by an Introduction to the theory of stationary time series. Subsequent chapters focus on the spectral representation and its estimation; formulation of distributed-lag models; elements of the theory of prediction and extraction; and formulation of unobserved-components models and canonical forms. Seasonal adjustment techniques and multivariate mixed moving-average autoregressive time-series models are also considered. Finally, a time-series model of the U.S. cattle industry is presented. This monograph will be of value to mathematicians, economists, and those interested in economic theory, econometrics, and mathematical economics.



Forecasting Non Stationary Economic Time Series


Forecasting Non Stationary Economic Time Series
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Author : Michael P. Clements
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 1999

Forecasting Non Stationary Economic Time Series written by Michael P. Clements and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999 with Business & Economics categories.


This text on economic forecasting asks why some practices seem to work empirically despite a lack of formal support from theory. After reviewing the conventional approach to forecasting, it looks at the implications for causal modelling, presents forecast errors and delineates sources of failure.



Forecasting Economic Time Series


Forecasting Economic Time Series
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Author : Michael P. Clements
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1998-10-08

Forecasting Economic Time Series written by Michael P. Clements and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-10-08 with Business & Economics categories.


An extended formal analysis of economic forecasting co-authored by one of the world's leading econometricians.



Time Series Techniques For Economists


Time Series Techniques For Economists
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Author : Terence C. Mills
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1990

Time Series Techniques For Economists written by Terence C. Mills and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990 with Business & Economics categories.


The application of time series techniques in economics has become increasingly important, both for forecasting purposes and in the empirical analysis of time series in general. In this book, Terence Mills not only brings together recent research at the frontiers of the subject, but also analyses the areas of most importance to applied economics. It is an up-to-date text which extends the basic techniques of analysis to cover the development of methods that can be used to analyse a wide range of economic problems. The book analyses three basic areas of time series analysis: univariate models, multivariate models, and non-linear models. In each case the basic theory is outlined and then extended to cover recent developments. Particular emphasis is placed on applications of the theory to important areas of applied economics and on the computer software and programs needed to implement the techniques. This book clearly distinguishes itself from its competitors by emphasising the techniques of time series modelling rather than technical aspects such as estimation, and by the breadth of the models considered. It features many detailed real-world examples using a wide range of actual time series. It will be useful to econometricians and specialists in forecasting and finance and accessible to most practitioners in economics and the allied professions.



Economic Time Series


Economic Time Series
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Author : William R. Bell
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2012-03-19

Economic Time Series written by William R. Bell and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-03-19 with Mathematics categories.


Economic Time Series: Modeling and Seasonality is a focused resource on analysis of economic time series as pertains to modeling and seasonality, presenting cutting-edge research that would otherwise be scattered throughout diverse peer-reviewed journals. This compilation of 21 chapters showcases the cross-fertilization between the fields of time series modeling and seasonal adjustment, as is reflected both in the contents of the chapters and in their authorship, with contributors coming from academia and government statistical agencies. For easier perusal and absorption, the contents have been grouped into seven topical sections: Section I deals with periodic modeling of time series, introducing, applying, and comparing various seasonally periodic models Section II examines the estimation of time series components when models for series are misspecified in some sense, and the broader implications this has for seasonal adjustment and business cycle estimation Section III examines the quantification of error in X-11 seasonal adjustments, with comparisons to error in model-based seasonal adjustments Section IV discusses some practical problems that arise in seasonal adjustment: developing asymmetric trend-cycle filters, dealing with both temporal and contemporaneous benchmark constraints, detecting trading-day effects in monthly and quarterly time series, and using diagnostics in conjunction with model-based seasonal adjustment Section V explores outlier detection and the modeling of time series containing extreme values, developing new procedures and extending previous work Section VI examines some alternative models and inference procedures for analysis of seasonal economic time series Section VII deals with aspects of modeling, estimation, and forecasting for nonseasonal economic time series By presenting new methodological developments as well as pertinent empirical analyses and reviews of established methods, the book provides much that is stimulating and practically useful for the serious researcher and analyst of economic time series.



Applied Economic Forecasting Using Time Series Methods


Applied Economic Forecasting Using Time Series Methods
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Author : Eric Ghysels
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2018

Applied Economic Forecasting Using Time Series Methods written by Eric Ghysels and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018 with Economic forecasting categories.


Economic forecasting is a key ingredient of decision making in the public and private sectors. This book provides the necessary tools to solve real-world forecasting problems using time-series methods. It targets undergraduate and graduate students as well as researchers in public and private institutions interested in applied economic forecasting.