Forecasting Non Stationary Economic Time Series


Forecasting Non Stationary Economic Time Series
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Forecasting Non Stationary Economic Time Series


Forecasting Non Stationary Economic Time Series
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Author : Michael P. Clements
language : en
Publisher: MIT Press
Release Date : 1999

Forecasting Non Stationary Economic Time Series written by Michael P. Clements and has been published by MIT Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999 with Business & Economics categories.


This text on economic forecasting asks why some practices seem to work empirically despite a lack of formal support from theory. After reviewing the conventional approach to forecasting, it looks at the implications for causal modelling, presents forecast errors and delineates sources of failure.



Multivariate Modelling Of Non Stationary Economic Time Series


Multivariate Modelling Of Non Stationary Economic Time Series
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Author : John Hunter
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-05-08

Multivariate Modelling Of Non Stationary Economic Time Series written by John Hunter and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-05-08 with Business & Economics categories.


This book examines conventional time series in the context of stationary data prior to a discussion of cointegration, with a focus on multivariate models. The authors provide a detailed and extensive study of impulse responses and forecasting in the stationary and non-stationary context, considering small sample correction, volatility and the impact of different orders of integration. Models with expectations are considered along with alternate methods such as Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA), the Kalman Filter and Structural Time Series, all in relation to cointegration. Using single equations methods to develop topics, and as examples of the notion of cointegration, Burke, Hunter, and Canepa provide direction and guidance to the now vast literature facing students and graduate economists.



Modelling Non Stationary Economic Time Series


Modelling Non Stationary Economic Time Series
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Author : S. Burke
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2005-06-14

Modelling Non Stationary Economic Time Series written by S. Burke and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-06-14 with Business & Economics categories.


Co-integration, equilibrium and equilibrium correction are key concepts in modern applications of econometrics to real world problems. This book provides direction and guidance to the now vast literature facing students and graduate economists. Econometric theory is linked to practical issues such as how to identify equilibrium relationships, how to deal with structural breaks associated with regime changes and what to do when variables are of different orders of integration.



Forecasting Economic Time Series


Forecasting Economic Time Series
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Author : Michael Clements
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1998-10-08

Forecasting Economic Time Series written by Michael Clements and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-10-08 with Business & Economics categories.


This book provides a formal analysis of the models, procedures, and measures of economic forecasting with a view to improving forecasting practice. David Hendry and Michael Clements base the analyses on assumptions pertinent to the economies to be forecast, viz. a non-constant, evolving economic system, and econometric models whose form and structure are unknown a priori. The authors find that conclusions which can be established formally for constant-parameter stationary processes and correctly-specified models often do not hold when unrealistic assumptions are relaxed. Despite the difficulty of proceeding formally when models are mis-specified in unknown ways for non-stationary processes that are subject to structural breaks, Hendry and Clements show that significant insights can be gleaned. For example, a formal taxonomy of forecasting errors can be developed, the role of causal information clarified, intercept corrections re-established as a method for achieving robustness against forms of structural change, and measures of forecast accuracy re-interpreted.



Forecasting Economic Time Series


Forecasting Economic Time Series
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Author : Clive William John Granger
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1977

Forecasting Economic Time Series written by Clive William John Granger and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1977 with Business & Economics categories.


This book has been updated to reflect developments in time series analysis and forecasting theory and practice, particularly as applied to economics. The second edition pays attention to such problems as how to evaluate and compare forecasts.



Time Series Models For Business And Economic Forecasting


Time Series Models For Business And Economic Forecasting
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Author : Philip Hans Franses
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1998-10-15

Time Series Models For Business And Economic Forecasting written by Philip Hans Franses and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1998-10-15 with Business & Economics categories.


An introduction to time series models for business and economic forecasting.



Time Series Forecasting


Time Series Forecasting
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Author : Chris Chatfield
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2000-10-25

Time Series Forecasting written by Chris Chatfield and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000-10-25 with Business & Economics categories.


From the author of the bestselling "Analysis of Time Series," Time-Series Forecasting offers a comprehensive, up-to-date review of forecasting methods. It provides a summary of time-series modelling procedures, followed by a brief catalogue of many different time-series forecasting methods, ranging from ad-hoc methods through ARIMA and state-space



Time Series Techniques For Economists


Time Series Techniques For Economists
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Author : Terence C. Mills
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1990

Time Series Techniques For Economists written by Terence C. Mills and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990 with Business & Economics categories.


The application of time series techniques in economics has become increasingly important, both for forecasting purposes and in the empirical analysis of time series in general. In this book, Terence Mills not only brings together recent research at the frontiers of the subject, but also analyses the areas of most importance to applied economics. It is an up-to-date text which extends the basic techniques of analysis to cover the development of methods that can be used to analyse a wide range of economic problems. The book analyses three basic areas of time series analysis: univariate models, multivariate models, and non-linear models. In each case the basic theory is outlined and then extended to cover recent developments. Particular emphasis is placed on applications of the theory to important areas of applied economics and on the computer software and programs needed to implement the techniques. This book clearly distinguishes itself from its competitors by emphasising the techniques of time series modelling rather than technical aspects such as estimation, and by the breadth of the models considered. It features many detailed real-world examples using a wide range of actual time series. It will be useful to econometricians and specialists in forecasting and finance and accessible to most practitioners in economics and the allied professions.



Nonstationary Time Series Analysis And Cointegration


Nonstationary Time Series Analysis And Cointegration
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Author : Colin P. Hargreaves
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
Release Date : 1994

Nonstationary Time Series Analysis And Cointegration written by Colin P. Hargreaves and has been published by Oxford University Press, USA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1994 with Business & Economics categories.


Nonstationary Time Series Analysis and Cointegration shows major developments in the econometric analysis of the long run (of nonstationarity and cointegration) - a field which has developed dramatically over the last twelve years to have a profound effect on econometric analysis in general. The papers here describe and evaluate new methods, provide useful overviews, and show detailed implementations helpful to practitioners. Papers include two substantive analyses of economic forecasting, based around an integral understanding of integration and cointegration and an evaluation of real business cycle models. There is an evaluation of different cointegration estimators and a new test for cointegration. There is a discussion of the effects of seasonality, looking at seasonal unit roots and at encompassing modelling with seasonally unadjusted versus adjusted data. A different style of nonstationarity is raised in a discussion of testing for inflationary bubbles and for time-varying transition probabilities in Hamilton's Markov switching model. This volume provides wide-ranging coverage of the literature, showing the importance of nonstationarity and cointegration.



Spectral Analysis Of Economic Time Series Psme 1


Spectral Analysis Of Economic Time Series Psme 1
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Author : Clive William John Granger
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2015-12-08

Spectral Analysis Of Economic Time Series Psme 1 written by Clive William John Granger and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-12-08 with Business & Economics categories.


The important data of economics are in the form of time series; therefore, the statistical methods used will have to be those designed for time series data. New methods for analyzing series containing no trends have been developed by communication engineering, and much recent research has been devoted to adapting and extending these methods so that they will be suitable for use with economic series. This book presents the important results of this research and further advances the application of the recently developed Theory of Spectra to economics. In particular, Professor Hatanaka demonstrates the new technique in treating two problems-business cycle indicators, and the acceleration principle existing in department store data. Originally published in 1964. The Princeton Legacy Library uses the latest print-on-demand technology to again make available previously out-of-print books from the distinguished backlist of Princeton University Press. These editions preserve the original texts of these important books while presenting them in durable paperback and hardcover editions. The goal of the Princeton Legacy Library is to vastly increase access to the rich scholarly heritage found in the thousands of books published by Princeton University Press since its founding in 1905.