Forecasting Models Of Electricity Prices

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Modeling And Forecasting Electricity Loads And Prices
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Author : Rafal Weron
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2007-01-30
Modeling And Forecasting Electricity Loads And Prices written by Rafal Weron and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-01-30 with Business & Economics categories.
This book offers an in-depth and up-to-date review of different statistical tools that can be used to analyze and forecast the dynamics of two crucial for every energy company processes—electricity prices and loads. It provides coverage of seasonal decomposition, mean reversion, heavy-tailed distributions, exponential smoothing, spike preprocessing, autoregressive time series including models with exogenous variables and heteroskedastic (GARCH) components, regime-switching models, interval forecasts, jump-diffusion models, derivatives pricing and the market price of risk. Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices is packaged with a CD containing both the data and detailed examples of implementation of different techniques in Matlab, with additional examples in SAS. A reader can retrace all the intermediate steps of a practical implementation of a model and test his understanding of the method and correctness of the computer code using the same input data. The book will be of particular interest to the quants employed by the utilities, independent power generators and marketers, energy trading desks of the hedge funds and financial institutions, and the executives attending courses designed to help them to brush up on their technical skills. The text will be also of use to graduate students in electrical engineering, econometrics and finance wanting to get a grip on advanced statistical tools applied in this hot area. In fact, there are sixteen Case Studies in the book making it a self-contained tutorial to electricity load and price modeling and forecasting.
Forecasting Models Of Electricity Prices
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Author : Javier Contreras
language : en
Publisher: MDPI
Release Date : 2018-04-06
Forecasting Models Of Electricity Prices written by Javier Contreras and has been published by MDPI this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-04-06 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This book is a printed edition of the Special Issue "Forecasting Models of Electricity Prices" that was published in Energies
Forecasting Models Of Electricity Prices
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Author : Javier Contreras
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2017
Forecasting Models Of Electricity Prices written by Javier Contreras and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017 with Electronic book categories.
Market Operations In Electric Power Systems
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Author : Mohammad Shahidehpour
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2003-05-28
Market Operations In Electric Power Systems written by Mohammad Shahidehpour and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-05-28 with Technology & Engineering categories.
An essential overview of post-deregulation market operations inelectrical power systems Until recently the U.S. electricity industry was dominated byvertically integrated utilities. It is now evolving into adistributive and competitive market driven by market forces andincreased competition. With electricity amounting to a $200 billionper year market in the United States, the implications of thisrestructuring will naturally affect the rest of the world. Why is restructuring necessary? What are the components ofrestructuring? How is the new structure different from the oldmonopoly? How are the participants strategizing their options tomaximize their revenues? What are the market risks and how are theyevaluated? How are interchange transactions analyzed and approved?Starting with a background sketch of the industry, this hands-onreference provides insights into the new trends in power systemsoperation and control, and highlights advanced issues in thefield. Written for both technical and nontechnical professionals involvedin power engineering, finance, and marketing, this must-haveresource discusses: * Market structure and operation of electric power systems * Load and price forecasting and arbitrage * Price-based unit commitment and security constrained unitcommitment * Market power analysis and game theory applications * Ancillary services auction market design * Transmission pricing and congestion Using real-world case studies, this timely survey offers engineers,consultants, researchers, financial managers, university professorsand students, and other professionals in the industry acomprehensive review of electricity restructuring and how itsradical effects will shape the market.
Applied Operations Research And Financial Modelling In Energy
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Author : André B. Dorsman
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2021-10-12
Applied Operations Research And Financial Modelling In Energy written by André B. Dorsman and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-10-12 with Business & Economics categories.
This book on Applied Operations Research and Financial Modelling in Energy (AORFME) presents several applications of operations research (OR) and financial modelling. The contributions by a group of OR and Finance researchers focus on a variety of energy decisions, presenting a quantitative perspective, and providing policy implications of the proposed or applied methodologies. The content is divided into three main parts: Applied OR I: Optimization Approaches, Applied OR II: Forecasting Approaches and Financial Modelling: Impacts of Energy Policies and Developments in Energy Markets. The book appeals to scholars in economics, finance and operations research, and to practitioners working in the energy sector. This is the eighth volume in a series of books on energy organized by the Centre for Energy and Value Issues (CEVI). For this volume, CEVI collaborated with Hacettepe University’s Energy Markets Research and Application Center. The previous volumes in the series are: Financial Aspects in Energy (2011), Energy Economics and Financial Markets (2012), Perspectives on Energy Risk (2014), Energy Technology and Valuation Issues (2015), Energy and Finance (2016), Energy Economy, Finance and Geostrategy (2018), and Financial Implications of Regulations in the Energy Industry (2020).
Modeling And Forecasting Electricity Loads And Prices
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Author : Rafal Weron
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2006-12-15
Modeling And Forecasting Electricity Loads And Prices written by Rafal Weron and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-12-15 with Business & Economics categories.
This book offers an in-depth and up-to-date review of different statistical tools that can be used to analyze and forecast the dynamics of two crucial for every energy company processes—electricity prices and loads. It provides coverage of seasonal decomposition, mean reversion, heavy-tailed distributions, exponential smoothing, spike preprocessing, autoregressive time series including models with exogenous variables and heteroskedastic (GARCH) components, regime-switching models, interval forecasts, jump-diffusion models, derivatives pricing and the market price of risk. Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices is packaged with a CD containing both the data and detailed examples of implementation of different techniques in Matlab, with additional examples in SAS. A reader can retrace all the intermediate steps of a practical implementation of a model and test his understanding of the method and correctness of the computer code using the same input data. The book will be of particular interest to the quants employed by the utilities, independent power generators and marketers, energy trading desks of the hedge funds and financial institutions, and the executives attending courses designed to help them to brush up on their technical skills. The text will be also of use to graduate students in electrical engineering, econometrics and finance wanting to get a grip on advanced statistical tools applied in this hot area. In fact, there are sixteen Case Studies in the book making it a self-contained tutorial to electricity load and price modeling and forecasting.
Forecasting With Exponential Smoothing
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Author : Rob Hyndman
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2008-06-19
Forecasting With Exponential Smoothing written by Rob Hyndman and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-06-19 with Mathematics categories.
Exponential smoothing methods have been around since the 1950s, and are still the most popular forecasting methods used in business and industry. However, a modeling framework incorporating stochastic models, likelihood calculation, prediction intervals and procedures for model selection, was not developed until recently. This book brings together all of the important new results on the state space framework for exponential smoothing. It will be of interest to people wanting to apply the methods in their own area of interest as well as for researchers wanting to take the ideas in new directions. Part 1 provides an introduction to exponential smoothing and the underlying models. The essential details are given in Part 2, which also provide links to the most important papers in the literature. More advanced topics are covered in Part 3, including the mathematical properties of the models and extensions of the models for specific problems. Applications to particular domains are discussed in Part 4.
Xiii Balkan Conference On Operational Research Proceedings
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Author : Dragana Makajić-Nikolić
language : en
Publisher: FON
Release Date : 2018-06-10
Xiii Balkan Conference On Operational Research Proceedings written by Dragana Makajić-Nikolić and has been published by FON this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-06-10 with categories.
Web Artificial Intelligence And Network Applications
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Author : Leonard Barolli
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2019-03-15
Web Artificial Intelligence And Network Applications written by Leonard Barolli and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-03-15 with Technology & Engineering categories.
The aim of the book is to provide latest research findings, innovative research results, methods and development techniques from both theoretical and practical perspectives related to the emerging areas of Web Computing, Intelligent Systems and Internet Computing. As the Web has become a major source of information, techniques and methodologies that extract quality information are of paramount importance for many Web and Internet applications. Data mining and knowledge discovery play key roles in many of today’s prominent Web applications such as e-commerce and computer security. Moreover, the outcome of Web services delivers a new platform for enabling service-oriented systems. The emergence of large scale distributed computing paradigms, such as Cloud Computing and Mobile Computing Systems, has opened many opportunities for collaboration services, which are at the core of any Information System. Artificial Intelligence (AI) is an area of computer science that build intelligent systems and algorithms that work and react like humans. The AI techniques and computational intelligence are powerful tools for learning, adaptation, reasoning and planning. They have the potential to become enabling technologies for the future intelligent networks. Recent research in the field of intelligent systems, robotics, neuroscience, artificial intelligence and cognitive sciences are very important for the future development and innovation of Web and Internet applications.
Advanced Models Of Energy Forecasting
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Author : Xun Zhang
language : en
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
Release Date : 2022-11-23
Advanced Models Of Energy Forecasting written by Xun Zhang and has been published by Frontiers Media SA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-11-23 with Technology & Engineering categories.