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Global Shocks Unfolding Lessons From Fragile And Conflict Affected States


Global Shocks Unfolding Lessons From Fragile And Conflict Affected States
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Global Shocks Unfolding Lessons From Fragile And Conflict Affected States


Global Shocks Unfolding Lessons From Fragile And Conflict Affected States
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Author : Jocelyn Boussard
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2024-10-04

Global Shocks Unfolding Lessons From Fragile And Conflict Affected States written by Jocelyn Boussard and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-10-04 with categories.


This paper investigates the consequences of global shocks on a sample of low- and lower-middle-income countries with a particular focus on fragile and conflict-affected states (FCS). FCS are a group of countries that display institutional weakness and/or are negatively affected by active conflict, thereby facing challenges in macroeconomic policy management. Examining different global shocks associated with commodity prices, external demand, and financing conditions, this paper establishes that FCS economies are more vulnerable to these shocks compared to non-FCS peers. The higher sensitivity of FCS economies is mainly driven by procyclical fiscal responses, aggravated by the lack of effective spending controls and timely access to financial sources. External financing serves as a source of stability, partially mitigating the adverse impact of global shocks. This paper contributes to a better understanding of how conditions of fragility, which are on the rise in many parts of the world today, can amplify the effects of negative exogenous shocks. Its results highlight the diverse nature of underlying sources of vulnerabilities, spanning from fiscal and external buffers to institutional quality and economic structure, with lessons applicable to a broader set of countries. Efficient and timely external financial support from external partners, including international financial institutions, should help countries’ counter-cyclical responses to mitigate adverse shocks and achieve macroeconomic stability.



Pushed To The Brink


Pushed To The Brink
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Author : Ms. Wenjie Chen
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2025-04-25

Pushed To The Brink written by Ms. Wenjie Chen and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-04-25 with Business & Economics categories.


Sub-Saharan Africa is home to nearly half of the world’s fragile and conflict-affected states, where weak institutions and social cohesion, governance failures, and economic instability trap millions in poverty. Some countries have transitioned out of extreme fragility by implementing sound macroeconomic policies, diversifying the economy, and strengthening institutions. Sustaining these reforms, however, is challenging in the context of erratic growth, political instability, exposure to natural disasters, and heavy resource dependency—which tends to heighten vulnerability to price volatility and governance challenges. Meanwhile, weak domestic revenue mobilization and declining aid further hinder development. Without reforms and continued international support, fragility risks worsening regional instability and economic disruptions with global repercussions.



The 4th Financing For Development Conference Contribution Of The Imf To The International Financing For Development Agenda


The 4th Financing For Development Conference Contribution Of The Imf To The International Financing For Development Agenda
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Author : International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2025-06-05

The 4th Financing For Development Conference Contribution Of The Imf To The International Financing For Development Agenda written by International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-06-05 with categories.


The series of major economic shocks since 2020 has added to longstanding development challenges, with low-income and fragile countries affected the most. The negative economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the spillovers from the war in Ukraine, and the tightening of international financial conditions after 2022 have added to preexisting structural obstacles weighing on economic and social progress in developing countries. While some of these factors have subsided since 2023, the escalation of trade tensions at the beginning of 2025, and the resulting impact on global growth and international financial conditions, including elevated uncertainty and significant downside risks weighing on the outlook, have again negative implications for most developing countries. In addition, natural disasters, climate and demographic challenges, geopolitical tensions, political instability, and conflicts, can be expected to add further to the challenges, even though some developments, including artificial intelligence and digitalization, may be beneficial. That said, while developing countries share many characteristics, increasing heterogeneity in their economic conditions and exposures to risks calls for appropriate differentiation in countries’ policy and reform agendas, as well as in the support from the international community. Particular attention must be paid to the situation of the poorest and fragile countries.



Exiting The Fragility Trap


Exiting The Fragility Trap
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Author : David Carment
language : en
Publisher: Ohio University Press
Release Date : 2019-10-15

Exiting The Fragility Trap written by David Carment and has been published by Ohio University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-10-15 with Political Science categories.


State fragility is a much-debated yet underinvestigated concept in the development and international security worlds. Based on years of research as part of the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy project at Carleton University, Exiting the Fragility Trap marks a major step toward remedying the lack of research into the so-called fragility trap. In examining the nature and dynamics of state transitions in fragile contexts, with a special emphasis on states that are trapped in fragility, David Carment and Yiagadeesen Samy ask three questions: Why do some states remain stuck in a fragility trap? What lessons can we learn from those states that have successfully transitioned from fragility to stability and resilience? And how can third-party interventions support fragile state transitions toward resilience? Carment and Samy consider fragility’s evolution in three state types: countries that are trapped, countries that move in and out of fragility, and countries that have exited fragility. Large-sample empirical analysis and six comparative case studies—Pakistan and Yemen (trapped countries), Mali and Laos (in-and-out countries), and Bangladesh and Mozambique (exited countries)—drive their investigation, which breaks ground toward a new understanding of why some countries fail to see sustained progress over time.



Making Sense Of Turbulent Contexts


Making Sense Of Turbulent Contexts
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Author : Michelle Garred
language : en
Publisher: Lulu.com
Release Date : 2015-05

Making Sense Of Turbulent Contexts written by Michelle Garred and has been published by Lulu.com this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-05 with Reference categories.


Local voices matter. World Vision offers this book, "Making Sense of Turbulent Contexts", to address a problematic gap within the field of conflict analysis: local knowledge. Analysing large-scale conflict in an inclusive, participatory way will increase the effectiveness of aid in turbulent settings. "Making Sense of Turbulent Contexts" identifies the current participation gap and presents the alternative concepts on which the participatory Making Sense of Turbulent Contexts (MSTC) framework is grounded. Included are concrete, step-by-step tools and seven case studies demonstrating specific MSTC results. The book concludes with a clear vision for the future of participatory macro-level conflict analysis.



Aid That Works


Aid That Works
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Author : James Manor
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 2007

Aid That Works written by James Manor and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Business & Economics categories.


Research in recent years on aid effectiveness shows that significant obstacles in fragile states - insecurity, poor governance and weak implementation capacity - usually prevent aid from achieving the desired results in these environments. This study investigates the attributes and effectiveness of donor-supported programmes and projects that worked well under difficult conditions in fragile states. Presented in this study are nine development initiatives in six less developed countries - Afghanistan, Cambodia, Mozambique, Sierra Leone, Timor Leste and Uganda. The cases show that development initiatives, which engage local communities and local level governments, are often able to have significant impact. However, for more substantial improvements to take places, localized gains need to be scaled up either horizontally (other localities) or vertically (to higher levels). Given the advantages of working at the local level and the difficulty of working through mainstream bureaucratic agencies at higher levels in these countries, donors often prefer to create 'parallel-agencies' to reach out to larger numbers of beneficiaries. However, this may in the long run weaken the legitimacy of mainstream government institutions, and donor agencies may therefore choose to work as closely as possible with government officials from the beginning to build trust and demonstrating that new initiatives are non-threatening and help prepare the eventual mainstreaming of 'parallel agencies'.



The Hidden Crisis


The Hidden Crisis
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Author :
language : en
Publisher: UNESCO
Release Date : 2011-01-01

The Hidden Crisis written by and has been published by UNESCO this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-01-01 with Education categories.


When wars break out, international attention and media reporting invariably focus on the most immediate images of human suffering. Yet behind these images is a hidden crisis. Across many of the world's poorest countries, armed conflict is destroying not just school infrastructure, but the hopes and ambitions of generations of children. The hidden crisis: Armed conflict and education documents the devastating effects of armed conflict on education. It examines the widespread human rights abuses keeping children out of school. The Report challenges an international aid system that is failing conflict-affected states, with damaging consequences for education. It warns that schools are often used to transmit intolerance, prejudice and social injustice. This ninth edition of the Education for All Global Monitoring Report calls on governments to demonstrate greater resolve in combating the culture of impunity surrounding attacks on schoolchildren and schools. It sets out an agenda for fixing the International aid architecture. And it identifies strategies for strengthening the role of education in peacebuilding. The Report includes statistical indicators on all levels of education in more than 200 countries and territories. It serves as an authoritative reference for education policy-makers, development specialists, researchers and the media



Learning From Megadisasters


Learning From Megadisasters
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Author : Federica Ranghieri
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 2014-06-26

Learning From Megadisasters written by Federica Ranghieri and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-06-26 with Political Science categories.


While not all natural disasters can be avoided, their impact on a population can be mitigated through effective planning and preparedness. These are the lessons to be learned from Japan's own megadisaster: the Great East Japan Earthquake of 2011, the fi rst disaster ever recorded that included an earthquake, a tsunami, a nuclear power plant accident, a power supply failure, and a large-scale disruption of supply chains. It is a sad fact that poor communities are often hardest hit and take the longest to recover from disaster. Disaster risk management (DRM) should therefore be taken into account as a major development challenge, and countries must shift from a tradition of response to a culture of prevention and resilience. Learning from Megadisasters: Lessons from the Great East Japan Earthquake consolidates a set of 36 Knowledge Notes, research results of a joint study undertaken by the Government of Japan and the World Bank. These notes highlight key lessons learned in seven DRM thematic clusters—structural measures; nonstructural measures; emergency response; reconstruction planning; hazard and risk information and decision making; the economics of disaster risk, risk management, and risk fi nancing; and recovery and relocation. Aimed at sharing Japanese cutting-edge knowledge with practitioners and decision makers, this book provides valuable guidance to other disaster-prone countries for mainstreaming DRM in their development policies and weathering their own natural disasters.



Livestock Emergency Guidelines And Standards


Livestock Emergency Guidelines And Standards
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Author :
language : en
Publisher: Practical Action
Release Date : 2009

Livestock Emergency Guidelines And Standards written by and has been published by Practical Action this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009 with Animal rescue categories.


International guidelines and standards for the design, implementation and assessment of livestock interventions to assist people affected by humanitarian crises, LEGS expands the commitment in the Sphere handbook towards supporting livelihood assets, presenting clear and practical options for supporting livestock during and following disasters.



Climate Change Disasters Sustainability Transition And Peace In The Anthropocene


Climate Change Disasters Sustainability Transition And Peace In The Anthropocene
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Author : Hans Günter Brauch
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2018-09-14

Climate Change Disasters Sustainability Transition And Peace In The Anthropocene written by Hans Günter Brauch and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-09-14 with Science categories.


This book provides insight into Anthropocene-related studies by IPRA’s Ecology and Peace Commission. The first three chapters discuss the linkage between disasters and conflict risk reduction, responses to socio-environmental disasters in high-intensity conflict scenarios and the fragile state of disaster response with a special focus on aid-state-society relations in post-conflict settings. The two following chapters analyse climate-smart agriculture and a sustainable food system for a sustainable-engendered peace and the ethnology of select indigenous cultural resources for climate change adaptation focusing on the responses of the Abagusii in Kenya. A specific case study focuses on social representations and the family as a social institution in transition in Mexico, while the last chapter deals with sustainable peace through sustainability transition as transformative science concluding with a peace ecology perspective for the Anthropocene.