Increasing Uncertainty The Dangers Of Relying On Conventional Forces For Nuclear Deterrence Critique Of The Nuclear Posture Review Global Zero Risk Of Conventional Prompt Global Strike Missiles
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Increasing Uncertainty The Dangers Of Relying On Conventional Forces For Nuclear Deterrence Critique Of The Nuclear Posture Review Global Zero Risk Of Conventional Prompt Global Strike Missiles
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Author : U. S. Military
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2017-03-23
Increasing Uncertainty The Dangers Of Relying On Conventional Forces For Nuclear Deterrence Critique Of The Nuclear Posture Review Global Zero Risk Of Conventional Prompt Global Strike Missiles written by U. S. Military and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-03-23 with categories.
In his now-famous Prague speech in 2009 shortly after taking office, President Obama laid out his vision for a world without nuclear weapons. Although he had no timeline for reaching this goal, noting that it might not even occur in his lifetime, part of the pathway to that objective involved reducing the role of nuclear weapons in US national security strategy. The Nuclear Posture Review (NPR), released one year later, further defined and codified his vision for the security of the United States and its allies. Five years later, some of the implications of how this decision affects the US deterrent relationship with both Russia and China are becoming apparent.Arguably, these two are the United States' most important relationships and should serve as the cornerstone of US nuclear deterrence policy. Although Russia and China are not identified as adversaries of the United States, neither are they considered allies. Potential always exists for the relationship to sour, and in the case of Russia, that is exactly what has happened over the past year. The US decision to meet the needs of deterrence by relying less on nuclear weapons and instead developing conventional weapons that can have strategic effects may not have had the intended deterrent effect on Russia and China. Far from encouraging them to reduce the importance of nuclear weapons in their national security strategy, it may have inspired them to rely more on nuclear weapons to meet their security needs. Doing so could create dangerous instability in deterrence relationships.According to the Global Zero US Nuclear Policy Commission, the increased lethality and precision of advanced conventional weapons allow the United States to hold at risk enemy targets that, at one time, were susceptible only to nuclear weapons. Furthermore, the commission observed that these weapons would have a greater deterrent effect because they were more "usable" than nuclear weapons. Moreover, the commission's research showed that a significant number of targets in Russia and China, once vulnerable only to US nuclear weapons, would be threatened by precision conventional forces. Additionally, as US capabilities and investments improve, more targets would become vulnerable to conventional capabilities, enabling the administration to reduce the role of nuclear weapons even further.
Future Of Us Extended Deterrence In Asia To 2025
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Author : Robert A. Manning
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2022
Future Of Us Extended Deterrence In Asia To 2025 written by Robert A. Manning and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022 with categories.
Inadvertent Escalation
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Author : Barry R. Posen
language : en
Publisher: Cornell University Press
Release Date : 2014-01-13
Inadvertent Escalation written by Barry R. Posen and has been published by Cornell University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-01-13 with Political Science categories.
In this sobering book, Barry R. Posen demonstrates how the interplay between conventional military operations and nuclear forces could, in conflicts among states armed with both conventional and nuclear weaponry, inadvertently produce pressures for nuclear escalation. Knowledge of these hidden pressures, he believes, may help some future decision maker avoid catastrophe.Building a formidable argument that moves with cumulative force, he details the way in which escalation could occur not by mindless accident, or by deliberate preference for nuclear escalation, but rather as a natural accompaniment of land, naval, or air warfare at the conventional level. Posen bases his analysis on an empirical study of the east-west military competition in Europe during the 1980s, using a conceptual framework drawn from international relations theory, organization theory, and strategic theory.The lessons of his book, however, go well beyond the east-west competition. Since his observations are relevant to all military competitions between states armed with both conventional and nuclear weaponry, his book speaks to some of the problems that attend the proliferation of nuclear weapons in longstanding regional conflicts. Optimism that small and medium nuclear powers can easily achieve "stable" nuclear balances is, he believes, unwarranted.
The Future Of The U S Intercontinental Ballistic Missile Force
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Author : Lauren Caston
language : en
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Release Date : 2014-02-04
The Future Of The U S Intercontinental Ballistic Missile Force written by Lauren Caston and has been published by Rand Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-02-04 with Political Science categories.
The authors assess alternatives for a next-generation intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) across a broad set of potential characteristics and situations. They use the current Minuteman III as a baseline to develop a framework to characterize alternative classes of ICBMs, assess the survivability and effectiveness of possible alternatives, and weigh those alternatives against their cost.
Managing Us China Nuclear Risks A Guide For Australia
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Author : Fiona Cunningham
language : en
Publisher: United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney
Release Date : 2020-09-29
Managing Us China Nuclear Risks A Guide For Australia written by Fiona Cunningham and has been published by United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-09-29 with Political Science categories.
There is a small risk of deliberate nuclear use and a larger risk of inadvertent nuclear use in a future US-China conflict, both of which could increase if the possibility of conflict grows or if Washington or Beijing pursue more ambitious nuclear strategies. China’s nuclear strategy has to date focused on deterring an adversary’s nuclear threats and use. While its recent nuclear arsenal modernisation is consistent with this strategy, Beijing has acquired new capabilities that could enable a shift to a nuclear first-use strategy. The United States and China are not in a nuclear arms race. Nevertheless, efforts by the United States to maintain its current margin of superiority over China’s nuclear forces, or to deter North Korea or Russia, could prompt further growth in China’s arsenal. Australia’s interests would be best served by an allied military strategy for countering China that emphasises robust conventional capabilities, relies on US nuclear weapons to deter the unlikely prospect of Chinese nuclear first-use, and strives to mitigate the risks of inadvertent nuclear escalation. Australia should work through existing mechanisms for consultation in the alliance, as well as multilateral fora, to lessen the risks of nuclear use in a future US-China conflict scenario and support informal arms control among the five permanent members of the United Nations Security Council.
Conventional Deterrence
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Author : John J. Mearsheimer
language : en
Publisher: Cornell University Press
Release Date : 1985
Conventional Deterrence written by John J. Mearsheimer and has been published by Cornell University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1985 with Deterrence (Strategy) categories.
Conventional Deterrence is a book about the origins of war. Why do nations faced with the prospect of large-scale conventional war opt for or against an offensive strategy? John J. Mearsheimer examines a number of crises that led to major conventional wars to explain why deterrence failed. He focuses first on Allied and German decision making in the years 1939-1940, analyzing why the Allies did not strike first against Germany after declaring war and, conversely, why the Germans did attack the West. Turning to the Middle East, he examines the differences in Israeli and Egyptian strategic doctrines prior to the start of the major conventional conflicts in that region. Mearsheimer then critically assays the relative strengths and weaknesses of NATO and the Warsaw Pact to determine the prospects for conventional deterrence in any future crisis. He is also concerned with examining such relatively technical issues as the impact of precision-guided munitions (PGM) on conventional deterrence and the debate over maneuver versus attrition warfare.Mearsheimer pays considerable attention to questions of military strategy and tactics. Challenging the claim that conventional detrrence is largely a function of the numerical balance of forces, he also takes issue with the school of thought that ascribes deterrence failures to the dominance of "offensive" weaponry. In addition to examining the military consideration underlying deterrence, he also analyzes the interaction between those military factors and the broader political considerations that move a nation to war.
China S Incomplete Military Transformation
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Author : Michael S. Chase
language : en
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Release Date : 2015-02-13
China S Incomplete Military Transformation written by Michael S. Chase and has been published by Rand Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-02-13 with History categories.
Through extensive primary source analysis and independent analysis, this report seeks to answer a number of important questions regarding the state of China’s armed forces. The authors found that the PLA is keenly aware of its many weaknesses and is vigorously striving to correct them. Although it is only natural to focus on the PLA’s growing capabilities, understanding the PLA’s weaknesses—and its self-assessments—is no less important.
Strategic Stability Contending Interpretations Enlarged Edition
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Author : Elbridge A. Colby
language : en
Publisher: Lulu.com
Release Date :
Strategic Stability Contending Interpretations Enlarged Edition written by Elbridge A. Colby and has been published by Lulu.com this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with categories.
India S Emerging Nuclear Posture
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Author : Ashley J. Tellis
language : en
Publisher: Rand Corporation
Release Date : 2001
India S Emerging Nuclear Posture written by Ashley J. Tellis and has been published by Rand Corporation this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001 with Deterrence (Strategy). categories.
"This book brings together the many pieces of India's nuclear puzzle and the ramifications for South Asia. The author examines the choices facing India from New Delhi's point of view in order to discern which future courses of action appear most appealing to Indian security managers. He details how such choices, if acted upon, would affect U.S. strategic interests, India's neighbors, and the world."--BOOK JACKET.
2019 Missile Defense Review
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Author : Department Of Defense
language : en
Publisher: Independently Published
Release Date : 2019-01-19
2019 Missile Defense Review written by Department Of Defense and has been published by Independently Published this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-01-19 with History categories.
2019 Missile Defense Review - January 2019 According to a senior administration official, a number of new technologies are highlighted in the report. The review looks at "the comprehensive environment the United States faces, and our allies and partners face. It does posture forces to be prepared for capabilities that currently exist and that we anticipate in the future." The report calls for major investments from both new technologies and existing systems. This is a very important and insightful report because many of the cost assessments for these technologies in the past, which concluded they were too expensive, are no longer applicable. Why buy a book you can download for free? We print this book so you don't have to. First you gotta find a good clean (legible) copy and make sure it's the latest version (not always easy). Some documents found on the web are missing some pages or the image quality is so poor, they are difficult to read. We look over each document carefully and replace poor quality images by going back to the original source document. We proof each document to make sure it's all there - including all changes. If you find a good copy, you could print it using a network printer you share with 100 other people (typically its either out of paper or toner). If it's just a 10-page document, no problem, but if it's 250-pages, you will need to punch 3 holes in all those pages and put it in a 3-ring binder. Takes at least an hour. It's much more cost-effective to just order the latest version from Amazon.com This book includes original commentary which is copyright material. Note that government documents are in the public domain. We print these large documents as a service so you don't have to. The books are compact, tightly-bound, full-size (8 1/2 by 11 inches), with large text and glossy covers. 4th Watch Publishing Co. is a HUBZONE SDVOSB. https: //usgovpub.com