Intelligence Analysis As Discovery Of Evidence Hypotheses And Arguments
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Intelligence Analysis As Discovery Of Evidence Hypotheses And Arguments
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Author : Gheorghe Tecuci
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2016-08-30
Intelligence Analysis As Discovery Of Evidence Hypotheses And Arguments written by Gheorghe Tecuci and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-08-30 with Computers categories.
Using a flexible software system, this book teaches evidential and inferential issues used in drawing conclusions from masses of evidence.
Critical Thinking And Intelligence Analysis
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Author : David T. Moore
language : en
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
Release Date : 2010-10
Critical Thinking And Intelligence Analysis written by David T. Moore and has been published by DIANE Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-10 with Political Science categories.
Contents: (1) How Do People Reason?; (2) What is Critical Thinking?; (3) What Can Be Learned from the Past?: Thinking Critically about Cuba: Deploying the Missiles; Assessing the Implications; Between Dogmatism and Refutation; Lacking: Disconfirmation; The Roles of Critical Thinking in the Cuban Crisis; Winners and Losers: The Crisis in Context; Ten Years Later, They Meet Again; Judgment; (4) How Can Intelligence Analysts Employ Critical Thinking?; (5) How Can Intelligence Analysts be Taught to Think Critically?; (6) How Does Critical Thinking Transform?; (7) What Other Points of View Exist?; (8) What Does the Future Hold?; (9) NSA¿s Critical Thinking and Structured Analysis Class Syllabus. Charts and tables.
Evidence And Inference For The Intelligence Analyst
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Author : David A. Schum
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1987
Evidence And Inference For The Intelligence Analyst written by David A. Schum and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1987 with Education categories.
This is the companion volume to the book described above. Volume II contains supplementary material for Chapters 3 through 12 in Volume I. These supplements contain various formal, logical, or mathematical arguments in support of assertions made in the chapters in Volume I. The supplements also contain additional topical examples of evidentiary and inferential matters discussed in the chapter of Volume I; the examples in eight of these supplements are numerical in nature and are designed to illustrate the operations of the various formal systems of probability/inference under consideration.
Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis
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Author : Richards J. Heuer Jr.
language : en
Publisher: CQ Press
Release Date : 2014-05-28
Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis written by Richards J. Heuer Jr. and has been published by CQ Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-05-28 with Political Science categories.
In this Second Edition of Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis, authors Richards J. Heuer Jr. and Randolph H. Pherson showcase fifty-five structured analytic techniques—five new to this edition—that represent the most current best practices in intelligence, law enforcement, homeland security, and business analysis.
Psychology Of Intelligence Analysis
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Author : Richards J Heuer
language : en
Publisher: Pickle Partners Publishing
Release Date : 2020-03-05
Psychology Of Intelligence Analysis written by Richards J Heuer and has been published by Pickle Partners Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-03-05 with History categories.
In this seminal work, published by the C.I.A. itself, produced by Intelligence veteran Richards Heuer discusses three pivotal points. First, human minds are ill-equipped ("poorly wired") to cope effectively with both inherent and induced uncertainty. Second, increased knowledge of our inherent biases tends to be of little assistance to the analyst. And lastly, tools and techniques that apply higher levels of critical thinking can substantially improve analysis on complex problems.
Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis
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Author : Randolph H. Pherson
language : en
Publisher: CQ Press
Release Date : 2019-12-05
Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis written by Randolph H. Pherson and has been published by CQ Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-12-05 with Political Science categories.
"Excellent publication for the study of intelligence analysis, structured analytical techniques and their application in this increasingly dangerous environment. A must read for anyone entering the intelligence community as an analyst, practitioner, stakeholder and leader." —Charles E. Wilson, University of Detroit Mercy The Third Edition of Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis showcases sixty-six structured analytic techniques—nine new to this edition—that represent the most current best practices in intelligence, law enforcement, homeland security, and business analysis. With more depth, detail, and utility than existing handbooks, each technique is clearly and systematically explained. Logically organized and richly illustrated, and with spiral binding and tabs that separate techniques into categories, this book is an easy-to-use, comprehensive reference.
Advances In Intelligent Decision Technologies
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Author : Gloria Phillips-Wren
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2010-07-19
Advances In Intelligent Decision Technologies written by Gloria Phillips-Wren and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-07-19 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Intelligent Decision Technologies (IDT) seeks an interchange of research on intelligent systems and intelligent technologies which enhance or improve decision making in industry, government and academia. The focus is interdisciplinary in nature, and includes research on all aspects of intelligent decision technologies, from fundamental development to the applied system. This volume represents leading research from the Second KES International Symposium on Intelligent Decision Technologies (KES IDT’10), hosted and organized by the Sellinger School of Business and Management, Loyola University Maryland, USA, in conjunction with KES International. The symposium was concerned with theory, design development, implementation, testing and evaluation of intelligent decision systems. Topics include decision making theory, intelligent agents, fuzzy logic, multi-agent systems, Bayesian networks, optimization, artificial neural networks, genetic algorithms, expert systems, decision support systems, geographic information systems, case-based reasoning, time series, knowledge management systems, Kansei communication, rough sets, spatial decision analysis, and multi-criteria decision analysis. These technologies have the potential to revolutionize decision making in many areas of management, healthcare, international business, finance, accounting, marketing, military applications, ecommerce, network management, crisis response, building design, information retrieval, and disaster recovery.
Knowledge Engineering
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Author : Gheorghe Tecuci
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2016-09-08
Knowledge Engineering written by Gheorghe Tecuci and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-09-08 with Business & Economics categories.
Using robust software, this book focuses on learning assistants for evidence-based reasoning that learn complex problem solving from humans.
The Logic Of Intelligence Analysis
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Author : Karl Spielmann
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2018-06-12
The Logic Of Intelligence Analysis written by Karl Spielmann and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-06-12 with Political Science categories.
This book discusses the application of hypothesis testing to the practice of intelligence analysis. By drawing on longstanding procedures of scientific method, particularly hypothesis testing, this book strongly critiques standard intelligence analytic practices. It shows these practices to be inadequate, as they are illogical in terms of what formal philosophy says any intelligence analysts can realistically be expected to know, and for the future when analysts will face pressures to adapt to digital age modeling techniques. The methodology focuses on identifying and remedying analytic errors caused by analyst cognitive biases and by foreign denial and deception. To demonstrate that it is a practical tool, it walks analysts through a case study, step by step, to show how its hypothesis testing can be implemented. It also invites a comparative test in the real world with any other intelligence methodologies to assess its strengths and weaknesses in predicting the outcome of an actual "live" intelligence issue. This book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, public policy and national security, as well as practitioners.
Cases In Intelligence Analysis
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Author : Sarah Miller Beebe
language : en
Publisher: CQ Press
Release Date : 2014-04-28
Cases In Intelligence Analysis written by Sarah Miller Beebe and has been published by CQ Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-04-28 with Political Science categories.
In their Second Edition of Cases in Intelligence Analysis: Structured Analytic Techniques in Action, accomplished instructors and intelligence practitioners Sarah Miller Beebe and Randolph H. Pherson offer robust, class-tested cases studies of events in foreign intelligence, counterintelligence, terrorism, homeland security, law enforcement, and decision-making support. Designed to give analysts-in-training an opportunity to apply structured analytic techniques and tackle real-life problems, each turnkey case delivers a captivating narrative, discussion questions, recommended readings, and a series of engaging analytic exercises.