Reasoning For Intelligence Analysts
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Reasoning For Intelligence Analysts
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Author : Noel Hendrickson
language : en
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Release Date : 2018-03-29
Reasoning For Intelligence Analysts written by Noel Hendrickson and has been published by Rowman & Littlefield this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-03-29 with Political Science categories.
The goal of Reasoning for Intelligence Analysts is to address the three distinct dimensions of an analyst’s thinking: the person of the analyst (their traits), the processes they use (their techniques), and the problems they face (their targets). Based on a decade of academic research and university teaching in a program for aspiring intelligence analysts, this multidimensional approach will help the reader move beyond the traditional boundaries of accumulating knowledge or critical thinking with techniques to assess the unique targets of reasoning in the information age. This approach is not just a set of techniques, but covers all elements of reasoning by discussing the personal, procedural, and problem-specific aspects. It also addresses key challenges, such as uncertain data, irrelevant or misleading information, indeterminate outcomes, and significance for clients through an extensive examination of hypothesis development, causal analysis, futures exploration, and strategy assessment. Both critical and creative thinking, which are essential to reasoning in intelligence, are integrated throughout. Structured around independently readable chapters, this text offers a systematic approach to reasoning a long with an extensive toolkit that will serve the needs of both students and intelligence professionals.
Critical Thinking And Intelligence Analysis
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Author : David T. Moore
language : en
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
Release Date : 2010-10
Critical Thinking And Intelligence Analysis written by David T. Moore and has been published by DIANE Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2010-10 with Political Science categories.
Contents: (1) How Do People Reason?; (2) What is Critical Thinking?; (3) What Can Be Learned from the Past?: Thinking Critically about Cuba: Deploying the Missiles; Assessing the Implications; Between Dogmatism and Refutation; Lacking: Disconfirmation; The Roles of Critical Thinking in the Cuban Crisis; Winners and Losers: The Crisis in Context; Ten Years Later, They Meet Again; Judgment; (4) How Can Intelligence Analysts Employ Critical Thinking?; (5) How Can Intelligence Analysts be Taught to Think Critically?; (6) How Does Critical Thinking Transform?; (7) What Other Points of View Exist?; (8) What Does the Future Hold?; (9) NSA¿s Critical Thinking and Structured Analysis Class Syllabus. Charts and tables.
Counterfactual Reasoning
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Author : Noel Hendrickson
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2008-10-15
Counterfactual Reasoning written by Noel Hendrickson and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-10-15 with categories.
Counterfactual reasoning is the process of evaluating conditional claims about alternate possibilities and their consequences (i.e., "What If" statements). These alternatives can be either past possibilities or future possibilities. Counterfactuals are essential to intelligence analysis because they are implicit in all strategic assessments. The process of counterfactual reasoning has three stages. The ?rst two of these are somewhat counterintuitive and are easily ignored by analysts. First, one must establish the particular way in which the alternate possibility comes to be (i.e., develop its "back-story"). Second, one must evaluate the events that occur between the time of the alternate possibility and the time for which one is considering its consequences. And third, one must examine the possible consequences of the alternate possibility's back-story and the events that follow it. In doing so, an analyst must connect their conclusion to the speci?c type of strategic assessment the counterfactual will be used to support: decision making under risk or decision making under uncertainty. Includes notes, glossary and references. Noel Hendrickson is Director of the Institute for National Security Analysis.
Critical Thinking And Intelligence Analysis
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Author : David T. Moore
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2006
Critical Thinking And Intelligence Analysis written by David T. Moore and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with Critical thinking categories.
Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis
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Author : Randolph H. Pherson
language : en
Publisher: CQ Press
Release Date : 2019-12-05
Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis written by Randolph H. Pherson and has been published by CQ Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-12-05 with Political Science categories.
"Excellent publication for the study of intelligence analysis, structured analytical techniques and their application in this increasingly dangerous environment. A must read for anyone entering the intelligence community as an analyst, practitioner, stakeholder and leader." —Charles E. Wilson, University of Detroit Mercy The Third Edition of Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis showcases sixty-six structured analytic techniques—nine new to this edition—that represent the most current best practices in intelligence, law enforcement, homeland security, and business analysis. With more depth, detail, and utility than existing handbooks, each technique is clearly and systematically explained. Logically organized and richly illustrated, and with spiral binding and tabs that separate techniques into categories, this book is an easy-to-use, comprehensive reference.
Evidence And Inference For The Intelligence Analyst
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Author : David A. Schum
language : en
Publisher: Evidence & Inference for the I
Release Date : 1987
Evidence And Inference For The Intelligence Analyst written by David A. Schum and has been published by Evidence & Inference for the I this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1987 with Education categories.
This book, divided into two volumes, is intended to bring intelligence analysts and others abreast of current scholarship, from many disciplines, on the process of drawing conclusions from a mass of incomplete, inconclusive, and unreliable evidence. Volume I contains seventeen chapters on various evidential and inferential issues; though they contain some symbols and diagrams, the chapters in this volume contain almost no mathematics.
Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis
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Author : Richards J. Heuer Jr.
language : en
Publisher: CQ Press
Release Date : 2014-05-28
Structured Analytic Techniques For Intelligence Analysis written by Richards J. Heuer Jr. and has been published by CQ Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-05-28 with Political Science categories.
In this Second Edition of Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis, authors Richards J. Heuer Jr. and Randolph H. Pherson showcase fifty-five structured analytic techniques—five new to this edition—that represent the most current best practices in intelligence, law enforcement, homeland security, and business analysis.
Critical Thinking For Strategic Intelligence
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Author : Katherine Hibbs Pherson
language : en
Publisher: CQ Press
Release Date : 2020-08-14
Critical Thinking For Strategic Intelligence written by Katherine Hibbs Pherson and has been published by CQ Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-08-14 with Political Science categories.
With Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence, Katherine Hibbs Pherson and Randolph H. Pherson have updated their highly regarded, easy-to-use handbook for developing core critical thinking skills and analytic techniques. This indispensable text is framed around 20 key questions that all analysts must ask themselves as they prepare to conduct research, generate hypotheses, evaluate sources of information, draft papers, and ultimately present analysis, including: How do I get started? Where is the information I need? What is my argument? How do I convey my message effectively? The Third Edition includes suggested best practices for dealing with digital disinformation, politicization, and AI. Drawing upon their years of teaching and analytic experience, Pherson and Pherson provide a useful introduction to skills that are essential within the intelligence community.
Scientific Methods Of Inquiry For Intelligence Analysis
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Author : Hank Prunckun
language : en
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Release Date : 2014-09-08
Scientific Methods Of Inquiry For Intelligence Analysis written by Hank Prunckun and has been published by Rowman & Littlefield this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-09-08 with Political Science categories.
Since 9/11, the needs of intelligence agencies as well as the missions they conduct have increased in number, size, and complexity. This expanded and updated edition offers a way of gaining the analytic skills essential to undertake intelligence work. It acquaints students and analysts with how intelligence fits into the larger research framework, covering not only the essentials of applied research, but also the function, structure, and operational methods specifically involved in intelligence work. It looks at how analysts work with classified information in a security conscious environment as well as obtain data via covert methods.
Methods Of Inquiry For Intelligence Analysis
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Author : Hank Prunckun
language : en
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield
Release Date : 2019-04-12
Methods Of Inquiry For Intelligence Analysis written by Hank Prunckun and has been published by Rowman & Littlefield this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-04-12 with Political Science categories.
This textbook offers a way of gaining the analytic skills essential to undertake intelligence work. It acquaints students and analysts with how intelligence fits into the larger research framework. It covers not only the essentials of applied research, but also the function, structure, and operational methods specifically involved in intelligence work. It looks at how analysts work with classified information in a security conscious environment as well as obtain data via covert methods.