Intelligence Failures And Strategic Surprises In Complex Geopolitical Environments

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Intelligence Failures And Strategic Surprises In Complex Geopolitical Environments
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Author : Frederic Lemieux
language : en
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Release Date : 2025-06-30
Intelligence Failures And Strategic Surprises In Complex Geopolitical Environments written by Frederic Lemieux and has been published by Emerald Group Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-06-30 with Political Science categories.
Bridging the gap between academic theory and practical intelligence analysis in the context of modern geopolitical instability, Lemieux features in-depth case studies spanning over eight decades, from the attack on Pearl Harbor in 1941 to the recent Hamas Attack in 2023.
Intelligence Failures And Strategic Surprises In Complex Geopolitical Environments
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Author : Frederic Lemieux
language : en
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Release Date : 2025-06-30
Intelligence Failures And Strategic Surprises In Complex Geopolitical Environments written by Frederic Lemieux and has been published by Emerald Group Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-06-30 with Political Science categories.
Bridging the gap between academic theory and practical intelligence analysis in the context of modern geopolitical instability, Lemieux features in-depth case studies spanning over eight decades, from the attack on Pearl Harbor in 1941 to the recent Hamas Attack in 2023.
Constructing Cassandra
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Author : Milo Jones
language : en
Publisher: Stanford University Press
Release Date : 2013-08-21
Constructing Cassandra written by Milo Jones and has been published by Stanford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-08-21 with Political Science categories.
Constructing Cassandra analyzes the intelligence failures at the CIA that resulted in four key strategic surprises experienced by the US: the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962, the Iranian revolution of 1978, the collapse of the USSR in 1991, and the 9/11 terrorist attacks—surprises still play out today in U.S. policy. Although there has been no shortage of studies exploring how intelligence failures can happen, none of them have been able to provide a unified understanding of the phenomenon. To correct that omission, this book brings culture and identity to the foreground to present a unified model of strategic surprise; one that focuses on the internal make-up the CIA, and takes seriously those Cassandras who offered warnings, but were ignored. This systematic exploration of the sources of the CIA's intelligence failures points to ways to prevent future strategic surprises.
Vigilance Is Not Enough
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Author : Mark M. Lowenthal
language : en
Publisher: Yale University Press
Release Date : 2025-05-06
Vigilance Is Not Enough written by Mark M. Lowenthal and has been published by Yale University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-05-06 with Political Science categories.
A broad and deep survey of American intelligence from before the Revolution to the present Every nation has an intelligence apparatus—some means by which its top officials acquire needed information on sensitive issues. But each nation does it differently, influenced by its history, its geographical conditions, and its political traditions. In this book, Mark M. Lowenthal examines the development of U.S. intelligence to explain how and why the United States went from having no intelligence service to speak of to being the world’s predominant intelligence power almost overnight, and he discusses the difficult choices involved in maintaining that dominance in a liberal democracy. Lowenthal describes how the lack of a tradition of spycraft both hindered and helped American efforts to develop intelligence services during and after the Second World War. He points to the political pragmatism—leading to difficult choices—with which most intelligence directors operated; the constant tension between security and civil liberties in a constitutional democracy; the tension between the need for secrecy and the accountability required for democratic governance; and the way the growing importance of technology changed both the methods and the objectives of intelligence gathering. Far more than simply an episodic history, this book offers an analysis of why American intelligence developed as it did—and what it has meant for the nation’s and the world’s politics.
Strategic Theory For The 21st Century The Little Book On Big Strategy
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Author : Harry R. Yarger
language : en
Publisher: DIANE Publishing
Release Date : 2006
Strategic Theory For The 21st Century The Little Book On Big Strategy written by Harry R. Yarger and has been published by DIANE Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with Military doctrine categories.
Intelligence And Surprise Attack
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Author : Erik J. Dahl
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2005
Intelligence And Surprise Attack written by Erik J. Dahl and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with categories.
How can the United States avoid a future surprise attack on the scale of 9/11 or Pearl Harbor, in an era when such devastating attacks can come not only from nation states, but also from terrorist groups or cyber enemies? Intelligence and Surprise Attack examines why surprise attacks often succeed even though, in most cases, warnings had been available beforehand. Erik J. Dahl challenges the conventional wisdom about intelligence failure.
Ready For Battle
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Author : Azriel Lorber
language : en
Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing PLC
Release Date : 2014-10-30
Ready For Battle written by Azriel Lorber and has been published by Bloomsbury Publishing PLC this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-10-30 with History categories.
Technology and its proper use constitute key components in the strength of any armed forces. However, battlefield technologies constantly evolve in the quest for competitive advantage, with the rate at which new concepts and devices appear steadily increasing. In the world of technological intelligence, militaries worldwide not only seek to advance their technologies but to gather information about the latest technological and scientific developments of present and future adversaries, evaluate their possible impacts, and prevent as much as possible, the advantages gained by technological surprise—that sudden appearance of novel weapon systems that can tilt the success of an operation, battle, or even war. While ample documentation circulates on operational intelligence—defined as information about an enemy's order of battle and intentions—and “operational surprise,” technological intelligence (and consequently technological surprise) receives far less attention than today’s military reality merits. In Ready for Battle: Technological Intelligence on the Battlefield, Azriel Lorber rectifies this slant towards operational intelligence, engaging through historical example and policy prescription technology's role in modern warfare, and the dangers presented by technological inferiority on the one hand, and technological surprise on the other. Throughout, he offers examples of well-kept technological secrets that turned the tides of battle—as well as less well-hidden efforts that failed in their effect. Ready for Battle analyzes the challenges presented and possible methods for addressing questions of technological surprise, drawing on historical examples of failure and success and offering insights into the intricacies of technological deception. This work will interest military historians and officers, security analysts, and defense industry professionals.
War Transformed
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Author : Mick Ryan
language : en
Publisher: Naval Institute Press
Release Date : 2022-02-15
War Transformed written by Mick Ryan and has been published by Naval Institute Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-02-15 with History categories.
War Transformed: The Future of Twenty-First-Century Great Power Competition and Conflict provides insights for those involved in the design of military strategy, and the forces that must execute that strategy. Emphasizing the impacts of technology, new era strategic competition, demography, and climate change, Mick Ryan uses historical as well as contemporary anecdotes throughout the book to highlight key challenges faced by nations in a new era of great power rivalry. Just as previous industrial revolutions have advanced societies, the nascent fourth industrial revolution will have a similar impact on how humans fight, compete, and build military power in the twenty-first century. After reviewing the principle catalysts of change in the security environment, War Transformed seeks to provide a preview of the shape of war and competition in the twenty-first century. Ryan examines both the shifting character of war and its enduring nature. In doing so, he proposes important trends in warfare that will shape all aspects of human competition and conflict in the coming decades. The remainder of the book analyzes how military institutions must prepare for future competition and conflict. Competing and engaging in combat in this new era involves new and evolved strategies and warfighting concepts, as well as adapting our current military organizations. It will also demand building an intellectual edge in military personnel through evolved concepts of training, education, and development. As the competitive environment and potential battlefields continue to change, conceptions of combat, competition and conflict must also evolve. Mick Ryan makes the case for transforming how Western military institutions view war in this century.
Strategy And Geopolitics
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Author : Mike Rosenberg
language : en
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Release Date : 2017-07-21
Strategy And Geopolitics written by Mike Rosenberg and has been published by Emerald Group Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-07-21 with Business & Economics categories.
The world is shifting to a less stable geopolitical structure, and only firms that can acquire a better capability to foresee and prepare for change will succeed. Strategy and Geopolitics provides a strategic framework that can help senior business executives address the challenges of globalization in this evolving geopolitical landscape.
Elements Of Deterrence
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Author : Erik Gartzke
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Release Date : 2024
Elements Of Deterrence written by Erik Gartzke and has been published by Oxford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024 with Political Science categories.
Global politics in the twenty-first century is complicated by dense economic interdependence, rapid technological innovation, and fierce security competition. How should governments formulate grand strategy in this complex environment? Many strategists look to deterrence as the answer, but how much can we expect of deterrence? Classical deterrence theory developed in response to the nuclear threats of the Cold War, but strategists since have applied it to a variety of threats in the land, sea, air, space, and cyber domains. If war is the continuation of politics by other means, then the diversity of technologies in modern war suggests a diversity of political effects. Some military forces or postures are most useful for "winning" various kinds of wars. Others are effective for "warning" adversaries of consequences or demonstrating resolve. Still others may accomplish these goals at lower political cost, or with greater strategic stability. Deterrence is not a simple strategy, therefore, but a complex relationship between many ends and many means. This book presents findings from a decade-long research program on "cross-domain deterrence." Through a series of theoretical and empirical studies, we explore fundamental trade-offs that have always been implicit in practice but have yet to be synthesized into a general theory of deterrence. Gartzke and Lindsay integrate newly revised and updated versions of published work alongside new work into a holistic framework for understanding how deterrence works--or fails to work--in multiple domains. Their findings show that in deterrence, all good things do not go together.