Judgment And Decision Making Under Uncertainty Descriptive Normative And Prescriptive Perspectives
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Judgment And Decision Making Under Uncertainty Descriptive Normative And Prescriptive Perspectives
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Author : David R. Mandel
language : en
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
Release Date : 2019-09-26
Judgment And Decision Making Under Uncertainty Descriptive Normative And Prescriptive Perspectives written by David R. Mandel and has been published by Frontiers Media SA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-09-26 with categories.
The Impact Of Individual Expertise And Public Information On Group Decision Making
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Author : Ulrich G. Strunz
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2021-07-04
The Impact Of Individual Expertise And Public Information On Group Decision Making written by Ulrich G. Strunz and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-07-04 with Business & Economics categories.
In this open-access-book the author concludes that expertise could be the key factor for global and interconnected problems. Experimental results have shown that expertise was a stronger predictor than public information regarding change in behavior and strategy adaption. Identifying non-routine problem-solving experts by efficient online assessments could lead to less volatile system performance, from which all decision-makers could potentially profit.
Multicriteria And Multiobjective Models For Risk Reliability And Maintenance Decision Analysis
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Author : Adiel Teixeira de Almeida
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2015-07-01
Multicriteria And Multiobjective Models For Risk Reliability And Maintenance Decision Analysis written by Adiel Teixeira de Almeida and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-07-01 with Business & Economics categories.
This book integrates multiple criteria concepts and methods for problems within the Risk, Reliability and Maintenance (RRM) context. The concepts and foundations related to RRM are considered for this integration with multicriteria approaches. In the book, a general framework for building decision models is presented and this is illustrated in various chapters by discussing many different decision models related to the RRM context. The scope of the book is related to ways of how to integrate Applied Probability and Decision Making. In Applied Probability, this mainly includes: decision analysis and reliability theory, amongst other topics closely related to risk analysis and maintenance. In Decision Making, it includes a broad range of topics in MCDM (Multi-Criteria Decision Making) and MCDA (Multi-Criteria Decision Aiding; also known as Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis). In addition to decision analysis, some of the topics related to Mathematical Programming area are briefly considered, such as multiobjective optimization, since methods related to these topics have been applied to the context of RRM. The book addresses an innovative treatment for the decision making in RRM, thereby improving the integration of fundamental concepts from the areas of both RRM and decision making. This is accomplished by presenting an overview of the literature on decision making in RRM. Some pitfalls of decision models when applying them to RRM in practice are discussed and guidance on overcoming these drawbacks is offered. The procedure enables multicriteria models to be built for the RRM context, including guidance on choosing an appropriate multicriteria method for a particular problem faced in the RRM context. The book also includes many research advances in these topics. Most of the multicriteria decision models that are described are specific applications that have been influenced by this research and the advances in this field. Multicriteria and Multiobjective Models for Risk, Reliability and Maintenance Decision Analysis is implicitly structured in three parts, with 12 chapters. The first part deals with MCDM/A concepts methods and decision processes. The second part presents the main concepts and foundations of RRM. Finally the third part deals with specific decision problems in the RRM context approached with MCDM/A models.
Profiting From Uncertainty
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Author : Paul Schoemaker
language : en
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
Release Date : 2012-12-25
Profiting From Uncertainty written by Paul Schoemaker and has been published by Simon and Schuster this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-25 with Business & Economics categories.
What manager is not anxious about the future? We live in a white-knuckled age of rapid technological change and global instability. But uncertainty is not the enemy, says management expert Paul J. H. Schoemaker. It is where the greatest opportunities are. To unlock these opportunities, however, requires a very different approach to strategy and implementation. In this pioneering book, Dr. Schoemaker presents a systematic approach that combines concepts such as scenario planning, options thinking, and dynamic monitoring to create novel strategies for profiting from ambiguity. Building on his experience with more than one hundred consulting projects in fields ranging from health care to manufacturing, from utilities to financial services, Schoemaker shows how major corporations throughout the world have used his pathbreaking methodology to prepare for an uncertain future and profit from it. In this first comprehensive approach to the subject, Schoemaker shows the reader (1) how to develop and analyze multiple industry scenarios, (2) craft nimble strategies with just the right amount of flexibility, (3) implement them using an options approach, and (4) make real-time adjustments through dynamic monitoring. As a leading academic thinker and practitioner, the author draws on the frontiers of decision science, organization theory, strategy, and cognitive psychology to integrate the most practical contributions these various fields have made to navigating uncertainty. More than any other capability, skill in seizing initiatives in shifting, unpredictable circumstances is the key to success. Profiting from Uncertainty provides a road map to do just that. This book was first published in 2002, well ahead of the mega turmoil that befell the world in 2008 and beyond. The methods and tools described here have been used by many companies and are even more relevant today than when originally published. You can’t do without them.
The Sage Handbook Of Decision Making Assessment And Risk In Social Work
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Author : Brian J. Taylor
language : en
Publisher: SAGE Publications Limited
Release Date : 2023-08-16
The Sage Handbook Of Decision Making Assessment And Risk In Social Work written by Brian J. Taylor and has been published by SAGE Publications Limited this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-08-16 with Social Science categories.
The SAGE Handbook on Decision Making, Assessment and Risk in Social Work provides a comprehensive overview of key debates and issues; and gives pointers on future directions for practice, research, teaching, management of services, and development of theoretical understandings. It′s key aim is to support the development of sound, applied ‘science’ (knowledge) and values to underpin reasoned, reasonable professional judgement and decision making by social workers in practice and those in management and regulatory roles.
Decision Making
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Author : David E. Bell
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1988-10-28
Decision Making written by David E. Bell and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1988-10-28 with Business & Economics categories.
A compilation of different approaches--normative, descriptive,and prescriptive--develops this integrated analysis of decision-making that emphasizes the contributions of various disciplinary interests.
Handbook Of Psychology Experimental Psychology
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Author : Irving B. Weiner
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2012-10-16
Handbook Of Psychology Experimental Psychology written by Irving B. Weiner and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-10-16 with Psychology categories.
Psychology is of interest to academics from many fields, as well as to the thousands of academic and clinical psychologists and general public who can't help but be interested in learning more about why humans think and behave as they do. This award-winning twelve-volume reference covers every aspect of the ever-fascinating discipline of psychology and represents the most current knowledge in the field. This ten-year revision now covers discoveries based in neuroscience, clinical psychology's new interest in evidence-based practice and mindfulness, and new findings in social, developmental, and forensic psychology.
Psychology And Mathematics Education
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Author : Gila Hanna
language : en
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
Release Date : 2023-09-05
Psychology And Mathematics Education written by Gila Hanna and has been published by Frontiers Media SA this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-09-05 with Science categories.
Modern Mathematics is constructed rigorously through proofs, based on truths, which are either axioms or previously proven theorems. Thus, it is par excellence a model of rational inquiry. Links between Cognitive Psychology and Mathematics Education have been particularly strong during the last decades. Indeed, the Enlightenment view of the rational human mind that reasons, makes decisions and solves problems based on logic and probabilities, was shaken during the second half of the twentieth century. Cognitive psychologists discovered that humans' thoughts and actions often deviate from rules imposed by strict normative theories of inference. Yet, these deviations should not be called "errors": as Cognitive Psychologists have demonstrated, these deviations may be either valid heuristics that succeed in the environments in which humans have evolved, or biases that are caused by a lack of adaptation to abstract information formats. Humans, as the cognitive psychologist and economist Herbert Simon claimed, do not usually optimize, but rather satisfice, even when solving problem. This Research Topic aims at demonstrating that these insights have had a decisive impact on Mathematics Education. We want to stress that we are concerned with the view of bounded rationality that is different from the one espoused by the heuristics-and-biases program. In Simon’s bounded rationality and its direct descendant ecological rationality, rationality is understood in terms of cognitive success in the world (correspondence) rather than in terms of conformity to content-free norms of coherence (e.g., transitivity).
Judgment And Decision Making
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Author : Terry Connolly
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2000
Judgment And Decision Making written by Terry Connolly and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000 with Education categories.
This work examines issues such as medical diagnosis, weather forecasting, labour negotiations, risk, public policy, business strategy, eyewitnesses, and jury decisions. This is a revision of Arkes and Hammond's 1986 collection of papers on judgment and decision-making. Updated and extended, the focus of this volume is interdisciplinary and applied.
Handbook Of Marketing
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Author : Barton A Weitz
language : en
Publisher: SAGE
Release Date : 2002-10-16
Handbook Of Marketing written by Barton A Weitz and has been published by SAGE this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2002-10-16 with Business & Economics categories.
NEW IN PAPERBACK ′The Handbook of Marketing is different... that Barton Weitz and Robin Wensley are its editors should suggest something out of the ordinary. A glance at the contributors (e.g., Wilkie. Webster, Day, Shocker, Keller, Hauser, Winer, Stewart. Parasuraman. Zeithaml) puts the matter to rest. The Handbook is an extraordinary effort. The blurb on the dust jacket is an understatement-the "Handbook will be invaluable to advanced undergraduates, graduate students, academics, and thoughtful practitioners in marketing"-the book is far more than that..... in short, the Handbook is probably invaluable to all academic researchers′ - Journal of Marketing ′Handbook of Marketing is a rich compilation of thorough reviews in the field of marketing management. The editors have selected premier marketing scholars and have given them the opportunity to examine their area of expertise in a format much less confining than those provided by the major journals in the field. The authors have taken this opportunity and have done an outstanding job not only of reviewing and structuring the extensive body of thought in many major areas of marketing management but also of providing valuable suggestions for further research. They have brought together major contributions from the field of marketing and from other related disciplines. I strongly encourage marketing scholars to consider Handbook of Marketing. The text will certainly appeal to those with interests in marketing management; it may also be useful to those who are more focused on methodological issues but interested in topics that need additional, rigorous investigation.... In summary, Weitz and Wensley should be congratulated for the excellent work in developing Handbook of Marketing. The book fills a major void in the marketing literature on marketing management and will serve the discipline for many years to come′ - Journal of Marketing Research ′This text achieves the rare goal of covering marketing clearly and deeply, with no unnecessary examples or pretty pictures. For the enquiring mind, it is a wonderful link between a basic knowledge of marketing concepts and a grasp of where research in marketing is taking us′ - Ken Simmonds, Emeritus Professor of Marketing and International Business, London Business School The Handbook of Marketing presents a major retrospective and prospective overview of the field of marketing, and provides a landmark reference at a time when many of the traditional boundaries and domains within the marketing discipline have been subject to change. - A high calibre collection compiled by an international and extremely distinguished advisory board of marketing academics - With contributions from leading scholars in the field, each covering the latest research issues in particular areas of expertise - Each chapter provides the necessary background for study and research of specific empirical and theoretical topics in marketing. The Handbook of Marketing will be invaluable to advanced undergraduates, graduate students and academics in marketing. International Advisory Board: Sonke Albers Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Germany / Erin Anderson INSEAD, France / Rick Bagozzi Rice University, USA / Patrick Barwise London Business School / Rod Brodie University of Auckland / Anne T Coughlan Northwestern University / George Day University of Pennsylvania / Lars Gunnar-Mattsson Stockholm School of Economics / Hubert Gatignon INSEAD, France / Håkan Håkansson The Norwegian School of Management / Stephen J. Hoch University of Pennsylvania, USA / Kevin Keller Dartmouth College, USA / Donald Lehmann Columbia University, USA / Gilles Laurent HEC, France / Leonard Lodish University of Pennsylvania / Richard Lutz University of Florida / David Midgley INSEAD, France / David Montgomery Stanford University, USA / William Perreault University of North Carolina, USA / John Roberts Stanford University, USA / Allan Shocker University of Minnesota / Piet Vanden Abeele Vlerick Leuven Gent Management School, Belgium / Russell Winer University of California, Berkeley, USA / Dick Wittink Yale School of Management, USA