Leading Indicators
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The Leading Indicators
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Author : Zachary Karabell
language : en
Publisher: Simon and Schuster
Release Date : 2014-12-30
The Leading Indicators written by Zachary Karabell and has been published by Simon and Schuster this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-12-30 with Business & Economics categories.
A history and critical assessment of leading indicators reveals their indelible impact on the economy, public policy, and other critical decisions, discussing their shortcomings while making suggestions for reducing dependence on them.
Leading Economic Indicators
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Author : Kajal Lahiri
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 1991
Leading Economic Indicators written by Kajal Lahiri and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991 with Business & Economics categories.
Developed fifty years ago by the National Bureau of Economic Research, the analytic methods of business cycles and economic indicators enable economists to forecast economic trends by examining the repetitive sequences that occur in business cycles. The methodology has proven to be an inexpensive and useful tool that is now used extensively throughout the world. In recent years, however, significant new developments have emerged in the field of business cycles and economic indicators. This volume contains twenty-two articles by international experts who are working with new and innovative approaches to indicator research. They cover advances in three broad areas of research: the use of new developments in economic theory and time-series analysis to rationalise existing systems of indicators; more appropriate methods to evaluate the forecasting records of leading indicators, particularly of turning point probability; and the development of new indicators.
The Leading Indicator Approach To Economic Forecasting
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Author : Philip A. Klein
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1982
The Leading Indicator Approach To Economic Forecasting written by Philip A. Klein and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1982 with Business cycles categories.
For many years a system of leading, coincident, and lagging economic indicators, first developed in the 1930s by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), has been widely used in the United States to appraise the state of the business cycle. Since 1961 the current monthly figures for these indicators have been published by the U.S. Department of Commerce in Business Conditions Digest. Similar systems have been developed by government or private agencies in Canada, Japan, the United Kingdom, and more recently in many other countries. A few years ago the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) set up a working party to develop this type of analysis and most of the member countries participated. The Center for International Business Cycle Research at Rutgers University has given guidance in this field to some fifteen countries during the past three years, in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Africa and South America. Our purpose in this paper is to explain briefly the theory and rationale underlying this approach to economic forecasting, describe the more important statistical procedures used, and review the evidence on how the indicators have performed in practice. The tests of performance concentrate on data not used in the selection of the indicators, in the United States and nine other countries. We conclude with some suggestions for future research and development, including the application of the approach to the analysis of inflation. [Resumen de autor]
Leading Indicators
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 20??
Leading Indicators written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 20?? with categories.
Leading indicators comprise the composite leading indicator (CLI) and standardised business and consumer confidence indicators. They provide qualitative information useful for monitoring the current economic situation and advance warning of turning points in economic activity.
Leading Indicators For The 1990s
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Author : Geoffrey Hoyt Moore
language : en
Publisher: Irwin Professional Publishing
Release Date : 1990
Leading Indicators For The 1990s written by Geoffrey Hoyt Moore and has been published by Irwin Professional Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1990 with Business & Economics categories.
Describes sweeping changes to the Commerce Department's leading economic indicators.
Estimating Indexes Of Coincident And Leading Indicators
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Author : Tahsin Saadi-Sedik
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2003-08-01
Estimating Indexes Of Coincident And Leading Indicators written by Tahsin Saadi-Sedik and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003-08-01 with Business & Economics categories.
The analysis of coincident and leading indicators can help policymakers gauge the short-term direction of economic activity. While such analysis is well established in advanced economies, it has received relatively little attention in many emerging market and developing economies, reflecting in part the lack of sufficient historical data to determine the reliability of these indicators. This paper presents an econometric approach to deriving composite indexes of coincident and leading indicators for a small open economy, Jordan. The results show that, even with limited monthly observations, it is possible to establish meaningful economic and statistically significant relations between indicators from different sectors of the economy and the present and future direction of economic activity.
Leading Indicators Of Economic Activity
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Author : Christopher Green
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1993
Leading Indicators Of Economic Activity written by Christopher Green and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1993 with Economic forecasting categories.
Leading Indicators
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Author : Massimiliano Giuseppe Marcellino
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2014
Leading Indicators written by Massimiliano Giuseppe Marcellino and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014 with categories.
We provide a summary updated guide for the construction, use and evaluation of leading indicators, and an assessment of the most relevant recent developments in this field of economic forecasting. To begin with, we analyze the problem of selecting a target coincident variable for the leading indicators, which requires coincident indicator selection, construction of composite coincident indexes, choice of filtering methods, and business cycle dating procedures to transform the continous target into a binary expansion/recession indicator. Next, we deal with criteria for choosing good leading indicators, and simple non-model based methods to combine them into composite indexes. Then, we examine models and methods to transform the leading indicators into forecasts of the target variable. Finally, we consider the evaluation of the resulting leading indicator based forecasts, and review the recent literature on the forecasting performance of leading indicators.
Leading Indicators In Structural Econometric Models With Applications In Multivariate Time Series Analysis About The Commerce Department Leading Indicators And A Proposed Monetary Leading Indicator
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Author : Paul Koch
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1980
Leading Indicators In Structural Econometric Models With Applications In Multivariate Time Series Analysis About The Commerce Department Leading Indicators And A Proposed Monetary Leading Indicator written by Paul Koch and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1980 with Economic forecasting categories.
Handbook On Constructing Composite Indicators Methodology And User Guide
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Author : OECD
language : en
Publisher: OECD Publishing
Release Date : 2008-08-22
Handbook On Constructing Composite Indicators Methodology And User Guide written by OECD and has been published by OECD Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-08-22 with categories.
A guide for constructing and using composite indicators for policy makers, academics, the media and other interested parties. In particular, this handbook is concerned with indicators which compare and rank country performance.