Macroeconometric Models
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Macroeconometric Models For Portfolio Management
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Author : Jeremy Kwok
language : en
Publisher: Vernon Press
Release Date : 2021-09-07
Macroeconometric Models For Portfolio Management written by Jeremy Kwok and has been published by Vernon Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-09-07 with Business & Economics categories.
‘Macroeconometric Models for Portfolio Management’ begins by outlining a portfolio management framework into which macroeconometric models and backtesting investment strategies are integrated. It is followed by a discussion on the theoretical backgrounds of both small and global large macroeconometric models, including data selection, estimation, and applications. Other practical concerns essential to managing a portfolio with decisions driven by macro models are also covered: model validation, forecast combination, and evaluation. The author then focuses on applying these models and their results on managing the portfolio, including making trading rules and asset allocation across different assets and risk management. The book finishes by showing portfolio examples where different investment strategies are used and illustrate how the framework can be applied from the beginning of collecting data, model estimation, and generating forecasts to how to manage portfolios accordingly. This book aims to bridge the gap between academia and practising professionals. Readers will attain a rigorous understanding of the theory and how to apply these models to their portfolios. Therefore, ‘Macroeconometric Models for Portfolio Management’ will be of interest to academics and scholars working in macroeconomics and finance; to industry professionals working in financial economics and asset management; to asset managers and investors who prefer systematic investing over discretionary investing; and to investors who have a strong interest in macroeconomic influences on their portfolio.
Testing Macroeconometric Models
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Author : Ray C. Fair
language : en
Publisher: Harvard University Press
Release Date : 1994
Testing Macroeconometric Models written by Ray C. Fair and has been published by Harvard University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1994 with Business & Economics categories.
In this book Ray Fair expounds powerful techniques for estimating and analyzing macroeconometric models. He takes advantage of the remarkable decrease in computational costs that has occurred since the early 1980s by implementing such sophisticated techniques as stochastic simulation. Testing Macroeconometric Models also incorporates the assumption of rational expectations in the estimation, solution, and testing of the models. And it presents the latest versions of Fair's models of the economies of the United States and other countries. After estimating and testing the U.S. model, Fair analyzes its properties, including those relevant to economic policymakers: the optimal monetary policy instrument, the effect of a government spending reduction on the government deficit, whether monetary policy is becoming less effective over time, and the sensitivity of policy effects to the assumption of rational expectations. Ray Fair has conducted research on structural macroeconometric models for more than twenty years. With interest increasing in the area, this book will be an essential reference for macroeconomists.
Macroeconometric Models
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Author : Władysław Welfe
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-02-15
Macroeconometric Models written by Władysław Welfe and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-02-15 with Business & Economics categories.
This book gives a comprehensive description of macroeconometric modeling and its development over time. The first part depicts the history of macroeconometric model building, starting with Jan Tinbergen's and Lawrence R. Klein's contributions. It is unique in summarizing the development and specific structure of macroeconometric models built in North America, Europe, and various other parts of the world. The work thus offers an extensive source for researchers in the field. The second part of the book covers the systematic characteristics of macroeconometric models. It includes the household and enterprise sectors, disequilibria, financial flows, and money market sectors.
Inside A Modern Macroeconometric Model
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Author : Alan A. Powell
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Inside A Modern Macroeconometric Model written by Alan A. Powell and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.
As Ken Wallis has pOinted out. all macroeconomic forecasters and policy analysts use economic models. That is. they have a way of going from assumptions about macroeconomic policy and the international environment. to a prediction of the likely future state of the economy. Some people do this in their heads. Increasingly though. forecasting and policy analysis is based on a formal. explicit model. represented by a set of mathematical equations and solved by computer. This provides a framework for handling. in a consistent and systematic manner. the ever-increasing amounts of relevant information. Macroeconometric modelling though. is an inexact science. A manageable model must focus only on the major driving forces in a complex economy made up of millions of households and fIrms. International economic agencies such as the IMF and OECD. and most treasuries and central banks in western countries. use macroeconometric models in their forecasting and policy analysis. Models are also used for teaching and research in universities. as well as for commercial forecasting in the private sector.
Income Distribution In Macroeconomic Models
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Author : Giuseppe Bertola
language : en
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2014-09-28
Income Distribution In Macroeconomic Models written by Giuseppe Bertola and has been published by Princeton University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-09-28 with Business & Economics categories.
This book looks at the distribution of income and wealth and the effects that this has on the macroeconomy, and vice versa. Is a more equal distribution of income beneficial or harmful for macroeconomic growth, and how does the distribution of wealth evolve in a market economy? Taking stock of results and methods developed in the context of the 1990s revival of growth theory, the authors focus on capital accumulation and long-run growth. They show how rigorous, optimization-based technical tools can be applied, beyond the representative-agent framework of analysis, to account for realistic market imperfections and for political-economic interactions. The treatment is thorough, yet accessible to students and nonspecialist economists, and it offers specialist readers a wide-ranging and innovative treatment of an increasingly important research field. The book follows a single analytical thread through a series of different growth models, allowing readers to appreciate their structure and crucial assumptions. This is particularly useful at a time when the literature on income distribution and growth has developed quickly and in several different directions, becoming difficult to overview.
Specification Estimation And Analysis Of Macroeconometric Models
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Author : Ray C. Fair
language : en
Publisher: Harvard University Press
Release Date : 1984
Specification Estimation And Analysis Of Macroeconometric Models written by Ray C. Fair and has been published by Harvard University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1984 with Business & Economics categories.
This book gives a practical, applications-oriented account of the latest techniques for estimating and analyzing large, nonlinear macroeconomic models. Ray Fair demonstrates the application of these techniques in a detailed presentation of several actual models, including his United States model, his multicountry model, Sargent's classical macroeconomic model, autoregressive and vector autoregressive models, and a small (twelve equation) linear structural model. He devotes a good deal of attention to the difficult and often neglected problem of moving from theoretical to econometric models. In addition, he provides an extensive discussion of optimal control techniques and methods for estimating and analyzing rational expectations models. A computer program that handles all the techniques in the book is available from the author, making it possible to use the techniques with little additional programming. The book presents the logic of this program. A smaller program for personal microcomputers for analysis of Fair's United States model is available from Urban Systems Research & Engineering, Inc. Anyone wanting to learn how to use large macroeconomic models, including researchers, graduate students, economic forecasters, and people in business and government both in the United States and abroad, will find this an essential guidebook.
A History Of Macroeconometric Model Building
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Author : Ronald G. Bodkin
language : en
Publisher: Aldershot, Hants, England : E. Elgar
Release Date : 1991
A History Of Macroeconometric Model Building written by Ronald G. Bodkin and has been published by Aldershot, Hants, England : E. Elgar this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1991 with Business & Economics categories.
This major book presents, for the first time, an authoritative history of developments in macroeconometric modelling since the 1930s. It focuses in particular on the construction of mathematico-statistical models of entire economies, estimated from national accounts and other macroeconomic data. International and comparative in scope, the book contains chapters prepared by specialists from the different countries concerned. This landmark book is indispensable to an understanding of the history and development of large scale econometric models of modern economies.
Structural Change In Macroeconomic Models
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Author : M.J. Vilares
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Structural Change In Macroeconomic Models written by M.J. Vilares and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.
This book grew out of a 'Doctorat D'Etat' thesis presented at the University of Dijon-Institut Mathematique Economiques (lME). It aims to show that quantity rationing theory provides the means of improving macroeconometric modelling in the study of struc tural changes. The empirical results presented in the last chapter (concerning Portuguese economy) and in the last Appendix (con cerning the French economy), although preliminary, suggested that the effort is rewarding and should be continued. My debts are many. An important part of the research work was accomplished during my visit to the Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques (lNSEE, Paris), where I have beneficted from stimulating discussions (particularly with P. Villa) and infor matical support. I have also received comments and suggestions from R. Quandt, J.-J. Laffont, P. Kooiman and P.-Y. Henin. I am specially indebted to P. Balestra for encouraging and valuable discussions, particularly in the field of econometric methods. My thanks go also to an anonymous referee. His constructive criticism and suggestions resulted in a number of improvements to an earlier version of this book. I cannot forget my friend A. Costa from BP A (Porto) who has helped me in the preparation of this work. Last but not least, I would like to thank my wife for her encouragement and patience throughout these years. Of course, I am the only one responsible for any remaining errors.
Macro Econometric Models
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Author : Maria-Carmen Guisan
language : en
Publisher: ICFAI Books
Release Date : 2005
Macro Econometric Models written by Maria-Carmen Guisan and has been published by ICFAI Books this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Macroeconomics categories.
Maria-Carmen Guisan, professor of Econometrics, University of Santiago de Compostela, Spain sets out in the footsteps of economists like Nobel Prize Laureate L R Klein, who pioneered macro-econometric modeling. Included are articles of eminent experts wh
The Econometrics Of Macroeconomic Modelling
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Author : Gunnar Bårdsen
language : en
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Release Date : 2005-04-14
The Econometrics Of Macroeconomic Modelling written by Gunnar Bårdsen and has been published by OUP Oxford this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-04-14 with Business & Economics categories.
Macroeconometric models, in many ways the flagships of the economist's profession in the 1960s, came under increasing attack from both theoretical economist and practitioners in the late 1970s. Critics referred to their lack of microeconomic theoretical foundations, ad hoc models of expectations, lack of identification, neglect of dynamics and non-stationarity, and poor forecasting properties. By the start of the 1990s, the status of macroeconometric models had declined markedly, and had fallen completely out of, and with, academic economics. Nevertheless, unlike the dinosaurs to which they often have been likened, macroeconometric models have never completely disappeared from the scene. This book describes how and why the discipline of macroeconometric modelling continues to play a role for economic policymaking by adapting to changing demands, in response, for instance, to new policy regimes like inflation targeting. Model builders have adopted new insights from economic theory and taken advantage of the methodological and conceptual advances within time series econometrics over the last twenty years. The modelling of wages and prices takes a central part in the book as the authors interpret and evaluate the last forty years of international research experience in the light of the Norwegian 'main course' model of inflation in a small open economy. The preferred model is a dynamic model of incomplete competition, which is evaluated against alternatives as diverse as the Phillips curve, Nickell-Layard wage curves, the New Keynesian Phillips curve, and monetary inflation models on data from the Euro area, the UK, and Norway. The wage price core model is built into a small econometric model for Norway to analyse the transmission mechanism and to evaluate monetary policy rules. The final chapter explores the main sources of forecast failure likely to occur in a practical modelling situation, using the large-scale nodel RIMINI and the inflation models of earlier chapters as case studies.