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Testing Macroeconometric Models


Testing Macroeconometric Models
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Testing Macroeconometric Models


Testing Macroeconometric Models
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Author : Ray C. Fair
language : en
Publisher: Harvard University Press
Release Date : 1994

Testing Macroeconometric Models written by Ray C. Fair and has been published by Harvard University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1994 with Business & Economics categories.


In this book Ray Fair expounds powerful techniques for estimating and analyzing macroeconometric models. He takes advantage of the remarkable decrease in computational costs that has occurred since the early 1980s by implementing such sophisticated techniques as stochastic simulation. Testing Macroeconometric Models also incorporates the assumption of rational expectations in the estimation, solution, and testing of the models. And it presents the latest versions of Fair's models of the economies of the United States and other countries. After estimating and testing the U.S. model, Fair analyzes its properties, including those relevant to economic policymakers: the optimal monetary policy instrument, the effect of a government spending reduction on the government deficit, whether monetary policy is becoming less effective over time, and the sensitivity of policy effects to the assumption of rational expectations. Ray Fair has conducted research on structural macroeconometric models for more than twenty years. With interest increasing in the area, this book will be an essential reference for macroeconomists.



Specification Estimation And Analysis Of Macroeconometric Models


Specification Estimation And Analysis Of Macroeconometric Models
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Author : Ray C. Fair
language : en
Publisher: Harvard University Press
Release Date : 1984

Specification Estimation And Analysis Of Macroeconometric Models written by Ray C. Fair and has been published by Harvard University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1984 with Business & Economics categories.


This book gives a practical, applications-oriented account of the latest techniques for estimating and analyzing large, nonlinear macroeconomic models. Ray Fair demonstrates the application of these techniques in a detailed presentation of several actual models, including his United States model, his multicountry model, Sargent's classical macroeconomic model, autoregressive and vector autoregressive models, and a small (twelve equation) linear structural model. He devotes a good deal of attention to the difficult and often neglected problem of moving from theoretical to econometric models. In addition, he provides an extensive discussion of optimal control techniques and methods for estimating and analyzing rational expectations models. A computer program that handles all the techniques in the book is available from the author, making it possible to use the techniques with little additional programming. The book presents the logic of this program. A smaller program for personal microcomputers for analysis of Fair's United States model is available from Urban Systems Research & Engineering, Inc. Anyone wanting to learn how to use large macroeconomic models, including researchers, graduate students, economic forecasters, and people in business and government both in the United States and abroad, will find this an essential guidebook.



Macroeconometric Models


Macroeconometric Models
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Author : Władysław Welfe
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-02-15

Macroeconometric Models written by Władysław Welfe and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-02-15 with Business & Economics categories.


This book gives a comprehensive description of macroeconometric modeling and its development over time. The first part depicts the history of macroeconometric model building, starting with Jan Tinbergen's and Lawrence R. Klein's contributions. It is unique in summarizing the development and specific structure of macroeconometric models built in North America, Europe, and various other parts of the world. The work thus offers an extensive source for researchers in the field. The second part of the book covers the systematic characteristics of macroeconometric models. It includes the household and enterprise sectors, disequilibria, financial flows, and money market sectors.



Macro Econometric Models


Macro Econometric Models
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Author : Maria-Carmen Guisan
language : en
Publisher: ICFAI Books
Release Date : 2005

Macro Econometric Models written by Maria-Carmen Guisan and has been published by ICFAI Books this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with Macroeconomics categories.


Maria-Carmen Guisan, professor of Econometrics, University of Santiago de Compostela, Spain sets out in the footsteps of economists like Nobel Prize Laureate L R Klein, who pioneered macro-econometric modeling. Included are articles of eminent experts wh



The Econometrics Of Macroeconomic Modelling


The Econometrics Of Macroeconomic Modelling
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Author : Gunnar Bårdsen
language : en
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Release Date : 2005-04-14

The Econometrics Of Macroeconomic Modelling written by Gunnar Bårdsen and has been published by OUP Oxford this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-04-14 with Business & Economics categories.


Macroeconometric models, in many ways the flagships of the economist's profession in the 1960s, came under increasing attack from both theoretical economist and practitioners in the late 1970s. Critics referred to their lack of microeconomic theoretical foundations, ad hoc models of expectations, lack of identification, neglect of dynamics and non-stationarity, and poor forecasting properties. By the start of the 1990s, the status of macroeconometric models had declined markedly, and had fallen completely out of, and with, academic economics. Nevertheless, unlike the dinosaurs to which they often have been likened, macroeconometric models have never completely disappeared from the scene. This book describes how and why the discipline of macroeconometric modelling continues to play a role for economic policymaking by adapting to changing demands, in response, for instance, to new policy regimes like inflation targeting. Model builders have adopted new insights from economic theory and taken advantage of the methodological and conceptual advances within time series econometrics over the last twenty years. The modelling of wages and prices takes a central part in the book as the authors interpret and evaluate the last forty years of international research experience in the light of the Norwegian 'main course' model of inflation in a small open economy. The preferred model is a dynamic model of incomplete competition, which is evaluated against alternatives as diverse as the Phillips curve, Nickell-Layard wage curves, the New Keynesian Phillips curve, and monetary inflation models on data from the Euro area, the UK, and Norway. The wage price core model is built into a small econometric model for Norway to analyse the transmission mechanism and to evaluate monetary policy rules. The final chapter explores the main sources of forecast failure likely to occur in a practical modelling situation, using the large-scale nodel RIMINI and the inflation models of earlier chapters as case studies.



Inside A Modern Macroeconometric Model


Inside A Modern Macroeconometric Model
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Author : Alan A. Powell
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06

Inside A Modern Macroeconometric Model written by Alan A. Powell and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.


As Ken Wallis has pOinted out. all macroeconomic forecasters and policy analysts use economic models. That is. they have a way of going from assumptions about macroeconomic policy and the international environment. to a prediction of the likely future state of the economy. Some people do this in their heads. Increasingly though. forecasting and policy analysis is based on a formal. explicit model. represented by a set of mathematical equations and solved by computer. This provides a framework for handling. in a consistent and systematic manner. the ever-increasing amounts of relevant information. Macroeconometric modelling though. is an inexact science. A manageable model must focus only on the major driving forces in a complex economy made up of millions of households and fIrms. International economic agencies such as the IMF and OECD. and most treasuries and central banks in western countries. use macroeconometric models in their forecasting and policy analysis. Models are also used for teaching and research in universities. as well as for commercial forecasting in the private sector.



Time Series Analysis And Macroeconometric Modelling


Time Series Analysis And Macroeconometric Modelling
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Author : Kenneth Frank Wallis
language : en
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Release Date : 1995-01-01

Time Series Analysis And Macroeconometric Modelling written by Kenneth Frank Wallis and has been published by Edward Elgar Publishing this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1995-01-01 with Business & Economics categories.


'An excellent reference volume of this author's work, bringing together articles published over a 25 year span on the statistical analysis of economic time series, large scale macroeconomic modelling and the interface between them.' - Aslib Book Guide This major volume of essays by Kenneth F. Wallis features 28 articles published over a quarter of a century on the statistical analysis of economic time series, large-scale macroeconometric modelling, and the interface between them. The first part deals with time-series econometrics and includes significant early contributions to the development of the LSE tradition in time-series econometrics, which is the dominant British tradition and has considerable influence worldwide. Later sections discuss theoretical and practical issues in modelling seasonality and forecasting with applications in both large-scale and small-scale models. The final section summarizes the research programme of the ESRC Macroeconomic Modelling Bureau, a unique comparison project among economy-wide macroeconometric models.



Global And National Macroeconometric Modelling


Global And National Macroeconometric Modelling
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Author : Anthony Garratt
language : en
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Release Date : 2006-08-03

Global And National Macroeconometric Modelling written by Anthony Garratt and has been published by OUP Oxford this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-08-03 with Business & Economics categories.


This book provides a comprehensive description of the state-of-the-art in modelling global and national economies. It introduces the long-run structural approach to modelling that can be readily adopted for use in understanding how economies work, and in generating forecasts for decision- and policy-makers. The book contains a thorough description of recent developments in macroeconomics and econometrics, which should be of interest to advanced students and researchers, but is also written to be accessible and helpful to practitioners in government and the private sector. The long-run structural approach is illustrated with various global and national examples, including a step-by-step description of the development and use of a model of the UK economy. Throughout, the book emphasises the use of macroeconometric modelling in the real world and is written in a way that ensures the techniques illustrated can be replicated or applied in new contexts. The transparency and pragmatism of the modelling approach used within this book will be attractive to practitioners who need manageable and interpretable models to answer specific questions.



Macroeconomic Modeling And Policy Analysis For Less Developed Countries


Macroeconomic Modeling And Policy Analysis For Less Developed Countries
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Author : Mohammed F Khayum
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2019-03-07

Macroeconomic Modeling And Policy Analysis For Less Developed Countries written by Mohammed F Khayum and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-03-07 with Social Science categories.


This book provides an overview of macroeconometric modeling for less developed countries, a description of the structure and performance of Guyana's economy, an empirical testing of the model using annual data for Guyana, and a simulation approach to policy evaluation.



Analyses In Macroeconomic Modelling


Analyses In Macroeconomic Modelling
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Author : Andrew J. Hughes Hallett
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06

Analyses In Macroeconomic Modelling written by Andrew J. Hughes Hallett and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Business & Economics categories.


Macroeconomic Modelling has undergone radical changes in the last few years. There has been considerable innovation in developing robust solution techniques for the new breed of increasingly complex models. Similarly there has been a growing consensus on their long run and dynamic properties, as well as much development on existing themes such as modelling expectations and policy rules. This edited volume focuses on those areas which have undergone the most significant and imaginative developments and brings together the very best of modelling practice. We include specific sections on (I) Solving Large Macroeconomic Models, (II) Rational Expectations and Learning Approaches, (III) Macro Dynamics, and (IV) Long Run and Closures. All of the contributions offer new research whilst putting their developments firmly in context and as such will influence much future research in the area. It will be an invaluable text for those in policy institutions as well as academics and advanced students in the fields of economics, mathematics, business and government. Our contributors include those working in central banks, the IMF, European Commission and established academics.