Macroeconomic Uncertainty
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Corporate Decision Making With Macroeconomic Uncertainty
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Author : Lars Oxelheim
language : en
Publisher: Oxford University Press on Demand
Release Date : 2008-09-26
Corporate Decision Making With Macroeconomic Uncertainty written by Lars Oxelheim and has been published by Oxford University Press on Demand this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-09-26 with Business & Economics categories.
This book offers the essential elements of a corporate strategy for managing uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment. This strategy enhances firm value by allowing management and external stakeholders to distinguish between changes in the intrinsic competitiveness of the firm and changes in performance caused by macroeconomic fluctuations.--Résumé de l'éditeur.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
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Author : Lars Oxelheim
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1987-08-10
Macroeconomic Uncertainty written by Lars Oxelheim and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1987-08-10 with Business & Economics categories.
A much needed bridge between financial and commercial decision making is provided by this comprehensive coverage of macroeconomic uncertainty.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty Precautionary Savings And The Current Account
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Author : Mr.Atish R. Ghosh
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 1992-09-01
Macroeconomic Uncertainty Precautionary Savings And The Current Account written by Mr.Atish R. Ghosh and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992-09-01 with Business & Economics categories.
The relationship between current account developments and changes in the macroeconomic environment remains a key issue in open economy macroeconomics. This paper extends the standard intertemporal optimizing model of the current account to incorporate the effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on private savings behavior. It is shown that the greater the uncertainty in national cash flow, defined as output less investment less government expenditure, the greater is the precautionary demand for savings and, other things equal, the larger is the current account surplus. Empirical support for the model is found using quarterly data from four large industrial countries.
Measuring Global And Country Specific Uncertainty
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Author : Ezgi O. Ozturk
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2017-10-30
Measuring Global And Country Specific Uncertainty written by Ezgi O. Ozturk and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-10-30 with Business & Economics categories.
Motivated by the literature on the capital asset pricing model, we decompose the uncertainty of a typical forecaster into common and idiosyncratic uncertainty. Using individual survey data from the Consensus Forecasts over the period of 1989-2014, we develop monthly measures of macroeconomic uncertainty covering 45 countries and construct a measure of global uncertainty as the weighted average of country-specific uncertainties. Our measure captures perceived uncertainty of market participants and derives from two components that are shown to exhibit strikingly different behavior. Common uncertainty shocks produce the large and persistent negative response in real economic activity, whereas the contributions of idiosyncratic uncertainty shocks are negligible.
Uncertainty Macroeconomic Stability And The Welfare State
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Author : Sven R Larson
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2019-01-15
Uncertainty Macroeconomic Stability And The Welfare State written by Sven R Larson and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-01-15 with Social Science categories.
This title was first published in 2002: This monograph sets out to model a macroeconomy that is inherently unstable because of qualitative - or Keynesian - uncertainty. By modelling a macroeconomic theory, this approach to fixed or sticky prices also investigates the link between uncertainty, sticky prices, and macro-stability - by suggesting that such prices improve economic activity rather than impeding it.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
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Author : Lars Oxelheim
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1987
Macroeconomic Uncertainty written by Lars Oxelheim and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1987 with categories.
A Comprehensive Macroeconomic Uncertainty Measure For The Euro Area And Its Implications To Covid 19
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Author : Mariarosaria Comunale
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2023-11-03
A Comprehensive Macroeconomic Uncertainty Measure For The Euro Area And Its Implications To Covid 19 written by Mariarosaria Comunale and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-11-03 with Business & Economics categories.
This paper develops a new data-driven metric to capture MacroEconomic Uncertainty (MEU) in the euro area. The measure is constructed as the conditional volatility of the unforecastable components of a large set of time series, accounting for the monetary union as well as cross-country heterogeneity. MEU exhibits the largest spike at the time of the COVID-19 outbreak and is noticeably different from other more financial-oriented and policy-driven uncertainty measures. It also reveals a significant increase in inflation uncertainty in 2021-2022. Our BVAR-based analysis shows that an unexpected increase in the MEU has a negative and persistent impact on euro area's industrial production, accounting for 80 percent of its reduction during the first wave of COVID-19, therefore supporting the interpretation of COVID-19 shock as a macroeconomic uncertainty shock. Public debt increases in response to this uncertainty shock. Finally, an increase in MEU negatively affects Emerging Europe countries, contributing the most to the decline in their economic activity during this COVID-19 period.
Forecast Errors And Uncertainty Shocks
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Author : Sylwia Nowak
language : en
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Release Date : 2016-11-17
Forecast Errors And Uncertainty Shocks written by Sylwia Nowak and has been published by International Monetary Fund this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-11-17 with Business & Economics categories.
Macroeconomic forecasts are persistently too optimistic. This paper finds that common factors related to general uncertainty about U.S. macrofinancial prospects and global demand drive this overoptimism. These common factors matter most for advanced economies and G- 20 countries. The results suggest that an increase in uncertainty-driven overoptimism has dampening effects on next-year real GDP growth rates. This implies that incorporating the common structure governing forecast errors across countries can help improve subsequent forecasts.
The Era Of Uncertainty
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Author : Francois Trahan
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2011-07-13
The Era Of Uncertainty written by Francois Trahan and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011-07-13 with Business & Economics categories.
Macroeconomic Investment Strategies for an Era of Economic Uncertainty “Over the years, François’ insightful analyses of the business cycle has led to market calls that have both benefitted investors on the upside and (more important to many) protected them from losses on the downside. François’ incredible track record in successfully interpreting the trends that can be found in leading indicators and other macroeconomic data have also led to his well deserved reputation as an expert in sector rotation - providing investors on both the long and short side of the market opportunities to profit from his ideas. In my opinion, his most important and influential macro prediction to date was his call in the middle of the last decade when he predicted that the worst housing crisis in American history would soon be upon us, and that it would have far-ranging implications for both the global economy and world financial markets.”
Money Demand And Macroeconomic Uncertainty
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Author : Claus Greiber
language : de
Publisher:
Release Date : 2005
Money Demand And Macroeconomic Uncertainty written by Claus Greiber and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005 with categories.