Mastering Uncertainty

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Mastering Uncertainty
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Author : Matt Watkinson
language : en
Publisher: Random House
Release Date : 2023-03-30
Mastering Uncertainty written by Matt Watkinson and has been published by Random House this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2023-03-30 with Business & Economics categories.
'Mandatory reading. Not just for company founders and leaders, but for anyone wanting to succeed in our ever-changing world.' Keith Ferrazzi What separates the world's most successful entrepreneurs and business tycoons from the rest? It's not their superhuman intelligence. It's something more fundamental: they understand how to turn uncertainty to their advantage. We all know that the future is inherently unknowable, and yet we behave and plan as though it is. Once we truly understand the nature of uncertainty, though, we can take practical steps to make the most of the opportunities that come our way. In Mastering Uncertainty award-winning author Matt Watkinson and investor and entrepreneur Csaba Konkoly offer a masterclass on the workings of luck and probability. They show how to calculate when to make big bets and when to pull back. And they offer supremely practical advice on how we can improve our odds, whether through maximising our networks, learning how to read warning signs, or assessing where best to place our energies. The unforeseen always occurs. Mastering Uncertainty shows you how to prepare for it and make the best use of it.
Mastering Uncertainty In Mechanical Engineering
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Author : Peter F. Pelz
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2021-10-11
Mastering Uncertainty In Mechanical Engineering written by Peter F. Pelz and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2021-10-11 with Technology & Engineering categories.
This open access book reports on innovative methods, technologies and strategies for mastering uncertainty in technical systems. Despite the fact that current research on uncertainty is mainly focusing on uncertainty quantification and analysis, this book gives emphasis to innovative ways to master uncertainty in engineering design, production and product usage alike. It gathers authoritative contributions by more than 30 scientists reporting on years of research in the areas of engineering, applied mathematics and law, thus offering a timely, comprehensive and multidisciplinary account of theories and methods for quantifying data, model and structural uncertainty, and of fundamental strategies for mastering uncertainty. It covers key concepts such as robustness, flexibility and resilience in detail. All the described methods, technologies and strategies have been validated with the help of three technical systems, i.e. the Modular Active Spring-Damper System, the Active Air Spring and the 3D Servo Press, which have been in turn developed and tested during more than ten years of cooperative research. Overall, this book offers a timely, practice-oriented reference guide to graduate students, researchers and professionals dealing with uncertainty in the broad field of mechanical engineering.
Mechanics And Uncertainty
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Author : Maurice Lemaire
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2014-04-16
Mechanics And Uncertainty written by Maurice Lemaire and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-04-16 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Science is a quest for certainty, but lack of certainty is the driving force behind all of its endeavors. This book, specifically, examines the uncertainty of technological and industrial science. Uncertainty and Mechanics studies the concepts of mechanical design in an uncertain setting and explains engineering techniques for inventing cost-effective products. Though it references practical applications, this is a book about ideas and potential advances in mechanical science.
Uncertainty In Mechanical Engineering Iii
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Author : Peter F. Pelz
language : en
Publisher: Trans Tech Publications Ltd
Release Date : 2018-11-20
Uncertainty In Mechanical Engineering Iii written by Peter F. Pelz and has been published by Trans Tech Publications Ltd this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2018-11-20 with Technology & Engineering categories.
Selected, peer reviewed papers from the 3rd International Conference on Uncertainty in Mechanical Engineering (ICUME 2018), November 15 - 16, 2018, Darmstadt, Germany
Brand Risk
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Author : David Abrahams
language : en
Publisher: CRC Press
Release Date : 2016-04-08
Brand Risk written by David Abrahams and has been published by CRC Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-04-08 with Business & Economics categories.
Brand risk is often narrowly defined as risk to reputation. Yet risk and uncertainty are evident in many aspects of brand performance and marketing operations. Considered and responsible risk-taking is central to effective brand management. Risk literacy is the marketer’s third necessary competence, alongside strategic insight and financial understanding. In Brand Risk, a practical and accessible book for those who hold responsibilities in marketing or risk management, David Abrahams brings together relevant risk thinking and a range of techniques for the evaluation of brand exposures and opportunities - whether in response to the ambitions of a key business project, new market conditions or shareholder concern. A balanced review of the subject is enriched by reference to topics of current interest and is supported by illustrative examples throughout. Presenting the essentials of brand management and risk management side-by-side, Brand Risk offers graduated and complementary approaches to brand risk assessment, from the intuitive to the data-driven.
The Uncertain Mind
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Author : Richard M. Sorrentino
language : en
Publisher: Psychology Press
Release Date : 2013-05-13
The Uncertain Mind written by Richard M. Sorrentino and has been published by Psychology Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-05-13 with Psychology categories.
This book discusses individual differences in how people react to uncertainty. The authors show that while some people are relatively comfortable dealing with uncertainty and strive to resolve it (uncertainty-oriented), others are more likely to avoid uncertainty, preferring the familiar or the known (certainty-oriented). They go on to examine the implications of an uncertainty orientation for understanding processes of self-knowledge, social cognition and attitude change, achievement, motivation and performance, interpersonal and group processes, and issues relating to physical and psychological health concerns. Research is discussed which links this uncertainty orientation to each of these issues, raising important practical and theoretical questions for each. The book also considers possible implications for people of both orientations of living in times that may be characterized as being uncertain.
Handbook Of Stress Coping And Health
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Author : Virginia Hill Rice
language : en
Publisher: SAGE
Release Date : 2012
Handbook Of Stress Coping And Health written by Virginia Hill Rice and has been published by SAGE this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012 with Medical categories.
This is the first comprehensive Handbook to examine the various models of stress, coping, and health and their relevance to nursing and related health fields. No other volume provides a compendium of key issues in stress and coping for the nursing and allied health professions. In this new edition, the authors assembles a team of expert practitioners and scholars in the field to present the broad range of issues that relate to stress and health such as response-oriented stress, stimulus-oriented stress, stress, coping, .
The Autism Discussion Page On Anxiety Behavior School And Parenting Strategies
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Author : Bill Nason
language : en
Publisher: Jessica Kingsley Publishers
Release Date : 2014-08-21
The Autism Discussion Page On Anxiety Behavior School And Parenting Strategies written by Bill Nason and has been published by Jessica Kingsley Publishers this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-08-21 with Family & Relationships categories.
This book compiles posts from the popular online Autism Discussion Page to provide simple and effective strategies for helping children with autism spectrum disorders to feel safe, accepted and competent. This volume covers anxiety and stress, challenging behaviors, stretching comfort zones, discipline, and school issues.
J Curve Exposure
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Author : Pierre-Yves Mathonet
language : en
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2008-07-31
J Curve Exposure written by Pierre-Yves Mathonet and has been published by John Wiley & Sons this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-07-31 with Business & Economics categories.
Building on the success of the author’s previous book Beyond the J Curve:Managing a Portfolio of Venture Capital and Private Equity Funds, this work covers new and additional material and offers advanced guidance on the practical questions faced by institutions when setting up and managing a successful private equity investment programme. Written from the practitioner’s viewpoint, the book offers private equity and venture capital professionals an advanced guide that will make high return targets more realistic and sustainable. Factors that can sometimes cause institutions to shy away from venture capital are the industry’s opaque track record, unclear valuations and risks, perceived lack of transparency as well as the significant entry barriers to overcome before tangible results show. These issues are all addressed in details with practical solutions to the problems. Among other topics J-Curve Exposure includes discussions of: Experiences with the adoption of the International Private Equity and Venture Capital Valuation Guidelines to address fair value under IFRS. Approaches for splitting and prioritizing distributions from private equity funds. Techniques for track record analysis and other tools to help limited partners in their due diligence. Approaches to dealing with uncertainty, the relevance of real options, and co-investments and side funds as advanced portfolio management techniques. Questions related to limited partner decision making fallacies and how to manage portfolios of VC funds. Securitization backed by portfolios of investments in private equity funds. Real life case studies illustrate the issues relevant for the practitioner.
Core Task Design
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Author : Leena Norros
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2022-06-01
Core Task Design written by Leena Norros and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2022-06-01 with Computers categories.
This book focuses on design of work from the human-factors (HF) perspective. In the approach referred to as Core-Task Design (CTD), work is considered practice, composed of human actors, the physical and social environment, and the tools used for reaching the actors’ objectives. This book begins with consideration of an industrial case, the modernization of a nuclear power plant automation system, and the related human-system interfaces in the control room. This case illustrates generic design dilemmas that invite one to revisit human-factors research methodology: Human factors should adopt practice as a new unit of analysis and should accept intervention as an inherent feature of its methodology. These suggestions are put into practice in the CTD approach, according to which three general design functions are performed, those being: • understand-to-generalize—empirical analysis of the work at hand, • foresee-the-promise—creation of concepts for future work, and • intervene-to-develop—participatory development and design of work. For fulfillment fulfillment of each of the design functions, several CTD methods are introduced. The methods are aimed at modeling the core task and analyzing how the actors actually take the core task features into account in order to achieve balance between potentially conflicting demands in action. Thereby, new understanding of the core task is acquired. Further methods focus on projecting the roles and functionality of technologies in the future work and on implementing changes to the work. Specific studies of the nuclear power plant’s control-room renewal constitute an example demonstrating a core task and the associated methods. We argue that the CTD approach offers clear utility for the design of future technology, work, and everyday services and environments. CTD utilizes achievements of practice theory in the social sciences to generate a creative synthesis of Cognitive Work Analysis, semiotic analysis of practice, and the cultural-historical theory of activity. Core-Task Design facilitates dialogue among human-factors experts, design engineers, and end users in their joint development of work. The intended audience of this book is students, researchers, and practitioners of human factors, industrial art and design, and instrumentation and control-system design. Table of Contents: Acknowledgments / Preface / Introduction / Core-Task Design Methodology / Understandings: How to Generalize from Empirical Enquiry about Actual Work / Foreseeing: How to Uncover the Promise of Solutions for Future Work / Intervening: How to Develop the Work System / Core-Task Deign in Broader Perspective / Bibliography / Author Biographies