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Measuring Real Exchange Rate Instablity In Developing Countires


Measuring Real Exchange Rate Instablity In Developing Countires
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Exchange Rate Misalignment


Exchange Rate Misalignment
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Author : Lawrence E. Hinkle
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 1999

Exchange Rate Misalignment written by Lawrence E. Hinkle and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1999 with Business & Economics categories.


Exchange Rate Misalignment examines the severe dislocations that can be caused by exchange rate misalignment and shows how there is no systematic guidance on the definitions and measurement of prevention. It explores how recent macroeconomic disruptions support the argument that growing financial integration has increased the need for providing accurate measures of long-run equilibrium exchange rates.



Measuring Real Exchange Rate Instablity In Developing Countires


Measuring Real Exchange Rate Instablity In Developing Countires
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Author :
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date :

Measuring Real Exchange Rate Instablity In Developing Countires written by and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on with categories.




Real Exchange Rates Devaluation And Adjustment


Real Exchange Rates Devaluation And Adjustment
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Author : Sebastian Edwards
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1989

Real Exchange Rates Devaluation And Adjustment written by Sebastian Edwards and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1989 with Business & Economics categories.


Real Exchange Rates, Devaluation, and Adjustment provides a unified theoretical and empirical investigation of exchange rate policy and performance in scores of developing countries. It develops a theory of equilibrium and disequilibrium real exchange rates, takes up the question of why devaluations are the most controversial policy measures in poorer nations, and discusses what determines their success or failure. In a lucid fashion, Edwards organizes vast amounts of data on exchange rates - both real and nominal - and discusses their effect on net trade balances, net asset positions, output growth, real wages, and rates of price inflation, analyzed both in time series and through cross country comparisons. Edwards's investigation singles out 39 major devaluation episodes for before and after comparative analyses while simultaneously isolating the separate effects of other important explanatory variables, such as bank credit expansion and changes in the terms of trade. The first part of the book focuses on theoretical models of devaluation and real exchange rate behavior in less developed countries. Special attention is paid to intertemporal channels in the transmission of disturbances. The second part uses a large cross country data set to analyze the way the real exchange rate has behaved in these nations. The data are also used to test the implications of several theories of real exchange rate determination. The third part analyzes actual devaluation experiences between 1962 and 1982. These chapters examine the events leading to a balance of payments crisis and to a devaluation, exploring the relation between macroeconomic disequilibrium, and the imposition of trade and exchange controls. They also investigate the effect of nominal devaluation on key variables such as the balance of payments, the current account, the real exchange rate, real output real wages, and income distribution.



Measuring Vulnerability In Developing Countries


Measuring Vulnerability In Developing Countries
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Author : Wim Naude
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2014-10-29

Measuring Vulnerability In Developing Countries written by Wim Naude and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-10-29 with Business & Economics categories.


In all of the major challenges facing the world currently, whether it be climate change, terrorism and conflict, or urbanization and demographic change, no progress is possible without the alleviation of poverty. New approaches in development economics have in recent years started from the premise that we cannot successfully deal with poverty unless we also deal with vulnerability—but not only vulnerability to income poverty but also vulnerability to various others hazards—such as climate, conflict, macroeconomic shocks and natural disasters. This book provide insights into new approaches in conceptualising and measuring vulnerability. It includes chapters dealing with advanced issues such as the compilation of economic vulnerability indices (EVIs) on a macro-level, of conceptualizing and measuring local vulnerability across regions in a country, and of measuring the flip-side of vulnerability, namely resilience. The book also explores the sensitivities of the various measurements of vulnerability to vulnerability lines, poverty lines, and permanent income, with consideration to some of the most vulnerable groups in developing countries. Overall, the contributions in the book consolidate new approaches as far as the concept and measurement of vulnerability on different levels and outcomes are concerned, and note directions for future research. This book was published as a special issue of Oxford Development Studies.



Finance And Economic Development


Finance And Economic Development
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Author : Asl? Demirgüç-Kunt
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 2006

Finance And Economic Development written by Asl? Demirgüç-Kunt and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006 with Desarrollo economico categories.


" The empirical literature on finance and development suggests that countries with better developed financial systems experience faster economic growth. Financial development-as captured by size, depth, efficiency, and reach of financial systems-varies sharply around the world, with large differences among countries at similar levels of income. This paper argues that governments play an important role in building effective financial systems and discusses different policy options to make finance work for development."--World Bank web site.



Inflation In Emerging And Developing Economies


Inflation In Emerging And Developing Economies
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Author : Jongrim Ha
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 2019-01-03

Inflation In Emerging And Developing Economies written by Jongrim Ha and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-01-03 with Business & Economics categories.


This is the first comprehensive study in the context of EMDEs that covers, in one consistent framework, the evolution and global and domestic drivers of inflation, the role of expectations, exchange rate pass-through and policy implications. In addition, the report analyzes inflation and monetary policy related challenges in LICs. The report documents three major findings: In First, EMDE disinflation over the past four decades was to a significant degree a result of favorable external developments, pointing to the risk of rising EMDE inflation if global inflation were to increase. In particular, the decline in EMDE inflation has been supported by broad-based global disinflation amid rapid international trade and financial integration and the disruption caused by the global financial crisis. While domestic factors continue to be the main drivers of short-term movements in EMDE inflation, the role of global factors has risen by one-half between the 1970s and the 2000s. On average, global shocks, especially oil price swings and global demand shocks have accounted for more than one-quarter of domestic inflation variatio--and more in countries with stronger global linkages and greater reliance on commodity imports. In LICs, global food and energy price shocks accounted for another 12 percent of core inflation variatio--half more than in advanced economies and one-fifth more than in non-LIC EMDEs. Second, inflation expectations continue to be less well-anchored in EMDEs than in advanced economies, although a move to inflation targeting and better fiscal frameworks has helped strengthen monetary policy credibility. Lower monetary policy credibility and exchange rate flexibility have also been associated with higher pass-through of exchange rate shocks into domestic inflation in the event of global shocks, which have accounted for half of EMDE exchange rate variation. Third, in part because of poorly anchored inflation expectations, the transmission of global commodity price shocks to domestic LIC inflation (combined with unintended consequences of other government policies) can have material implications for poverty: the global food price spikes in 2010-11 tipped roughly 8 million people into poverty.



Estimating Equilibrium Exchange Rates


Estimating Equilibrium Exchange Rates
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Author : John Williamson
language : en
Publisher: Peterson Institute
Release Date : 1994

Estimating Equilibrium Exchange Rates written by John Williamson and has been published by Peterson Institute this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1994 with Business & Economics categories.


The problems of exchange rate misalignments and the resulting payments imbalances have plagued the world economy for decades. At the Louvre Accord of 1987, the Group of Five industrial countries adopted a system of reference ranges for exchange rate management, influenced by proposals of C. Fred Bergstan and John Williamson for a target zone system. The reference range approach has, however, been operated only intermittently and half-heartedly, and questions continue to be raised in policy and scholarly circles about the design and operation of a full-fledged target zone regime. This volume, with chapters by leading international economists, explores one crucial issue in the design of a target zone system: the problem of calculating Williamson's concept of the fundamental equilibrium exchange rate (FEER). Williamson contributes an overview of the policy and analytic issues and a second chapter on his own calculations.



Does Exchange Rate Volatility Hinder Export Growth


Does Exchange Rate Volatility Hinder Export Growth
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Author : Ying Qian
language : en
Publisher: World Bank Publications
Release Date : 1992

Does Exchange Rate Volatility Hinder Export Growth written by Ying Qian and has been published by World Bank Publications this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1992 with Exports categories.


Inconsistency in the relationship between exchange rate volatility and export growth reflects differences among countries in the currency in which trade is invoiced. Also, exchange rate volatility may affect the allocation of trade more than its level.



Market Volatility And Foreign Exchange Intervention In Emes


Market Volatility And Foreign Exchange Intervention In Emes
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Author : Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico
language : es
Publisher:
Release Date : 2013

Market Volatility And Foreign Exchange Intervention In Emes written by Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013 with Banks and banking, Central categories.




Real Exchange Rate Misalignment And Economic Growth An Empirical Analysis For Ethiopia


Real Exchange Rate Misalignment And Economic Growth An Empirical Analysis For Ethiopia
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Author : Alemnew, Teklebirhan
language : en
Publisher: Intl Food Policy Res Inst
Release Date : 2025-02-24

Real Exchange Rate Misalignment And Economic Growth An Empirical Analysis For Ethiopia written by Alemnew, Teklebirhan and has been published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2025-02-24 with Political Science categories.


In both developing and developed economies, academic and policy discussions have consistently emphasized that achieving stable economic growth and maintaining internal and external balance require an exchange rate aligned with its long-term equilibrium value. This paper examines the impact of real exchange rate misalignment on Ethiopia's economic growth from 1980 to 2022. The study begins by estimating the equilibrium real exchange rate using the Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER) approach to calculate the misalignments. It then analyzes the effects of these misalignments on economic growth using Vector Autoregressive (VAR) and Hansen's (2000) threshold regression model. The VAR and Impulse Response Function (IRF) analyses reveal that real exchange rate misalignments have an immediate positive impact on economic growth, which diminishes between the eighth and sixteenth years and stabilizes as a permanent long-term effect. The threshold regression results indicate that undervaluation of the Ethiopian Birr enhances economic growth up to a 13.95% deviation from the equilibrium real exchange rate, while overvaluation supports growth up to a 7.15% threshold. Beyond these limits, misalignments hinder growth. The study underscores the importance of avoiding excessive deviations from the equilibrium exchange rate to sustain economic growth. Furthermore, it highlights the need for consistent macroeconomic policies to minimize the gap between the actual and equilibrium real exchange rates. These findings emphasize the critical role of exchange rate policy in promoting sustainable economic development in Ethiopia.