On Model Uncertainty And Its Statistical Implications

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On Model Uncertainty And Its Statistical Implications
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Author : Theo K. Dijkstra
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
On Model Uncertainty And Its Statistical Implications written by Theo K. Dijkstra and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Mathematics categories.
In this book problems related to the choice of models in such diverse fields as regression, covariance structure, time series analysis and multinomial experiments are discussed. The emphasis is on the statistical implications for model assessment when the assessment is done with the same data that generated the model. This is a problem of long standing, notorious for its difficulty. Some contributors discuss this problem in an illuminating way. Others, and this is a truly novel feature, investigate systematically whether sample re-use methods like the bootstrap can be used to assess the quality of estimators or predictors in a reliable way given the initial model uncertainty. The book should prove to be valuable for advanced practitioners and statistical methodologists alike.
On Model Uncertainty And Its Statistical Implications
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Author : Theo K. Dijkstra
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1988
On Model Uncertainty And Its Statistical Implications written by Theo K. Dijkstra and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1988 with categories.
Model Selection And Multimodel Inference
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Author : Kenneth P. Burnham
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2007-05-28
Model Selection And Multimodel Inference written by Kenneth P. Burnham and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-05-28 with Mathematics categories.
A unique and comprehensive text on the philosophy of model-based data analysis and strategy for the analysis of empirical data. The book introduces information theoretic approaches and focuses critical attention on a priori modeling and the selection of a good approximating model that best represents the inference supported by the data. It contains several new approaches to estimating model selection uncertainty and incorporating selection uncertainty into estimates of precision. An array of examples is given to illustrate various technical issues. The text has been written for biologists and statisticians using models for making inferences from empirical data.
Model Selection And Inference
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Author : Kenneth P. Burnham
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-11-11
Model Selection And Inference written by Kenneth P. Burnham and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-11-11 with Mathematics categories.
We wrote this book to introduce graduate students and research workers in var ious scientific disciplines to the use of information-theoretic approaches in the analysis of empirical data. In its fully developed form, the information-theoretic approach allows inference based on more than one model (including estimates of unconditional precision); in its initial form, it is useful in selecting a "best" model and ranking the remaining models. We believe that often the critical issue in data analysis is the selection of a good approximating model that best represents the inference supported by the data (an estimated "best approximating model"). In formation theory includes the well-known Kullback-Leibler "distance" between two models (actually, probability distributions), and this represents a fundamental quantity in science. In 1973, Hirotugu Akaike derived an estimator of the (relative) Kullback-Leibler distance based on Fisher's maximized log-likelihood. His mea sure, now called Akaike 's information criterion (AIC), provided a new paradigm for model selection in the analysis of empirical data. His approach, with a funda mental link to information theory, is relatively simple and easy to use in practice, but little taught in statistics classes and far less understood in the applied sciences than should be the case. We do not accept the notion that there is a simple, "true model" in the biological sciences.
Reference Manual On Scientific Evidence
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2000
Reference Manual On Scientific Evidence written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2000 with Evidence, Expert categories.
Topics In The Foundation Of Statistics
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Author : B.C. van Fraassen
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-03-09
Topics In The Foundation Of Statistics written by B.C. van Fraassen and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-03-09 with Mathematics categories.
Foundational research focuses on the theory, but theories are to be related also to other theories, experiments, facts in their domains, data, and to their uses in applications, whether of prediction, control, or explanation. A theory is to be identified through its class of models, but not so narrowly as to disallow these roles. The language of science is to be studied separately, with special reference to the relations listed above, and to the consequent need for resources other than for theoretical description. Peculiar to the foundational level are questions of completeness (specifically in the representation of measurement), and of interpretation (a topic beset with confusions of truth and evidence, and with inappropriate metalinguistic abstraction).
Nonlinear Statistical Modeling
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Author : Takeshi Amemiya
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2001-01-08
Nonlinear Statistical Modeling written by Takeshi Amemiya and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2001-01-08 with Business & Economics categories.
This collection investigates parametric, semiparametric, nonparametric, and nonlinear estimation techniques in statistical modeling.
Statistical Learning From A Regression Perspective
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Author : Richard A. Berk
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2008-06-14
Statistical Learning From A Regression Perspective written by Richard A. Berk and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-06-14 with Mathematics categories.
Statistical Learning from a Regression Perspective considers statistical learning applications when interest centers on the conditional distribution of the response variable, given a set of predictors, and when it is important to characterize how the predictors are related to the response. As a first approximation, this is can be seen as an extension of nonparametric regression. Among the statistical learning procedures examined are bagging, random forests, boosting, and support vector machines. Response variables may be quantitative or categorical. Real applications are emphasized, especially those with practical implications. One important theme is the need to explicitly take into account asymmetric costs in the fitting process. For example, in some situations false positives may be far less costly than false negatives. Another important theme is to not automatically cede modeling decisions to a fitting algorithm. In many settings, subject-matter knowledge should trump formal fitting criteria. Yet another important theme is to appreciate the limitation of one’s data and not apply statistical learning procedures that require more than the data can provide. The material is written for graduate students in the social and life sciences and for researchers who want to apply statistical learning procedures to scientific and policy problems. Intuitive explanations and visual representations are prominent. All of the analyses included are done in R.
Causation Prediction And Search
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Author : Peter Spirtes
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Causation Prediction And Search written by Peter Spirtes and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Mathematics categories.
This book is intended for anyone, regardless of discipline, who is interested in the use of statistical methods to help obtain scientific explanations or to predict the outcomes of actions, experiments or policies. Much of G. Udny Yule's work illustrates a vision of statistics whose goal is to investigate when and how causal influences may be reliably inferred, and their comparative strengths estimated, from statistical samples. Yule's enterprise has been largely replaced by Ronald Fisher's conception, in which there is a fundamental cleavage between experimental and non experimental inquiry, and statistics is largely unable to aid in causal inference without randomized experimental trials. Every now and then members of the statistical community express misgivings about this turn of events, and, in our view, rightly so. Our work represents a return to something like Yule's conception of the enterprise of theoretical statistics and its potential practical benefits. If intellectual history in the 20th century had gone otherwise, there might have been a discipline to which our work belongs. As it happens, there is not. We develop material that belongs to statistics, to computer science, and to philosophy; the combination may not be entirely satisfactory for specialists in any of these subjects. We hope it is nonetheless satisfactory for its purpose.
Recent Developments In Optimization
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Author : Roland Durier
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Recent Developments In Optimization written by Roland Durier and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Mathematics categories.
The main objective of this volume is to provide a presentation and discussion of recent developments in optimization and related fields. Equal emphasis is given to theoretical and practical studies. All the papers in this volume contain original results except two of them which are survey contributions. They deal with a wide range of topics such as optimization and variational inequalities, sensitivity and stability analysis, control theory, convex and nonsmooth analysis, and numerical methods.