Partial Identification Of Probability Distributions

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Partial Identification Of Probability Distributions

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Author : Charles F. Manski
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2006-04-29

Partial Identification Of Probability Distributions written by Charles F. Manski and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-04-29 with Mathematics categories.

Sample data alone never suffice to draw conclusions about populations. Inference always requires assumptions about the population and sampling process. Statistical theory has revealed much about how strength of assumptions affects the precision of point estimates, but has had much less to say about how it affects the identification of population parameters. Indeed, it has been commonplace to think of identification as a binary event – a parameter is either identified or not – and to view point identification as a precondition for inference. Yet there is enormous scope for fruitful inference using data and assumptions that partially identify population parameters. This book explains why and shows how. The book presents in a rigorous and thorough manner the main elements of Charles Manski's research on partial identification of probability distributions. One focus is prediction with missing outcome or covariate data. Another is decomposition of finite mixtures, with application to the analysis of contaminated sampling and ecological inference. A third major focus is the analysis of treatment response. Whatever the particular subject under study, the presentation follows a common path. The author first specifies the sampling process generating the available data and asks what may be learned about population parameters using the empirical evidence alone. He then ask how the (typically) setvalued identification regions for these parameters shrink if various assumptions are imposed. The approach to inference that runs throughout the book is deliberately conservative and thoroughly nonparametric.

Partial Identification In Econometrics And Related Topics

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Author : Nguyen Ngoc Thach
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2024-07-31

Partial Identification In Econometrics And Related Topics written by Nguyen Ngoc Thach and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2024-07-31 with Technology & Engineering categories.

This book covers data processing techniques, with economic and financial application being the unifying theme. To make proper investments in economy, the authors need to have a good understanding of the future trends: how will demand change, how will prices change, etc. In general, in science, the usual way to make predictions is: to identify a model that best fits the current dynamics, and to use this model to predict the future behavior. In many practical situations—especially in economics—our past experiences are limited. As a result, the authors can only achieve a partial identification. It is therefore important to be able to make predictions based on such partially identified models—which is the main focus of this book. This book emphasizes partial identification techniques, but it also describes and uses other econometric techniques, ranging from more traditional statistical techniques to more innovative ones such as game-theoretic approach, interval techniques, and machine learning. Applications range from general analysis of GDP growth, stock market, and consumer prices to analysis of specific sectors of economics (credit and banking, energy, health, labor, tourism, international trade) to specific issues affecting economy such as ecology, national culture, government regulations, and the existence of shadow economy. This book shows what has been achieved, but even more important are remaining open problems. The authors hope that this book will: inspire practitioners to learn how to apply state-of-the-art techniques, especially techniques of optimal transport statistics, to economic and financial problems, and inspire researchers to further improve the existing techniques and to come up with new techniques for studying economic and financial phenomena. The authors want to thank all the authors for their contributions and all anonymous referees for their thorough analysis and helpful comments. The publication of this book—and organization of the conference at which these papers were presented—was supported: by the Ho Chi Minh University of Banking (HUB), Vietnam, and by the Vingroup Innovation Foundation (VINIF). The authors thank the leadership and staff of HUB and VINIF for providing crucial support.

Microeconometrics

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Author : Steven Durlauf
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2016-06-07

Microeconometrics written by Steven Durlauf and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2016-06-07 with Literary Criticism categories.

Specially selected from The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics 2nd edition, each article within this compendium covers the fundamental themes within the discipline and is written by a leading practitioner in the field. A handy reference tool.

Discrete Choice Methods With Simulation

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Author : Kenneth Train
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2009-07-06

Discrete Choice Methods With Simulation written by Kenneth Train and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-07-06 with Business & Economics categories.

This book describes the new generation of discrete choice methods, focusing on the many advances that are made possible by simulation. Researchers use these statistical methods to examine the choices that consumers, households, firms, and other agents make. Each of the major models is covered: logit, generalized extreme value, or GEV (including nested and cross-nested logits), probit, and mixed logit, plus a variety of specifications that build on these basics. Simulation-assisted estimation procedures are investigated and compared, including maximum stimulated likelihood, method of simulated moments, and method of simulated scores. Procedures for drawing from densities are described, including variance reduction techniques such as anithetics and Halton draws. Recent advances in Bayesian procedures are explored, including the use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and its variant Gibbs sampling. The second edition adds chapters on endogeneity and expectation-maximization (EM) algorithms. No other book incorporates all these fields, which have arisen in the past 25 years. The procedures are applicable in many fields, including energy, transportation, environmental studies, health, labor, and marketing.

Probability Distributions Used In Reliability Engineering

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Author : Andrew N O'Connor
language : en
Publisher: RIAC
Release Date : 2011

Probability Distributions Used In Reliability Engineering written by Andrew N O'Connor and has been published by RIAC this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2011 with Mathematics categories.

The book provides details on 22 probability distributions. Each distribution section provides a graphical visualization and formulas for distribution parameters, along with distribution formulas. Common statistics such as moments and percentile formulas are followed by likelihood functions and in many cases the derivation of maximum likelihood estimates. Bayesian non-informative and conjugate priors are provided followed by a discussion on the distribution characteristics and applications in reliability engineering.

Theory Of Random Sets

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Author : Ilya Molchanov
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2005-05-11

Theory Of Random Sets written by Ilya Molchanov and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2005-05-11 with Mathematics categories.

This is the first systematic exposition of random sets theory since Matheron (1975), with full proofs, exhaustive bibliographies and literature notes Interdisciplinary connections and applications of random sets are emphasized throughout the book An extensive bibliography in the book is available on the Web at http://liinwww.ira.uka.de/bibliography/math/random.closed.sets.html, and is accompanied by a search engine

A Modern Introduction To Probability And Statistics

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Author : F.M. Dekking
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2006-03-30

A Modern Introduction To Probability And Statistics written by F.M. Dekking and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2006-03-30 with Mathematics categories.

Many current texts in the area are just cookbooks and, as a result, students do not know why they perform the methods they are taught, or why the methods work. The strength of this book is that it readdresses these shortcomings; by using examples, often from real life and using real data, the authors show how the fundamentals of probabilistic and statistical theories arise intuitively. A Modern Introduction to Probability and Statistics has numerous quick exercises to give direct feedback to students. In addition there are over 350 exercises, half of which have answers, of which half have full solutions. A website gives access to the data files used in the text, and, for instructors, the remaining solutions. The only pre-requisite is a first course in calculus; the text covers standard statistics and probability material, and develops beyond traditional parametric models to the Poisson process, and on to modern methods such as the bootstrap.

Handbook Of Econometrics

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Author :
language : en
Publisher: Elsevier
Release Date : 2020-11-25

Handbook Of Econometrics written by and has been published by Elsevier this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-11-25 with Business & Economics categories.

Handbook of Econometrics, Volume 7A, examines recent advances in foundational issues and "hot" topics within econometrics, such as inference for moment inequalities and estimation of high dimensional models. With its world-class editors and contributors, it succeeds in unifying leading studies of economic models, mathematical statistics and economic data. Our flourishing ability to address empirical problems in economics by using economic theory and statistical methods has driven the field of econometrics to unimaginable places. By designing methods of inference from data based on models of human choice behavior and social interactions, econometricians have created new subfields now sufficiently mature to require sophisticated literature summaries. - Presents a broader and more comprehensive view of this expanding field than any other handbook - Emphasizes the connection between econometrics and economics - Highlights current topics for which no good summaries exist

Identification For Prediction And Decision

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Author : Charles F. Manski
language : en
Publisher: Harvard University Press
Release Date : 2009-06-30

Identification For Prediction And Decision written by Charles F. Manski and has been published by Harvard University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2009-06-30 with Psychology categories.

This book is a full-scale exposition of Charles Manski's new methodology for analyzing empirical questions in the social sciences. He recommends that researchers first ask what can be learned from data alone, and then ask what can be learned when data are combined with credible weak assumptions. Inferences predicated on weak assumptions, he argues, can achieve wide consensus, while ones that require strong assumptions almost inevitably are subject to sharp disagreements. Building on the foundation laid in the author's Identification Problems in the Social Sciences (Harvard, 1995), the book's fifteen chapters are organized in three parts. Part I studies prediction with missing or otherwise incomplete data. Part II concerns the analysis of treatment response, which aims to predict outcomes when alternative treatment rules are applied to a population. Part III studies prediction of choice behavior. Each chapter juxtaposes developments of methodology with empirical or numerical illustrations. The book employs a simple notation and mathematical apparatus, using only basic elements of probability theory.

Analog Estimation Methods In Econometrics

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Author : Charles F. Manski
language : en
Publisher: Chapman and Hall/CRC
Release Date : 1988-06-15

Analog Estimation Methods In Econometrics written by Charles F. Manski and has been published by Chapman and Hall/CRC this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1988-06-15 with Business & Economics categories.

Presents familiar elements of estimation theory from an analog perspective discussing recent developments in the theory of analog estimation and new results that offer flexibility in empirical research. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR