Politics Paradigms And Intelligence Failures Why So Few Predicted The Collapse Of The Soviet Union
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Politics Paradigms And Intelligence Failures
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Author : Ofira Seliktar
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2015-05-20
Politics Paradigms And Intelligence Failures written by Ofira Seliktar and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-05-20 with Political Science categories.
Washington's failure to foresee the collapse of its superpower rival ranks high in the pantheon of predictive failures. The question of who got what right or wrong has been intertwined with the deeper issue of "who won" the Cold War. Like the disputes over "who lost" China and Iran, this debate has been fought out along ideological and partisan lines, with conservatives claiming credit for the Evil Empire's demise and liberals arguing that the causes were internal to the Soviet Union. The intelligence community has come in for harsh criticism for overestimating Soviet strength and overlooking the symptoms of crisis; the discipline of "Sovietology" has dissolved into acrimonious irrelevance. Drawing on declassified documents, interviews, and careful analysis of contemporaneous literature, this book offers the first systematic analysis of this predictive failure at the paradigmatic, foreign policy, and intelligence levels. Although it is focused on the Soviet case, it offers lessons that are both timely and necessary.
Politics Paradigms And Intelligence Failures Why So Few Predicted The Collapse Of The Soviet Union
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Author : Ofira Seliktar
language : en
Publisher: Routledge
Release Date : 2015-05-20
Politics Paradigms And Intelligence Failures Why So Few Predicted The Collapse Of The Soviet Union written by Ofira Seliktar and has been published by Routledge this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-05-20 with Political Science categories.
Washington's failure to foresee the collapse of its superpower rival ranks high in the pantheon of predictive failures. The question of who got what right or wrong has been intertwined with the deeper issue of "who won" the Cold War. Like the disputes over "who lost" China and Iran, this debate has been fought out along ideological and partisan lines, with conservatives claiming credit for the Evil Empire's demise and liberals arguing that the causes were internal to the Soviet Union. The intelligence community has come in for harsh criticism for overestimating Soviet strength and overlooking the symptoms of crisis; the discipline of "Sovietology" has dissolved into acrimonious irrelevance. Drawing on declassified documents, interviews, and careful analysis of contemporaneous literature, this book offers the first systematic analysis of this predictive failure at the paradigmatic, foreign policy, and intelligence levels. Although it is focused on the Soviet case, it offers lessons that are both timely and necessary.
The Politics Of Intelligence And American Wars With Iraq
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Author : Ofira Seliktar
language : en
Publisher: Palgrave MacMillan
Release Date : 2008-01-15
The Politics Of Intelligence And American Wars With Iraq written by Ofira Seliktar and has been published by Palgrave MacMillan this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-01-15 with History categories.
Coming at the heels of September 11, Operation Iraqi Freedom has focused the limelight on the way in which the United States predicts and manages political change. The failure to find WMD and more important, the continued violence in Iraq instead of the hoped for democracy, has engender an acrimonious debate on the motives of the Bush administration and its uses or misuses of intelligence. The question of who got what right or wrong has been fought out along ideological, and partisan lines, with supporters claiming that, given what was known about Saddam Hussein, the decision to change his regime was justified and detractors arguing that a group of largely Jewish neoconservatives, acting on behalf of Israel, manipulated intelligence in order to trick the United States into an unnecessary and costly war. The book provides a systematic and objective analysis of the problems that faced American intelligence in deciphering the behavior of the highly secretive and confusing Iraq regime and its enigmatic leader.
Access To History For The Ib Diploma Communism In Crisis 1976 89
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Author : Rakesh Pathak
language : en
Publisher: Hachette UK
Release Date : 2012-12-14
Access To History For The Ib Diploma Communism In Crisis 1976 89 written by Rakesh Pathak and has been published by Hachette UK this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-14 with History categories.
This series has taken the clarity, accessibility, reliability and in-depth analysis of our best-selling Access to History series and tailor-made it for the History IB Diploma. Each title in the series supports a specific topic in the IB History guide through thorough content coverage and examination guidance - helping students develop a good knowledge and understanding of the required content alongside the skills they need to do well. Communism in crisis 1976-89 has been written to fully support Prescribed subject 3 and includes: - authoritative, clear and engaging narrative which combines depth of content with accessibility of approach - a wide variety of sources and guidance on developing source skills - up-to-date historiography with clear analysis and associated TOK activities - guidance on answering exam-style questions with model answers and practice questions.
Studies In Intelligence
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Author :
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2007
Studies In Intelligence written by and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007 with Intelligence service categories.
Navigating Iran
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Author : O. Seliktar
language : en
Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan
Release Date : 2012-04-05
Navigating Iran written by O. Seliktar and has been published by Palgrave Macmillan this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-04-05 with Political Science categories.
This book provides the first full account of America's relations with the Islamic Republic of Iran from Jimmy Carter's presidency to Barack Obama's. It discusses all major facets of Iranian policy of interest to the United States: nuclear proliferation, revolutionary export and support for international terrorism, efforts to undermine the Israeli-Palestinian peace process, and violations of human rights. It compares developments in Iran to their perception in Washington, providing the clearest picture available yet of the discrepancies between the complex and elusive Iranian reality and its understanding in the United States.
The Image Of The Enemy
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Author : Paul Maddrell
language : en
Publisher: Georgetown University Press
Release Date : 2015-11-01
The Image Of The Enemy written by Paul Maddrell and has been published by Georgetown University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2015-11-01 with Political Science categories.
Intelligence agencies spend huge sums of money to collect and analyze vast quantities of national security data for their political leaders. How well is this intelligence analyzed, how often is it acted on by policymakers, and does it have a positive or negative effect on decision making? Drawing on declassified documents, interviews with intelligence veterans and policymakers, and other sources, The Image of the Enemy breaks new ground as it examines how seven countries analyzed and used intelligence to shape their understanding of their main adversary. The cases in the book include the Soviet Union's analysis of the United States (and vice versa), East Germany's analysis of West Germany (and vice versa), British intelligence in the early years of the Troubles in Northern Ireland, Israeli intelligence about the Palestinians, Pakistani intelligence on India, and US intelligence about Islamist terrorists. These rivalries provide rich case studies for scholars and offer today’s analysts and policymakers the opportunity to closely evaluate past successes and failures in intelligence analysis and the best ways to give information support to policymakers. Using these lessons from the past, they can move forward to improve analysis of current adversaries and future threats.
The Politics Of Intelligence And American Wars With Iraq
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Author : O. Seliktar
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2008-02-18
The Politics Of Intelligence And American Wars With Iraq written by O. Seliktar and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-02-18 with Political Science categories.
Coming at the heels of September 11, Operation Iraqi Freedom has focused the limelight on the way in which the United States predicts and manages political change. The failure to find WMD and more important, the continued violence in Iraq instead of the hoped for democracy, has engender an acrimonious debate on the motives of the Bush administration and its uses or misuses of intelligence. The question of who got what right or wrong has been fought out along ideological, and partisan lines, with supporters claiming that, given what was known about Saddam Hussein, the decision to change his regime was justified and detractors arguing that a group of largely Jewish neoconservatives, acting on behalf of Israel, manipulated intelligence in order to trick the United States into an unnecessary and costly war. The book provides a systematic and objective analysis of the problems that faced American intelligence in deciphering the behavior of the highly secretive and confusing Iraq regime and its enigmatic leader.
Constructing Cassandra
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Author : Milo Jones
language : en
Publisher: Stanford University Press
Release Date : 2013-08-21
Constructing Cassandra written by Milo Jones and has been published by Stanford University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2013-08-21 with Political Science categories.
Constructing Cassandra analyzes the intelligence failures at the CIA that resulted in four key strategic surprises experienced by the US: the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962, the Iranian revolution of 1978, the collapse of the USSR in 1991, and the 9/11 terrorist attacks—surprises still play out today in U.S. policy. Although there has been no shortage of studies exploring how intelligence failures can happen, none of them have been able to provide a unified understanding of the phenomenon. To correct that omission, this book brings culture and identity to the foreground to present a unified model of strategic surprise; one that focuses on the internal make-up the CIA, and takes seriously those Cassandras who offered warnings, but were ignored. This systematic exploration of the sources of the CIA's intelligence failures points to ways to prevent future strategic surprises.
Seven Years That Changed The World
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Author : Archie Brown
language : en
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Release Date : 2007-04-19
Seven Years That Changed The World written by Archie Brown and has been published by OUP Oxford this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2007-04-19 with Political Science categories.
A rigorously argued and lively interpretation of the transformation of the Soviet system, the disintegration of the Soviet state, the end of the Cold War, and the role of Mikhail Gorbachev. Written by a leading authority on Soviet politics, this thoroughly researched book draws on new archival sources and puts perestroika in fresh perspective. Perestroika began as an attempt by a minority within the leadership of the Communist Party to reform the Soviet system. The decisive role was played by the new General Secretary, Mikhail Gorbachev. Perestroika (reconstruction) developed into an attempt to move from Communism to competitive elections and a market economy of a social democratic type. This 'revolution from above' had profound consequences, both intended and unintended. The latter included the dissolution of the Soviet state. Four of the ten chapters were written in 'real time' - in the second half of the 1980s while perestroika was still underway. The other six chapters provide an up-to-date discussion of such important issues as the stimuli to perestroika, its intellectual origins and development, its influence on other countries and their influence on developments in the Soviet Union, and the ending of the Cold War. Archie Brown takes issue with a number of popular interpretations of perestroika - and of the end of the Cold War - and draws on new archival sources in a book which is both clearly and vigorously argued and well documented.