Population Forecasting 1895 1945
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Population Forecasting 1895 1945
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Author : H.A. de Gans
language : en
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
Population Forecasting 1895 1945 written by H.A. de Gans and has been published by Springer Science & Business Media this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2012-12-06 with Social Science categories.
Authors, scholars and scientists whose mother tongue is not one of the major languages of international communication are seriously disadvantaged. Some individuals, such as Joseph Conrad or Vladimir Nabokov, have overcome that handicap brilliantly. Others learn to live with it: they can express themselves sufficiently lucidly in a second language to make their voice heard internation ally. At least when they have something original or striking to say they will be certain to reach their peers. Most scientists and scholars fall into that category. Others, again, have to wait until their work has been translated before its value is recognised. This may apply even to those whose mother tongue is widely read. The writings of Frenchmen Lyotard, Derrida, Baudrillard or Foucault on post-modernism, on language, discourse and power, for example, had tremendous world-wide impact only after English translations appeared on the market. De Gans' study of the development of population forecasting in The Nether lands is another striking illustration of the effects a language barrier may have. He demonstrates convincingly that although a -possibly some what awkward Dutchman named Wiebols, was a pioneer of modern cohort component demo graphic forecasting, he never received international recognition for this. In his thesis of 1925 Wiebols employed the newest instruments of demographic analysis in improving forecasting methodology.
Population Forecasting 1895 1945
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Author : Henk A. de Gans
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 2014-01-15
Population Forecasting 1895 1945 written by Henk A. de Gans and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2014-01-15 with categories.
Forecasts Of The Population Of The United States 1945 1975
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Author : Pascal Kidder Whelpton
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1948
Forecasts Of The Population Of The United States 1945 1975 written by Pascal Kidder Whelpton and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1948 with Forecasting categories.
Forecasts Of The Population Of The United States
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Author : Pascal Kidder Whelpton
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1948
Forecasts Of The Population Of The United States written by Pascal Kidder Whelpton and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1948 with Demography categories.
Developments In Demographic Forecasting
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Author : Stefano Mazzuco
language : en
Publisher: Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020-09-28
Developments In Demographic Forecasting written by Stefano Mazzuco and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-09-28 with Social Science categories.
This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting, covering both mortality, fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to forecast them are presented. Moreover, instruments for forecasting evaluation are provided. Bayesian models, nonparametric models, cohort approaches, elicitation of expert opinion, evaluation of probabilistic forecasts are some of the topics covered in the book. In addition, the book is accompanied by complementary material on the web allowing readers to practice with some of the ideas exposed in the book. Readers are encouraged to use this material to apply the new methods to their own data. The book is an important read for demographers, applied statisticians, as well as other social scientists interested or active in the field of population forecasting. Professional population forecasters in statistical agencies will find useful new ideas in various chapters.
Populations Projections Politics
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Author : Henk A. De Gans
language : en
Publisher: Rozenberg Publishers
Release Date : 2003
Populations Projections Politics written by Henk A. De Gans and has been published by Rozenberg Publishers this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2003 with Social Science categories.
This book examines the interrelations of population change, developments in projection methodology, and politics in the 1920s and 1930s. Together, the contributions in the book represent an important scholarly and critical contribution to the history of d
Uncertain Demographics And Fiscal Sustainability
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Author : Juha M. Alho
language : en
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2008-03-13
Uncertain Demographics And Fiscal Sustainability written by Juha M. Alho and has been published by Cambridge University Press this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2008-03-13 with Business & Economics categories.
There is widespread acceptance that much of the developed world faces a potential pensions and welfare crisis as a result of declining birth rates and an ageing population. However, there is considerable uncertainty about the specifics of demographic forecasting and this has significant implications for public finances. Uncertain Demographics and Fiscal Sustainability addresses the economic consequences of uncertainty and, with particular reference to European economies, explores the impact of demographic risks on public finances, including pension systems, health care and old-age care expenditures. Covering a spectrum of theoretical and empirical approaches, different types of computational models are used to demonstrate not only the magnitudes of the uncertainties involved but also how these can be addressed through policy initiatives. The book is divided into four parts covering demographic, measurement, policy and methodological issues. Each part is followed by a discussion essay that draws out key elements and identifies common themes.
Forecasts Of The Population Of The United States 1945 1975
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Author : Pascal Kidder Whelpton
language : en
Publisher:
Release Date : 1948
Forecasts Of The Population Of The United States 1945 1975 written by Pascal Kidder Whelpton and has been published by this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 1948 with United States categories.
Old And New Perspectives On Mortality Forecasting
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Author : Tommy Bengtsson
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2019-03-28
Old And New Perspectives On Mortality Forecasting written by Tommy Bengtsson and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2019-03-28 with Social Science categories.
This open access book describes methods of mortality forecasting and discusses possible improvements. It contains a selection of previously unpublished and published papers, which together provide a state-of-the-art overview of statistical approaches as well as behavioural and biological perspectives. The different parts of the book provide discussions of current practice, probabilistic forecasting, the linearity in the increase of life expectancy, causes of death, and the role of cohort factors. The key question in the book is whether it is possible to project future mortality accurately, and if so, what is the best approach. This makes the book a valuable read to demographers, pension planners, actuaries, and all those interested and/or working in modelling and forecasting mortality.
Model Based Demography
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Author : Thomas K. Burch
language : en
Publisher: Springer
Release Date : 2017-10-14
Model Based Demography written by Thomas K. Burch and has been published by Springer this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2017-10-14 with Social Science categories.
Late in a career of more than sixty years, Thomas Burch, an internationally known social demographer, undertook a wide-ranging methodological critique of demography. This open access volume contains a selection of resulting papers, some previously unpublished, some published but not readily accessible [from past meetings of The International Union for the Scientific Study of Population and its research committees, or from other small conferences and seminars]. Rejecting the idea that demography is simply a branch of applied statistics, his work views it as an autonomous and complete scientific discipline. When viewed from the perspective of modern philosophy of science, specifically the semantic or model-based school, demography is a balanced discipline, with a rich body of techniques and data, but also with more and better theories than generally recognized. As demonstrated in this book, some demographic techniques can also be seen as theoretical models, and some substantive/behavioral models, commonly rejected as theory because of inconsistent observations, are now seen as valuable theoretical models, for example demographic transition theory. This book shows how demography can build a strong theoretical edifice on its broad and deep empirical foundation by adoption of the model-based approach to science. But the full-fruits of this approach will require demographers to make greater use of computer modeling [both macro- and micro-simulation], in the statement and manipulation of theoretical ideas, as well as for numerical computation. This book is open access under a CC BY license.